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V2X (VVX)
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V2X (VVX) AI Stock Analysis

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VVX

V2X

(NYSE:VVX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
▲(18.51% Upside)
V2X's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the primary drivers of its stock score. The technical indicators support a positive trend, though the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The absence of a dividend yield and concerns about government-related risks slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong demand for V2X's solutions, supporting sustained growth and market expansion.
Contract Wins
Major contract wins validate V2X's strategic direction and enhance its long-term revenue visibility and customer relationships.
Cash Flow Strength
Strong cash flow growth supports reinvestment in the business, enhancing financial stability and strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Lower margins compared to peers suggest challenges in cost management, potentially impacting profitability and competitiveness.
Geographic Revenue Decline
Declining revenue in key regions could signal market challenges, affecting overall growth and diversification strategies.
Program Reductions
Reduction in key programs may lead to revenue volatility and require strategic adjustments to maintain growth momentum.

V2X (VVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

V2X Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionV2X (VVX) is a leading provider of advanced technology solutions focused on enhancing transportation systems and infrastructure through innovative vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communications. Operating primarily in the transportation and smart city sectors, the company develops products and services that facilitate real-time data exchange between vehicles, infrastructure, and the surrounding environment, ultimately improving safety, efficiency, and sustainability in urban mobility. Its core offerings include V2X communication platforms, software solutions for traffic management, and consulting services for urban planning.
How the Company Makes MoneyV2X generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its V2X communication hardware and software solutions to municipalities and transportation agencies. Additionally, the company earns income from licensing its technology to automotive manufacturers and providing ongoing support and maintenance services. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and government entities amplify its market reach and provide opportunities for joint ventures, further enhancing its revenue potential. Furthermore, V2X engages in consulting services to assist cities in implementing smart mobility solutions, contributing to its overall earnings.

V2X Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong revenue and EPS growth, solid demand reflected in a strong book-to-bill ratio, and major contract wins. However, concerns about the government shutdown's impact on cash flow timing and the protest on the T-6 award were highlighted as potential challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and EPS Growth
Revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, with adjusted EPS reaching $1.37. Adjusted EBITDA was $85 million, achieving a 7.3% margin.
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
Achieved a 1.2x book-to-bill ratio, indicating strong demand and successful execution of strategic initiatives.
Major Contract Wins
Secured two major contracts, including the T-6 and F-16 Iraq program, each worth over $1 billion. The cumulative value of strategic awards in the last 18 months exceeded $9 billion.
Increased Financial Guidance
Increased the midpoint of 2025 guidance for revenue to $4.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA to $316 million, and adjusted EPS to $4.95.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Risks
Potential timing delays in collections due to the government shutdown, leading to a proactive lowering of the midpoint of cash flow guidance.
Protest on T-6 Award
The previously announced T-6 award is under protest, potentially affecting backlog and future revenue recognition.
Company Guidance
During the V2X Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance based on strong performance indicators. V2X reported a record revenue increase of 8% year-over-year to $1.17 billion and an adjusted EPS of $1.37. The adjusted EBITDA was $85 million, reflecting a 7.3% margin. The company also highlighted a solid 1.2x book-to-bill ratio, indicating strong demand. Despite the ongoing government shutdown, V2X proactively adjusted its cash flow guidance, lowering the midpoint to account for potential temporary delays in collections, which are considered only timing-related and not reflective of any business fundamentals change. The company's backlog at the end of the third quarter was approximately $11.6 billion, although it did not include the $4 billion T-6 award due to its current protest status. Looking forward, V2X increased the midpoint of its 2025 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS ranges to $4.5 billion, $316 million, and $4.95, respectively, showcasing confidence in continued growth driven by strategic execution and strong market demand.

V2X Financial Statement Overview

Summary
V2X shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability with a significant reduction in leverage, enhancing financial stability. Robust cash flow generation supports operational flexibility, though profit margins could improve to meet industry standards.
Income Statement
75
Positive
V2X has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.97% and a strong recovery from previous years. The gross profit margin is stable at 8.6%, and the net profit margin has improved to 1.63% in the TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, margins remain relatively low compared to industry standards, suggesting room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.04 in the TTM from over 1 in prior years, reflecting a substantial reduction in leverage. Return on equity has increased to 6.84%, indicating better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio remains moderate at around 34%, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
V2X's cash flow performance is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth of 28.58% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.17, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.07, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. This solid cash flow position supports the company's financial stability and potential for reinvestment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.42B4.32B3.96B2.89B1.78B1.40B
Gross Profit375.76M342.96M334.86M295.01M160.42M124.15M
EBITDA294.86M262.88M212.20M118.40M78.57M51.60M
Net Income80.14M34.68M-22.57M-14.33M45.73M36.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.18B3.23B3.08B3.23B889.46M843.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments179.32M268.32M72.65M116.07M38.51M66.95M
Total Debt1.14B1.15B1.16B1.33B151.16M197.57M
Total Liabilities2.10B2.20B2.09B2.24B539.37M538.87M
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.03B990.80M997.08M350.09M304.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow184.90M242.45M162.95M81.07M51.56M59.58M
Operating Cash Flow195.65M254.24M187.97M93.50M61.34M64.08M
Investing Cash Flow-35.90M-28.65M-22.65M175.96M-12.64M-138.03M
Financing Cash Flow-31.64M-24.50M-211.02M-193.24M-75.58M105.77M

