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Volkswagen (VWAPY)
OTHER OTC:VWAPY

Volkswagen (VWAPY) AI Stock Analysis

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VWAPY

Volkswagen

(OTC:VWAPY)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-12.28% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is held down primarily by weakening fundamentals (margin compression, higher leverage, and sustained negative free cash flow) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by attractive valuation, with a low P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Volkswagen's integrated model combining vehicle sales, after-sales and financial services across multiple brands creates diversified, recurring revenue streams. This reduces reliance on new-vehicle cycles and supports more stable cash flows and customer retention over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Leverage increasing to ~1.60 materially raises interest and refinancing risk for a capital-intensive automaker. Higher debt constrains strategic flexibility for EV investments or restructuring and amplifies exposure to rate and cyclical demand shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Volkswagen's integrated model combining vehicle sales, after-sales and financial services across multiple brands creates diversified, recurring revenue streams. This reduces reliance on new-vehicle cycles and supports more stable cash flows and customer retention over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Volkswagen (VWAPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volkswagen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Volkswagen AG manufactures and sells automobiles primarily in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in four segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Power Engineering, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Volkswagen primarily makes money by selling vehicles and providing vehicle-related services, with revenue concentrated in two main areas: (1) Automotive sales and related services, and (2) Financial services. In its Automotive business, Volkswagen...

Volkswagen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in electric vehicle deliveries and successful new model launches, particularly in Europe, which were overshadowed by significant challenges posed by U.S. import tariffs, a decline in operating results, and sales declines in North America and China. The company's efforts in cost management and restructuring are yielding positive results, but the financial impacts of tariffs and strategic adjustments continue to weigh heavily.
Positive Updates
Record BEV Growth
Deliveries of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) recorded strong growth, reaching 465,000 units, representing 11% of group deliveries and an increase of 47% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Import Tariffs
The changed import tariffs in the U.S. resulted in expenses of around EUR 1.3 billion in the first half of the year, with potential costs of several billion if tariffs remain.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Record BEV Growth
Deliveries of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) recorded strong growth, reaching 465,000 units, representing 11% of group deliveries and an increase of 47% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Volkswagen AG Investor/Analyst and Media Call for the first half of 2025, key financial metrics and strategic updates were shared. Sales revenue remained stable at EUR 158 billion, while the operating result declined by about 33% to EUR 6.7 billion, resulting in an operating return on sales of 4.2%. The decline was attributed to increased U.S. import tariffs, which had a financial impact of around EUR 1.3 billion, and restructuring costs. The company reported a 1% increase in vehicle deliveries to 4.4 million units, with battery electric vehicle deliveries growing by 47% to 465,000 units, accounting for 11% of total deliveries. Volkswagen maintained its market leadership in Europe with a 28% share in the electric vehicle segment. The automotive net cash flow was reported at minus EUR 1.4 billion, influenced by restructuring expenses and investments. The company adjusted its full-year forecast, anticipating a stable revenue level and an operating return on sales between 4% and 5%, considering ongoing tariff challenges.

Volkswagen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality has weakened: revenue declined (~5.1% in 2025), profitability compressed (net margin down to ~2.3% and EBIT margin ~5.3%), leverage increased (debt-to-equity up to ~1.60), and cash generation is a key risk with operating cash flow down sharply and negative free cash flow for 2023–2025.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.21B324.65B322.28B279.05B250.20B
Gross Profit70.06B59.47B60.98B52.18B47.24B
EBITDA46.57B51.60B50.74B50.01B46.69B
Net Income7.03B11.35B16.53B15.46B15.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets665.51B632.90B600.34B564.77B528.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.29B73.45B50.91B70.77B66.88B
Total Debt278.86B196.52B193.97B178.44B183.37B
Total Liabilities476.81B436.17B410.43B386.44B382.45B
Stockholders Equity173.93B182.29B175.69B165.38B144.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.97B-10.29B-6.44B5.83B20.14B
Operating Cash Flow14.42B17.15B19.36B28.50B38.63B
Investing Cash Flow-26.06B-31.57B-19.82B-41.82B-26.13B
Financing Cash Flow11.11B11.14B16.01B4.22B-7.75B

Volkswagen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.97
Price Trends
50DMA
11.13
Negative
100DMA
11.53
Negative
200DMA
11.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Negative
RSI
53.37
Neutral
STOCH
49.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VWAPY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.13, above the 50-day MA of 11.13, and above the 200-day MA of 11.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VWAPY.

Volkswagen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$267.70B8.559.96%2.57%7.28%12.41%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$1.29T432.454.83%-2.93%-47.22%
59
Neutral
$31.47B9.644.09%4.19%0.32%-25.51%
51
Neutral
$69.37B27.725.13%0.69%-1.29%-49.96%
48
Neutral
$53.74B7.334.02%5.92%2.49%-45.85%
48
Neutral
$48.59B-6.38-18.91%5.64%3.75%33.37%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VWAPY
Volkswagen
10.60
1.72
19.43%
F
Ford Motor
12.18
3.14
34.81%
GM
General Motors
76.74
31.46
69.48%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
24.50
-2.55
-9.44%
TSLA
Tesla
343.25
71.05
26.10%
TM
Toyota Motor
215.00
40.86
23.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026