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V2x, Inc. (VVX)
NYSE:VVX
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V2X (VVX) AI Stock Analysis

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VVX

V2X

(NYSE:VVX)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(12.44% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial recovery and strong earnings-call momentum (raised guidance, record bookings/backlog, and high revenue visibility). Offsetting factors are thin underlying margins, meaningful leverage with recently weaker cash generation, and a valuation (P/E 28.76) that leaves less room for execution missteps.
Positive Factors
Revenue & profit recovery
V2X has moved from losses in 2022–2023 to sustained positive earnings in 2024–TTM, with recent quarter showing +23% revenue and double-digit EPS improvement. This demonstrates operational scale and demand durability from government customers, supporting multi-quarter cash flow and earnings stability if execution continues.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin margins
Low absolute margins leave limited buffer for cost overruns, subcontractor or labor inflation, and startup costs on new task orders. With EBITDA margins under 7% and net margins below 2%, profitability is sensitive to mix and execution, increasing the risk that adverse contract dynamics materially dent earnings.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & profit recovery
V2X has moved from losses in 2022–2023 to sustained positive earnings in 2024–TTM, with recent quarter showing +23% revenue and double-digit EPS improvement. This demonstrates operational scale and demand durability from government customers, supporting multi-quarter cash flow and earnings stability if execution continues.
Read all positive factors

V2X Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Remaining Performance Obligations
Remaining Performance Obligations
Value of contracted customer work the company has committed to deliver but has not yet recognized as revenue. A larger RPO provides visibility into future top-line growth and suggests stronger demand, while declines, high cancellation exposure, or a large portion subject to change indicate revenue at risk. Comparing RPO to current revenue and cash flow helps judge how much growth is already locked in versus dependent on future execution or contract renewals.
Chart InsightsA pronounced step-up in RPO beginning in late 2022 lifted V2X’s backlog to a materially higher baseline, signaling large multi‑period contract wins or structural change (e.g., deals/M&A) that improved revenue visibility. Since then the backlog oscillates quarter‑to‑quarter, which implies growth comes from lumpy, timing‑sensitive awards and renewals rather than steady organic expansion. For investors, the higher RPO is a positive lead indicator if conversion rates hold, but near‑term upside depends on execution and concentration/seasonality risks—monitor conversion metrics and large customer exposure closely.
Data provided by:The Fly

V2X (VVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

V2X Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
V2X, Inc. is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado....
How the Company Makes Money
V2X makes money primarily by performing work under U.S. government contracts and task orders, earning revenue as it delivers contracted services and meets performance requirements. Its key revenue stream is services revenue generated from providin...

V2X Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strongly positive operational and financial picture: double-digit revenue growth (+23%), substantial increases in adjusted net income (+53%), adjusted EBITDA (+28%), and adjusted EPS (+55%), record bookings ($4.1B) and backlog ($13.8B), and raised full-year guidance. Management also emphasized liquidity strength, AI/innovation progress, and high revenue visibility (~94% for 2026). Offsetting items include a Q1 cash outflow (−$22.1M), higher SG&A partly driven by one-time professional fees (~$12M), modest absolute EBITDA margin (6.8%), and some reliance on discrete national security and T-6 awards that introduce concentration and timing risks. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 23% year over year to $1.254 billion in Q1 2026, a record organic growth rate for the company and a strong start to the fiscal year.
Negative Updates
Negative Operating Cash Flow in the Quarter
Adjusted operating cash flow was a $22.1 million use in Q1, indicating a negative quarterly cash flow outflow despite guidance for improved cash performance over the year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 23% year over year to $1.254 billion in Q1 2026, a record organic growth rate for the company and a strong start to the fiscal year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 guidance, now targeting revenue of $4.825–$4.975 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $345–$360 million, adjusted diluted EPS of $5.75–$6.15, and adjusted net cash from operations of $160–$180 million (midpoint implying ~9% YoY growth for revenue and adjusted EBITDA and ~14% YoY for adjusted diluted EPS); the raise is supported by strong Q1 results—revenue $1.254 billion (+23% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $85.6 million (6.8% margin, +28% YoY), adjusted net income $48.1 million (+53% YoY) and adjusted diluted EPS $1.53 (+55% YoY)—and by robust bookings of ~$4.1 billion (including a $3.3 billion T‑6 award), record backlog of $13.8 billion (up from $11.1 billion), a quarterly book‑to‑bill of 3.2x (TTM 1.5x), ~$200 million cash, a $500 million undrawn revolver, and a plan to drive net leverage to <2x by year‑end.

V2X Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has grown strongly since 2021 and profitability has rebounded from 2022–2023 losses to positive earnings in 2024–TTM. However, structurally thin margins (TTM gross margin ~8.5%, net margin ~1.9%), meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity just under 1.0), and recently weaker operating/free cash flow versus the latest annual period constrain the score.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.72B4.48B4.32B3.96B2.89B1.78B
Gross Profit401.10M373.38M342.96M334.86M295.01M160.42M
EBITDA307.95M298.37M262.88M212.20M118.40M78.57M
Net Income88.70M77.88M34.68M-22.57M-14.33M45.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.19B3.39B3.23B3.08B3.23B889.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments208.67M368.99M268.32M72.65M116.07M38.51M
Total Debt1.08B1.17B1.15B1.16B1.33B151.16M
Total Liabilities2.09B2.30B2.20B2.09B2.24B539.37M
Stockholders Equity1.10B1.08B1.03B990.80M997.08M350.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.03M170.07M242.45M162.95M81.07M51.56M
Operating Cash Flow147.55M181.99M254.24M187.97M93.50M61.34M
Investing Cash Flow-29.27M-29.58M-28.65M-22.65M175.96M-12.64M
Financing Cash Flow-76.11M-51.48M-24.50M-211.02M-193.24M-75.58M

V2X Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.70
Price Trends
50DMA
68.82
Positive
100DMA
67.59
Positive
200DMA
62.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.93
Negative
RSI
55.41
Neutral
STOCH
43.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VVX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.42, below the 50-day MA of 68.82, and above the 200-day MA of 62.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VVX.

V2X Risk Analysis

V2X disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. V2X reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

V2X Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$3.04B26.1326.60%8.64%
64
Neutral
$2.24B28.768.19%9.03%113.63%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$1.25B165.2811.11%0.90%13.54%-5.10%
61
Neutral
$2.16B48.18-4.86%6.48%-191.94%
57
Neutral
$7.31B-18.2726.62%53.99%58.32%
52
Neutral
$2.37B-7.76-25.84%12.59%-27.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VVX
V2X
71.69
24.61
52.27%
ATRO
Astronics
84.99
54.40
177.84%
DCO
Ducommun
143.20
75.07
110.19%
CDRE
Cadre Holdings
29.12
-3.95
-11.96%
LUNR
Intuitive Machines
33.67
22.44
199.82%
VOYG
Voyager Technologies, Inc. Class A
39.93
-9.57
-19.33%

V2X Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
V2X Announces Board Changes and Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 7, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 7, 2026, V2X, Inc. ended the term of Class III director Steven L. Waechter, 76, in line with its corporate governance rule that directors be 75 or younger at the time of nomination, noting his...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026