GrabAGun Digital Holdings (PEW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $89.12M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 434.95K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.20
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: -116.40%
• Country: US
• Employees: 4
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 29,509,699
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 698,666
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 434,946
• PEG Ratio: 0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.55
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.61
• P/FCF Ratio: -6.61
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: -0.14
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: -0.25
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -1.84
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.94
• 1Y Price Target: $6.75
• Price Target Upside: 48.35% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): -0.16
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $100.50M

• Rating: 42 Neutral
• Price Target: $3.00 ▼(-34.07% Downside)
• Action: Upgraded Date: 03/13/26
• Date: Action: Upgraded 03/13/26

The score is primarily constrained by ongoing cash burn and continued losses despite strong recent revenue growth. Technicals are also weak with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Revenue Scale-up

The large revenue step-up in 2025 demonstrates the company has achieved meaningful commercial traction and a scalable revenue base. Over 2–6 months this underpins the opportunity to leverage fixed costs and improve unit economics if margins and cash conversion improve.

Conservative Leverage

A relatively low debt load versus equity provides financial flexibility to fund growth or weather cash burn without immediate refinancing pressure. This supports durability of operations and strategic optionality over the medium term while the company pursues profitability.

Demonstrated Market Traction

Sharp top-line growth despite losses implies customer adoption or contract wins that validate the business model. Persistent revenue expansion creates a foundation to prioritize margin improvement, operational scale benefits, and route-to-cash initiatives over coming quarters.

Negative Factors

Cash Burn / Negative FCF

Deeply negative free cash flow and recurring negative operating cash flow indicate the business is consuming capital to support growth. Unless cash conversion improves, the company will likely need external funding, which can dilute shareholders or constrain strategic investments.

Weak Profitability

Modest gross margins and negative EBITDA show the company has not yet translated scale into sustainable earnings. Over months this limits internal cash generation and constrains reinvestment capacity unless unit economics are materially improved by pricing, mix or cost control.

Capital Base Instability

Historical swings and a prior period of negative equity signal volatility in the balance sheet and past capital shortfalls. That raises questions about consistency of financial reporting, resilience to shocks, and potential governance or structural financing risks over the medium term.

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. operates as a eCommerce retailer of firearms and ammunition, related accessories, and other outdoor enthusiast products. The company is headquartered in Coppell, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

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GrabAGun Digital Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue scaled sharply in 2025, but profitability remains weak (modest gross margin, negative EBITDA and net margin). Cash flow is the biggest concern with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow, despite a relatively low-debt balance sheet.

Income Statement

The company shows a sharp ramp in scale in 2025 (annual revenue of about $96.4M, up materially versus the prior period), which is a clear positive on growth trajectory. However, profitability remains weak: gross margin is modest (~11.7%) and the company is still loss-making (net margin about -2.6% and negative EBITDA), indicating the business has not yet translated revenue growth into sustainable earnings.

Balance Sheet

Leverage appears conservative in 2025, with total debt of roughly $6.9M against equity of about $107.6M (low debt relative to equity), which supports financial flexibility. The main weakness is returns: equity is generating losses (negative return on equity in 2025), and earlier years show large swings and unusual figures (including negative equity in 2024), which raises questions about stability and consistency of the capital base over time.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is the key pressure point. In 2025, operating cash flow is slightly negative and free cash flow is deeply negative (about -$8.9M), indicating meaningful cash burn despite the revenue step-up. Prior years also show persistently negative operating cash flow, suggesting the business may require continued funding until it can convert revenue into durable cash profitability.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	96.45M	0.00	0.00	475.18K	0.00
Gross Profit	11.33M	0.00	0.00	-241.00K	0.00
EBITDA	-4.36M	5.76M	414.50K	-6.20M	3.73M
Net Income	-2.51M	5.76M	414.50K	-6.98M	3.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	131.26M	0.00	172.59M	4.22M	1.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	110.39M	0.00	1.29M	2.33M	399.40K
Total Debt	6.93M	0.00	0.00	299.04K	0.00
Total Liabilities	23.66M	890.00	6.16M	814.25K	155.81K
Stockholders Equity	107.60M	-890.00	166.44M	3.40M	860.50K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-8.89M	-2.30M	-680.87K	-7.59M	-973.48K
Operating Cash Flow	-417.00K	-2.30M	-680.87K	-6.03M	-973.48K
Investing Cash Flow	-8.98M	2.00M	-170.00M	-1.55M	-172.50M
Financing Cash Flow	111.91M	-85.72K	171.97M	9.52M	174.31M

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 4.55
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.91, above the 50-day MA of 3.02, and below the 200-day MA of 5.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PEW.

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
PEW	42 Neutral	$89.12M	-23.45	-4.66%	―	―	-116.40%