Viper Energy (VNOM)
NASDAQ:VNOM
US Market
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Viper Energy (VNOM) AI Stock Analysis

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VNOM

Viper Energy

(NASDAQ:VNOM)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(5.40% Upside)
Viper Energy's strong financial performance and optimistic earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The stock's attractive valuation further supports its potential, despite weak technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding operations and effective management of royalty interests, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Oil Production Growth
Projected increase in oil production per share supports sustained revenue growth and strengthens market position in the energy sector.
Capital Return Strategy
Strong capital return strategy enhances shareholder value and reflects confidence in cash flow generation, supporting long-term investment appeal.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential cash management issues, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Decline in Return on Equity
Decreasing return on equity suggests reduced profitability relative to shareholder investment, potentially affecting investor confidence.
Tax Implications of Asset Sale
Tax implications from asset sales could reduce available capital for reinvestment and shareholder returns, impacting financial flexibility.

Viper Energy (VNOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viper Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViper Energy Partners LP owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. As of December 31, 2021, it had mineral interests in 27,027 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale; and estimated proved oil and natural gas reserves of 127,888 thousand barrels of crude oil equivalent. Viper Energy Partners GP LLC operates as the general partner of the company. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Midland, Texas. Viper Energy Partners LP is a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyViper Energy generates revenue primarily through the collection of royalties on oil and gas production from its mineral and royalty interests. These royalties are paid by operators who extract resources from the land where Viper holds rights, allowing the company to earn income without the direct costs associated with exploration and production. Key revenue streams include a percentage of the sale price of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its properties. Additionally, Viper may benefit from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships with major operators in the industry, which can enhance its revenue stability and growth potential as these operators increase production in high-demand areas.

Viper Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong growth in oil production and significant shareholder returns as highlights, supported by strategic asset sales and positive third-party activity. However, concerns over market valuation and tax implications of asset sales were noted as lowlights. The overall sentiment leans towards optimism due to the company's growth strategy and shareholder returns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Oil Production Growth
Fourth quarter 2025 oil production guidance implies a roughly 20% increase in oil production per share compared to the same quarter last year. Double-digit year-over-year growth in oil production per share is expected in 2026 relative to 2025.
Strong Return of Capital
Returned 85% of cash available for distribution in the third quarter to stockholders. Combined base plus variable dividend represents a greater than 6% annualized yield, with a 10% increase from last quarter. Over $90 million of share repurchases completed during the quarter.
Non-Permian Asset Sale
Proceeds from the non-Permian asset sale will help achieve a net debt target of $1.5 billion, enabling the return of nearly 100% of cash available for distribution to stockholders.
Positive Third-Party Activity
Captured almost half of all third-party activity across the Permian Basin, with consistent capital deployment by operators outside of Diamondback.
Negative Updates
Tax Implications of Asset Sale
The asset sale will incur a tax hit, reducing net proceeds to about $610 million.
Market Dislocation and Valuation Concerns
Stock buybacks are prioritized due to market dislocation and perceived undervaluation of shares, indicating challenges in market perception.
Company Guidance
During the Viper Energy Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating a robust growth trajectory, with a projected 20% increase in oil production per share for the fourth quarter compared to the previous year. For 2026, Viper anticipates mid-single-digit organic growth, suggesting double-digit year-over-year growth in oil production per share relative to 2025. Viper's capital return strategy was underscored by an 85% return of cash available for distribution to stockholders in the third quarter, resulting in a 48% increase in return of capital per Class A share from the prior quarter. This was complemented by over $90 million in share repurchases and $60 million retained on the balance sheet. The company also highlighted that, following its non-Permian asset sale, which contributes to reaching a net debt target of $1.5 billion, it intends to return nearly 100% of cash available for distribution to stockholders, primarily through a combined base plus variable dividend yielding over 6% annually.

