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voestalpine AG (VLPNY)
OTHER OTC:VLPNY
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voestalpine AG (VLPNY) AI Stock Analysis

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VLPNY

voestalpine AG

(OTC:VLPNY)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(3.24% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's stable financial performance and strong technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio raises concerns about valuation, and the overbought technical indicators suggest caution. The lack of recent earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Stable gross profit margins and positive EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate strong operational efficiency, which supports long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Global Presence
A strong global presence enables the company to leverage economies of scale, diversify revenue streams, and mitigate risks associated with regional market fluctuations.
Diversified Operations
Diversification across sectors like automotive and rail technology reduces dependency on a single market, enhancing resilience against industry-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests potential market or operational challenges, which could hinder future expansion and impact long-term financial health.
Low Net Profit Margin
A low net profit margin indicates difficulties in translating revenue into profit, which may affect the company's ability to reinvest and grow sustainably.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth suggests challenges in cash generation, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund new projects or reduce debt.

voestalpine AG (VLPNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

voestalpine AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVoestalpine AG processes, develops, manufactures, and sells steel products in Austria, European Union, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Steel, High Performance Metals, Metal Engineering, Metal Forming, and Other. The Steel division produces hot and cold-rolled steel strips, as well as electrogalvanized, hot-dip galvanized, and organically coated steel strips; and heavy plates for the energy sector, as well as turbine casings for automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, energy, mechanical engineering, and others. The High Performance Metals segment offers special alloys for the oil and natural gas, aerospace, and energy engineering industries; tool manufacturing, component processing, heat treatment, and coating services; and warehousing and preprocessing of special steels, as well as services, including logistics, distribution, and processing for the oil and natural gas industries for automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, aerospace, mechanical engineering, and others. The Metal Engineering division offers rails and turnout products, rod and drawn wires, seamless tubes, and welding consumables and machinery; rails and digital monitoring systems; and services for rail infrastructure. This segment serves railway systems, automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, energy, mechanical engineering, and others. The Metal Forming division manufactures special tubes and sections, and precision strip steel products, as well as pre-finished system components made from pressed, stamped, and roll-profiled parts for use in automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, energy, mechanical engineering, and others. The company is headquartered in Linz, Austria.
How the Company Makes Moneyvoestalpine AG generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of steel products and services, which include flat and long products, tubes, and special steels. The company has established key revenue streams through its diversified operations across multiple sectors, including automotive and rail technology, where it supplies components and systems. Significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers enhance its revenue model, as these collaborations often involve long-term contracts and specialized product offerings tailored to specific client needs. Additionally, voestalpine benefits from its global presence, allowing it to capture market share in emerging economies and leverage economies of scale in production.

