Viper Energy (VNOM)
NASDAQ:VNOM
Want to see VNOM full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Viper Energy
(NASDAQ:VNOM)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$55.00
â–²(21.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/05/26
The score is held back primarily by financial-quality concerns—most notably the 2025 net loss and deeply negative free cash flow—despite strong revenue and operating margins and improved leverage. Offsetting this, technicals remain bullish (though overbought) and the latest earnings call was constructive with raised production guidance, strong capital returns, and an accretive tuck-in acquisition; valuation is mixed with a solid dividend but a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Capital-light royalty model
Viper's royalty/mineral model is structurally low capital intensity: it earns production-linked cash flows while avoiding most drilling and operating costs. This provides durable cash flow leverage to commodity prices, scalability via acreage buys, and lower operational execution risk versus operators.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Despite strong operating cash flow, persistent materially negative free cash flow signals heavy cash outlays (acquisitions, capital, taxes or working capital) that may require continued asset sales, debt draws, or equity issuance if sustained, pressuring long-term cash returns and funding flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital-light royalty model
Viper's royalty/mineral model is structurally low capital intensity: it earns production-linked cash flows while avoiding most drilling and operating costs. This provides durable cash flow leverage to commodity prices, scalability via acreage buys, and lower operational execution risk versus operators.
Read all positive factors
Viper Energy (VNOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.22B
Dividend Yield6.08%
Average Volume (3M)2.78M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.51
Revenue Growth78.85%
EPS Growth-108.36%
CountryUS
EmployeesN/A
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.23
Shares Outstanding176,723,280
10 Day Avg. Volume1,790,731
30 Day Avg. Volume2,783,119
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.72
Price to Book (P/B)1.24
Price to Sales (P/S)4.09
P/FCF Ratio-4.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.12
Enterprise Value/Revenue15.09
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit31.46
Enterprise Value/Ebitda23.44
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$57.43Price Target Upside26.49% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering15
EPS Forecast (FY)2.13
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.23B
Viper Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Viper Energy Partners LP owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. As of December 31, 2021, it had mineral interests in 27,027 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale; and estimated proved oi...
How the Company Makes Money
Viper Energy makes money primarily by collecting royalties and other production-based payments from oil and natural gas produced on properties where it owns mineral and/or royalty interests. When an operator (a third-party E&P company) drills and ...
Viper Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Type
Breaks down revenue into oil, gas, NGLs and other streams so you can see what really drives cash flow. The mix shows exposure to different commodity prices and helps explain why revenue moves up or down even when total production is steady.
Breaks down revenue into oil, gas, NGLs and other streams so you can see what really drives cash flow. The mix shows exposure to different commodity prices and helps explain why revenue moves up or down even when total production is steady.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyViper Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was predominately positive: production outperformed, full-year guidance midpoint was raised (~2.5%), organic growth >5% vs 2025 exit, a strategic tuck-in (Riverbend) adds ~2,000 bbl/d and ~3,000 net acres, and strong capital returns (90% of CAD) alongside ~90% free cash flow margins and a healthy balance sheet. Headwinds are chiefly execution risks from market volatility, unmodeled third-party acceleration upside, higher Q1 cash taxes, and some potential share overhang from prior secondary activity. On balance, the constructive operational results, disciplined capital allocation, and accretive M&A pipeline outweigh the risks discussed.Positive Updates
Production Beat and Guidance Raise
Q1 production exceeded expectations with operators turning >650 gross horizontal wells to production (Diamondback led with 114 gross wells). Management increased the midpoint of full-year oil production guidance by ~2.5% and stated the updated outlook represents over 5% organic growth versus pro forma 2025 exit rate.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility Making Deals Harder
Management acknowledged it is 'tough to get deals done' in the current volatile market; bid-ask dynamics have widened and could impede execution despite visible supply.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Production Beat and Guidance Raise
Q1 production exceeded expectations with operators turning >650 gross horizontal wells to production (Diamondback led with 114 gross wells). Management increased the midpoint of full-year oil production guidance by ~2.5% and stated the updated outlook represents over 5% organic growth versus pro forma 2025 exit rate.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Viper said Q1 production exceeded expectations and raised the midpoint of full‑year oil production guidance by roughly 2.5%, which the company says represents over 5% organic growth versus its pro‑forma 2025 exit rate, after operators turned more than 650 gross horizontal wells to production in the quarter (including Diamondback’s 114 Midland Basin wells); Q1 return of capital was $0.94 per share (90% of cash available for distribution) comprised of a $0.68 dividend and $0.28 of repurchases, and management reiterated a commitment to return at least 75% of cash available for distribution (previously targeting 100% if net debt was ≤ $1.5 billion pre‑Riverbend); they also announced the Riverbend acquisition of >3,000 net royalty acres and ~2,000 bopd for $337 million cash plus 3.7 million Class A shares, and expect cash tax rates to remain near 27%–30%.Viper Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.35B | 859.75M | 826.79M | 865.77M | 504.30M |
| Gross Profit | 645.00M | 584.45M | 630.27M | 688.32M | 368.75M |
| EBITDA | 1.19B | 792.20M | 740.80M | 783.42M | 395.23M |
| Net Income | -68.00M | 359.25M | 200.09M | 151.67M | 57.94M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 12.67B | 5.07B | 3.97B | 2.92B | 3.03B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 13.00M | 26.85M | 25.87M | 18.18M | 39.45M |
| Total Debt | 2.19B | 1.08B | 1.08B | 576.89M | 776.73M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.31B | 1.16B | 1.12B | 598.85M | 801.19M |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.45B | 1.69B | 1.01B | 690.01M | 814.09M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.37B | -76.63M | -270.17M | 635.66M | 25.94M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.05B | 619.61M | 638.19M | 699.80M | 307.11M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.42B | -608.57M | -908.37M | 47.57M | -281.18M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.36B | -10.05M | 277.86M | -768.64M | -5.61M |
Viper Energy Technical Analysis
Neutral
45.40
Price Trends
45.24
Positive
41.76
Positive
39.22
Positive
Market Momentum
0.19
Positive
48.06
Neutral
68.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNOM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 45.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.53, above the 50-day MA of 45.24, and above the 200-day MA of 39.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VNOM.
Viper Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $15.98B | 9.27 | 14.75% | 8.54% | -10.83% | 129.74% | |
78 Outperform | $14.99B | 26.36 | 9.41% | 2.70% | 22.22% | 23.30% | |
74 Outperform | $16.76B | 21.13 | 34.44% | 9.13% | 6.61% | -25.64% | |
74 Outperform | $8.21B | 11.96 | 59.38% | 8.45% | 7.06% | 13.61% | |
66 Neutral | $18.46B | 15.28 | 19.19% | 8.03% | -10.83% | 150.21% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
64 Neutral | $18.22B | -15.81 | -1.79% | 6.08% | 78.85% | -108.36% |
* Energy Sector Average
VNOM
Viper Energy
50.95
13.10
34.60%
PAA
Plains All American
22.65
7.71
51.62%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
42.57
10.00
30.70%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
24.23
8.25
51.60%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
39.52
5.17
15.06%
DTM
DT Midstream
146.97
49.36
50.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.