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Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)
NYSE:CDRE
US Market
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Cadre Holdings (CDRE) AI Stock Analysis

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CDRE

Cadre Holdings

(NYSE:CDRE)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(5.36% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
CDRE’s score is primarily supported by solid financial performance (scaling revenue and positive, improving free cash flow) and a constructive earnings outlook (reaffirmed guidance and record backlog). The main offsets are a very stretched valuation (high P/E), increased leverage into TTM, and mixed technicals with the stock still below key longer-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and backlog
Sustained top‑line growth and a record $355M backlog provide durable revenue visibility across 2026, reducing near‑term demand uncertainty. Large, multi‑year awards and recurring replacement cycles in defense, law enforcement and nuclear markets support predictable conversion and scale benefits over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Higher leverage increases financial rigidity and raises refinancing and covenant risk if margins weaken. With net leverage near 3.0x, the company has less cushion for cyclical or contract timing shocks, making sustained deleveraging crucial to preserve investment flexibility and support future M&A or dividends.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth and backlog
Sustained top‑line growth and a record $355M backlog provide durable revenue visibility across 2026, reducing near‑term demand uncertainty. Large, multi‑year awards and recurring replacement cycles in defense, law enforcement and nuclear markets support predictable conversion and scale benefits over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Cadre Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Measures gross profit for each segment to show which businesses actually produce healthy margins and cash flow, indicating whether revenue growth is translating into profitable sales or being offset by higher direct costs.
Chart InsightsCadre’s gross profit has become increasingly product-driven: Product GP jumped and stayed elevated through 2025, consistent with improved margins, a $20M sequential backlog increase and M&A (notably TYR Tactical) that add higher‑margin, mission‑critical revenue. Distribution remains a modest, stable contributor and reconciling items are immaterial. The trajectory supports management’s reaffirmed guidance and cash generation, but near‑term execution risk remains from nuclear order timing and potential government shutdown delays that could create volatility in backlog conversion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Cadre Holdings (CDRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cadre Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cadre Holdings, Inc. manufactures and distributes safety and survivability equipment that provides protection to users in hazardous or life-threatening situations in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Prod...
How the Company Makes Money
Cadre Holdings makes money by selling safety and survivability equipment and related accessories to government and commercial customers, with a primary focus on law enforcement, first responder, and defense end markets. Revenue is generated mainly...

Cadre Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed multiple strong operational and financial positives — 19% Q1 revenue growth, a record backlog with clear drivers, reaffirmed full-year guidance implying 20%+ growth, active M&A execution, and a solid capital structure — while acknowledging manageable headwinds (armor/nuclear mix, distribution softness on discretionary items, and a suspended plutonium program). Management expects margins and revenue conversion to improve later in 2026 and emphasizes disciplined M&A and cash allocation. Overall, positives substantially outweigh the isolated near-term challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q1 net sales of $155.4M, up 19% year-over-year, driven by recurring demand across law enforcement, first responder, military, and nuclear end markets.
Negative Updates
Mix Headwinds Impacting Margins
Q1 experienced mix-related headwinds in armor and nuclear which pressured margins early in the year; management expects improvement later in 2026 as mix and scale shift.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q1 net sales of $155.4M, up 19% year-over-year, driven by recurring demand across law enforcement, first responder, military, and nuclear end markets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cadre reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance of net sales of $736–$758 million and adjusted EBITDA of $136–$141 million (implying ~18.5% adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint), with organic revenue expected to be +3% to +5% for the year; management expects Q2 revenue of ~$178 million with ~17.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, a back‑half weighting of roughly 55% of full‑year revenue, and midpoint year‑over‑year growth of ~22.4% in revenue and ~24% in adjusted EBITDA. The outlook is supported by Q1 net sales of $155.4 million (+19% YoY) and a record March‑31 backlog of $355 million (up $166 million QoQ — including $108 million organic, an $87 million blast‑attenuation seat award, and $57 million from the TIER acquisition); net leverage remained just under 3.0x (pro forma <2.5x with a full year of TIER), and management highlighted continued free‑cash‑flow generation underpinning M&A, dividends (17th consecutive), and debt reduction.

Cadre Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has scaled steadily (2021 $427.3M to 2025 $610.3M; $635.6M TTM) and free cash flow is consistently positive and improving into TTM ($60.6M). Offsetting this, profitability has softened recently (net margin down from 7.2% in 2025 to 5.8% TTM) and leverage has stepped up into TTM (debt/equity 1.13x), which raises risk if margins don’t reaccelerate.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue635.63M610.31M567.56M482.53M457.84M427.29M
Gross Profit255.26M251.72M233.48M200.73M175.68M170.69M
EBITDA90.96M94.00M78.46M73.19M31.23M49.34M
Net Income36.87M44.14M36.13M38.64M5.82M12.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets879.74M770.03M652.71M431.18M391.95M311.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.27M122.90M124.93M87.69M45.29M33.86M
Total Debt380.80M322.29M238.76M146.83M158.43M159.69M
Total Liabilities543.62M452.23M341.20M234.02M226.06M223.16M
Stockholders Equity336.12M317.80M311.51M197.16M165.89M88.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.61M56.85M26.11M66.48M41.91M37.26M
Operating Cash Flow68.83M63.70M31.78M73.21M46.41M40.09M
Investing Cash Flow-251.29M-96.37M-147.43M-6.52M-59.63M-2.83M
Financing Cash Flow92.29M31.59M152.67M-24.72M24.46M-6.60M

Cadre Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.32
Price Trends
50DMA
30.69
Positive
100DMA
36.09
Negative
200DMA
37.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
56.16
Neutral
STOCH
72.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.12, above the 50-day MA of 30.69, and below the 200-day MA of 37.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDRE.

Cadre Holdings Risk Analysis

Cadre Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cadre Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cadre Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$678.08M56.323.28%5.10%-1.05%-58.70%
62
Neutral
$1.31B36.8811.11%0.90%13.54%-5.10%
58
Neutral
$631.55M-52.18-4.24%1.92%3.20%-139.32%
57
Neutral
$245.13M-3.05-35.04%
51
Neutral
$138.84M16.8213.82%26.96%-39.19%
46
Neutral
$79.67M-15.96-6.41%-11379.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDRE
Cadre Holdings
31.14
-1.27
-3.92%
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands
15.22
6.17
68.14%
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company
39.09
3.28
9.16%
POWW
AMMO
2.06
0.61
42.07%
BYRN
Byrna Technologies
6.24
-20.42
-76.59%
PEW
GrabAGun Digital Holdings
2.72
-12.67
-82.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026