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Vaxart (VXRT)
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Vaxart (VXRT) AI Stock Analysis

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VXRT

Vaxart

(OTC:VXRT)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▲(38.89% Upside)
Vaxart's overall score is driven by a promising partnership with Dynavax, which boosts financial prospects and validates its technology. However, significant financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues, weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators provide a neutral outlook, while valuation concerns persist due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnership
The partnership with Dynavax enhances Vaxart's financial stability and validates its technology, providing a significant cash infusion and extending its cash runway to Q2 2027. This collaboration strengthens Vaxart's market position and supports its strategic growth initiatives.
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong top-line expansion, driven by the BARDA contract. This growth reflects the company's ability to capitalize on its innovative vaccine solutions, enhancing its financial prospects and market credibility.
Innovative Vaccine Platform
Vaxart's tablet-based vaccine delivery system represents a competitive advantage, potentially increasing patient compliance and market reach. This innovation supports long-term growth by addressing key challenges in vaccine administration.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, highlighted by negative margins, indicate operational inefficiencies and financial instability. These challenges may limit Vaxart's ability to invest in growth and innovation, affecting its long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flows highlight liquidity constraints, potentially impacting Vaxart's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives. This financial pressure could hinder the company's capacity to navigate market challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities.
Delayed Clinical Trials
Delays in clinical trials for the norovirus vaccine could postpone product development timelines and revenue generation. This setback may affect Vaxart's competitive positioning and ability to meet market demand for innovative vaccine solutions.

Vaxart (VXRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vaxart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVaxart, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing oral vaccines based on its proprietary Vaxart platform. The company operates primarily in the biotechnology sector and is engaged in the research, development, and commercialization of oral vaccine candidates for various infectious diseases, including influenza and norovirus. Vaxart's innovative approach utilizes a tablet-based vaccine delivery system, aiming to enhance patient compliance and broaden immunization accessibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyVaxart generates revenue primarily through funding from partnerships, grants, and potential licensing agreements related to its vaccine development programs. The company may also earn income from research and development collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, academic institutions, and government agencies. Additionally, if successful in advancing its vaccine candidates through clinical trials and obtaining regulatory approvals, Vaxart could monetize its products through sales, royalties, or further licensing agreements. The potential for revenue growth is tied to the success of its oral vaccine candidates in clinical settings and the demand for innovative vaccine solutions.

Vaxart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a significant partnership with Dynavax, which boosts financial stability and validates Vaxart's technology. Positive developments in the norovirus program and increased revenue are notable. However, the stop work order from BARDA and delays in norovirus trials present challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnership with Dynavax
Vaxart announced a partnership with Dynavax for their oral COVID-19 vaccine program, potentially worth up to $700 million, including an upfront license fee of $25 million and a $5 million equity investment. This extends Vaxart's cash runway to Q2 2027.
Positive Norovirus Vaccine Developments
Vaxart reported positive Phase I results for their second-generation norovirus vaccine, showing significant increases in antibody responses, with a potential for improved protection over the first-generation constructs.
Increased Revenue
Revenue for Q3 2025 was $72.4 million, a significant increase from $4.9 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to the BARDA contract.
Negative Updates
BARDA Stop Work Order
Vaxart received a stop work order from BARDA on their Phase IIb COVID-19 clinical study, halting enrollment but allowing follow-up for already enrolled subjects.
Delayed Norovirus Clinical Trial
The next clinical trial for Vaxart's norovirus vaccine is delayed to 2026, contingent on securing funding or partnerships.
Company Guidance
During the Vaxart Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's strategic direction and financial outlook. Vaxart announced a substantial partnership with Dynavax, potentially worth up to $700 million in license, regulatory, and milestone fees, along with royalties for their oral COVID-19 vaccine candidate. As part of the agreement, Dynavax will make an upfront payment of $25 million and a $5 million equity investment. This collaboration extends Vaxart's cash runway into the second quarter of 2027. Vaxart retains responsibility for the ongoing Phase IIb trial and, if Dynavax assumes further development, Vaxart could receive up to $195 million in regulatory milestone payments, $425 million in sales milestone payments, and tiered royalties. The company remains on track to report key data readouts in 2026, and the partnership with Dynavax is anticipated to bolster Vaxart's position in advancing other vaccine candidates, including norovirus, flu, and HPV, underscoring the transformative potential of their oral vaccine platform.

