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Verrica Pharmaceuticals (VRCA)
NASDAQ:VRCA
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Verrica Pharmaceuticals (VRCA) AI Stock Analysis

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VRCA

Verrica Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:VRCA)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-0.85% Downside)
Verrica Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance and valuation. Despite positive developments in the latest earnings call, including growth in YCANTH sales and strategic partnerships, the company's financial instability and bearish technical indicators weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in revenue indicates successful product adoption and market penetration, which are critical for long-term growth and sustainability.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Torii Pharmaceutical enhances Verrica's global reach and financial stability, supporting future growth and development initiatives.
Operational Cost Management
Effective cost management improves profitability and resource allocation, allowing for reinvestment into growth areas and enhancing financial health.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Negative equity and high leverage indicate financial distress, posing risks to long-term solvency and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Cash Flow Concerns
Insufficient cash flow threatens operational continuity, necessitating external funding, which could dilute shareholder value or increase financial liabilities.
Declining R&D Investment
Reduced R&D spending may hinder future product development and innovation, impacting the company's competitive edge and long-term growth potential.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals (VRCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVerrica Pharmaceuticals Inc., a dermatology therapeutics company, develops and commercializes treatments for people with skin diseases in the United States. The company's lead product candidate includes VP-102 for the treatment of molluscum contagiosum; that has completed Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of external genital warts; and which is in Phase II clinical trial for treating common warts. It is also developing cantharidin-based product candidate, VP-103 for treating plantar warts. The company has a license and collaboration agreement with Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of its product candidates for the treatment of molluscum contagiosum and common warts in Japan, including VP-102; and a license agreement with Lytix Biopharma AS to develop and commercialize LTX-315 for dermatological oncology indications. Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in West Chester, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyVerrica Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its therapeutic products, particularly once they receive regulatory approval. The company may also generate income from collaborations and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies that seek to co-develop or market its products. Revenue streams include product sales, milestone payments from partnerships, and potentially royalties from sales of partnered products. As the company advances its pipeline candidates, successful product launches and market penetrations will be critical factors contributing to its earnings.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in YCANTH sales, strategic partnerships, and improved financial performance, although concerns about future cash flow and reduced R&D expenses were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Growth in YCANTH Dispensed Units
Verrica Pharmaceuticals reported a record 13,434 YCANTH dispensed applicator units in Q2 2025, representing a 32.8% sequential quarterly growth over the prior quarter.
Strategic Partnership and Financial Milestone
Verrica strengthened its partnership with Torii Pharmaceutical, securing Torii's financial commitment to a global Phase III program for YCANTH and receiving an $8 million milestone payment.
Revenue Increase
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $12.7 million, up from $5.2 million in Q2 2024, driven by milestone revenue and net YCANTH sales.
Operational Cost Management
Selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by $7.7 million compared to Q2 2024, due to a focused commercial strategy for YCANTH.
Positive Net Income
GAAP net income was $0.2 million for Q2 2025, compared to a net loss of $17.2 million in Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased R&D Expenses
Research and development expenses decreased by $1.5 million compared to Q2 2024, primarily due to reduced clinical trial expenses.
Potential Cash Flow Concerns
GAAP indicated that cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, 2025, may not be sufficient to fund operations for the next year without additional milestones or financing.
Company Guidance
During Verrica Pharmaceuticals' Second Quarter 2025 Corporate Update Conference Call, the company reported significant growth and strategic developments. Notably, the commercial team achieved a record 13,434 YCANTH dispensed applicator units, marking a 32.8% sequential increase from the prior quarter. Verrica also secured an $8 million milestone payment from Torii Pharmaceutical as part of an amended agreement to initiate a global Phase III program for YCANTH targeting common warts. Financially, the company reported total revenue of $12.7 million, up from $5.2 million in the same quarter of 2024, driven by $8 million from Torii and $4.5 million net revenue from YCANTH. Additionally, gross product margins were approximately 93%, with research and development expenses decreasing by $1.5 million, and selling, general, and administrative expenses decreasing by $7.7 million compared to the previous year. The company expressed confidence in sustained growth, bolstered by expanded geographic reach and enhanced product accessibility.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Verrica Pharmaceuticals is experiencing significant financial challenges with persistent losses, declining revenues, and negative equity. The company is highly leveraged with negative cash flows, posing substantial risks to its financial health.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Verrica Pharmaceuticals shows a declining revenue trend over recent years, with total revenue dropping from $12 million in 2021 to $7.57 million in 2024. The company has been consistently operating at a loss, with a negative EBIT and net profit margin, which are concerning for long-term profitability. Despite a slight increase in revenue from 2023 to 2024, the overall trend reveals financial instability and high operational expenses relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial instability, with a negative stockholders' equity in 2024, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is undefined due to negative equity, signaling high leverage and potential solvency issues. The equity ratio is also negative, further highlighting financial distress and the risk of insolvency.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Verrica Pharmaceuticals faces persistent negative operating and free cash flows, with operating cash flow deteriorating significantly from 2023 to 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating insufficient cash generation to cover losses. Although financing cash flows have been positive, they are primarily used to cover operational deficits rather than growth investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.70M7.57M5.12M9.03M12.00M0.00
Gross Profit12.88M5.71M4.38M8.31M11.53M-229.00K
EBITDA-39.34M-65.90M-62.20M-21.60M-30.31M-39.43M
Net Income-48.60M-76.58M-67.00M-24.49M-35.08M-45.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.11M54.13M81.60M44.72M80.13M74.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.40M46.33M69.55M34.27M70.35M65.47M
Total Debt38.89M45.94M45.51M1.53M43.41M37.21M
Total Liabilities56.59M63.99M61.83M4.69M47.52M41.17M
Stockholders Equity-17.48M-9.86M19.76M40.03M32.60M32.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.36M-60.95M-38.94M-18.95M-28.46M-31.68M
Operating Cash Flow-47.34M-60.93M-38.58M-18.65M-27.58M-30.21M
Investing Cash Flow-8.00K-19.00K-362.00K54.04M-998.00K-3.58M
Financing Cash Flow30.82M37.73M74.21M-16.87M33.65M35.23M

