tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Vaxart Inc (VXRT)
NASDAQ:VXRT

Vaxart (VXRT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
4,296 Followers

Top Page

VX

Vaxart

(NASDAQ:VXRT)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-13.79%Downside)
Vaxart's overall score is driven by significant revenue growth and positive momentum in clinical trials, balanced by ongoing financial losses and operational challenges. Technical indicators are moderately positive, but valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The Phase II COVID-19 vaccine trial is progressing rapidly, with the sentinel cohort enrollment ahead of schedule, indicating strong advancement in the study.
Growth Potential
Vaxart's efforts to refine its norovirus program address a significant unmet need in a market with no approved vaccines, showcasing potential for growth and innovation.
Regulatory Milestones
VXRT's norovirus oral vaccine unique competitive position to further benefit from upcoming regulatory milestones.
Vaccine Development
Vaxart advances with $453M BARDA-backed COVID-19 vaccine, poised to lead in mucosal immunity.
Negative Factors
Investor Perception
Investor perception of the norovirus opportunity has considerable room for improvement given the significant disease burden and the lack of approved or late-stage programs.

Vaxart (VXRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vaxart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVaxart, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing oral recombinant vaccines based on its proprietary delivery platform. The company's oral vaccine technology is designed to be administered by tablet rather than by injection, making it potentially more convenient and accessible. Vaxart is engaged in the research and development of vaccines for a variety of infectious diseases, including influenza, norovirus, and coronaviruses.
How the Company Makes MoneyVaxart generates revenue primarily through partnerships, collaborations, and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. These partnerships typically involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and potential royalties on sales of products developed using Vaxart's technology. The company is also engaged in research and development activities that are sometimes funded by government grants or contracts, which provide additional revenue streams. As of now, Vaxart does not have a commercialized product on the market, so its revenue is largely dependent on these partnerships and funding sources.

Vaxart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 38.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented several positive developments, including significant revenue growth, progress in clinical trials, and promising preclinical results. However, these were balanced by challenges such as workforce reductions, CFO resignation, and the risk of NASDAQ delisting. The sentiment is balanced by both achievements and significant challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Increase
Revenue for the first quarter of 2025 was $20.9 million, compared to $2.2 million for the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to the BARDA contract.
Lifting of Stop Work Order
The stop work order on the 10,000 participant portion of the COVID-19 Phase 2b clinical trial was lifted, allowing the trial to proceed.
Norovirus Vaccine Trial Progress
Completed enrollment of the Phase 1 trial for the second-generation norovirus vaccine candidate, with top-line data expected mid-2025.
Positive Preclinical Results in Avian Flu Program
Preclinical studies show 100% protection against death in a ferret model for the avian flu vaccine candidate.
Negative Updates
Workforce Reductions
Implemented additional measures to reduce operating costs, including another round of workforce reductions.
CFO Resignation
Phil Lee submitted his resignation as CFO for personal reasons, staying on as a non-executive employee for a few weeks for a smooth transition.
Risk of NASDAQ Delisting
Vaxart is at risk of being delisted from NASDAQ due to not meeting the $1 minimum bid price requirement, considering a reverse stock split to maintain listing.
Company Guidance
During the Vaxart Business Update and First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, guidance was provided on multiple fronts. The company announced that it is actively screening patients for its Project NextGen Phase 2b COVID-19 vaccine trial, with dosing expected to begin in the second quarter of 2025. This trial is supported by a BARDA contract worth up to $460.7 million. Additionally, Vaxart completed enrollment in a Phase 1 trial for its norovirus vaccine, with top-line data anticipated in mid-2025. Financially, the company reported a revenue increase to $20.9 million for Q1 2025, up from $2.2 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to the BARDA contract. Vaxart ended the quarter with $41.9 million in cash and expects its cash runway to extend into Q1 2026, despite recent workforce reductions aimed at cost rationalization. The company is also exploring strategic partnerships and non-dilutive funding to maintain its financial position while navigating the biotech environment.

