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Viper Energy (VNOM)
NASDAQ:VNOM
US Market
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Viper Energy (VNOM) AI Stock Analysis

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VNOM

Viper Energy

(NASDAQ:VNOM)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
â–²(13.02% Upside)
Viper Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and strategic corporate events. The company's low valuation and high dividend yield add to its attractiveness. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and challenges in cash management need addressing to sustain growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Improvements in credit quality should continue to aid the cost of capital with some tangible benefits.
Growth Strategy
VNOM holds the line on 2025 volume guide and looks to assuage growth concerns out to 2026.
Market Position
As the largest publicly traded royalty company, VNOM's size and scale advantages allow it to target high-quality assets in the Permian Basin.
Negative Factors
Valuation Concerns
VNOM’s strong growth outlook warrants a premium valuation, yet shares trade in line with royalty peer group median.

Viper Energy (VNOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viper Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViper Energy (VNOM) is a publicly traded company that focuses on the acquisition and management of oil and natural gas mineral and royalty interests in the United States. Primarily operating in the leading oil and gas regions such as the Permian Basin, Viper Energy aims to provide investors with exposure to the energy sector while minimizing operational costs and risks. The company does not engage in drilling or operating wells directly; instead, it earns revenue by holding mineral rights and receiving royalties from production activities conducted by its operator partners.
How the Company Makes MoneyViper Energy generates revenue primarily through the collection of royalties on oil and gas production from its mineral and royalty interests. These royalties are paid by operators who extract resources from the land where Viper holds rights, allowing the company to earn income without the direct costs associated with exploration and production. Key revenue streams include a percentage of the sale price of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its properties. Additionally, Viper may benefit from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships with major operators in the industry, which can enhance its revenue stability and growth potential as these operators increase production in high-demand areas.

Viper Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong production growth and strategic acquisitions, with a clear plan for returning capital to shareholders. However, market reactions to recent acquisitions and the integration of non-Permian assets present some challenges. Overall, the sentiment leans positive due to strategic growth and capital return plans.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Oil Production Growth
Despite oil price volatility, Viper Energy delivered strong oil production growth both on an absolute and per-share basis in the second quarter of 2025.
Acquisition of Sitio Royalties
Viper Energy announced a definitive agreement to acquire Sitio Royalties in an all-equity transaction, adding substantial scale and inventory depth, supporting production profile over the next decade with an expected 15% year-over-year growth in oil production.
Return of Capital Commitment
Viper Energy is returning $0.56 per share to stockholders this quarter, representing 75% of their cash available for distribution, with plans to return all excess cash up to 100% once net debt is at or below $1.5 billion.
Increased Third-Party Operator Activities
Viper Energy witnessed increased third-party operator activities on their assets despite a broader industry slowdown, benefiting from consistent development plans from major operators like Exxon, Oxy, EOG, and Conoco.
Negative Updates
Market Underappreciation of Acquisition
Viper Energy's stock underperformed several peers since announcing the Sitio acquisition, indicating a potential market underappreciation of the acquisition's benefits.
Concerns Over Non-Permian Assets
There is some uncertainty regarding the future of non-Permian assets in the Sitio portfolio, as Viper Energy traditionally focuses on being a Permian-only business.
Company Guidance
During the Viper Energy Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Matthew Kaes Van't Hof provided guidance highlighting significant organic growth and strategic acquisitions. Viper Energy anticipates over 15% year-over-year growth in Diamondback-operated net oil production, with a mid-single-digit percentage increase in full-year 2026 average production from expected Q4 2025 levels. Additionally, oil production per share is projected to be approximately 15% higher in 2026 compared to 2025. The guidance also emphasized the strategic acquisition of Sitio Royalties, expected to close post-August 18, 2025, adding substantial scale and inventory depth. This acquisition aligns with Viper's strategy to maintain a strong balance sheet, targeting a pro forma net debt of $1.5 billion, representing approximately 1 turn of leverage at $50 WTI. Viper plans to return $0.56 per share to stockholders this quarter, representing 75% of cash available for distribution, with a potential to return up to 100% of available cash when net debt is at or below the target.

Viper Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viper Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and a stable balance sheet. However, the negative free cash flow and its declining trend highlight potential challenges in cash management. The company should focus on improving free cash flow generation to sustain its growth trajectory and manage its increasing debt levels effectively.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Viper Energy shows strong revenue growth with a 7.96% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 56.70% and a net profit margin of 113.26%, although the latter seems unusually high, possibly due to extraordinary items. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 109.48% and 165.80% respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the decline in gross profit margin from previous periods indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 16.16%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 34.95%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over time could pose future risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 10.19, indicating good cash generation from operations. However, the negative free cash flow and its decline by 8.13% in TTM raise concerns about cash management and investment efficiency. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company is not converting its profits into free cash flow effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue969.93M853.58M826.79M865.77M504.30M249.57M
Gross Profit589.28M578.28M630.27M688.32M368.75M129.22M
EBITDA912.10M794.25M742.32M783.41M395.23M82.55M
Net Income370.98M359.25M200.09M151.67M57.94M-192.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.79B5.07B3.97B2.92B3.03B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.00M26.85M25.87M18.18M39.45M19.12M
Total Debt1.10B1.08B1.08B576.89M776.73M555.64M
Total Liabilities1.18B1.16B1.12B598.85M801.19M600.54M
Stockholders Equity3.42B1.69B1.01B690.01M814.09M634.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-419.19M-76.63M-270.17M635.66M25.94M130.88M
Operating Cash Flow733.88M619.61M638.19M699.80M307.11M196.56M
Investing Cash Flow-1.93B-608.57M-908.37M47.57M-281.18M-16.28M
Financing Cash Flow1.19B-10.05M277.86M-768.64M-5.61M-164.75M

Viper Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.16
Price Trends
50DMA
37.85
Negative
100DMA
38.80
Negative
200DMA
42.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
47.24
Neutral
STOCH
25.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.33, below the 50-day MA of 37.85, and below the 200-day MA of 42.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNOM.

