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Volkswagen (OTC) (VWAGY)
OTHER OTC:VWAGY

Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) AI Stock Analysis

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VWAGY

Volkswagen AG

(OTC:VWAGY)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-8.79% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance—especially persistent negative free cash flow, declining margins, and higher leverage—and by bearish technicals with the stock trading below major moving averages. These risks are partially offset by an attractive valuation (low P/E) and high dividend yield, while the earnings call reflected limited-margin guidance and significant headwinds despite some operational bright spots (BEV growth and liquidity).
Positive Factors
BEV Adoption and Order Momentum
Sustained BEV volume and order growth reflects successful product-market fit in electrification. Higher EV penetration improves future revenue mix, supports recurring software/charging monetization, and strengthens Volkswagen’s long-term competitiveness in the industry transition.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow
Three consecutive years of negative free cash flow indicate heavy investment and working-capital strain that outpaces operating cash generation. This reduces financial flexibility, may force additional borrowing or asset disposals, and limits capacity to self-fund electrification and restructuring needs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
BEV Adoption and Order Momentum
Sustained BEV volume and order growth reflects successful product-market fit in electrification. Higher EV penetration improves future revenue mix, supports recurring software/charging monetization, and strengthens Volkswagen’s long-term competitiveness in the industry transition.
Read all positive factors

Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volkswagen AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Volkswagen AG manufactures and sells automobiles primarily in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in four segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Power Engineering, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Volkswagen primarily makes money through (1) sales of vehicles and related products/services and (2) its financial services activities. Automotive/industrial revenues come from selling new vehicles (across its brand portfolio) to wholesale custome...

Volkswagen AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in BEV sales and performance in the European market, but was overshadowed by significant financial challenges, including negative operating results, substantial tariff-related costs, and declining profits. The company faces considerable restructuring and market headwinds, particularly in North America and China.
Positive Updates
Strong BEV Growth
Global BEV share increased to 11%, with electric vehicles accounting for 25% of the total order book. BEV order intake increased by 64% year-on-year.
Negative Updates
Negative Operating Result
The operating result in Q3 was negative at minus EUR 1.3 billion, impacted by EUR 5.3 billion in headwinds including increased U.S. tariffs and goodwill impairment.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong BEV Growth
Global BEV share increased to 11%, with electric vehicles accounting for 25% of the total order book. BEV order intake increased by 64% year-on-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Volkswagen Group's third-quarter 2025 conference call, CFO and COO Arno Antlitz highlighted several key metrics and financial outcomes. The company reported a negative operating result of minus EUR 1.3 billion for Q3, primarily due to EUR 5.3 billion in headwinds, including EUR 4.7 billion from Porsche's product strategy realignment and goodwill impairment, and EUR 800 million from increased U.S. tariffs. Despite these challenges, Volkswagen achieved a 5% operating margin for Q3, translating to a 4.5% margin after nine months when excluding special effects but including tariffs. Global deliveries rose to 6.6 million vehicles, a 1% increase from the previous year, with BEV sales climbing 42% year-to-date. The company maintained a net cash flow of EUR 1.8 billion and a solid net liquidity position of EUR 31 billion by September's end. Looking forward, Volkswagen confirmed an operating return on sales between 2% to 3% for the full year, with a chance to close at the upper end of the range, and expects to maintain a positive automotive net cash flow dependent on Q4 performance and working capital movements.

Volkswagen AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and growth have weakened in 2024–2025, leverage increased materially in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~1.60), and free cash flow has been negative for three straight years (2023–2025). Improving 2025 gross margin is a partial offset but has not translated into stronger bottom-line results.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.21B324.65B322.28B279.05B250.20B
Gross Profit70.06B59.47B60.98B52.18B47.24B
EBITDA46.57B51.60B50.74B50.01B46.69B
Net Income7.03B11.35B16.53B15.46B15.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets665.51B632.90B600.34B564.77B528.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.29B73.45B50.91B70.77B66.88B
Total Debt278.86B196.52B193.97B178.44B183.37B
Total Liabilities476.81B436.17B410.43B386.44B382.45B
Stockholders Equity173.93B182.29B175.69B165.38B144.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.97B-10.29B-6.44B5.83B20.14B
Operating Cash Flow14.42B17.15B19.36B28.50B38.63B
Investing Cash Flow-26.06B-31.57B-19.82B-41.82B-26.13B
Financing Cash Flow11.11B11.14B16.01B4.22B-7.75B

Volkswagen AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.06
Price Trends
50DMA
11.37
Negative
100DMA
11.68
Negative
200DMA
11.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
41.99
Neutral
STOCH
64.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VWAGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.36, above the 50-day MA of 11.37, and above the 200-day MA of 11.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VWAGY.

Volkswagen AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$265.74B8.559.96%2.57%7.28%12.41%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$1.35T432.454.83%-2.93%-47.22%
59
Neutral
$30.94B9.644.09%4.19%0.32%-25.51%
52
Neutral
$51.13B7.394.02%5.81%2.49%-45.85%
51
Neutral
$65.57B27.725.13%0.69%-1.29%-49.96%
48
Neutral
$46.28B-6.38-18.91%5.64%3.75%33.37%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VWAGY
Volkswagen AG
10.33
1.08
11.72%
F
Ford Motor
11.60
2.81
32.00%
GM
General Motors
72.54
29.45
68.34%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
24.15
-0.67
-2.71%
TSLA
Tesla
360.59
127.30
54.57%
TM
Toyota Motor
207.01
46.67
29.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026