Vaxart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vaxart's financials show significant revenue growth and a strong gross profit margin. However, persistent operating losses, negative cash flows, and reliance on external financing highlight major challenges in profitability and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Vaxart's income statement shows a substantial increase in revenue over the years, with a notable jump to $47.4 million in the latest TTM period from $28.7 million the previous year. However, the company continues to operate at a loss, with a negative net profit margin of -122.6% and an EBIT margin of -120.6% in the TTM. The gross profit margin is strong at 97.7%, yet the persistent losses highlight challenges in controlling operating expenses and achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Vaxart's balance sheet indicates a moderate level of debt with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 in the TTM. The equity ratio is 28.8%, showing reliance on equity financing. Despite a decrease in stockholders' equity over time, the company maintains a healthy level of cash and short-term investments, which provides some financial stability. However, the declining equity and high liabilities pose a risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow of -$33.2 million and a negative free cash flow of -$33.7 million in the TTM, indicating the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting profits into cash. Despite these issues, financing activities have provided some liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
47.40M28.70M7.38M107.00K892.00K4.05M
Gross Profit
46.30M28.70M7.38M-3.16M-47.86M-15.82M
EBIT
-57.16M-66.29M-83.35M-114.59M-72.75M-30.17M
EBITDA
-45.73M-54.87M-72.13M-103.12M-66.45M-28.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-58.12M-66.95M-82.47M-107.76M-70.47M-32.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
41.94M51.72M39.71M93.72M166.49M126.87M
Total Assets
158.56M166.39M91.83M153.85M221.17M152.58M
Total Debt
16.83M17.53M20.09M21.70M13.01M7.21M
Net Debt
-11.87M-7.70M-14.67M-22.31M-130.74M-119.66M
Total Liabilities
112.94M107.46M34.02M43.25M33.64M29.18M
Stockholders Equity
45.62M58.92M57.80M110.60M187.53M123.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-33.73M-45.32M-72.32M-104.38M-64.99M-24.97M
Operating Cash Flow
-33.17M-44.76M-70.45M-94.78M-59.83M-23.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.07M-21.32M43.95M-20.41M-49.10M-1.22M
Financing Cash Flow
38.20M56.56M15.24M17.46M125.80M138.31M

Vaxart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.58
Price Trends
50DMA
0.44
Positive
100DMA
0.50
Positive
200DMA
0.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
59.31
Neutral
STOCH
54.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VXRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.49, above the 50-day MA of 0.44, and below the 200-day MA of 0.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VXRT.

Vaxart Risk Analysis

Vaxart disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vaxart reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vaxart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$86.43M-60.25%255.31%-141.39%
54
Neutral
$5.24B3.26-44.35%6.48%16.78%-0.10%
53
Neutral
$140.18M-114.74%433.43%49.04%
46
Neutral
$99.29M-59.45%48.92%
44
Neutral
$211.04M-34.72%-100.00%-12.66%
40
Underperform
$114.55M-179.12%30.23%-21.32%
37
Underperform
$71.52M-246.26%51.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VXRT
Vaxart
0.58
-0.13
-18.31%
MGNX
MacroGenics
1.31
-3.06
-70.02%
IMUX
Immunic
0.72
-0.39
-35.14%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
1.30
-3.45
-72.63%
OBIO
Orchestra BioMed Holdings
3.01
-3.31
-52.37%
SGMT
Sagimet Biosciences, Inc. Class A
8.72
4.79
121.88%

