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Viper Energy (VNOM)
NASDAQ:VNOM
US Market

Viper Energy (VNOM) AI Stock Analysis

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Viper Energy

(NASDAQ:VNOM)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$47.00
â–²(15.08%Upside)
Viper Energy receives a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance and strategic corporate events, which enhance its market position and operational efficiency. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and attractive valuation further contribute to the favorable outlook, despite mixed technical indicators.
Positive Factors
Growth Outlook
VNOM offers investors exposure to a high-growth, oil-weighted, income investment, with strong downside protection.
Operational Synergies
VNOM's unique relationship with FANG provides access to high-quality royalty interests, enhancing production visibility and cash flow stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
The accretive acquisition of Tumbleweed and investor enthusiasm around the upcoming drop down of EER minerals support continued momentum.
Negative Factors
Transaction Cost
The absolute value of the deal was higher than estimated, resulting in a more expensive transaction and a lowered price objective.
Valuation Concerns
VNOM’s strong growth outlook warrants a premium valuation, yet shares trade in line with royalty peer group median.

Viper Energy (VNOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viper Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViper Energy Partners LP owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. As of December 31, 2021, it had mineral interests in 27,027 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale; and estimated proved oil and natural gas reserves of 127,888 thousand barrels of crude oil equivalent. Viper Energy Partners GP LLC operates as the general partner of the company. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Midland, Texas. Viper Energy Partners LP is a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyViper Energy makes money primarily through the collection of royalty payments from its mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties. These royalty interests entitle Viper Energy to a percentage of the revenue generated from the production of oil and gas by operators on its properties, without the company having to bear the cost of drilling and production. This asset-light business model allows Viper Energy to generate revenue with relatively low operational expenses. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as oil and gas prices, production volumes, and the performance of the operators managing the extraction activities. Additionally, Viper Energy's strategic acquisitions of additional mineral interests can enhance its revenue base over time.

Viper Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment with strong production performance and strategic transactions positioning Viper well, despite challenges posed by market volatility and lower commodity prices. The company remains optimistic about leveraging its strong balance sheet and investment-grade status to navigate the current environment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Production
Oil and total production exceeded the high end of the guidance ranges for the first quarter of 2025.
Transformative Drop-Down Transaction
The transformative transaction between Viper and Diamondback closed on May 1, 2025, positioning Viper well despite market volatility.
Investment Grade Upgrade
Viper was upgraded to investment grade by Fitch, enhancing its access to capital and financial stability.
Opportunistic Share Repurchases
Viper took advantage of market volatility to repurchase shares, demonstrating confidence in its long-term strategy.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Volatility
Since the end of the first quarter, there has been a period of lower commodity prices and significant market volatility affecting the industry.
Lower Q1 Dividend
The Q1 dividend was $0.57, approximately $0.07 lower than it would have been due to the timing of the drop-down transaction closing.
Potential Impact of Sustained Low Oil Prices
There is concern that sustained sub-$50 oil prices could lead to reduced activity levels and potential impact on Viper's production and financials.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Viper Energy reported higher-than-expected oil and total production, surpassing the high end of their guidance ranges. Despite entering a period of lower commodity prices and significant market volatility, Viper Energy is confident in its financial resilience due to its high free cash flow margins and high-quality assets. The company recently completed a transformative drop-down transaction with Diamondback, which closed on May 1, 2025, and is expected to maintain leverage below one times even in a sustained $50 per barrel WTI environment. Viper issued approximately 28 million shares in January to fund the transaction, resulting in net proceeds of roughly $1.3 billion, but did not receive any production or cash flow from the acquired assets during the quarter. Consequently, their Q1 dividend was $0.57 per share, approximately $0.07 lower than it would have been otherwise. The company chose to retain around $25 million of incremental capital for future allocation decisions. Despite potential sustained weakness in commodity prices, Viper expects its production to remain durable and is maintaining its guidance for oil production for the latter half of 2025.

