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Tenaya Therapeutics (TNYA)
NASDAQ:TNYA
US Market

Tenaya Therapeutics (TNYA) AI Stock Analysis

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TNYA

Tenaya Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:TNYA)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.70
▼(-47.59% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, large losses, and heavy cash burn with ongoing funding needs) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). A positive regulatory and clinical update provides some upside support, but it is not yet enough to offset the financial and trend risks.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Approval
The lifting of the FDA hold allows Tenaya to resume its MyPEAK-1 trial, potentially accelerating the development of TN-201, which is crucial for long-term growth and strategic positioning in the gene therapy market.
Clinical Trial Progress
Positive interim data from the RIDGE-1 trial enhances the credibility of Tenaya's pipeline, supporting its strategic focus on gene therapies for cardiac disorders and potentially attracting partnerships or funding.
Modest Leverage
Low leverage provides Tenaya with financial flexibility to navigate the capital-intensive biotech landscape, allowing it to focus on R&D and strategic collaborations without the immediate pressure of high debt obligations.
Negative Factors
Cash Burn
Significant cash burn indicates ongoing reliance on external funding, which could pose a risk to Tenaya's long-term sustainability if new capital or partnerships are not secured in a timely manner.
No Revenue
Lack of revenue generation highlights Tenaya's dependency on external funding and collaborations, which may challenge its ability to sustain operations and invest in R&D over the long term without successful product commercialization.
Shrinking Equity
The significant decline in equity reflects ongoing losses and value erosion, limiting Tenaya's financial flexibility and potentially impacting its ability to attract future investment or strategic partnerships.

Tenaya Therapeutics (TNYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenaya Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenaya Therapeutics (TNYA) is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and delivering curative therapies for heart disease. The company operates within the biopharmaceutical sector and is committed to advancing a pipeline of novel therapies aimed at addressing the underlying causes of various forms of heart disease through gene therapy, cellular regeneration, and precision medicine approaches.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenaya Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary therapies for heart disease. Revenue streams include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties from partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, the company may generate income from licensing its technologies and intellectual property to other biotech firms. Tenaya also seeks to raise funds through equity financing, government grants, and research collaborations, which support ongoing research and development activities.

Tenaya Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tenaya Therapeutics is in a pre-revenue stage common for biotech firms, with no revenue and high R&D expenses leading to consistent losses. The balance sheet is lightly leveraged, but equity has been decreasing due to accumulated deficits. The company relies heavily on external financing to manage negative cash flows.
Income Statement
Tenaya Therapeutics has consistently reported zero revenue, which is typical for early-stage biotech companies focused on R&D. The net profit margins are negative, driven by substantial R&D expenses and no offsetting revenue. This highlights the company's pre-revenue phase with ongoing losses.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the equity has been decreasing due to persistent losses. The equity ratio has diminished over time, reflecting a shrinking asset base compared to equity.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow due to high operating expenses and capital expenditures. The operating cash flow has been consistently negative, indicating a reliance on external financing to sustain operations. Free cash flow growth is also negative, highlighting cash burn.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-3.95M-8.47M-8.69M-8.71M-4.03M-2.48M
EBITDA-87.05M-102.66M-115.40M-114.95M-68.70M-35.91M
Net Income-94.26M-111.13M-124.08M-123.67M-72.72M-38.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets104.98M119.94M170.51M278.94M316.65M148.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.31M61.45M104.64M186.53M251.30M128.53M
Total Debt11.53M13.61M12.42M15.10M15.70M0.00
Total Liabilities22.11M27.09M31.09M35.57M38.12M8.72M
Stockholders Equity82.87M92.85M139.42M243.38M278.53M139.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-73.47M-91.53M-103.31M-125.05M-85.93M-45.21M
Operating Cash Flow-72.71M-90.50M-102.07M-104.42M-60.81M-35.45M
Investing Cash Flow70.25M1.13M48.72M83.65M-238.56M-7.01M
Financing Cash Flow50.54M47.75M4.05M77.77M208.97M147.27M

Tenaya Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.33
Price Trends
50DMA
1.18
Negative
100DMA
1.31
Negative
200DMA
0.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
33.80
Neutral
STOCH
61.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNYA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.90, above the 50-day MA of 1.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TNYA.

Tenaya Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Tenaya Therapeutics disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenaya Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenaya Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$282.88M4.4875.90%
56
Neutral
$290.96M-9.47-70.17%68.53%
55
Neutral
$368.90M-5.12-32.21%60.40%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$226.85M-1.88-46.09%-80.88%-388.61%
44
Neutral
$157.70M-0.92-96.44%46.68%
44
Neutral
$250.18M-6.5618.82%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TNYA
Tenaya Therapeutics
0.73
-0.76
-51.14%
GALT
Galectin Therapeutics
3.88
2.68
223.33%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
5.22
-0.78
-13.00%
VYGR
Voyager Therapeutics
4.08
-1.84
-31.08%
TECX
Tectonic Therapeutic
19.71
-26.86
-57.68%
CADL
Candel Therapeutics
5.30
-3.05
-36.53%

Tenaya Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Tenaya Therapeutics announces orderly board leadership transition
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Tenaya Therapeutics announced that board member David Goeddel submitted his resignation from the company’s board of directors and all board committees on December 31, 2025, with the resignation to take effect on January 26, 2026, in connection with his retirement. The company emphasized that Goeddel’s departure was voluntary, not due to any disagreement over operations, policies or practices, and the board publicly thanked him for his service and contributions, signaling an orderly leadership transition rather than a governance dispute.

The most recent analyst rating on (TNYA) stock is a Hold with a $0.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenaya Therapeutics stock, see the TNYA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Tenaya Therapeutics Announces Public Offering Pricing
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Tenaya Therapeutics announced the pricing of its public offering of 50 million units, expected to raise approximately $60 million. The proceeds will fund the development of clinical and early-stage product candidates, including TN-201 and TN-401, and support general corporate purposes. The offering is set to close on December 15, 2025, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TNYA) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenaya Therapeutics stock, see the TNYA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FDA Lifts Hold on Tenaya’s MyPEAK-1 Trial
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Tenaya Therapeutics announced that the FDA lifted the clinical hold on its MyPEAK-1 trial for TN-201 gene therapy, following amendments to the study protocol. The company also shared interim data from its RIDGE-1 trial for TN-401, showing promising safety and efficacy results, with no dose-limiting toxicities and improvements in electrical instability in patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (TNYA) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenaya Therapeutics stock, see the TNYA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FDA Places Hold on Tenaya’s MyPEAKTM-1 Trial
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

The FDA has placed a clinical hold on Tenaya Therapeutics‘ MyPEAKTM-1 trial for TN-201, a treatment for MYBPC3-associated hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, to standardize patient monitoring and immunosuppression management. Despite the hold, Tenaya expects no impact on TN-201’s data milestones or development timelines, as the drug has shown an acceptable safety profile and no new safety events have been reported.

The most recent analyst rating on (TNYA) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenaya Therapeutics stock, see the TNYA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025