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V2X (VVX)
NYSE:VVX

V2X (VVX) AI Stock Analysis

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VVX

V2X

(NYSE:VVX)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
▼(-4.38% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—especially strong cash flow generation and sharply improved leverage—supported by a positive earnings call with raised guidance and strong demand indicators. Technicals are favorable with positive momentum, while valuation is the main constraint due to a P/E of 23.32 and no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow growth
Sustained 28.6% TTM FCF growth indicates durable cash generation capacity that supports debt reduction, organic investment, and opportunistic share repurchases. Reliable FCF underpins strategic flexibility and resilience to timing shocks in contract collections over the next 2–6 months.
Material deleveraging and stronger balance sheet
A drop to 0.04 D/E from >1 materially lowers financial risk and interest burden, increasing capacity for multi-year contract fulfillment and strategic investment. Improved leverage gives management durable financial flexibility to fund growth or weather procurement payment lags.
Large backlog and multi‑year contracts
An $11.6B backlog plus a 1.2x book-to-bill and multi‑year IDIQ awards provide durable revenue visibility and capacity utilization. Multi‑year contracts smooth revenue recognition and support stable engineering and production planning across the next several years.
Negative Factors
Low profitability margins
Persistently low gross and net margins constrain reinvestment and free cash conversion relative to peers. Even with improving trends, sub‑10% gross margins limit competitive pricing flexibility and require sustained operational improvements to drive durable margin expansion.
Contract protest risk (T‑6 award)
The T‑6 award being under protest creates material uncertainty in backlog and revenue timing. Protest outcomes can delay or void multi‑hundred‑million dollar awards, disrupting production planning, cash flow forecasts, and long‑term capacity commitments.
Government procurement timing exposure
Reliance on government customers leaves cash collections exposed to funding interruptions and shutdowns. Recurring timing variability can pressure working capital and force cautious cash guidance, limiting the company's ability to commit to investments or accelerate hiring during disruption periods.

V2X (VVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

V2X Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionV2X, Inc. is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyV2X generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its V2X communication hardware and software solutions to municipalities and transportation agencies. Additionally, the company earns income from licensing its technology to automotive manufacturers and providing ongoing support and maintenance services. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and government entities amplify its market reach and provide opportunities for joint ventures, further enhancing its revenue potential. Furthermore, V2X engages in consulting services to assist cities in implementing smart mobility solutions, contributing to its overall earnings.

V2X Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong revenue and EPS growth, solid demand reflected in a strong book-to-bill ratio, and major contract wins. However, concerns about the government shutdown's impact on cash flow timing and the protest on the T-6 award were highlighted as potential challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and EPS Growth
Revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, with adjusted EPS reaching $1.37. Adjusted EBITDA was $85 million, achieving a 7.3% margin.
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
Achieved a 1.2x book-to-bill ratio, indicating strong demand and successful execution of strategic initiatives.
Major Contract Wins
Secured two major contracts, including the T-6 and F-16 Iraq program, each worth over $1 billion. The cumulative value of strategic awards in the last 18 months exceeded $9 billion.
Increased Financial Guidance
Increased the midpoint of 2025 guidance for revenue to $4.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA to $316 million, and adjusted EPS to $4.95.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Risks
Potential timing delays in collections due to the government shutdown, leading to a proactive lowering of the midpoint of cash flow guidance.
Protest on T-6 Award
The previously announced T-6 award is under protest, potentially affecting backlog and future revenue recognition.
Company Guidance
During the V2X Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance based on strong performance indicators. V2X reported a record revenue increase of 8% year-over-year to $1.17 billion and an adjusted EPS of $1.37. The adjusted EBITDA was $85 million, reflecting a 7.3% margin. The company also highlighted a solid 1.2x book-to-bill ratio, indicating strong demand. Despite the ongoing government shutdown, V2X proactively adjusted its cash flow guidance, lowering the midpoint to account for potential temporary delays in collections, which are considered only timing-related and not reflective of any business fundamentals change. The company's backlog at the end of the third quarter was approximately $11.6 billion, although it did not include the $4 billion T-6 award due to its current protest status. Looking forward, V2X increased the midpoint of its 2025 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS ranges to $4.5 billion, $316 million, and $4.95, respectively, showcasing confidence in continued growth driven by strategic execution and strong market demand.

