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BioAtla (BCAB)
NASDAQ:BCAB
US Market

BioAtla (BCAB) AI Stock Analysis

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BCAB

BioAtla

(NASDAQ:BCAB)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.18
▼(-12.86% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial fundamentals (no TTM revenue, large losses, cash burn, and negative equity) and bearish technicals (price below major moving averages with negative momentum). Offsetting support comes from more constructive clinical/regulatory progress and potential partnering/financing developments, but near-term liquidity and listing/compliance risks remain key overhangs.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Pathway Clarity
FDA alignment on a Phase 3 registrational design provides a clear, durable pathway to potential accelerated and full approval for OSV in OPSCC. This reduces regulatory execution risk, supports future partnering/commercial plans, and preserves value capture if pivotal outcomes are positive.
Strategic Non-Dilutive Funding
The $40M oncology SPV funds registrational Phase 3 work while sharing development and commercialization costs. Retaining majority SPV ownership keeps upside for BioAtla, reduces immediate cash burden, and extends runway without a traditional dilutive equity raise.
Platform Validation & Collaborations
A paid development milestone and multiple encouraging clinical signals across CAB programs (OSV, EpCAM TCE, MEKV) validate the CAB platform, strengthening licensing/partnering leverage and supporting a multi-program development strategy that can diversify long-term value drivers.
Negative Factors
Deteriorated Balance Sheet
Negative shareholders' equity reflects accumulated losses and materially weaker solvency, constraining financing options and increasing bankruptcy or restructuring risk. This structural weakness limits strategic flexibility and heightens reliance on external capital over the medium term.
High Cash Burn / Limited Runway
Sustained large negative operating and free cash flows indicate ongoing need for external financing to fund R&D and trials. With modest cash on hand, the company faces elevated dilution or deal-dependency risk, which can disrupt long-term development continuity if funding stalls.
Listing & Governance Risk
Active disputes over share-structure maneuvers and continued Nasdaq compliance questions present structural governance and listing risks. Potential delisting or contentious capital actions could impair access to public markets, increase financing costs, and distract management from execution.

BioAtla (BCAB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BioAtla Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBioAtla, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops specific and selective antibody-based therapeutics for the treatment of solid tumor cancer. Its lead product candidate is BA3011, a conditionally active biologic (CAB) antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) for soft tissue and bone sarcoma tumors, non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and ovarian cancer. It also develops BA3021, a CAB ADC for multiple solid tumor types, including NSCLC, melanoma, and ovarian cancer; and BA3071, which is a CAB anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen 4 antibody for renal cell carcinoma, NSCLC, small cell lung cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, melanoma, bladder cancer, gastric cancer, and cervical cancer. BioAtla, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBioAtla makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its CAB antibody therapeutics. The company's revenue model includes partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies for the development and potential commercialization of its drug candidates. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments upon achieving certain development or regulatory goals, and potential royalties on future sales of approved therapies. BioAtla may also generate revenue through licensing agreements that allow other companies to use its proprietary technology in their therapeutic development. Additionally, BioAtla may seek funding through public and private investments to support its research and development activities.

BioAtla Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in clinical trials, strategic transactions, and market potential for BioAtla's programs, with robust data supporting their CAB platform's potential. However, financial challenges were noted, including increased net loss and decreased cash reserves.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FDA Alignment on Phase Three Trial Design
BioAtla achieved FDA alignment on the phase three OSV registrational trial design for OPSCC, which includes a dual primary endpoints design for potential accelerated approval followed by full approval.
Development Milestone with Context Therapeutics
Achieved a development milestone under a license agreement with Context Therapeutics related to the dual CAB Nectin 4 TCE program, providing non-dilutive capital and further validating the CAB T cell engager platform.
Compelling Data from CAB Platform Programs
Presented compelling data for dual CAB EpCAM TCE and MACV programs, demonstrating potential for differentiated therapies for difficult-to-treat cancers.
Potential Strategic Transaction
BioAtla is in advanced stages to finalize a strategic transaction with a potential partner by year-end.
Strong Phase Two Data for OSV
Phase two data for OSV in late-line OPSCC patients showed an overall response rate of 45% and a median overall survival of 11.6 months, significantly higher than historical response rates and survival with standard therapies.
Market Opportunity for OSFI
OSFI has demonstrated clinical activity in HPV-positive OPSCC and is projected to achieve worldwide peak sales of $800 million in second-line and later OPS alone, with the total worldwide OPSCC market projected to reach $3 billion by 2032.
Progress in Dual CAB EpCAM T Cell Engager Program
Preliminary data from phase one trial in advanced adenocarcinomas indicate a manageable safety profile and encouraging signs of tumor reductions, with a confirmed partial response at 0.6 mg dose.
MEKV Program's Potential in Soft Tissue Sarcoma
Phase two trial data for MEKV showed a median overall survival of 21.5 months in soft tissue sarcoma patients, compared to 11.5 to 13.6 months for approved agents, with a manageable safety profile.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $15.8 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to a net loss of $10.6 million in the same quarter of 2024, primarily due to collaboration revenue recorded in 2024 and a non-cash loss on warrant liability in 2025.
Decreased Cash and Cash Equivalents
As of 09/30/2025, BioAtla had $8.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, not including a recent $2 million milestone payment or any R&D funding from collaborations.
Company Guidance
During BioAtla, Inc.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and updates. They are in advanced stages of finalizing a strategic transaction with a potential partner by year-end. The FDA has aligned with their phase three OSV registrational trial design for second-line plus oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), targeting dual primary endpoints of overall response rate and overall survival, with potential for accelerated approval. The estimated worldwide peak sales for their OSFI product in second-line OPSCC alone are approximately $800 million, with the total OPSCC market projected to reach $3 billion by 2032. They reported a net loss of $15.8 million for the quarter, an increase from a $10.6 million net loss in the same quarter of 2024. BioAtla, Inc. had $8.3 million in cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, and expects R&D expenses to decline as they concentrate resources on prioritized programs.

