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Immunic (IMUX)
NASDAQ:IMUX

Immunic (IMUX) AI Stock Analysis

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Immunic

(NASDAQ:IMUX)

Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:
Immunic's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance, marked by high R&D costs without corresponding revenue. Technical analysis shows moderate short-term bullish signals, but long-term valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. The company's ability to improve its financial position relies heavily on successful product commercialization or securing additional funding.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Data
IMUX reported positive disability outcome data from their Ph 2 CALLIPER study in progressive MS, which is supportive of a path forward.
Financing
IMUX successfully completed a financing for $65M in upfront proceeds to extend their cash runway.
Phase 2 Results
The company recently reported positive Phase 2 CALLIPER trial topline results for oral candidate vidofludimus calcium in progressive multiple sclerosis, importantly supporting neuroprotection benefit and effect on disease progression independent of relapse activity.
Negative Factors
Brain Volume Endpoint
The primary endpoint of brain volume did not show an effect, which can weigh negatively on perceptions of the study results.
Cash Position
The approximately $14.3M cash and equivalents through 1Q25 are not anticipated to fund operations for at least the next twelve months, necessitating the need for additional capital.
Financing Overhang
The company has a clear financing overhang, as an $80 million tranche from the January 2024 PIPE is only triggered if the stock trades at a 10-day volume-weighted price of $8.00 or above within 6 months following the Phase IIb CALLIPER release.

Immunic (IMUX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Immunic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImmunic, Inc. (IMUX) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing a pipeline of selective oral immunology therapies aimed at treating chronic inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. The company's lead product candidate, IMU-838, is an orally available, selective immune modulator that targets diseases such as multiple sclerosis and inflammatory bowel disease. Immunic leverages its proprietary technology platforms to advance its pipeline of innovative therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyImmunic makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its drug candidates. The company focuses on advancing its pipeline through clinical trials, with the aim of achieving regulatory approval and subsequently marketing these therapies. Revenue is anticipated to be generated through direct sales, licensing agreements, and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. As a clinical-stage company, Immunic may also rely on funding from investors, grants, or other financial instruments to support its research and development activities.

Immunic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -18.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented significant positive developments, including strengthened leadership, progress in key clinical trials, and potential market impact of vidofludimus calcium. However, challenges such as increased R&D expenses and net losses were also noted. The sentiment leans slightly positive due to the promising clinical trial results and potential market opportunities.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strengthened Management and Board
Appointment of Jason Tardio as President and COO and Simona Skerjanec to the Board, enhancing the team's expertise in drug commercialization and development.
Positive Phase III ENSURE Program Interim Analysis
The interim analysis of the Phase III ENSURE program for vidofludimus calcium in relapsing MS showed it is not futile, allowing trials to continue as planned.
Phase II CALLIPER Trial Progress
Ongoing Phase II CALLIPER trial of vidofludimus calcium in progressive MS, with top-line data expected in April 2025.
New Clinical Trial Initiation
Enrollment of the first patient in a Phase II clinical trial of vidofludimus calcium in post-COVID syndrome.
Financial Position
$59.1 million in cash expected to fund operations into the third quarter of 2025.
Potential Market Impact
Vidofludimus calcium is projected to reach peak sales of USD 2 billion to USD 6 billion, transforming the oral disease-modifying therapy market for MS.
Negative Updates
Increased R&D Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $21.4 million for Q3 2024 compared to $19.8 million in Q3 2023.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for Q3 2024 was $24.4 million, compared to $22.8 million for the same period in 2023.
Challenges in Partnerships
Ongoing discussions with potential partners for vidofludimus calcium, with no confirmed partnerships yet.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Immunic, the company provided several key metrics and guidance concerning its financial status and clinical development programs. Immunic ended the quarter with $59.1 million in cash, which is expected to fund operations into Q3 2025. R&D expenses were reported at $21.4 million for the quarter, reflecting an increase from the previous year due to costs associated with clinical trials, offset by savings from deprioritized programs. The net loss for the quarter was approximately $24.4 million or $0.24 per share. Significant clinical milestones were also discussed, including the anticipated top-line data from the Phase II CALLIPER trial in progressive MS expected in April 2025, and the continuation of the Phase III ENSURE trials in relapsing MS, with the first trial completion expected by Q2 2026. The company also highlighted ongoing interest from pharmaceutical companies for potential partnerships, driven by the innovative profile and market potential of their lead asset, vidofludimus calcium.