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.53
Price Trends
50DMA
4.58
Negative
100DMA
5.61
Negative
200DMA
5.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
30.37
Neutral
STOCH
6.86
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.11, below the 50-day MA of 4.58, and below the 200-day MA of 5.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.86 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VRCA.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Verrica Pharmaceuticals disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Verrica Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$36.38M4455.07%77.31%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$41.09M-0.56-85.45%61.15%54.71%
$37.76M-5.22%82.06%
$38.93M-90.07%-32.55%-15.83%
$33.34M5.72%55.79%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRCA
Verrica Pharmaceuticals
3.53
-11.77
-76.93%
GBIO
Generation Bio
5.50
-16.60
-75.11%
ELUT
Aziyo Biologics
0.91
-2.28
-71.47%
EVAX
Evaxion Biotech
5.76
-7.19
-55.52%
LVTX
LAVA Therapeutics
1.63
-0.27
-14.21%
LIMN
Liminatus Pharma
1.41
-9.61
-87.21%

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Verrica Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Moves
Sep 1, 2025

Verrica Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting significant growth in YCANTH sales, strategic partnerships, and improved financial performance. However, the company acknowledged concerns regarding future cash flow and a reduction in research and development expenses.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Sees Revenue Surge in Q2 2025
Aug 13, 2025

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a dermatology therapeutics company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for skin diseases requiring medical interventions, with its flagship product YCANTH® being the first FDA-approved treatment for molluscum contagiosum.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Verrica Pharmaceuticals Regains Nasdaq Compliance
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Verrica Pharmaceuticals announced it had regained compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements. The company reported $12.7 million in revenue for Q2 2025, driven by strong growth in YCANTH sales and milestone payments from Torii Pharmaceutical. Verrica is preparing for a Phase 3 program for VP-315 for basal cell carcinoma and anticipates further growth through strategic partnerships and regulatory approvals. A reverse stock split was also effected on July 24, 2025, reducing the number of shares outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRCA) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verrica Pharmaceuticals stock, see the VRCA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025