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Adagene (ADAG)
NASDAQ:ADAG
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Adagene (ADAG) AI Stock Analysis

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ADAG

Adagene

(NASDAQ:ADAG)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-9.09% Downside)
Adagene's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by significant losses and negative cash flows. While technical analysis shows some positive momentum, the negative valuation metrics due to unprofitability further weigh down the score. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Clinical Development
Adagene presented positive data from its ongoing Phase 1/2 study with ADG126 at the 2025 American Society of Clinical Oncology Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium, which further solidified ADG126’s therapeutical potential in MSS-CRC.
Regulatory Milestone
FDA alignment on trial design of both Phase 2 and 3 studies with ADG126 is seen as an important regulatory milestone, providing clarity on ADG126’s development path.
Strategic Investment
Adagene announced a strategic investment of up to $25M from Sanofi, which strengthens its balance sheet to advance its proprietary pipeline.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
For 2H24, the company reported collaboration revenue of $0.1M and a net loss of $0.29 per share, compared to an estimate of no revenue and a net loss of $0.33 per share.

Adagene (ADAG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adagene Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdagene (ADAG) is a biotechnology company that operates in the pharmaceutical and life sciences sectors. The company specializes in the development of innovative antibody-based therapies, utilizing its proprietary Dynamic Precision Library (DPL) technology to create novel therapeutics targeting various diseases, including cancer. Adagene's core focus is on advancing its pipeline of products through clinical trials and strategic collaborations to bring effective treatments to market.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdagene makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its antibody-based therapeutics. The company generates revenue from licensing agreements, where it partners with pharmaceutical companies to co-develop and commercialize its products. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of specific development or regulatory goals, and royalties on product sales. Additionally, Adagene may receive research and development funding as part of its collaborations, contributing to its revenue streams. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the progress and success of its clinical trials, as well as its ability to establish and maintain strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical entities.

Adagene Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adagene faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, substantial losses, and negative cash flows. While the debt level is manageable, the reduction in equity poses a potential risk. The company needs to address its profitability and cash generation to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Adagene's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a declining revenue trend from 2023 to 2024 with a revenue decrease of 99.4%. The gross profit margin stands at 100%, indicating that all revenue was retained as gross profit. However, the net profit margin is deeply negative at -32383%, reflecting substantial losses relative to revenue. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Adagene's balance sheet shows a moderate financial position with some concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.37, indicating a manageable level of debt. However, stockholders' equity has decreased, reflecting potential risk. The equity ratio stands at 56.6%, suggesting reasonable asset financing through equity, yet the negative trends in equity raise concerns.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates significant challenges. Operating cash flow is negative and worsening, with a free cash flow growth rate of -4.2% from 2023 to 2024. Operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, reflecting difficulty in generating cash relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.20K103.20K18.11M9.29M10.18M480.00K
Gross Profit-1.12M-823.04K18.11M9.29M10.18M480.00K
EBITDA-35.59M-31.66M-14.95M-77.39M-69.99M-41.34M
Net Income-38.43M-33.42M-18.95M-79.97M-73.18M-16.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.52M89.27M115.73M152.40M189.51M84.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.83M85.19M109.93M143.76M174.39M75.15M
Total Debt6.85M18.49M22.31M27.97M7.49M7.98M
Total Liabilities28.61M38.74M45.17M69.31M32.95M173.65M
Stockholders Equity37.91M50.52M70.56M83.09M156.56M-89.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.20M-29.73M-28.54M-49.30M-45.92M-29.46M
Operating Cash Flow-34.17M-29.70M-28.45M-48.61M-43.41M-28.53M
Investing Cash Flow905.09K1.11M-77.36K-686.05K-2.51M7.07M
Financing Cash Flow-6.43M3.77M-5.37M17.82M145.36M4.44M

Adagene Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.20
Price Trends
50DMA
2.01
Positive
100DMA
1.87
Positive
200DMA
1.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
53.56
Neutral
STOCH
20.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.11, above the 50-day MA of 2.01, and above the 200-day MA of 1.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADAG.

Adagene Risk Analysis

Adagene disclosed 120 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adagene reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adagene Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$133.63M-90.25%-45.35%96.80%
52
Neutral
$172.28M-68.93%-72.45%-28.60%
51
Neutral
$7.92B-0.43-41.67%2.21%22.29%-1.85%
47
Neutral
$100.86M-63.24%-87.65%11.76%
44
Neutral
4882.82%75.40%
41
Neutral
$66.52M-222.28%1.80%
36
Underperform
$202.09M-85.21%38.94%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADAG
Adagene
2.20
-0.70
-24.14%
ADVM
Adverum Biotechnologies
3.52
-3.44
-49.43%
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics
11.60
3.45
42.33%
IGMS
IGM Biosciences
1.27
-9.00
-87.63%
CRBU
Caribou Biosciences
1.87
0.11
6.25%
TNYA
Tenaya Therapeutics
1.35
-1.06
-43.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025