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Orchestra BioMed Holdings (OBIO)
NASDAQ:OBIO
US Market
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Orchestra BioMed Holdings (OBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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OBIO

Orchestra BioMed Holdings

(NASDAQ:OBIO)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-12.66% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is held back primarily by heavy ongoing losses and significant cash burn despite strong gross margins and a recent revenue inflection. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings. Corporate events add some support via expected cash proceeds and execution-focused incentives.
Positive Factors
High-margin rapid revenue growth
A large TTM revenue step-up combined with very high gross margins indicates the company has begun generating scalable, high-value sales. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports operating leverage potential and durability of core product economics if growth is sustained and commercialization progresses.
Negative Factors
Sustained negative free cash flow
Persistent ~-$49M annual cash burn means the business is not yet self-funding; this structural cash deficit will require recurring external financing or milestone-linked proceeds and constrains resource allocation, increasing dilution and financial risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High-margin rapid revenue growth
A large TTM revenue step-up combined with very high gross margins indicates the company has begun generating scalable, high-value sales. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports operating leverage potential and durability of core product economics if growth is sustained and commercialization progresses.
Read all positive factors

Orchestra BioMed Holdings (OBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. operates as a biomedical innovation company. The company's flagship product candidates include BackBeat Cardiac Neuromodulation Therapy (CNT) for the treatment of hypertension; and Virtue Sirolimus AngioInfusion Bal...
How the Company Makes Money
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Orchestra BioMed Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a sharp TTM revenue step-up (~$33.5M) and very high gross margin (~93%), results remain dominated by large operating losses (EBIT about -$51.8M TTM) and sustained cash burn (operating/FCF around -$49M TTM). Low debt (~$1.7M) and positive equity (~$53.6M) help, but liquidity runway/dilution risk persists without loss narrowing.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.48M2.64M2.76M3.53M-782.00K
Gross Profit33.29M2.43M2.57M3.21M-981.00K
EBITDA-51.48M-63.99M-51.22M-32.44M-21.62M
Net Income-52.95M-61.02M-49.12M-33.61M-23.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.86M76.17M95.21M95.57M13.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments106.51M66.81M87.59M83.78M10.90M
Total Debt1.69M16.53M1.69M11.87M5.67M
Total Liabilities51.48M43.22M27.17M43.04M84.76M
Stockholders Equity63.38M32.96M68.04M52.53M-71.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-49.45M-50.85M-46.20M-29.88M-19.70M
Operating Cash Flow-48.96M-50.56M-46.13M-29.29M-19.43M
Investing Cash Flow-26.94M13.09M10.69M-64.12M13.02M
Financing Cash Flow88.33M29.17M46.22M103.26M-3.99M

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.58
Price Trends
50DMA
4.30
Positive
100DMA
4.35
Positive
200DMA
3.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
57.05
Neutral
STOCH
79.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OBIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.39, above the 50-day MA of 4.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OBIO.

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Risk Analysis

Orchestra BioMed Holdings disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orchestra BioMed Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may not be able to borrow additional funds under the 2024 LSA, and the terms of the 2024 LSA place restrictions on our operating and financial flexibility. Q3, 2024

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$462.88M-3.85-33.41%58.37%
52
Neutral
$235.25M6.38-169.64%1169.22%22.24%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$114.37M-8.98-104.27%60.12%
47
Neutral
$110.58M-0.99-101.77%-14.17%0.94%
46
Neutral
$112.80M-6.51-82.00%-13.30%28.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OBIO
Orchestra BioMed Holdings
4.02
1.46
57.03%
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology
1.65
-1.03
-38.43%
GLSI
Greenwich LifeSciences
21.98
12.12
122.92%
CLYM
Climb Bio
9.69
8.44
675.20%
CGTX
Cognition Therapeutics
1.28
0.85
197.67%
PYXS
Pyxis Oncology
1.76
0.57
47.90%

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Orchestra BioMed Adopts 2026 Performance-Driven Executive Compensation Plan
Positive
Feb 13, 2026
On February 12, 2026, Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.’s board of directors approved a 2026 cash bonus plan for its executive officers that ties payouts to mid-year and full-year performance against clinical, financial, and operational goals,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026