Vaxart Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Stockholders Reject Reverse Stock Split Proposal
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Vaxart held its reconvened 2025 annual meeting of stockholders, where two proposals were approved and two were rejected. Stockholders elected six directors and ratified the selection of WithumSmith+Brown, PC as the company’s independent accounting firm. However, they did not approve an amendment for a reverse stock split or the 2024 executive compensation plan. The company is evaluating its options following the rejection of the reverse stock split proposal and has canceled a special meeting previously scheduled for June 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vaxart Announces Positive Phase 1 Norovirus Vaccine Results
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Vaxart announced positive results from its Phase 1 clinical trial for its second-generation oral pill norovirus vaccine constructs. The trial demonstrated that the new constructs significantly increased antibody responses compared to the first-generation constructs, with a 141% and 94% increase in GI.1 and GII.4 norovirus blocking antibodies, respectively. The vaccines were well-tolerated with no serious adverse events reported. These results suggest the potential for improved protection against norovirus, a virus with no currently approved vaccine that causes millions of infections globally, leading to significant economic burdens. Vaxart plans to incorporate these findings into discussions with potential partners and aims to advance to a Phase 2b study, potentially starting in the latter half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Adjourns Annual Meeting for Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Vaxart announced the adjournment of its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders to June 13, 2025, due to insufficient votes for a proposal to amend the company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation for a reverse stock split. The company aims to provide additional time for stockholders to vote and solicit more support for the proposal, which is crucial for maintaining its Nasdaq listing. Leading proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have endorsed the proposal, and Vaxart has engaged in discussions with major stockholders to address concerns, resulting in increased support.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Discusses Reverse Stock Split and Capital Raise
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Vaxart, Inc. addressed additional frequently asked questions from retail investors regarding a proposed reverse stock split, which is to be voted on at their Annual Meeting on June 2, 2025. The company emphasized the importance of the reverse stock split to regain compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements, as failure to do so could result in delisting. Vaxart also highlighted its strategic decision to raise capital through a $40 million offering to extend its cash runway and advance its clinical programs, despite having an at-the-market offering in place. The company reassured investors that the reverse stock split would not inherently increase short selling or cause dilution and remains committed to exploring partnerships to support its vaccine development efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vaxart Begins Phase 2b Trial for Oral COVID-19 Vaccine
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Vaxart announced the dosing of the first patient in a significant 10,000-participant Phase 2b clinical trial for its oral COVID-19 vaccine candidate. This trial aims to evaluate the vaccine’s efficacy, safety, and immunogenicity compared to an approved mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. The trial’s progression follows a positive safety review from an independent board, and it is supported by substantial funding from BARDA and NIAID under Project NextGen, highlighting the potential impact on Vaxart’s market positioning and contribution to next-generation COVID-19 vaccine development.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Adjourns Annual Meeting for Stockholder Voting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Vaxart announced the adjournment of its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders to June 2, 2025, to allow additional time for stockholders to vote on proposals. The company’s board believes that approving a reverse stock split proposal is crucial for maintaining Nasdaq listing compliance and attracting investor interest. Stockholders who have already voted do not need to recast their votes, and proxies submitted will remain valid unless revoked.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Board Approves Reverse Split Proposal
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Vaxart announced that its board of directors approved resolutions to narrow the proposed reverse split range and reduce authorized shares at future stockholder meetings. The company urged stockholders to vote in favor of the reverse stock split proposal at the upcoming annual meeting to avoid Nasdaq delisting. Leading proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis support the proposal, which aims to maintain Vaxart’s Nasdaq listing, preserving stockholder liquidity and enabling investment from institutional investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vaxart Receives BARDA Approval for Phase 2b Trial
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Vaxart, Inc. announced that it received approval from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) to begin dosing in the 10,000-participant portion of its Phase 2b clinical trial for its oral COVID-19 vaccine candidate. This trial, funded under Project NextGen, is a significant step in evaluating the efficacy and safety of Vaxart’s oral vaccine compared to existing mRNA vaccines, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and offering a new approach to COVID-19 vaccination.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Vaxart Appoints Jeroen Grasman as New CFO
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Phillip Lee announced his resignation as Chief Financial Officer of Vaxart, Inc., effective upon the appointment of a successor. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will assist with the transition until June 1, 2025. On May 13, 2025, Vaxart appointed Jeroen Grasman as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective May 19, 2025. Grasman, who has over 20 years of experience in biotech financial leadership, previously served as CFO at AltruBio and held significant roles at PACT Pharma and Genentech. His appointment is expected to support Vaxart’s advancement of its oral vaccine programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Proposes Reverse Stock Split to Avoid Delisting
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Vaxart, Inc. issued a press release addressing frequently asked questions about a proposed reverse stock split, which will be voted on at the company’s Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025. The reverse stock split is intended to help Vaxart regain compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement and avoid delisting. The proposal is supported by leading proxy advisory firms, and Vaxart’s board of directors recommends stockholders vote in favor of it. The reverse stock split is seen as a strategic move to maintain Nasdaq listing, potentially increase market visibility, and enhance long-term value, which is crucial for the company’s future growth and financing opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsDelistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock SplitBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vaxart Resumes COVID-19 Vaccine Trial After Government Lift
Neutral
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Vaxart, Inc. announced significant progress in its vaccine programs, including the lifting of a government stop work order on April 24, 2025, which allows the continuation of a clinical trial for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate. The company is also advancing its norovirus program and is on track to report topline data by mid-2025. Vaxart is proposing a reverse stock split to be voted on at the upcoming annual meeting to avoid Nasdaq delisting, which could impact liquidity and funding opportunities. The company is implementing cost control measures to extend its cash runway into 2026 and is actively seeking non-dilutive funding to support its strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.