Vaxart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vaxart shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. Negative margins and cash flows, along with a negative return on equity, highlight operational inefficiencies and financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Vaxart's income statement shows significant revenue growth in the TTM period, with an 83.6% increase, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The net profit margin is particularly concerning at -34.2%, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -123.5%, indicating that the company is not generating returns for its shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 12.8%, showing a relatively low proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights negative operating and free cash flows, with a concerning free cash flow growth rate of -18% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, indicating some alignment between cash flow and accounting profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue148.20M28.70M7.38M107.00K892.00K4.05M
Gross Profit148.20M28.70M2.88M107.00K-47.86M-15.82M
EBITDA-38.43M-54.87M-72.13M-100.58M-66.45M-28.26M
Net Income-50.70M-66.95M-82.47M-107.76M-70.47M-32.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets208.99M166.39M91.83M153.85M221.17M152.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.79M51.72M39.71M93.72M166.49M126.87M
Total Debt15.44M23.28M26.51M27.42M24.53M22.14M
Total Liabilities182.23M107.46M34.02M43.25M33.64M29.18M
Stockholders Equity26.76M58.92M57.80M110.60M187.53M123.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.48M-45.32M-72.32M-104.38M-64.99M-24.97M
Operating Cash Flow-30.29M-44.76M-70.45M-94.78M-59.83M-23.75M
Investing Cash Flow25.05M-21.32M43.95M-20.41M-49.10M-1.22M
Financing Cash Flow93.00K56.56M15.24M17.46M125.80M138.31M

Vaxart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.36
Price Trends
50DMA
0.36
Negative
100DMA
0.37
Negative
200DMA
0.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
46.98
Neutral
STOCH
35.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VXRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.37, below the 50-day MA of 0.36, and below the 200-day MA of 0.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VXRT.

Vaxart Risk Analysis

Vaxart disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vaxart reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vaxart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$87.53M-106.52%784.27%45.66%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$215.13M-166.97%6.46%-14.32%
46
Neutral
$96.82M-0.64-49.18%-33.76%17.54%
45
Neutral
$88.56M-81.13%-9.70%23.23%
44
Neutral
$206.78M-39.78%-38.23%
37
Underperform
$82.56M-398.50%30.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VXRT
Vaxart
0.36
-0.25
-40.98%
MGNX
MacroGenics
1.40
-1.89
-57.45%
IMUX
Immunic
0.69
-0.49
-41.53%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
1.34
-2.16
-61.71%
OBIO
Orchestra BioMed Holdings
4.53
-1.04
-18.67%
SGMT
Sagimet Biosciences, Inc. Class A
6.67
1.74
35.29%

Vaxart Corporate Events

Vaxart’s Earnings Call: Dynavax Partnership and Revenue Surge
Nov 16, 2025

Vaxart’s recent earnings call was marked by a blend of optimism and caution. The company announced a promising partnership with Dynavax, which is expected to enhance financial stability and validate its technological advancements. Positive strides in the norovirus program and a substantial increase in revenue were also highlighted. However, challenges such as a stop work order from BARDA and delays in norovirus trials were acknowledged, indicating a mixed sentiment overall.

