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Orchestra BioMed Holdings (OBIO)
NASDAQ:OBIO
US Market

Orchestra BioMed Holdings (OBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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Orchestra BioMed Holdings

(NASDAQ:OBIO)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲( 9.89% Upside)
Orchestra BioMed Holdings shows a mixed outlook. The primary concern is its challenging financial performance, with ongoing losses and negative cash flows. However, recent FDA approvals and strategic initiatives present potential growth opportunities. The technical analysis presents a neutral to bearish short-term outlook, while the valuation is hindered by the lack of earnings.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Progress
The ongoing BACKBEAT pivotal study of AVIM therapy is expected to complete enrollment with a global, multi-center trial, showing potential for a significant impact on cardiac pacemaker patients with hypertension.
Regulatory Approval
The FDA has granted Breakthrough Device designation for atrioventricular interval modulation (AVIM) therapy, providing accelerated FDA engagement and review process and potentially favorable reimbursement pathways.
Strategic Partnerships
Orchestra BioMed is a MedTech company with a unique business model maximizing its expertise in R&D while partnering with large companies to bring new devices to market.
Negative Factors
Clinical and Regulatory Risks
Risks include failure of product candidates in clinical trials, failure to secure regulatory approval, and potential dilution risk, which could impact the company's future valuation.
Financial Performance
Net loss was $18.8M, or ($0.49) per share, moderately higher than the estimated loss of $15.5M.
Funding Risks
The company may need to raise additional capital within the next 12 months, indicating a potential financial challenge.

Orchestra BioMed Holdings (OBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. operates as a biomedical innovation company. The company's flagship product candidates include BackBeat Cardiac Neuromodulation Therapy (CNT) for the treatment of hypertension; and Virtue Sirolimus AngioInfusion Balloon (SAB) for the treatment of atherosclerotic artery disease. Its products also comprise FreeHold retractors that are minimally invasive surgical device solutions. The company has a strategic collaboration with Medtronic for the development and commercialization of BackBeat CNT for the treatment of hypertension in pacemaker-indicated patients; and a strategic partnership with Terumo Corporation for the development and commercialization of Virtue SAB for the treatment of artery disease. Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. is based in New Hope, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrchestra BioMed Holdings makes money primarily through strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with larger healthcare companies. These collaborations often involve milestone payments and royalties, which provide a steady revenue stream as the partnered products move through clinical development and commercialization. Additionally, the company may engage in co-development agreements where both parties share in the costs and potential profits of bringing new therapies to market. Its focus on high-impact therapeutic devices with significant market potential also positions it for substantial revenue growth as these products gain regulatory approval and commercial traction.

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orchestra BioMed Holdings is experiencing financial difficulties with declining revenue, negative cash flows, and ongoing losses. While the balance sheet shows some financial stability, profitability and cash generation need significant improvement.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Orchestra BioMed Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue, with a negative revenue growth rate over the past year. The company is facing significant losses, as indicated by its negative net profit margin and EBIT margin. The gross profit margin remains positive, suggesting some control over production costs, but the overall profitability is severely impacted by high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate level of leverage with a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is positive, suggesting some level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Orchestra BioMed Holdings has a negative free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting profits into cash. Nonetheless, the company has managed to improve its cash position through financing activities, which may provide short-term liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.64M2.76M3.53M-782.00K5.70M
Gross Profit
2.43M2.57M3.21M-981.00K5.56M
EBIT
-64.30M-51.51M-32.66M-21.80M-18.75M
EBITDA
-64.30M-51.22M-32.44M-21.62M-18.61M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-61.02M-49.12M-33.61M-23.01M-21.36M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
66.81M87.59M83.78M10.90M35.79M
Total Assets
76.17M95.21M95.57M13.53M38.09M
Total Debt
16.53M1.69M11.87M5.67M9.46M
Net Debt
-5.73M-28.87M-7.91M-4.26M-10.89M
Total Liabilities
43.22M27.17M43.04M84.76M86.63M
Stockholders Equity
32.96M68.04M52.53M-71.23M-48.54M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-50.85M-46.20M-29.88M-19.70M-26.72M
Operating Cash Flow
-50.56M-46.13M-29.29M-19.43M-26.18M
Investing Cash Flow
13.09M10.69M-64.12M13.02M26.97M
Financing Cash Flow
29.17M46.22M103.26M-3.99M10.00M

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.73
Price Trends
50DMA
3.20
Negative
100DMA
4.15
Negative
200DMA
4.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
45.20
Neutral
STOCH
52.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OBIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.74, below the 50-day MA of 3.20, and below the 200-day MA of 4.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OBIO.

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Risk Analysis

Orchestra BioMed Holdings disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orchestra BioMed Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may not be able to borrow additional funds under the 2024 LSA, and the terms of the 2024 LSA place restrictions on our operating and financial flexibility. Q3, 2024

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.06-43.57%2.81%16.81%-0.12%
51
Neutral
$104.59M-179.12%30.23%-21.32%
49
Neutral
$131.90M-50.77%-54.29%
46
Neutral
$127.87M-189.46%-3.24%31.00%
39
Underperform
$127.43M-75.60%-2.29%
37
Underperform
$141.35M-65.19%-47.28%
KOKOD
35
Underperform
$187.05M-108.92%32.58%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OBIO
Orchestra BioMed Holdings
2.73
-2.57
-48.49%
NKTR
Nektar Therapeutics
0.66
-0.98
-59.76%
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
2.25
-1.66
-42.46%
LRMR
Larimar Therapeutics
1.93
-5.15
-72.74%
KOD
Kodiak Sciences
3.54
0.47
15.31%
RAPT
RAPT Therapeutics
0.86
-3.32
-79.43%

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Orchestra BioMed Receives FDA Approval for IDE Amendment
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Orchestra BioMed Holdings announced that the FDA granted Breakthrough Device Designation for its AVIM therapy, aimed at treating hypertension in pacemaker-indicated patients. This designation could expedite FDA reviews and enhance reimbursement pathways, potentially benefiting over 7.7 million U.S. patients with uncontrolled hypertension. On April 29, 2025, the company also received FDA approval for an IDE amendment to initiate an updated design of the Virtue Trial for its Virtue Sirolimus Infusion Balloon, targeting coronary in-stent restenosis. This trial will compare Virtue SAB to the Boston Scientific AGENT paclitaxel-coated balloon, with the goal of supporting U.S. regulatory approval.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orchestra BioMed Highlights Strategic Initiatives and Innovations
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

Orchestra BioMed Holdings has released a presentation detailing their strategic initiatives and product developments, including the AVIM therapy and Virtue Sirolimus AngioInfusion Balloon. The company emphasizes its partnership-enabled business model aimed at accelerating innovation and improving patient outcomes, with significant market opportunities in hypertension and artery disease treatment.

Executive/Board Changes
Orchestra BioMed Updates Executive Compensation Policies
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Orchestra BioMed Holdings’ Compensation Committee approved several policies affecting its executive officers. A new policy was established for handling tax liabilities on restricted stock units (RSUs) for Section 16 Officers, allowing tax payments through share withholding instead of selling shares. Additionally, a new cash bonus plan was introduced, setting performance-based goals and stretch targets for 2025, with bonuses tied to achieving these objectives. The Committee also adopted a revised equity award policy and RSU vesting schedule for Vice Presidents and above, aimed at aligning executive incentives with long-term company success.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.