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Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)
NYSE:CDRE
US Market
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Cadre Holdings (CDRE) AI Stock Analysis

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CDRE

Cadre Holdings

(NYSE:CDRE)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(16.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is driven primarily by constructive operating momentum and outlook from the earnings call (reaffirmed 2026 guidance, strong Q1 growth, and record backlog). Financial performance is supportive but tempered by recent margin pressure and higher leverage into TTM. Technicals are mixed (above short-term averages but below the 200-day), and valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Sustained multi-year revenue growth
Cadre's steady revenue expansion over multiple years demonstrates durable demand and scale across law enforcement, military, nuclear, and consumer channels. This multi-year top-line momentum supports predictable production planning, supplier relationships, and longer-term revenue visibility over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Elevated and rising leverage
Higher absolute debt and elevated net leverage reduce financial flexibility and increase refinancing and covenant risk. Even with pro forma improvements, leverage near management's target range constrains capital allocation choices and raises sensitivity to cyclical slippage or slower-than-expected backlog conversion over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained multi-year revenue growth
Cadre's steady revenue expansion over multiple years demonstrates durable demand and scale across law enforcement, military, nuclear, and consumer channels. This multi-year top-line momentum supports predictable production planning, supplier relationships, and longer-term revenue visibility over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Cadre Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Measures gross profit for each segment to show which businesses actually produce healthy margins and cash flow, indicating whether revenue growth is translating into profitable sales or being offset by higher direct costs.
Chart InsightsCadre’s gross profit has become increasingly product-driven: Product GP jumped and stayed elevated through 2025, consistent with improved margins, a $20M sequential backlog increase and M&A (notably TYR Tactical) that add higher‑margin, mission‑critical revenue. Distribution remains a modest, stable contributor and reconciling items are immaterial. The trajectory supports management’s reaffirmed guidance and cash generation, but near‑term execution risk remains from nuclear order timing and potential government shutdown delays that could create volatility in backlog conversion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Cadre Holdings (CDRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cadre Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cadre Holdings, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing vital safety and survival gear designed to protect individuals in perilous or life-threatening environments, both within the United States and globally. The company operates throug...
How the Company Makes Money
Cadre Holdings primarily makes money by selling safety and survivability products to government and commercial customers, with revenue largely tied to demand from law enforcement agencies, military customers, and other public-safety/first-responde...

Cadre Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed multiple strong operational and financial positives — 19% Q1 revenue growth, a record backlog with clear drivers, reaffirmed full-year guidance implying 20%+ growth, active M&A execution, and a solid capital structure — while acknowledging manageable headwinds (armor/nuclear mix, distribution softness on discretionary items, and a suspended plutonium program). Management expects margins and revenue conversion to improve later in 2026 and emphasizes disciplined M&A and cash allocation. Overall, positives substantially outweigh the isolated near-term challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q1 net sales of $155.4M, up 19% year-over-year, driven by recurring demand across law enforcement, first responder, military, and nuclear end markets.
Negative Updates
Mix Headwinds Impacting Margins
Q1 experienced mix-related headwinds in armor and nuclear which pressured margins early in the year; management expects improvement later in 2026 as mix and scale shift.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q1 net sales of $155.4M, up 19% year-over-year, driven by recurring demand across law enforcement, first responder, military, and nuclear end markets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cadre reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance of net sales of $736–$758 million and adjusted EBITDA of $136–$141 million (implying ~18.5% adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint), with organic revenue expected to be +3% to +5% for the year; management expects Q2 revenue of ~$178 million with ~17.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, a back‑half weighting of roughly 55% of full‑year revenue, and midpoint year‑over‑year growth of ~22.4% in revenue and ~24% in adjusted EBITDA. The outlook is supported by Q1 net sales of $155.4 million (+19% YoY) and a record March‑31 backlog of $355 million (up $166 million QoQ — including $108 million organic, an $87 million blast‑attenuation seat award, and $57 million from the TIER acquisition); net leverage remained just under 3.0x (pro forma <2.5x with a full year of TIER), and management highlighted continued free‑cash‑flow generation underpinning M&A, dividends (17th consecutive), and debt reduction.

Cadre Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are solid with multi-year revenue growth and healthy gross margins, but TTM shows some margin compression. Cash flow is consistently positive with improving TTM free cash flow, though operating cash flow conversion has been uneven. Balance sheet risk is the main drag as leverage has ticked up into TTM and returns have come off prior peaks.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue635.63M610.31M567.56M482.53M457.84M427.29M
Gross Profit255.26M251.72M233.48M200.73M175.68M170.69M
EBITDA87.01M93.11M78.46M73.19M31.23M49.34M
Net Income36.87M44.14M36.13M38.64M5.82M12.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets879.74M770.03M652.71M431.18M391.95M311.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.27M122.90M124.93M87.69M45.29M33.86M
Total Debt388.94M327.83M238.76M146.83M158.43M159.69M
Total Liabilities543.62M452.23M341.20M234.02M226.06M223.16M
Stockholders Equity336.12M317.80M311.51M197.16M165.89M88.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.61M56.85M26.11M66.48M41.91M37.26M
Operating Cash Flow68.83M63.70M31.78M73.21M46.41M40.09M
Investing Cash Flow-251.29M-96.37M-147.43M-6.52M-59.63M-2.83M
Financing Cash Flow92.29M31.59M152.67M-24.72M24.46M-6.60M

Cadre Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.86
Price Trends
50DMA
29.61
Positive
100DMA
30.20
Positive
200DMA
36.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
54.50
Neutral
STOCH
39.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.91, above the 50-day MA of 29.61, and below the 200-day MA of 36.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDRE.

Cadre Holdings Risk Analysis

Cadre Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cadre Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cadre Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.32B34.2611.11%1.26%13.54%-5.10%
65
Neutral
$593.91M48.404.29%1.02%7.64%138.23%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$248.59M-37.94-1.52%
56
Neutral
$650.78M35.445.04%3.55%10.75%35.88%
52
Neutral
$103.25M-30.03-5.85%5.15%-124.82%
51
Neutral
$72.91M-13.12-6.41%-11379.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDRE
Cadre Holdings
30.85
-3.05
-9.00%
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands
14.76
7.04
91.19%
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company
38.55
5.48
16.57%
POWW
AMMO
2.18
0.98
81.67%
BYRN
Byrna Technologies
4.90
-17.31
-77.94%
PEW
GrabAGun Digital Holdings
2.57
-4.19
-61.98%

Cadre Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cadre Holdings Expands Canadian Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
On July 23, 2026, Cadre&#8217;s Canadian subsidiaries entered into an amended and restated loan agreement with PNC Bank Canada Branch, securing a revolving line of credit of up to CDN$20 million, including up to CDN$6 million for letters of credit...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cadre Holdings Announces Board Changes at 2026 Meeting
Neutral
Jun 3, 2026
At Cadre Holdings, Inc.&#8217;s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 29, 2026, the terms of directors Gianmaria C. Delzanno and Deborah A. DeCotis expired, and they were not nominated for re-election, with the company stating the decisi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026