Vaxart’s Strategic Moves and Financial Highlights
Nov 14, 2025

Vaxart, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing oral recombinant vaccines using its proprietary delivery platform, which allows for vaccines to be administered in pill form. In its latest earnings report, Vaxart announced a significant collaboration with Dynavax Technologies for its COVID-19 oral vaccine candidate, potentially bringing in up to $700 million plus royalties. The company has also completed the enrollment of 5,400 participants in its COVID-19 Phase 2b trial, with data expected in 2026, and reported promising Phase 1 results for its norovirus vaccine candidate.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
Vaxart Partners with Dynavax for Oral COVID-19 Vaccine
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Vaxart entered into an exclusive license and collaboration agreement with Dynavax Technologies Corporation for Vaxart’s investigational oral COVID-19 vaccine candidate. Under this agreement, Dynavax will pay Vaxart an upfront fee of $25 million and make a $5 million equity investment. Vaxart will continue to lead the development through Phase 2b, after which Dynavax may assume responsibility for further development. If Dynavax proceeds, Vaxart could receive additional milestone payments and royalties. This collaboration aims to leverage Vaxart’s oral vaccine platform and Dynavax’s commercial expertise to provide easily administered COVID-19 vaccine options, potentially enhancing patient acceptance and distribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Vaxart Secures Funding for COVID-19 Trial
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Vaxart received a stop work order for its Project Agreement under the Consortium Base Agreement with ATI, funded by BARDA. Despite this, the company can continue follow-up efforts for a Phase 2b study involving its oral COVID-19 vaccine candidate. On October 8, 2025, a follow-up notice clarified that BARDA intends to exclude the paused work from the Project Agreement, but Vaxart will still receive funding for evaluating the trial’s 5,000 participants. The company believes the trial data will provide valuable insights and support for advancing its COVID program.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Vaxart Faces Nasdaq Delisting, Moves to OTCQX
Negative
Sep 19, 2025

Vaxart, Inc. faced a delisting from Nasdaq after failing to meet the conditions set by the Nasdaq Hearings Panel, which included obtaining shareholder approval and completing a reverse stock split by specified dates in 2025. Consequently, Vaxart’s common stock was suspended from trading on Nasdaq and is now quoted on the OTCQX Best Market under the symbol ‘VXRT’.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Vaxart Withdraws Proposal, Cancels Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

Vaxart, Inc. had planned a special meeting of stockholders on September 5, 2025, which was adjourned to September 19, 2025, to allow more time for voting on a proposal. However, on September 18, 2025, the company decided to withdraw the proposal and will not reconvene the meeting, indicating a shift in their strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Vaxart Adjourns Stockholder Meeting for Vote Solicitation
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Vaxart, Inc. adjourned its special meeting of stockholders to provide additional time for voting on proposals, including a reverse stock split. The meeting will reconvene on September 19, 2025, and during the adjournment, Vaxart will continue soliciting votes. This decision reflects recent changes in board composition and governance considerations, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on maintaining its Nasdaq listing and engaging with stockholders to maximize value.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Vaxart Announces Board Member Retirement
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Vaxart announced the retirement of Michael J. Finney, Ph.D., from its Board of Directors, effective September 30, 2025. Dr. Finney’s departure, due to personal reasons, led to a reduction in the board size from six to five members. His leadership and contributions were acknowledged as pivotal to Vaxart’s growth and mission. The board plans to meet to discuss future leadership and governance, aiming to continue advancing the company’s scientific progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Vaxart’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Vaxart painted a picture of both optimism and caution. The company reported strong financial growth and promising vaccine development results, but also faced significant challenges, including a stop work order on a major trial and issues with stock listing compliance. This mix of positive advancements and operational uncertainties created a balanced sentiment during the call.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Vaxart Secures Nasdaq Listing Continuation Approval
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Vaxart received a decision from the Nasdaq Hearings Panel allowing the company to continue its listing on Nasdaq, contingent upon meeting specific conditions including a reverse stock split by October 17, 2025. This decision follows a period of non-compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement, and the company is actively engaging with stockholders to secure their support for the necessary actions to maintain its listing, which is critical for its future success in the competitive vaccine industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Vaxart Discusses Reverse Stock Split Proposal
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Vaxart, Inc. held a virtual fireside chat with stockholders to discuss a proposed reverse stock split and its implications for the company’s NASDAQ listing. The management emphasized the importance of maintaining a NASDAQ listing for increased visibility, liquidity, and access to capital, which are crucial for advancing their vaccine development programs. The reverse stock split is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company’s market position and protect stockholder investments, with advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis recommending support for the proposal.

The most recent analyst rating on (VXRT) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vaxart stock, see the VXRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025