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vTv Therapeutics (VTVT)
NASDAQ:VTVT

vTv Therapeutics (VTVT) AI Stock Analysis

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VTVT

vTv Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:VTVT)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(0.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/02/26
Score is held back primarily by very weak financial performance—minimal revenue, large ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn—despite low debt. Technicals are mixed (longer-term trend above key moving averages but softer near-term momentum), and valuation is constrained by negative earnings. A notable positive is the recent partnership amendment that could provide meaningful non-dilutive funding and milestone/royalty upside.
Positive Factors
Partnerships / Non-dilutive Funding
The Newsoara amendment provides meaningful non-dilutive capital and milestone/royalty upside tied to HPP737 commercialization. Structurally this reduces near-term financing pressure, aligns partner commercialization incentives, and enhances long-term funding optionality without immediate equity dilution.
Low Financial Leverage
Extremely low debt materially lowers bankruptcy and interest-rate risk for a pre-revenue biotech. This structural conservatism preserves flexibility to pursue partnerships or raise capital on favorable terms and limits fixed financial obligations during clinical development.
Focused R&D Pipeline
A concentrated strategic focus on small-molecule metabolic programs creates specialization advantages: domain expertise, streamlined trial design, and clearer partnering/commercialization pathways. This focus supports durable R&D execution and targeted licensing opportunities.
Negative Factors
Negligible Product Revenue
With virtually no product revenue, the company lacks recurring cash inflows to sustain operations. Over multiple quarters this structural revenue gap forces reliance on external financing or partners and leaves long-term viability contingent on trial success or licensing outcomes.
Persistent Cash Burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicates the business consumes capital to advance trials rather than generating it. Over a multi-month horizon this elevates refinancing and dilution risk, making execution dependent on continued access to partner payments or capital markets.
Dependence on External Financing
Sharp swings in shareholders' equity reflect financing-driven balance sheet changes rather than organic profitability. Structurally, this dependence on financings and occasional accounting step-ups increases dilution risk and ties the company's runway and program advancement to capital or partner milestones.

vTv Therapeutics (VTVT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

vTv Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionvTv Therapeutics Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of orally administered treatments for diabetes. The company is developing TTP399, an orally administered, small molecule, and liver-selective glucokinase activator for the treatment of type 1 diabetes; and HPP737, an orally administered non-CNS penetrant phosphodiesterase type 4 (PDE4) inhibitor that addresses inflammatory diseases and psoriasis. It is also involved in the clinical development of other programs, including TTP273, an oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist for postprandial glucose excursion to treat cystic fibrosis related diabetes; HPP3033, a non-electrophilic therapeutic approach to activating the Nrf2 pathway for the treatment of chronic diseases associated with oxidative stress; azeliragon, a RAGE antagonist for inflammatory lung diseases, including severe COVID-19, as well as for pancreatic and breast cancers; and HPP971, an Nrf2 activator for renal diseases through partnerships with pharmaceutical partners. The company has a license agreement with Reneo Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop and commercialize peroxisome proliferation activated receptor delta agonist program, including the compound HPP593. vTv Therapeutics Inc. also has license and research agreements with Hangzhou Zhongmei Huadong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.; Newsoara Biopharma Co., Ltd.; JDRF International; and Novo Nordisk A/S. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in High Point, North Carolina. vTv Therapeutics Inc. is a subsidiary of MacAndrews & Forbes Incorporated.
How the Company Makes MoneyvTv Therapeutics primarily generates revenue through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. These collaborations often involve licensing agreements, wherein vTv licenses its proprietary drug candidates or technology platforms to partners in exchange for upfront payments, milestone payments based on development progress, and potential royalties on future sales. The company may also receive funding support through research grants and government incentives aimed at fostering innovation in the biopharmaceutical field. Additionally, vTv Therapeutics may engage in strategic alliances to co-develop and commercialize certain products, thereby sharing the financial risks and rewards associated with drug development.