Immunic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Immunic's financials reflect the typical profile of a biotech company in the R&D phase, with no revenues, high operating losses, and dependence on external financing. The firm's financial health is challenged by persistent negative cash flows and shrinking cash reserves, posing a significant risk to long-term sustainability without successful product commercialization or additional funding.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Immunic has consistently reported zero revenue, indicating no commercialized products or services. The consistent and significant net losses highlight the company's high R&D and operational costs typical for early-stage biotech firms. The lack of revenue growth and persistent negative profit margins suggest challenges in transitioning from research to revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Immunic's balance sheet shows a high equity ratio, indicating reliance on equity financing. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited leverage risk. However, the company's declining equity and asset base over time may constrain future funding and operational capabilities. The cash reserves, though decreasing, still represent a significant portion of total assets.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
The company's cash flow is heavily negative, driven by substantial operating cash outflows. Though free cash flow is negative, indicative of high cash burn, Immunic has managed to secure financing to support operations. However, the sustainability of this financing amidst declining cash reserves remains a concern.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-31.00K0.00-111.00K-77.00K-85.00K-39.00K
EBIT
-101.00M-98.05M-99.22M-119.49M-91.67M-48.97M
EBITDA
-100.89M-100.37M-99.11M-120.33M-92.86M-48.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-96.40M-100.51M-93.61M-154.30M-92.79M-43.96M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
14.30M35.67M46.67M116.37M86.86M127.45M
Total Assets
20.52M40.87M54.30M127.75M139.10M167.86M
Total Debt
210.00K1.00M1.33M1.56M584.00K679.00K
Net Debt
-14.09M-34.66M-45.34M-105.18M-86.28M-126.77M
Total Liabilities
210.00K22.44M25.37M14.07M11.98M9.08M
Stockholders Equity
-5.29M18.43M28.93M113.68M127.11M158.78M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-82.85M-85.03M-71.16M-65.26M-83.30M-46.27M
Operating Cash Flow
-82.57M-84.77M-70.83M-65.14M-83.23M-46.12M
Investing Cash Flow
-280.00K-264.00K9.46M-9.74M-67.00K-146.00K
Financing Cash Flow
77.00K74.54M1.03M95.76K42.84K144.43M

Immunic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.95
Negative
100DMA
1.02
Negative
200DMA
1.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
42.45
Neutral
STOCH
69.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.84, below the 50-day MA of 0.95, and below the 200-day MA of 1.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IMUX.

Immunic Risk Analysis

Immunic disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Immunic reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Immunic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$5.41B3.27-45.10%3.29%16.81%0.02%
48
Neutral
$107.93M-45.55%98.56%37.97%
46
Neutral
$105.05M-59.45%48.92%
37
Underperform
$83.36M-246.26%51.02%
37
Underperform
$90.24M-63.22%-100.00%-26.44%
VOVOR
33
Underperform
$27.49M-125.43%2.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMUX
Immunic
0.80
-0.34
-29.82%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
1.34
-7.05
-84.03%
PLRX
Pliant Therapeutics
1.38
-9.82
-87.68%
CCCC
C4 Therapeutics
1.68
-2.46
-59.42%
VOR
Vor Biopharma
0.18
-0.99
-84.62%

Immunic Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Immunic Announces $5.1 Million Securities Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Immunic, Inc. announced a securities purchase agreement with institutional and accredited investors for the issuance and sale of 5,666,667 shares of common stock, priced at $0.90 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $5.1 million. The offering, expected to close on April 10, 2025, aims to fund clinical trials, operations, and other corporate purposes, with Titan Partners Group acting as the sole placement agent. The net proceeds after expenses are anticipated to be around $4.6 million, impacting Immunic’s operational funding and market positioning.

Spark’s Take on IMUX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, IMUX is a Underperform.

Immunic’s financial performance is the most significant factor, with consistent net losses and negative cash flow posing a substantial risk. Technical analysis suggests a bearish trend but potential for an oversold bounce. Valuation is low due to negative earnings and no dividend, indicating high risk and limited immediate return prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on IMUX stock, click here.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.