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Equillium (EQ)
:EQ

Equillium (EQ) AI Stock Analysis

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EQ

Equillium

(NASDAQ:EQ)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▲(28.21%Upside)
Equillium's stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and valuation. The company shows promising revenue growth but struggles with profitability and operational efficiency, leading to a negative P/E ratio. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, further weighing on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Study Results
EQ reported positive topline results from a Phase 2 study of lead asset itolizumab in ulcerative colitis, demonstrating encouraging activity and being well tolerated with no notable safety signals.
Valuation and Data
The modest valuation for EQ at current levels, combined with positive data, successful regulatory interaction, and additional capital, could drive meaningful upside to EQ shares.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
The FDA declined to support an accelerated approval pathway for itolizumab in first-line treatment of acute graft-versus-host disease.
Study Outcome
The EQUATOR trial failed to achieve its primary endpoint of complete response at Day 29 and both key secondary endpoints.
Uncertainty and Financing
There is significant uncertainty on the path forward for itolizumab, as well as the company's financing overhang.

Equillium (EQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equillium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquillium, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops and sells products to treat severe autoimmune and inflammatory, or immuno-inflammatory disorders with unmet medical need. The company's lead product candidate is itolizumab (EQ001), a clinical-stage monoclonal antibody that targets the novel immune checkpoint receptor CD6, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of acute graft-versus-host disease; completed Phase Ib clinical trial for the treatment of asthma disease; and Phase Ib clinical trial for the treatment of and lupus nephritis. It also develops EQ101 for treatment of cutaneous T cell lymphoma and alopecia areata; and EQ102 to treat various gastrointestinal diseases. The company was formerly known as Attenuate Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Equillium, Inc. in May 2017. Equillium, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquillium generates revenue primarily through strategic collaborations, partnerships, and potential licensing agreements. The company focuses on advancing its clinical-stage product candidates towards regulatory approval and commercialization, which could lead to milestone payments and royalties from partners. Equillium's revenue model is heavily reliant on the successful development and commercialization of its lead asset, itolizumab, and securing strategic alliances with larger pharmaceutical companies to support its pipeline and financial sustainability.

Equillium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equillium shows strong revenue growth but continues to face profitability challenges and negative operating cash flows. The balance sheet is moderately strong with low leverage, but declining equity ratio and ongoing operational inefficiencies pose risks.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Equillium has shown a consistent increase in revenue from 2020 to 2024, with significant growth from 2022 to 2023. However, despite the revenue growth, the company remains unprofitable with negative net income and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin is stable at 100%, as all revenue translates to gross profit, an indication of low variable costs.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate strength with positive stockholders' equity and a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating relatively low leverage. However, the declining equity ratio over the years suggests increasing liabilities relative to assets. The company maintains a solid cash position, although total assets have been decreasing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow has been negative, indicating cash outflows from core operations, which is concerning. However, the company has managed free cash flow relatively well, with improvements in free cash flow growth in the recent year. The reliance on financing activities in earlier years has decreased, suggesting a move towards more self-sustained cash operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
30.41M41.09M36.08M15.76M0.000.00
Gross Profit
30.34M40.96M35.96M15.64M-72.00K-45.00K
EBIT
-14.35M-8.27M-14.52M-62.08M-37.79M-29.55M
EBITDA
-13.70M-7.57M-12.14M-61.26M-37.91M-28.67M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.99M-8.07M-13.34M-107.71M-38.98M-29.77M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
14.50M22.57M40.87M71.02M80.71M82.16M
Total Assets
16.73M25.60M50.53M78.42M85.41M85.43M
Total Debt
295.00K384.00K824.00K10.19M9.98M8.28M
Net Debt
-14.21M-17.70M-22.39M-48.92M-38.58M-15.71M
Total Liabilities
6.15M6.54M27.96M46.48M18.90M15.57M
Stockholders Equity
10.58M19.06M22.57M31.94M66.50M69.85M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-18.46M-19.11M-21.83M-9.01M-32.14M-24.83M
Operating Cash Flow
-18.39M-19.03M-21.78M-8.73M-32.08M-24.62M
Investing Cash Flow
21.14M13.81M-4.76M18.68M27.41M-18.59M
Financing Cash Flow
255.00K164.00K-9.23M-1.22M31.06M53.95M

Equillium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.39
Price Trends
50DMA
0.42
Negative
100DMA
0.58
Negative
200DMA
0.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
49.22
Neutral
STOCH
57.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.38, below the 50-day MA of 0.42, and below the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EQ.

Equillium Risk Analysis

Equillium disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equillium reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equillium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.40-45.06%3.28%16.75%-0.02%
47
Neutral
$21.02M-358.06%95.52%
EQEQ
42
Neutral
$12.52M-88.32%-19.76%-13.20%
37
Underperform
$10.23M354.78%64.19%
35
Underperform
$13.34M-58.78%-126.54%
31
Underperform
$17.31M-202.81%64.01%
UBUBX
31
Underperform
$13.94M-231.27%35.08%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQ
Equillium
0.39
-0.39
-50.00%
LPTX
Leap Therapeutics
0.42
-1.78
-80.91%
EDSA
Edesa Biotech
1.86
-2.51
-57.44%
UBX
Unity Biotechnology
0.88
-0.63
-41.72%
CLDI
Calidi Biotherapeutics
0.34
-1.86
-84.55%
CING
Cingulate Inc
4.63
-3.68
-44.28%

Equillium Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Equillium Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on Key Proposals
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Equillium, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected three Class I directors, approved a reverse stock split amendment, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor, and approved an amendment to the 2018 Equity Incentive Plan to increase the number of shares authorized for issuance.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQ) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equillium stock, see the EQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.