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V2X (VVX)
NYSE:VVX
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V2X (VVX) AI Stock Analysis

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VVX

V2X

(NYSE:VVX)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(12.13% Upside)
V2X's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest potential overvaluation, and the recent stock offering raises governance concerns.
Positive Factors
Contract Wins
V2X’s recent contract takeaway is a sign of its ability to win in its core logistics and O&M work.
Financial Performance
The increase in the price objective to $65 reflects the strength of current execution and new wins.
Strategic Advantage
V2X's strategy to provide full-lifecycle support to increasingly complex military operations has a strong competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Contracting Risk
A shift to fixed-price contracting structures may present V2X with margin expansion opportunities, but also elevates risk.
Earnings Limitations
Significant earnings upside for V2X is capped by US foreign policy.
Growth Challenges
V2X's exposure to supporting the US Army and some sunsetting programs puts pressure on near term growth.

V2X (VVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

V2X Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionV2X (VVX) is a technology-driven company specializing in providing advanced vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication solutions that enhance transportation safety, efficiency, and sustainability. Operating primarily in the automotive and transportation sectors, V2X facilitates seamless communication between vehicles, infrastructure, and other road users through its cutting-edge software and hardware products. The company's core offerings include V2X communication hardware, software platforms for data analytics, and integration services that support smart city initiatives and connected vehicle ecosystems.
How the Company Makes MoneyV2X generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its V2X communication hardware and software solutions to automotive manufacturers, infrastructure developers, and government agencies. The company also earns income from ongoing service agreements and maintenance contracts associated with its products. Additionally, V2X partners with city governments and transportation agencies to implement smart city projects, receiving funding and grants that contribute to its earnings. Strategic collaborations with major automotive players further enhance its market presence and revenue potential.

V2X Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance, strategic wins, and a robust pipeline, showcasing the company's positive trajectory. However, there are challenges related to geographic revenue decline and program reductions. The sentiment remains positive due to significant highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance and Revenue Growth
Revenue for the second quarter was $1.08 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $82 million, a 7.6% margin. Adjusted EPS increased by 59% year-over-year. The company has also reaffirmed its revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and cash flow guidance for 2025.
Significant Contract Wins and Pipeline
The company secured a $4.3 billion 9-year T-6 award and has a 3-year pipeline valued at over $50 billion. These awards validate the company's strategy and customer engagement.
Improved Capital Structure
The company has established a $100 million share repurchase authorization and aims to maintain a net leverage ratio of 2x to 3x, providing flexibility for capital allocation.
Execution Excellence and Strategic Growth
The company is making progress with strategic growth initiatives, such as the T-6 program and growing presence in the U.S. Space Force at Ascension Island, and foreign military sales like the Iraq F-16 program.
Negative Updates
Decline in Asia Pacific Revenue
Revenues in the Asia Pacific sector declined by over 9%, attributed to delays in contracting and exercises.
Sunsetting and Reduction of Programs
The company experienced expected declines in programs like KC-10 and reductions in task orders in the Middle East.
Company Guidance
During the V2X Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a revenue of $1.08 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $82 million, reflecting a 7.6% margin. The adjusted net income was $42 million, leading to an adjusted EPS of $1.33, a 59% increase year-over-year. The company reaffirmed its guidance for 2025, maintaining its revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and cash flow projections, while increasing its adjusted EPS guidance. The total backlog was reported at $11.3 billion, although it does not yet include the recently awarded $4.3 billion T-6 contract. V2X also announced a $100 million share repurchase authorization as part of its capital allocation strategy. The company's pipeline is valued at over $50 billion, with a focus on fixed price or outcome-based contracts, aiming to leverage V2X's operational excellence and platform modernization capabilities.

