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LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX)
NASDAQ:LVTX

LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX) AI Stock Analysis

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LAVA Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:LVTX)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(14.50%Upside)
LAVA Therapeutics' score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and declining equity. However, technical indicators show positive short-term trends, and recent corporate events suggest increased confidence in governance. Despite these positives, the valuation remains unattractive due to the negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Clinical Development
The LAVA-1266 study is advancing as planned and is considered a potential upside if it could achieve meaningful clinical milestones.
Financial Performance
The company reported license revenue of $5M and a net loss of $0.14 per share, better than the consensus estimate of revenue of $2.5M and a net loss of 0.30 per share.
Strategic Review
Lava's ongoing strategic review may conclude in a value-accretive outcome for the company.
Negative Factors
Clinical Asset Concerns
There is a lack of confidence that the shortcomings of the company's prior programs will be adequately addressed with different targets and indications.
Revenue and Losses
For 1Q25, the company reported no revenue and a net loss of $0.13 per share.
Strategic Uncertainties
Uncertainties are generated regarding the company’s only clinical asset, LAVA-1266 for hematological malignancies, as it depends on the outcome of the strategic review.

LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LAVA Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLAVA Therapeutics N.V., a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company, focuses on developing cancer treatments. The company, through its Gammabody platform, develops a portfolio of novel bispecific antibodies to engage and leverage the potency and precision of gamma delta T cells to elicit an anti-tumor immune response and enhance outcomes for cancer patients. Its lead clinical-stage candidates are LAVA-051, which is in Phase 1/2a clinical trial for blood cancers, including chronic lymphocytic leukemia, multiple myeloma, and acute myeloid leukemia; and LAVA-1207 that is in Phase 1/2a clinical trial for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. The company is also developing other Gammabody drug candidates, which include LAVA-1223, which targets the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) for the treatment of selected solid tumors, as well as LAVA-1266 and LAVA-1278, which are preclinical candidates for the treatment of various hematologic malignancies. LAVA Therapeutics N.V. has a research collaboration and license agreement with Janssen Biotech, Inc. for the potential discovery and development of multi-specific antibody products that are directed to a specified target in various fields of use. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Utrecht, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyLAVA Therapeutics generates revenue through a combination of research and development collaborations, licensing agreements, and potential milestone payments associated with its proprietary bispecific gamma-delta T cell engaging antibody platform. The company enters partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies to co-develop and commercialize its therapeutic candidates, which often includes upfront payments, research funding, and royalties on net sales if the products reach the market. Additionally, LAVA may receive government grants or other funding to support its research endeavors.

LAVA Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LAVA Therapeutics is navigating significant financial hurdles typical for early-stage biotech firms. With fluctuating revenue and consistent negative net income, the company struggles with profitability. The low debt usage is a positive aspect, but declining equity and persistent cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvement.
Income Statement
30
Negative
LAVA Therapeutics has shown erratic revenue growth, with a drop from 2022 to 2023 followed by a recovery in 2024. However, the company has consistently reported negative net income, leading to negative net profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Despite a gross profit margin that is positive, the firm struggles to control costs and generate profit.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio has been relatively low, indicating conservative use of debt. However, the stockholders' equity has been declining, and the equity ratio is decreasing, suggesting weakening financial stability. The return on equity remains negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' funds.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Operating cash flow has been negative, though there was a slight improvement in 2024. Free cash flow remains negative, indicating that the company is struggling to generate cash from operations after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is poor, highlighting inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.99M11.98M6.77M19.39M5.35M3.75M
Gross Profit
4.76M11.52M3.29M19.39M5.35M-11.95M
EBIT
-27.74M-29.69M-43.25M-34.84M-43.61M-14.67M
EBITDA
-23.68M-23.50M-40.53M-30.88M-41.02M-14.65M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-28.04M-25.11M-41.97M-31.91M-42.35M-15.93M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
66.56M76.58M95.57M132.87M151.01M19.43M
Total Assets
71.16M80.83M101.71M143.43M157.87M25.16M
Total Debt
312.00K5.28M6.31M5.45M5.52M5.01M
Net Debt
-39.36M-29.73M-37.92M-94.88M-145.50M-14.42M
Total Liabilities
45.37M53.09M50.53M57.38M23.67M15.80M
Stockholders Equity
25.78M27.75M51.18M86.04M134.19M9.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-16.42M-19.57M-41.01M3.46M-33.34M-9.81M
Operating Cash Flow
-16.39M-19.54M-38.97M4.04M-32.48M-9.31M
Investing Cash Flow
26.92M12.47M-17.64M9.35M-49.37M-502.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-569.00K-569.00K-571.00K283.00K171.37M18.97M

LAVA Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.31
Price Trends
50DMA
1.27
Positive
100DMA
1.21
Positive
200DMA
1.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
51.50
Neutral
STOCH
50.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.31, above the 50-day MA of 1.27, and below the 200-day MA of 1.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LVTX.

LAVA Therapeutics Risk Analysis

LAVA Therapeutics disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LAVA Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LAVA Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$34.46M-73.11%-60.20%3.85%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.27-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
53
Neutral
$62.92M-71.64%-98.90%-177.17%
53
Neutral
$47.15M-60.44%-76.29%
46
Neutral
$38.96M-22.89%75.74%
44
Neutral
$25.67M-70.06%146.47%57.85%
41
Neutral
$34.95M-853.05%34.97%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LVTX
LAVA Therapeutics
1.31
-0.78
-37.32%
GRCE
Grace Therapeutics
2.84
-0.42
-12.88%
GBIO
Generation Bio
0.37
-2.55
-87.33%
RPTX
Repare Therapeutics
1.47
-2.33
-61.32%
PYPD
PolyPid
3.41
-0.77
-18.42%
ALGS
Aligos Therapeutics
7.71
-4.07
-34.55%

LAVA Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LAVA Therapeutics Shareholders Approve Key Proposals in Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, LAVA Therapeutics N.V. held its annual general meeting of shareholders, where approximately 62.1% of the company’s common shares were represented. During the meeting, shareholders approved all proposals, including the adoption of the 2024 annual accounts, the appointment of KPMG as external auditor for 2025, the release of board members from liability for 2024, and the reappointment of Jay Backstrom and James Noble as non-executive directors. These approvals reflect shareholder confidence in the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (LVTX) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LAVA Therapeutics stock, see the LVTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.