BioAtla Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains highly risky: TTM revenue is $0 with -100% growth, large ongoing losses (TTM EBIT -$66.3M; net loss -$64.7M), and continued cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -$57.2M; free cash flow -$43.0M). Balance sheet is a major concern with equity flipping to -$31.2M TTM and assets shrinking to $15.9M, despite modest absolute debt ($6.2M).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Operating performance remains weak. Revenue is highly inconsistent—$11.0M in 2024 but $0 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a -100% revenue growth rate—suggesting a lack of durable commercial traction. Profitability is deeply negative: 2024 net margin was -634% and TTM results show continued large operating losses (EBIT of -$66.3M and net loss of -$64.7M). While losses improved versus 2022–2023, the business is still far from breakeven.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Leverage is low in absolute dollars (TTM debt of $6.2M), but the capital structure has deteriorated sharply. Stockholders’ equity flipped from +$14.3M in 2024 to -$31.2M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), a major solvency red flag and a sign of accumulated losses/erosion of net worth. Total assets have also compressed materially (to $15.9M TTM from $52.4M in 2024), reducing financial flexibility even if headline debt remains modest.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash burn continues, though the direction has improved. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow was -$57.2M and free cash flow was -$43.0M, both still meaningfully negative, but better than 2023–2024 levels. Free cash flow improved in TTM (positive growth), and cash losses are somewhat smaller than accounting losses (free cash flow-to-net income ~0.75), yet the company still relies on external funding to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0011.00M0.000.00250.00K429.00K
Gross Profit-12.46M10.07M-1.22M-1.20M250.00K-19.50M
EBITDA-67.70M-73.02M-122.24M-105.28M-94.07M-33.46M
Net Income-64.71M-69.78M-123.46M-105.28M-95.40M-35.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.91M52.42M119.66M225.74M254.42M244.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.32M49.05M111.47M215.51M244.98M238.60M
Total Debt6.18M836.00K2.46M3.98M5.37M682.00K
Total Liabilities47.15M38.16M48.99M45.40M43.60M34.96M
Stockholders Equity-31.24M14.27M70.67M180.34M210.82M209.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.95M-71.94M-104.11M-90.69M-63.14M-36.92M
Operating Cash Flow-57.15M-71.94M-104.02M-90.42M-62.21M-36.33M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.00-98.00K-265.00K-924.00K-590.00K
Financing Cash Flow8.95M9.51M77.00K61.21M69.51M271.82M

BioAtla Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.21
Price Trends
50DMA
0.58
Negative
100DMA
0.66
Negative
200DMA
0.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
29.60
Positive
STOCH
20.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCAB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.31, below the 50-day MA of 0.58, and below the 200-day MA of 0.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.60 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCAB.

BioAtla Risk Analysis

BioAtla disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BioAtla reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BioAtla Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$156.46M-5.76-14.23%4121.12%83.30%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$32.99M-1.68-104.58%1.18%
45
Neutral
$36.19M-1.05-133.09%11.11%20.65%
44
Neutral
$13.44M-0.18-100.00%32.37%
44
Neutral
$79.25M-2.88-2691.06%44.50%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCAB
BioAtla
0.19
-0.31
-62.00%
ATNM
Actinium Pharmaceuticals
1.16
0.01
0.87%
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
2.56
-2.74
-51.70%
IPSC
Century Therapeutics
1.67
0.91
119.16%
MAIA
MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
1.91
-0.07
-3.54%

BioAtla Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
BioAtla Pursues Share Consolidation Amid Nasdaq Compliance Dispute
Negative
Jan 30, 2026