Viper Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.60B15.1952.91%6.86%9.02%17.28%
78
Outperform
$8.34B18.5221.65%5.15%7.09%17.53%
77
Outperform
$10.36B27.428.48%3.03%15.28%-9.99%
77
Outperform
$14.59B11.7738.42%9.38%7.11%-16.14%
76
Outperform
$10.75B10.8016.43%6.34%17.92%18.39%
65
Neutral
$14.81B7.143.01%5.53%4.29%-62.49%
54
Neutral
$6.45B55.09-8.21%7.85%16.09%-71.69%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNOM
Viper Energy
37.16
-7.75
-17.26%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.21
3.27
9.36%
AM
Antero Midstream
17.71
3.73
26.68%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
41.32
6.83
19.80%
KNTK
Kinetik
39.83
-0.77
-1.90%
DTM
DT Midstream
103.24
29.18
39.40%

Viper Energy Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board Changes
Viper Energy Restructures and Trades Under New Ticker
Neutral
Aug 19, 2025

Viper Energy Partners LP, previously known as Former Viper, has undergone significant corporate restructuring. On August 19, 2025, New Viper became the successor to Former Viper, with its Class A Common Stock beginning to trade on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol ‘VNOM’, replacing Former Viper’s stock. This restructuring involved the cancellation of Former Viper’s common stock and the assumption of various agreements by New Viper. Additionally, the board of directors saw changes with new appointments and the amendment of the certificate of incorporation and bylaws.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viper Energy Completes $1.6 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. and Viper Energy Partners LLC completed a public offering of $1.6 billion in senior notes, which will be guaranteed by Viper Energy and New Cobra Pubco, Inc. following the acquisition of Sitio Royalties Corp. The offering includes $500 million of 4.900% Senior Notes due 2030 and $1.1 billion of 5.700% Senior Notes due 2035. Concurrently, Viper Energy entered into a Term Loan Credit Agreement allowing for up to $500 million in unsecured borrowing, contingent on the Sitio Acquisition. Additionally, Viper Energy redeemed its existing 2027 and 2031 notes, and released subsidiary guarantees under its Revolving Credit Agreement, marking significant financial restructuring and positioning for future growth.

Private Placements and Financing
Viper Energy Announces $1.6 Billion Senior Notes Issuance
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. announced an underwriting agreement for the issuance and sale of $1.6 billion in senior notes, with $500 million due in 2030 and $1.1 billion due in 2035. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including redeeming existing notes and potentially those of Sitio Royalties Corp. if an acquisition closes. The notes will be senior unsecured obligations, ranking equally with existing senior indebtedness and are expected to close on July 23, 2025, subject to customary conditions.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viper Energy Announces Merger with Sitio Royalties
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. and Viper Energy Partners LLC completed the acquisition of mineral and royalty interests from Endeavor Energy Resources, a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc. Subsequently, on June 2, 2025, Viper entered into a merger agreement with Sitio Royalties Corp., aiming to acquire Sitio in an all-equity transaction. These strategic moves are expected to strengthen Viper’s position in the energy market by expanding its asset base and operational capabilities.

Private Placements and Financing
Viper Energy Enters New $1.5 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with Viper Energy Partners LLC and Wells Fargo Bank, replacing an existing agreement from 2018. The new agreement provides a $1.5 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility, with borrowings bearing interest based on term SOFR or an alternate base rate plus an applicable margin. The agreement includes customary covenants and allows for voluntary prepayment without penalty, except for term SOFR loan breakage. The Borrower terminated all commitments under the previous agreement, repaid outstanding borrowings, and released related guarantees and security interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viper Energy Announces Merger with Sitio Royalties
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Sitio Royalties Corp., involving an all-equity transaction. This strategic merger will result in Viper stockholders owning 80% of the new entity, with Sitio stockholders holding the remaining 20%. The merger aims to enhance Viper’s market positioning and operational efficiency, with the new entity continuing under the name ‘Viper Energy, Inc.’ and maintaining the same board and executive officers as Viper. The merger is subject to customary conditions, including stockholder approvals and regulatory clearances, with a termination fee outlined for certain scenarios.

M&A TransactionsDividends
Viper Energy Announces $4.1 Billion Acquisition Deal
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. announced an agreement to acquire Sitio Royalties Corp. in an all-equity transaction valued at approximately $4.1 billion. The merger, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, will see former Viper and Sitio stockholders owning 80% and 20% of the new entity, respectively. The transaction aims to enhance Viper’s scale and inventory depth, providing significant synergies and financial accretion. Viper also announced a 10% increase in its base dividend, reflecting confidence in future cash flow growth. The merger positions Viper as a leader in the mineral and royalty interests sector, with substantial assets in the Permian Basin, and is expected to deliver higher margins and lower costs of capital, benefiting shareholders with increased returns.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Viper Energy Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Viper Energy, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders in Midland, Texas. During the meeting, stockholders voted on three key proposals. Firstly, the election of eight directors was confirmed, allowing them to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Secondly, the compensation for the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis. Lastly, the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025