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voestalpine AG (VLPNY)
OTHER OTC:VLPNY
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voestalpine AG (VLPNY) AI Stock Analysis

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VLPNY

voestalpine AG

(OTC:VLPNY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-8.88% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong operational efficiency but challenges in revenue growth and profitability. Positive technical momentum supports the stock, though valuation concerns persist. The earnings call provided a balanced view with strong cash flow but highlighted external challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Development
The significant increase in operating cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and debt reduction.
Decarbonization Projects
Timely progress in decarbonization projects positions the company as a leader in sustainable steel production, aligning with global environmental trends.
EU Safeguard Measures
EU measures provide a competitive edge by protecting against cheaper imports, supporting pricing power and market share in Europe.
Negative Factors
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
U.S. tariffs pose a significant challenge, potentially reducing profitability and competitiveness in affected divisions, impacting long-term growth.
Challenges in High Performance Metals
Decreased demand and competition in metals can strain margins and hinder growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain profitability.
Lower Automotive Components Production
Reduced automotive production affects revenue from this sector, highlighting vulnerability to industry cycles and necessitating diversification.

voestalpine AG (VLPNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

voestalpine AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVoestalpine AG processes, develops, manufactures, and sells steel products in Austria, European Union, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Steel, High Performance Metals, Metal Engineering, Metal Forming, and Other. The Steel division produces hot and cold-rolled steel strips, as well as electrogalvanized, hot-dip galvanized, and organically coated steel strips; and heavy plates for the energy sector, as well as turbine casings for automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, energy, mechanical engineering, and others. The High Performance Metals segment offers special alloys for the oil and natural gas, aerospace, and energy engineering industries; tool manufacturing, component processing, heat treatment, and coating services; and warehousing and preprocessing of special steels, as well as services, including logistics, distribution, and processing for the oil and natural gas industries for automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, aerospace, mechanical engineering, and others. The Metal Engineering division offers rails and turnout products, rod and drawn wires, seamless tubes, and welding consumables and machinery; rails and digital monitoring systems; and services for rail infrastructure. This segment serves railway systems, automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, energy, mechanical engineering, and others. The Metal Forming division manufactures special tubes and sections, and precision strip steel products, as well as pre-finished system components made from pressed, stamped, and roll-profiled parts for use in automotive, white goods/consumer goods, building/construction, energy, mechanical engineering, and others. The company is headquartered in Linz, Austria.
How the Company Makes Moneyvoestalpine AG generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of steel products and services, which include flat and long products, tubes, and special steels. The company has established key revenue streams through its diversified operations across multiple sectors, including automotive and rail technology, where it supplies components and systems. Significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers enhance its revenue model, as these collaborations often involve long-term contracts and specialized product offerings tailored to specific client needs. Additionally, voestalpine benefits from its global presence, allowing it to capture market share in emerging economies and leverage economies of scale in production.

voestalpine AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong cash flow and solid performance in key segments like Steel and Railway Systems, coupled with progress in strategic projects. However, challenges such as U.S. tariffs and reduced demand in some divisions present notable concerns.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Development
Achieved a cash flow from operating activities of EUR 783 million, more than doubling from EUR 346 million in the previous year.
Steady Performance in Steel Division
Steel Division reported an EBITDA margin of more than 13% and showed strong performance despite a challenging market.
Significant Progress in Decarbonization Projects
Decarbonization projects, including greentec steel initiatives, are on time and on budget.
Positive Impact from EU Safeguard Measures
Expected tailwind from announced EU safeguard measures and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) in the upcoming year.
Strong Performance in Railway Systems
Railway Systems, part of the Metal Engineering Division, is a major contributor with more than 10% EBITDA margin and a growing business in Europe and the Middle East.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
High double-digit EBITDA impact expected for the business year due to U.S. tariffs, affecting divisions like Metal Engineering and High Performance Metals.
Challenges in High Performance Metals Division
Lower demand and intense competition led to reduced utilization and an EBITDA margin of 7.6%.
Lower Automotive Components Production
Metal Forming Division faced lower production in automotive components due to reduced car production in Europe.
Mixed Economic Outlook
Continued uncertainty in global economic conditions, with subdued development in Europe and high competition in Brazil due to Chinese imports.
Company Guidance
During the Voestalpine conference call for the first half of the fiscal year 2025-2026, the company provided guidance indicating that despite global economic uncertainties, their outlook remains unchanged. They expect an EBITDA between EUR 1.4 billion and EUR 1.55 billion for the fiscal year, incorporating impacts from U.S. tariffs. The company highlighted financial performance metrics, including a decline in revenues by EUR 450 million or 5.6% and a strong cash flow from operating activities at EUR 783 million, more than doubling the previous year’s figure. The EBITDA margin for the Steel Division was over 13%, while the High Performance Metals Division reported a solid EBITDA margin of 7.6%. Voestalpine emphasized ongoing projects, such as the hydrogen-based pig iron production plant set to start in 2027, and noted the positive impacts from EU safeguard measures and CBAM. They also maintained a strong balance sheet, with an equity ratio of 49% and a gearing ratio of around 20%, projecting a positive free cash flow of at least EUR 350 million by year-end.

voestalpine AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows operational efficiency with stable gross profit margins but faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is solid, but cash flow generation needs improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin is relatively stable, but net profit margin is low, indicating challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, reflecting potential market or operational challenges. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is low, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. However, the equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns. Free cash flow growth has been negative, indicating potential issues in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing that the company can convert its net income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.50B15.74B16.68B18.23B14.92B10.90B
Gross Profit2.76B2.84B2.79B3.64B3.36B1.83B
EBITDA1.11B1.40B1.74B2.44B2.20B1.07B
Net Income119.00M153.50M100.80M1.06B1.30B42.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.55B15.73B16.56B17.09B17.02B14.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B1.09B1.48B1.40B988.40M1.30B
Total Debt0.002.69B3.06B2.99B3.19B4.02B
Total Liabilities8.04B8.27B9.06B9.32B9.96B9.26B
Stockholders Equity7.28B7.22B7.19B7.45B6.91B5.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow514.00M311.90M366.00M204.10M588.90M1.03B
Operating Cash Flow1.65B1.42B1.45B956.20M1.24B1.63B
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B-1.25B-853.00M-47.10M-629.80M-665.80M
Financing Cash Flow-505.00M-699.50M-325.30M-685.90M-948.30M-595.60M

voestalpine AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.78
Price Trends
50DMA
7.55
Positive
100DMA
6.90
Positive
200DMA
6.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
71.97
Negative
STOCH
95.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VLPNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.88, above the 50-day MA of 7.55, and above the 200-day MA of 6.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VLPNY.

voestalpine AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.62B23.685.84%-16.81%-67.68%
73
Outperform
$7.31B12.734.80%7.25%-16.69%585.38%
71
Outperform
$6.70B13.515.21%3.07%-2.53%-36.08%
70
Neutral
$7.12B86.351.99%1.12%-1.61%-81.36%
67
Neutral
$7.81B34.442.62%1.58%-3.86%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
$7.32B-27.16%-6.76%-255.94%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VLPNY
voestalpine AG
8.78
5.01
132.89%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
12.85
-0.05
-0.39%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
64.08
1.80
2.89%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.57
0.24
7.21%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
29.50
2.61
9.71%
TX
Ternium SA
37.23
7.94
27.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025