vTv Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is weak: revenue is essentially negligible (TTM ~$17K), gross profit is negative, and losses remain large (TTM EBIT about -$29.8M; net income about -$23.5M). Cash burn is persistent with negative operating and free cash flow (TTM operating cash flow about -$20.8M). Balance sheet leverage is low (TTM total debt about $0.36M) and equity is stronger in the most recent period, but the company remains reliant on external funding while operating at a significant deficit.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Results remain deeply loss-making with very weak profitability in both annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). TTM revenue is essentially de minimis ($17K) and gross profit is negative, while operating losses are large (TTM EBIT about -$29.8M) and net losses remain substantial (TTM net income about -$23.5M). Revenue has not shown a sustained growth trajectory (including a year with zero revenue), and margins are highly negative, indicating limited operating leverage at the current scale. A modest positive is that losses have not consistently worsened every year, but overall earnings quality and visibility remain weak.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage is low, with minimal total debt across periods (TTM total debt about $0.36M) and a very low debt-to-equity level in the most recent balance sheets, reducing near-term financial risk from borrowing. However, the equity picture has been volatile—stockholders’ equity was negative in multiple years before turning positive in 2024 and rising sharply in TTM (about $70.5M), suggesting meaningful financing activity and/or accounting step-ups rather than internally generated profitability. Returns on equity are very weak given ongoing losses, and the company remains dependent on external capital while it operates at a significant deficit.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains a key weakness. Operating cash flow is consistently negative (TTM operating cash flow about -$20.8M), and free cash flow is equally negative, indicating ongoing cash burn to fund operations. While the burn rate improved versus 2024 (less negative in TTM), the longer-run trend is uneven and includes periods of higher outflows. Free cash flow is roughly in line with net losses, which suggests losses translate into cash burn rather than being primarily non-cash—raising the importance of funding access.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.00K1.02M0.002.02M4.00M6.41M
Gross Profit-5.00K1.02M0.002.02M4.00M-4.60M
EBITDA-28.96M-22.52M-25.86M-24.77M-17.52M-12.02M
Net Income-23.47M-18.46M-20.25M-19.16M-12.99M-8.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.49M38.27M11.02M33.24M25.47M14.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.50M36.75M9.45M12.13M13.41M5.75M
Total Debt360.00K169.00K529.00K716.00K932.00K915.00K
Total Liabilities28.95M23.96M29.57M27.40M10.25M11.00M
Stockholders Equity70.54M12.20M-24.68M-10.74M-9.74M-80.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.83M-25.31M-19.08M-15.27M-19.31M-18.00M
Operating Cash Flow-20.83M-25.31M-19.08M-15.25M-19.31M-18.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.004.40M-21.00K0.000.00
Financing Cash Flow77.76M52.61M12.00M13.98M26.98M19.47M

vTv Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.67
Price Trends
50DMA
36.42
Negative
100DMA
31.43
Positive
200DMA
24.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
47.31
Neutral
STOCH
31.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTVT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.71, below the 50-day MA of 36.42, and above the 200-day MA of 24.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VTVT.

vTv Therapeutics Risk Analysis

vTv Therapeutics disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. vTv Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

vTv Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$139.98M-4.61-63.41%-87.59%11.53%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$144.89M-10.43-54.87%-98.30%26.62%
46
Neutral
$53.67M-5.87-42.68%63.85%
45
Neutral
$59.24M-1.48-49.17%23.37%
43
Neutral
$61.25M-0.87
42
Neutral
$76.81M-0.44-64.27%14.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTVT
vTv Therapeutics
34.67
17.57
102.75%
ATHE
Alterity Therapeutics
3.40
-0.24
-6.59%
IFRX
InflaRx
0.91
-0.34
-27.04%
CLNN
Clene
5.03
0.63
14.32%
PLRX
Pliant Therapeutics
1.25
-0.27
-17.76%
ADAG
Adagene
2.97
0.92
44.88%

vTv Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
vTv Therapeutics Expands Global HPP737 Rights with Newsoara
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 30, 2026, vTv Therapeutics LLC amended its 2018 license agreement with Newsoara Biopharma, restoring and significantly expanding Newsoara’s rights to develop and commercialize the PDE4 inhibitor HPP737 on a worldwide basis, contingent on a $20 million upfront payment. Under the revised terms, vTv stands to receive up to $50 million in development milestone payments, $65 million in sales-related milestones, and mid-single-digit royalties on sales, positioning the company to secure substantial non-dilutive funding and broader global exposure for HPP737, with potential upside for both its revenue profile and partnership-driven growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTVT) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on vTv Therapeutics stock, see the VTVT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 02, 2026