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Volkswagen (OTC) (VWAGY)
OTHER OTC:VWAGY
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Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) AI Stock Analysis

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VWAGY

Volkswagen AG

(OTC:VWAGY)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-4.64% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance—contracting revenue, compressed margins, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow. Offsetting this, valuation is supportive (low P/E and solid dividend yield) and technicals show moderately positive momentum, though near-term indicators look somewhat extended.
Positive Factors
Diversified global brand portfolio
Volkswagen’s multi-brand, multinational portfolio spanning passenger cars, commercial vehicles, trucks, motorcycles, parts and financial services provides durable diversification. Scale across brands supports R&D, platform sharing, aftermarket revenue and captive finance income, reducing single-market risk and sustaining long-term cash generation capacity.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue
A large TTM revenue decline (-21.3%) indicates persistent demand or mix pressures. Sustained top-line contraction undermines scale economies, reduces dealer and service throughput, and limits internally generated funds for capex and EV transition, forcing greater reliance on asset sales, partnerships, or increased leverage for investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified global brand portfolio
Volkswagen’s multi-brand, multinational portfolio spanning passenger cars, commercial vehicles, trucks, motorcycles, parts and financial services provides durable diversification. Scale across brands supports R&D, platform sharing, aftermarket revenue and captive finance income, reducing single-market risk and sustaining long-term cash generation capacity.
Read all positive factors

Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volkswagen AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Volkswagen AG, established in Wolfsburg, Germany, in 1937, operates as a subsidiary of Porsche Automobil Holding SE. This global automotive group is primarily engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of vehicles across key regions including E...
How the Company Makes Money
Volkswagen primarily makes money through (1) sales of vehicles and related products/services and (2) its financial services activities. Automotive/industrial revenues come from selling new vehicles (across its brand portfolio) to wholesale custome...

Volkswagen AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced. The call highlighted strong operational progress — rapid BEV growth, product launches, material cost and workforce reductions, improved net cash flow and strategic industrial milestones (gigafactory, JV progress) — which underpin medium‑ and long‑term ambitions. However, significant near‑term profitability pressures remain from large special items (notably Porsche impairments), U.S. tariffs, losses from technology ramp‑ups (PowerCo, CARIAD), and regional challenges (China and North America). The company presented credible mitigation actions and an achievable roadmap, but 2025 results and 2026 guidance reflect meaningful short‑term headwinds that keep the overall tone cautious.
Positive Updates
Stable Overall Deliveries
Delivered nearly 9 million vehicles worldwide in 2025, broadly in line with prior year, demonstrating volume resilience in a challenging market.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Reported Profitability
Reported operating profit fell ~53% to EUR 8.9 billion in 2025 (reported operating margin 2.8%), reflecting major headwinds and one‑offs.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Stable Overall Deliveries
Delivered nearly 9 million vehicles worldwide in 2025, broadly in line with prior year, demonstrating volume resilience in a challenging market.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Volkswagen guided 2026 sales revenue to be broadly flat to up 3%, with an operating return on sales of 4.0%–5.5%, an automotive investment ratio of 11%–12% (with CapEx/R&D discipline and absolute automotive CapEx expected below 2025), automotive net cash flow of EUR 3–6 billion and year‑end automotive net liquidity of about EUR 32–34 billion (guidance is based on the current tariff situation and broadly stable passenger‑car demand); management reiterated a dividend policy of at least 30% (proposal for FY2025: EUR 5.26 preferred / EUR 5.20 ordinary), noted FY2025 actual automotive net cash flow of EUR 6.4 billion and net liquidity of EUR 34.5 billion, and set its 2030 ambition at an 8%–10% operating return on sales, >60% cash conversion in the automotive division and a long‑run automotive investment ratio target around 9%.

Volkswagen AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured: revenue is down (TTM -21.3%) and margins have compressed (TTM net margin ~2.1%, operating margin ~3.4%). Leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.66 TTM) and free cash flow is persistently negative (TTM about -$7.3B) despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue308.55B309.21B324.65B322.28B279.05B250.20B
Gross Profit70.10B70.06B59.47B60.98B52.18B47.24B
EBITDA48.37B46.57B51.60B50.74B50.01B46.69B
Net Income6.49B7.03B11.35B16.53B15.46B15.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets666.78B665.51B632.90B600.34B564.77B528.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.51B68.29B73.45B50.91B70.77B66.88B
Total Debt291.86B278.86B196.52B193.97B178.44B183.37B
Total Liabilities475.57B476.81B436.17B410.43B386.44B382.45B
Stockholders Equity176.35B173.93B182.29B175.69B165.38B144.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.26B-8.97B-10.29B-6.44B5.83B20.14B
Operating Cash Flow17.06B14.42B17.15B19.36B28.50B38.63B
Investing Cash Flow-27.96B-26.06B-31.57B-19.82B-41.82B-26.13B
Financing Cash Flow22.30B11.11B11.14B16.01B4.22B-7.75B

Volkswagen AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.06
Price Trends
50DMA
10.56
Negative
100DMA
10.92
Negative
200DMA
11.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
42.23
Neutral
STOCH
71.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VWAGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.53, above the 50-day MA of 10.56, and above the 200-day MA of 11.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VWAGY.

Volkswagen AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$210.40B9.4510.10%2.57%6.73%-16.97%
62
Neutral
$1.52T330.734.79%2.25%-39.81%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$74.40B28.813.96%0.69%-2.03%-63.41%
56
Neutral
$52.00B6.563.77%5.81%5.72%-28.86%
55
Neutral
$57.42B-9.13-14.72%5.64%3.82%-209.77%
55
Neutral
$34.95B-3.53%4.19%1.63%-154.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VWAGY
Volkswagen AG
10.16
-0.11
-1.05%
F
Ford Motor
13.96
4.02
40.46%
GM
General Motors
79.58
31.93
67.00%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
26.19
-2.85
-9.83%
TSLA
Tesla
396.38
74.33
23.08%
TM
Toyota Motor
172.77
-2.82
-1.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026