V2X Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.85
Price Trends
50DMA
56.68
Negative
100DMA
55.12
Negative
200DMA
51.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Negative
RSI
48.24
Neutral
STOCH
80.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VVX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.90, below the 50-day MA of 56.68, and above the 200-day MA of 51.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VVX.

V2X Risk Analysis

V2X disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. V2X reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

V2X Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.74B38.5314.17%0.88%19.94%33.38%
73
Outperform
$1.73B21.767.70%5.10%774.57%
68
Neutral
$1.95B-1.72%6.19%52.10%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$1.37B-5.27%3.16%-213.56%
48
Neutral
$1.34B
44
Neutral
$1.71B8.07%33.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VVX
V2X
54.85
-4.74
-7.95%
ATRO
Astronics
54.57
38.00
229.33%
DCO
Ducommun
91.69
25.45
38.42%
CDRE
Cadre Holdings
42.68
8.85
26.16%
LUNR
Intuitive Machines
9.50
-5.06
-34.75%
VOYG
Voyager Technologies, Inc. Class A
22.48
-27.02
-54.59%

V2X Corporate Events

V2X, Inc. Reports Record Q3 Revenue and Growth
Nov 4, 2025

V2X, Inc. is a company that integrates physical and digital environments to enhance mission readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security across national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. In its latest earnings report, V2X announced record revenue of $1.17 billion for the third quarter of 2025, marking an 8% increase year-over-year. The company also reported a net income of $24.6 million and an adjusted net income of $43.7 million, reflecting a 6% increase from the previous year.

Executive/Board Changes
V2X Announces Board Changes After Vertex Share Sale
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

V2X, Inc. announced changes to its Board of Directors following the sale of shares by Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC. On August 13, 2025, Jordan F. Ransom and Lee E. Evangelakos resigned from their positions on the Board, effective August 14, 2025, as part of the Shareholders Agreement with Vertex Aerospace. Their resignations were not due to any disagreements with the company. Consequently, the Board reduced its size from 11 to 10 members. David E. Farnsworth was appointed to fill Ms. Evangelakos’s position as a Class I Director and join the Audit and Nominating and Governance Committees. Farnsworth, with extensive experience in the aerospace and defense industry, was previously a non-voting advisor to the Board.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
V2X Reduces Shareholder Influence After Stock Offering
Negative
Aug 11, 2025

On August 8, 2025, V2X, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC and RBC Capital Markets, LLC for a public offering of 2,000,000 shares of common stock. The offering closed on August 11, 2025, and the company repurchased 200,000 shares but did not sell any securities or receive proceeds from the sale. Following the offering, the Selling Shareholder’s influence on the company’s board and corporate actions was significantly reduced, including the resignation of two directors and limitations on designating directors and consent rights over certain corporate actions.

The most recent analyst rating on (VVX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on V2X stock, see the VVX Stock Forecast page.

V2X, Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Aug 6, 2025

V2X, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong financial performance characterized by significant year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS and strategic contract wins. Despite challenges such as a decline in Asia Pacific revenue and episodic book-to-bill ratios, the company demonstrated confidence through increased EPS guidance and a strategic focus on capital allocation.

V2X, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Results and Raises EPS Guidance
Aug 5, 2025

V2X, Inc. is a company that specializes in integrating physical and digital environments to enhance mission readiness and security, operating primarily in the national security and defense sectors. In its latest earnings report, V2X, Inc. announced strong second-quarter results with a revenue of $1.08 billion and a net income of $22.4 million. The company also reported a significant year-over-year increase in adjusted net income and adjusted diluted EPS, reflecting its robust financial performance. Key highlights include a $4.3 billion T-6 aircraft program award and a $100 million share repurchase authorization, showcasing the company’s strategic initiatives and capital allocation strategy. V2X’s management expressed confidence in the company’s growth prospects, increasing its full-year adjusted EPS guidance and reaffirming its revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges. The company remains focused on leveraging its capabilities to drive growth and create value in the coming years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025