Viper Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viper Energy demonstrates a strong financial position with high profitability and efficient operations. Revenue growth is robust, supported by strong profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage and improved equity ratios. However, negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures presents a potential risk that requires strategic management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Viper Energy shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin over 66% in TTM. Net profit margin improved to 43.5% in TTM, indicating effective cost control. Revenue growth is moderate, with a 5.3% increase from the previous annual report, despite a volatile price environment in the oil & gas industry. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, enhancing overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 in TTM, reflecting managed leverage. Stockholders' equity has strengthened, contributing to a 42.9% equity ratio. Return on equity improved significantly to 14.6% in TTM, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds. However, the increase in total debt requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust at $705 million TTM, although free cash flow is negative due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.8, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the impact of significant capital investments on cash reserves.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
898.41M853.58M826.79M865.77M504.30M249.57M
Gross Profit
595.55M578.28M630.27M688.32M368.75M129.22M
EBIT
582.47M566.40M620.22M680.48M361.57M52.91M
EBITDA
884.36M794.25M742.32M783.41M395.23M82.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
390.88M359.25M200.09M151.67M57.94M-192.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
560.00M26.85M25.87M18.18M39.45M19.12M
Total Assets
6.24B5.07B3.97B2.92B3.03B2.46B
Total Debt
822.00M1.08B1.08B576.89M776.73M555.64M
Net Debt
262.00M1.06B1.06B558.72M737.28M536.52M
Total Liabilities
915.00M1.16B1.12B598.85M801.19M600.54M
Stockholders Equity
2.67B1.69B1.01B690.66M814.82M635.25M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-456.30M-76.63M-270.17M635.66M25.94M130.88M
Operating Cash Flow
705.17M619.61M638.19M699.80M307.11M196.56M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.07B-608.57M-908.37M47.57M-281.18M-16.28M
Financing Cash Flow
908.91M-10.05M277.86M-768.64M-5.61M-164.75M

Viper Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price40.84
Price Trends
50DMA
40.29
Positive
100DMA
42.48
Negative
200DMA
45.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
49.05
Neutral
STOCH
38.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.79, above the 50-day MA of 40.29, and below the 200-day MA of 45.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNOM.

Viper Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.13B10.9920.80%5.58%17.40%39.33%
80
Outperform
$8.18B15.3149.74%7.29%8.77%15.22%
DTDTM
79
Outperform
$10.69B28.788.29%3.12%10.83%-10.47%
WEWES
79
Outperform
$14.53B11.4039.79%9.55%11.48%-5.67%
AMAM
78
Outperform
$8.71B21.1519.71%4.96%5.03%7.15%
58
Neutral
$7.59B3.32-4.46%9.96%0.83%-49.64%
58
Neutral
$6.76B45.60-8.21%7.29%23.42%-61.22%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNOM
Viper Energy
40.84
5.93
16.99%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.11
2.18
6.07%
AM
Antero Midstream
18.13
4.41
32.14%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
38.57
5.17
15.48%
KNTK
Kinetik
42.89
5.18
13.74%
DTM
DT Midstream
105.25
38.07
56.67%

Viper Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Viper Energy Enters New $1.5 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with Viper Energy Partners LLC and Wells Fargo Bank, replacing an existing agreement from 2018. The new agreement provides a $1.5 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility, with borrowings bearing interest based on term SOFR or an alternate base rate plus an applicable margin. The agreement includes customary covenants and allows for voluntary prepayment without penalty, except for term SOFR loan breakage. The Borrower terminated all commitments under the previous agreement, repaid outstanding borrowings, and released related guarantees and security interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNOM) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viper Energy stock, see the VNOM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viper Energy Announces Merger with Sitio Royalties
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Sitio Royalties Corp., involving an all-equity transaction. This strategic merger will result in Viper stockholders owning 80% of the new entity, with Sitio stockholders holding the remaining 20%. The merger aims to enhance Viper’s market positioning and operational efficiency, with the new entity continuing under the name ‘Viper Energy, Inc.’ and maintaining the same board and executive officers as Viper. The merger is subject to customary conditions, including stockholder approvals and regulatory clearances, with a termination fee outlined for certain scenarios.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNOM) stock is a Buy with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viper Energy stock, see the VNOM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividends
Viper Energy Announces $4.1 Billion Acquisition Deal
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. announced an agreement to acquire Sitio Royalties Corp. in an all-equity transaction valued at approximately $4.1 billion. The merger, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, will see former Viper and Sitio stockholders owning 80% and 20% of the new entity, respectively. The transaction aims to enhance Viper’s scale and inventory depth, providing significant synergies and financial accretion. Viper also announced a 10% increase in its base dividend, reflecting confidence in future cash flow growth. The merger positions Viper as a leader in the mineral and royalty interests sector, with substantial assets in the Permian Basin, and is expected to deliver higher margins and lower costs of capital, benefiting shareholders with increased returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNOM) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viper Energy stock, see the VNOM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Viper Energy Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders in Midland, Texas. During the meeting, stockholders voted on three key proposals. Firstly, the election of eight directors was confirmed, allowing them to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Secondly, the compensation for the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis. Lastly, the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNOM) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viper Energy stock, see the VNOM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viper Energy Completes Major Acquisition from Diamondback
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. and its subsidiary completed the acquisition of mineral and royalty interests from Diamondback Energy, Inc. for $1 billion in cash and equity issuance. This transaction, known as the ‘Drop Down,’ adds approximately 22,847 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin to Viper’s portfolio, with Diamondback operating 69% of these interests. The acquisition was funded through a public offering and credit facility, and it was approved by Viper’s board and stockholders, enhancing Viper’s strategic position in the oil and gas industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.