voestalpine AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed a mixed performance with strong segments like Railway Systems and Aerospace, and successful projects like Greentec steel. However, it also highlighted challenges such as declining revenue, demand issues in key markets, and restructuring costs. The company managed to maintain a stable financial position with positive free cash flow, but faces uncertainties with U.S. tariffs and European market conditions.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Railway Systems
The Railway Systems segment saw good market demand globally, leading to strong performance. Good order intakes and long-term contracts contributed to this success.
Growth in Aerospace and Warehouse Business
Aerospace industry showed strong demand, and the high-bay warehouse business continued to grow with significant investments and production enhancements in the U.S. and Brazil.
Greentec Steel Project Progress
The Greentec steel project is on track with approximately EUR 500 million already invested out of a EUR 1.5 billion budget, focusing on decarbonization and modernization.
Stable Low Debt Situation
The company maintained a stable low debt situation with a gearing ratio of 22% and an equity ratio of 47%.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Despite challenges, the company achieved a free cash flow of EUR 309 million, focusing on optimizing working capital and streamlining capital expenditures.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue and EBITDA
Revenue decreased by EUR 1 billion, from EUR 16.7 billion to EUR 15.7 billion, and EBITDA declined from EUR 1.7 billion to EUR 1.3 billion.
Weak Demand in Automotive Components
The automotive components market faced ailing demand, necessitating reorganization projects in the metal forming and high-performance metals divisions.
Challenges in European Markets
Europe was the weakest market with particularly low performance in Germany. Mechanical engineering and construction sectors also showed weak demand.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
The introduction of 25% tariffs in the U.S. posed challenges, with potential further negative impact if tariffs increase to 50%.
Restructuring Costs
Significant restructuring costs were incurred, including EUR 170 million in goodwill impairments and EUR 50 million related to the reorganization of the automotive components segment.
Company Guidance
In the Voestalpine AG fiscal year 2024-2025 results presentation, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company achieved solid results despite a challenging environment, driven by strong performances in Railway Systems and aviation, along with growth in high-bay warehouse business. However, ailing demand in automotive components and mechanical engineering necessitated reorganization projects in the metal forming and high-performance metals divisions. Voestalpine maintained a stable low debt situation and focused on free cash flow generation, with EUR 500 million already invested in the Greentec steel project. Looking ahead, Voestalpine expects EBITDA in the range of EUR 1.4 billion to EUR 1.55 billion for fiscal year 2025-2026, with stable business anticipated in automotive and energy segments, and continued strong performance in railway systems and aerospace. The company also highlighted ongoing strategic investments and efficiency programs to enhance growth and resilience.

voestalpine AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows operational efficiency with stable gross profit margins and positive EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges exist in revenue growth and profitability, as indicated by low net profit margins and negative revenue growth. The balance sheet is solid with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, but cash flow generation is a concern due to negative free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin is relatively stable, but net profit margin is low, indicating challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, reflecting potential market or operational challenges. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is low, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. However, the equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns. Free cash flow growth has been negative, indicating potential issues in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing that the company can convert its net income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.50B15.74B16.68B18.23B14.92B10.90B
Gross Profit2.76B2.84B2.79B3.64B3.36B1.83B
EBITDA804.10M1.40B1.74B2.42B2.20B1.07B
Net Income119.00M153.50M100.80M1.06B1.30B42.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.55B15.73B16.56B17.09B17.02B14.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B1.09B1.48B1.40B988.40M1.30B
Total Debt0.002.69B3.06B2.99B3.19B3.98B
Total Liabilities8.04B8.27B9.06B9.32B9.96B9.26B
Stockholders Equity7.28B7.22B7.19B7.45B6.91B5.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow514.00M311.90M366.00M204.10M588.90M1.03B
Operating Cash Flow1.65B1.42B1.45B956.20M1.24B1.63B
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B-1.25B-853.00M-47.10M-629.80M-665.80M
Financing Cash Flow-505.00M-699.50M-325.30M-685.90M-948.30M-595.60M

voestalpine AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.78
Price Trends
50DMA
6.14
Positive
100DMA
5.69
Positive
200DMA
5.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
65.49
Neutral
STOCH
66.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VLPNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.62, above the 50-day MA of 6.14, and above the 200-day MA of 5.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VLPNY.

voestalpine AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$6.63B191.010.88%1.24%-5.64%-93.26%
71
Outperform
$6.14B11.125.77%3.53%-6.55%-37.93%
70
Neutral
$6.87B11.744.89%7.80%-16.83%
65
Neutral
$4.70B13.7010.49%-18.58%-35.32%
63
Neutral
$6.03B42.891.65%2.38%-4.82%115.62%
61
Neutral
$10.48B7.52-0.05%2.87%2.87%-36.73%
52
Neutral
$5.83B-25.79%-12.14%-4329.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VLPNY
voestalpine AG
6.78
2.24
49.34%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
11.68
-0.07
-0.60%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
57.84
7.14
14.08%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.03
-0.21
-6.48%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
28.77
1.06
3.83%
TX
Ternium SA
34.62
3.42
10.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025