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Vestas Wind (VWDRY)
OTHER OTC:VWDRY
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Vestas Wind Systems AS (VWDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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VWDRY

Vestas Wind Systems AS

(OTC:VWDRY)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-7.86% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/06/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability turnaround, stronger balance sheet, and positive cash generation), partially offset by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is moderate overall: a high P/E is cushioned by an unusually large dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability Turnaround
Vestas's recent TTM profitability metrics — net margin ~4.4%, EBIT ~6.7%, and ROE near 24% — reflect sustained operational improvement versus prior loss years. These durable margin and return gains indicate better cost control and pricing/mix, supporting reinvestment and long-term earnings resilience.
Negative Factors
Weak Free-Cash Conversion
FCF declined ~18.9% TTM and converts only ~41% of net income, indicating a meaningful gap between accounting profits and cash. Persistent weak conversion can constrain funding for working capital, capex, service contracts or dividends and raises sensitivity to timing of large projects.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability Turnaround
Vestas's recent TTM profitability metrics — net margin ~4.4%, EBIT ~6.7%, and ROE near 24% — reflect sustained operational improvement versus prior loss years. These durable margin and return gains indicate better cost control and pricing/mix, supporting reinvestment and long-term earnings resilience.
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Vestas Wind Systems AS Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Profit by Segment
Operating Profit by Segment
Chart InsightsVestas Wind Systems' Power Solutions segment shows a volatile recovery, with recent profitability driven by improved onshore project execution and reduced warranty costs. Despite a challenging order intake, especially in the U.S., the segment's positive trajectory aligns with strategic manufacturing ramp-up efforts. The Services segment faces currency headwinds, impacting revenue, yet maintains a strong order backlog. The company's focus on sustainability and operational efficiency underpins its long-term growth outlook, despite current offshore ramp-up costs and safety challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Vestas Wind Systems AS (VWDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vestas Wind Systems AS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vestas Wind Systems A/S is a prominent global company that handles the entire lifecycle of wind turbines, from their conceptualization and manufacturing to their installation and continuous servicing worldwide. The organization's activities are di...
How the Company Makes Money
Vestas primarily makes money through (1) selling wind turbine systems and related project delivery services and (2) providing long-term service and support for wind turbines after installation. Turbine-related revenue comes from contracts with cus...

Vestas Wind Systems AS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely positive operational and financial picture: record revenue, higher EBIT margin, stronger ROCE and EPS, robust order backlogs, improved warranty performance, and strong cash generation and capital returns (dividend and EUR 150m buyback). However, meaningful challenges remain — notably a 16% decline in Service revenue, Service underperformance versus internal targets, Offshore ramp-up costs and associated margin drag, and one-off restructuring charges. Management provided a clear recovery plan for Service and signaled confidence in the Offshore ramp and long-term margins, while updating capital allocation to return more cash. On balance the positive achievements and financial strength outweigh the stated lowlights, but several operational risks persist into 2026.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Improved Profitability
Full year 2025 revenue of EUR 18.8 billion (up 9% YoY) and gross profit at an all-time high of EUR 2.5 billion. EBIT margin before special items improved to 5.7% (up 1.4 percentage points YoY).
Negative Updates
Service Revenue Decline and Underperformance
Service revenue fell 16% YoY for 2025; Service delivered on revised EBIT guidance but outcome fell short of internal performance targets. Q4 Service EBIT impacted by extra costs at specific sites.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue and Improved Profitability
Full year 2025 revenue of EUR 18.8 billion (up 9% YoY) and gross profit at an all-time high of EUR 2.5 billion. EBIT margin before special items improved to 5.7% (up 1.4 percentage points YoY).
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Company Guidance
Vestas guided 2026 revenue of EUR 20–22 billion with an EBIT margin before special items of 6–8% (Service EBIT margin 15.5–17.5%) and total investments around EUR 1.2 billion. The company reiterated a capital‑allocation framework targeting net interest‑bearing debt/EBITDA between -1x and +1x (year‑end 2025: net cash ~EUR 1.2 billion, -0.6x), a commitment to return at least 40% of net profit via dividend and buybacks (proposed dividend DKK 0.74 per share, ≈EUR 100 million, plus an immediate EUR 150 million share buyback). Management pointed to strong cash and working‑capital metrics supporting the outlook: Q4 operating cash flow EUR 1.3 billion, adjusted free cash flow EUR 872 million, net working capital -EUR 3.1 billion (improved EUR 830 million YoY); FY2025 context included revenue EUR 18.8 billion, EBIT margin 5.7%, ROCE 11.8%, order intake 16.3 GW and backlogs (Service EUR 38.7 billion; Power Solutions EUR 33.2 billion).

Vestas Wind Systems AS Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear turnaround: improved profitability and margins (TTM net margin ~4.4%, EBIT margin ~6.7%), strong ROE (~24%), and positive operating/free cash flow (~1.93B/~0.90B). Offsetting this, free cash flow has recently declined (~-18.9% TTM) and cash flow/revenue have been historically volatile, increasing cyclicality risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.32B18.08B17.30B15.38B14.49B15.59B
Gross Profit2.61B2.50B2.06B1.28B118.00M1.56B
EBITDA2.51B2.24B1.76B1.13B-545.00M1.26B
Net Income855.00M778.00M499.00M77.00M-1.57B134.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.71B25.73B24.64B22.51B20.09B19.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.36B4.53B3.94B3.32B2.35B2.51B
Total Debt3.95B3.37B3.27B3.39B2.43B1.44B
Total Liabilities22.79B21.85B21.10B19.47B17.03B14.95B
Stockholders Equity3.92B3.87B3.53B3.03B3.04B4.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow894.96M1.01B1.18B135.00M-1.01B120.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.93B2.21B2.33B1.03B-195.00M996.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.04B-1.14B-1.34B-782.00M-679.00M-939.00M
Financing Cash Flow-122.00M-522.53M-478.00M743.00M846.00M-715.00M

Vestas Wind Systems AS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.31
Price Trends
50DMA
9.69
Negative
100DMA
9.21
Negative
200DMA
8.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
43.99
Neutral
STOCH
60.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VWDRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.09, above the 50-day MA of 9.69, and above the 200-day MA of 8.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VWDRY.

Vestas Wind Systems AS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$98.92B37.0922.02%1.48%0.06%-4.25%
68
Neutral
$16.43B86.297.18%-0.51%-44.42%
65
Neutral
$26.83B27.8523.82%0.31%15.36%64.71%
65
Neutral
$30.49B52.035.80%0.10%6.86%-26.67%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$4.66B181.401.43%12.73%
52
Neutral
$9.96B-360.31-0.81%-1.52%-119.15%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VWDRY
Vestas Wind Systems AS
8.91
3.67
70.07%
GTLS
Chart Industries
207.99
65.41
45.88%
CMI
Cummins
716.86
407.55
131.76%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
279.15
151.81
119.22%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
77.91
-2.40
-2.99%
MIR
Mirion Technologies
18.61
-1.03
-5.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 06, 2026