V2X Financial Statement Overview

Summary
V2X shows strong revenue growth and effective cash management, with a significant reduction in leverage. However, the net income volatility could pose risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The income statement shows a strong revenue base with consistent growth, evidenced by the increase in total revenue from $1.8 billion in 2021 to $4.3 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin and net profit margin have shown positive trends, with gross profit margin at 8.1% and net profit margin improving to 0.96% in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also indicate healthy operating efficiency. However, the net income has been volatile, which poses some risks.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with stockholders' equity reaching $1.0 billion in TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio appears manageable, improving significantly from 3.80 in 2022 to 0.05 in TTM. Return on equity has improved but remains modest at 4.02%. The equity ratio of 33.37% suggests a balanced capital structure. The company's reduction in total debt is a positive sign for future stability.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates robust cash generation, with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income, resulting in a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow has also shown positive growth, with a significant increase from $59 million in 2020 to $224 million in TTM. This suggests effective operational cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.33B4.32B3.96B2.89B1.78B1.40B
Gross Profit372.69M342.96M334.86M295.01M160.42M124.15M
EBITDA244.66M268.58M237.25M118.05M62.02M43.48M
Net Income70.58M34.68M-22.57M-14.33M45.73M36.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.15B3.23B3.08B3.23B889.46M843.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments190.46M268.32M72.65M116.07M38.51M66.95M
Total Debt44.89M1.15B1.16B1.33B151.16M197.57M
Total Liabilities2.08B2.20B2.09B2.24B539.37M538.87M
Stockholders Equity1.07B1.03B990.80M997.08M350.09M304.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow160.48M242.45M162.95M81.07M51.56M59.58M
Operating Cash Flow149.77M254.24M187.97M93.50M61.34M64.08M
Investing Cash Flow-8.73M-28.65M-22.65M175.96M-12.64M-138.03M
Financing Cash Flow-66.64M-24.50M-211.02M-193.24M-75.58M105.77M

V2X Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.86
Price Trends
50DMA
50.24
Positive
100DMA
49.08
Positive
200DMA
50.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.86
Negative
RSI
62.31
Neutral
STOCH
53.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VVX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.34, above the 50-day MA of 50.24, and above the 200-day MA of 50.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VVX.

V2X Risk Analysis

V2X disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. V2X reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

V2X Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.65B214.691.02%19.91%-73.61%
73
Outperform
$1.33B35.155.86%2.42%72.72%
69
Neutral
$1.89B25.666.86%5.07%
63
Neutral
€14.58B18.912.51%3.36%4.11%15.58%
61
Neutral
$1.20B31.8612.06%1.20%7.66%-9.96%
51
Neutral
$4.68B81.63%-2.60%-94.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VVX
V2X
58.86
2.22
3.92%
AIR
AAR
75.82
11.29
17.50%
DCO
Ducommun
92.84
28.49
44.27%
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
40.94
6.10
17.51%
CDRE
Cadre Holdings
31.06
-4.13
-11.74%

V2X Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
V2X Announces Board Changes After Vertex Share Sale
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

V2X, Inc. announced changes to its Board of Directors following the sale of shares by Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC. On August 13, 2025, Jordan F. Ransom and Lee E. Evangelakos resigned from their positions on the Board, effective August 14, 2025, as part of the Shareholders Agreement with Vertex Aerospace. Their resignations were not due to any disagreements with the company. Consequently, the Board reduced its size from 11 to 10 members. David E. Farnsworth was appointed to fill Ms. Evangelakos’s position as a Class I Director and join the Audit and Nominating and Governance Committees. Farnsworth, with extensive experience in the aerospace and defense industry, was previously a non-voting advisor to the Board.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
V2X Reduces Shareholder Influence After Stock Offering
Negative
Aug 11, 2025

On August 8, 2025, V2X, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC and RBC Capital Markets, LLC for a public offering of 2,000,000 shares of common stock. The offering closed on August 11, 2025, and the company repurchased 200,000 shares but did not sell any securities or receive proceeds from the sale. Following the offering, the Selling Shareholder’s influence on the company’s board and corporate actions was significantly reduced, including the resignation of two directors and limitations on designating directors and consent rights over certain corporate actions.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
V2X Completes Public Offering of Common Stock
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, V2X, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC and RBC Capital Markets, LLC for a public offering of 2,000,000 shares of common stock by the Selling Shareholder, with an option for an additional 300,000 shares. The offering, which closed on May 19, 2025, was made under the company’s shelf registration statement and the company will not receive any proceeds from the sale.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025