Viper Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viper Energy demonstrates robust revenue growth and strong operating performance, particularly in terms of gross and EBIT margins. However, the decline in return on equity and negative free cash flow are areas of concern, indicating potential cash flow management issues.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Viper Energy shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 18.93%. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 60.76% and an EBIT margin of 60.36% in the TTM period. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 38.25% from 42.09% in the previous year, indicating some pressure on net income.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32 in the TTM period, showing improved leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is at 16.16%, which is a decline from 21.29% in the previous year, suggesting a decrease in profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 33.75%, indicating a stable equity position.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.31 in the TTM period. However, the free cash flow is negative, with a significant decline in free cash flow to net income ratio at -1.63, highlighting potential cash flow challenges despite strong operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B859.75M826.79M865.77M504.30M249.57M
Gross Profit634.77M584.45M630.27M688.32M368.75M129.22M
EBITDA706.06M792.20M740.80M783.42M395.23M82.55M
Net Income245.07M359.25M200.09M151.67M57.94M-192.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.69B5.07B3.97B2.92B3.03B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments443.00M26.85M25.87M18.18M39.45M19.12M
Total Debt2.62B1.08B1.08B576.89M776.73M555.64M
Total Liabilities2.75B1.16B1.12B598.85M801.19M600.54M
Stockholders Equity4.62B1.69B1.01B690.01M814.09M634.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.23B-76.63M-270.17M635.66M25.94M130.88M
Operating Cash Flow811.91M619.61M638.19M699.80M307.11M196.56M
Investing Cash Flow-2.78B-608.57M-908.37M47.57M-281.18M-16.28M
Financing Cash Flow2.24B-10.05M277.86M-768.64M-5.61M-164.75M

Viper Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.95
Price Trends
50DMA
37.21
Positive
100DMA
37.14
Positive
200DMA
39.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
57.46
Neutral
STOCH
41.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.82, above the 50-day MA of 37.21, and below the 200-day MA of 39.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNOM.

Viper Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$15.79B11.4540.29%9.32%5.81%-13.58%
75
Outperform
$11.79B29.409.04%2.91%20.39%-3.85%
72
Outperform
$11.95B13.749.78%8.97%-7.53%9.74%
72
Outperform
$6.92B11.8559.81%8.71%10.78%19.10%
69
Neutral
$13.64B15.718.10%6.14%38.38%3.35%
68
Neutral
$13.61B20.3910.33%8.51%-7.53%11.27%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNOM
Viper Energy
37.95
-11.77
-23.67%
PAA
Plains All American
16.94
0.87
5.41%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.69
4.03
11.63%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
17.86
0.76
4.44%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
33.34
0.08
0.24%
DTM
DT Midstream
115.94
17.12
17.32%

Viper Energy Corporate Events

Viper Energy Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Moves
Nov 5, 2025

Viper Energy, Inc., a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc., is focused on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in oil-weighted basins, primarily the Permian Basin in West Texas. The company recently announced its third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results, highlighting a significant acquisition and a strategic asset divestiture.

Viper Energy Partners’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Returns
Nov 5, 2025

Viper Energy Partners’ recent earnings call painted a picture of optimism, driven by strong growth in oil production and significant shareholder returns. The company highlighted strategic asset sales and positive third-party activity as key contributors to this positive outlook. However, concerns were raised regarding market valuation and the tax implications of asset sales, which tempered the overall enthusiasm. Despite these challenges, the sentiment remains largely optimistic due to the company’s robust growth strategy and commitment to shareholder returns.

Executive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing Changes
Viper Energy Restructures and Trades Under New Ticker
Neutral
Aug 19, 2025

Viper Energy Partners LP, previously known as Former Viper, has undergone significant corporate restructuring. On August 19, 2025, New Viper became the successor to Former Viper, with its Class A Common Stock beginning to trade on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol ‘VNOM’, replacing Former Viper’s stock. This restructuring involved the cancellation of Former Viper’s common stock and the assumption of various agreements by New Viper. Additionally, the board of directors saw changes with new appointments and the amendment of the certificate of incorporation and bylaws.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNOM) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viper Energy stock, see the VNOM Stock Forecast page.

Viper Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Viper Energy, Inc., a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc., is engaged in owning, acquiring, and exploiting oil and natural gas properties, primarily focusing on mineral and royalty interests in oil-weighted basins, notably the Permian Basin in West Texas.

Viper Energy’s Earnings Call: Growth and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

During Viper Energy Partners’ recent earnings call, the sentiment was predominantly positive, highlighting robust production growth, strategic acquisitions, and a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Despite these positive developments, the company acknowledged challenges such as oil price volatility and a perceived market underappreciation of its recent acquisitions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025