On December 30, 2025, BioAtla stockholders approved proposals authorizing a significant potential issuance of common stock under financing agreements and allowing adjournments of a special meeting, but failed to reach the supermajority threshold needed to pass a reverse stock split, despite more than 70% of voted proxies supporting it. After repeated adjournments and the creation of a super-voting Series A Junior Preferred Share that enabled formal shareholder approval of the reverse split at a reconvened meeting on January 12, 2026, the board redeemed the preferred share on January 30, 2026 and chose not to implement the split while the stock is listed on Nasdaq, following Nasdaq’s private indication that using such super-voting stock would likely violate its voting rights rule and could trigger delisting. On January 30, 2026, BioAtla instead signed a merger agreement with a wholly owned subsidiary to effect a 1-for-50 share consolidation via a statutory merger, which also would relax supermajority voting requirements for future share-structure changes, subject to approval by a majority of outstanding common shares as of a February 2, 2026 record date. The company is simultaneously trying to maintain Nasdaq Capital Market compliance after an August 6, 2025 notice that it failed bid-price and equity or market value standards; although BioAtla met the $35 million market value of listed securities test for 64 consecutive trading days through December 31, 2025, Nasdaq declined to deem the company back in compliance, and only granted an extension to February 2, 2026. BioAtla contends Nasdaq misapplied its rules both on compliance determination timing and on the reversal of prior guidance regarding super-voting shares, and warns that failure to meet bid-price and equity or market value requirements by February 2, 2026 could lead to suspension and delisting to OTC trading, with potentially material adverse effects for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCAB) stock is a Hold with a $0.28 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioAtla stock, see the BCAB Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
BioAtla Creates Super-Voting Share to Advance Reverse Split
Negative
Jan 12, 2026

On January 9, 2026, BioAtla’s board authorized the issuance of a single Series A Junior Preferred “Super-Voting” share to Chairman and CEO Jay M. Short for $0.01, granting him voting power equal to all common shares outstanding, but only on proposals related to a potential reverse stock split, related adjournments, or other board-designated, closely related matters. The special preferred share, which carries no dividend rights, minimal liquidation preference, strict transfer restrictions, and is redeemable by the board for $0.01, was created after stockholders on December 30, 2025 failed to deliver the required two-thirds voting power to approve a reverse stock split, despite majority support, and the special meeting was adjourned and reconvened on January 12, 2026, then again to January 26, 2026, with the new share designed to ensure that if at least two-thirds of the common stock voting at the reconvened meeting supports the reverse stock split, the company can secure formal approval and continue efforts to maintain compliance with Nasdaq listing standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCAB) stock is a Hold with a $0.43 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioAtla stock, see the BCAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BioAtla Announces $40 Million Oncology SPV Investment Deal
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

On December 30–31, 2025, BioAtla, Inc. announced an agreement under which Inversagen AI, LLC, backed by GATC Health Corp and Alliance International Resources Corp., will invest a total of $40 million in a special purpose vehicle (BA 3021 SPV LLC) holding the oncology rights to BioAtla’s Phase 3-stage asset ozuriftamab vedotin (Oz‑V), in exchange for a 35% stake in the SPV, leaving BioAtla with 65% ownership. The deal, structured as a private placement across two closings expected to occur by the end of the first quarter of 2026, will provide BioAtla with an initial $5 million and a further $35 million to fund general operations and a registrational Phase 3 trial of Oz‑V in second-line or later oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), with BioAtla retaining leadership of trial execution through potential accelerated approval and positioning the company to expand Oz‑V into HPV-positive solid tumors while sharing future development and commercialization costs with Inversagen AI.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCAB) stock is a Hold with a $0.78 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioAtla stock, see the BCAB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
BioAtla Stockholders Approve Share Issuance, Delay Reverse Split
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 30, 2025, BioAtla, Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders to vote on several capital-related proposals, including approval to issue 20% or more of its outstanding common stock under existing financing agreements and to authorize a potential reverse stock split, as well as the ability to adjourn the meeting if more proxy votes were required. Stockholders approved the issuance of common stock in excess of the exchange cap and the adjournment proposal, but there were not enough votes to approve the reverse stock split, prompting the company to adjourn the meeting and reconvene it virtually on January 12, 2026, to continue soliciting proxies on that item from stockholders of record as of November 25, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCAB) stock is a Hold with a $0.78 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioAtla stock, see the BCAB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
BioAtla Secures $7.5 Million Pre-Paid Advance
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 20, 2025, BioAtla, Inc. entered into Pre-Paid Advance Agreements with YA II PN, Ltd., Anson Investments Master Fund LP, and Anson East Master Fund LP, securing a $7.5 million advance. The agreement allows for repayment in cash or conversion into common stock shares, with specific pricing conditions. Additionally, BioAtla entered into a Standby Equity Purchase Agreement with Yorkville, enabling the sale of up to $15 million in common stock over 36 months. These financial arrangements are designed to provide BioAtla with capital flexibility, subject to customary conditions and limitations, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCAB) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioAtla stock, see the BCAB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026