V2X Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are solid: revenue growth is positive, profitability is improving (TTM net margin 1.63%) and leverage has been materially reduced (debt-to-equity 0.04). Cash generation is a standout with strong TTM free cash flow growth (28.58%) and FCF-to-net income of 1.07, though margins remain low versus typical industry levels.
Income Statement
75
Positive
V2X has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.97% and a strong recovery from previous years. The gross profit margin is stable at 8.6%, and the net profit margin has improved to 1.63% in the TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, margins remain relatively low compared to industry standards, suggesting room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.04 in the TTM from over 1 in prior years, reflecting a substantial reduction in leverage. Return on equity has increased to 6.84%, indicating better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio remains moderate at around 34%, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
V2X's cash flow performance is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth of 28.58% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.17, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.07, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. This solid cash flow position supports the company's financial stability and potential for reinvestment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.42B4.32B3.96B2.89B1.78B1.40B
Gross Profit375.76M342.96M334.86M295.01M160.42M124.15M
EBITDA294.86M262.88M212.20M118.40M78.57M51.60M
Net Income80.14M34.68M-22.57M-14.33M45.73M36.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.18B3.23B3.08B3.23B889.46M843.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments179.32M268.32M72.65M116.07M38.51M66.95M
Total Debt1.14B1.15B1.16B1.33B151.16M197.57M
Total Liabilities2.10B2.20B2.09B2.24B539.37M538.87M
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.03B990.80M997.08M350.09M304.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow184.90M242.45M162.95M81.07M51.56M59.58M
Operating Cash Flow195.65M254.24M187.97M93.50M61.34M64.08M
Investing Cash Flow-35.90M-28.65M-22.65M175.96M-12.64M-138.03M
Financing Cash Flow-31.64M-24.50M-211.02M-193.24M-75.58M105.77M

V2X Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price67.98
Price Trends
50DMA
56.61
Positive
100DMA
56.97
Positive
200DMA
53.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.09
Negative
RSI
79.18
Negative
STOCH
97.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VVX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.24, above the 50-day MA of 56.61, and above the 200-day MA of 53.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VVX.

V2X Risk Analysis

V2X disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. V2X reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

V2X Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.77B39.3714.17%0.90%19.94%33.38%
71
Outperform
$2.14B26.977.70%5.10%774.57%
65
Neutral
$2.65B-550.55-1.72%6.19%52.10%
65
Neutral
$1.71B-48.89-5.27%3.16%-213.56%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$2.11B
57
Neutral
$3.89B-11.568.07%33.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VVX
V2X
67.98
12.82
23.24%
ATRO
Astronics
74.71
57.36
330.61%
DCO
Ducommun
114.24
44.34
63.43%
CDRE
Cadre Holdings
43.61
5.10
13.24%
LUNR
Intuitive Machines
21.58
-1.36
-5.93%
VOYG
Voyager Technologies, Inc. Class A
35.38
-14.12
-28.53%

V2X Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
V2X expands board with experienced defense industry leaders
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 7, 2026, V2X, Inc.’s board of directors expanded its size from seven to ten members and appointed Nicole B. Theophilus, Gerard A. Fasano, and Ross S. Niebergall as Class I, II, and III directors, respectively, assigning them to key committees including Compensation and Human Capital, Audit, and Nominating and Governance. The new directors bring substantial executive and technical experience from major industrial, technology, and defense companies such as Wabtec, Leidos, Lockheed Martin, L3Harris, and Raytheon, and will participate in V2X’s standard non-employee director compensation program, a move that strengthens the company’s governance structure and signals an emphasis on growth, human capital, and defense-focused innovation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
V2X Board Changes and Shareholder Agreement Termination
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

V2X, Inc. announced the resignations of Dino M. Cusumano and Joel M. Rotroff from its Board of Directors on November 13, 2025, following the sale of shares by Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC. This move reduced the board size from nine to seven members. The resignations were not due to any disagreements with the company. Concurrently, V2X entered into an underwriting agreement with RBC Capital Markets for a public offering of 2.25 million shares, which closed on the same day. The company repurchased some shares but did not sell any securities or receive proceeds from the sale. The sale led to the automatic termination of the Shareholders Agreement, ending the Selling Shareholder’s rights to nominate board members.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
V2X Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

V2X, Inc. has announced the appointment of Mr. Daniel G. Demases as its new Chief Accounting Officer, effective December 5, 2025, replacing Mr. William B. Noon. Mr. Demases will receive a base salary of $335,500 and be eligible for various incentive awards, aligning his compensation with company and individual performance, which may impact the company’s financial management and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026