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Veolia Environnement S.A. (VEOEY)
OTHER OTC:VEOEY
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Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) AI Stock Analysis

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VEOEY

Veolia Environnement

(OTC:VEOEY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(27.24% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/06/26
The score is held back mainly by financial risks—especially the sharp increase in leverage and volatile free cash flow—despite improving profitability. Offsetting factors include constructive technical trends, an attractive P/E and dividend yield, and a positive earnings call with reaffirmed 2026 guidance and better near-term cash generation.
Positive Factors
Diversified, contract-based model
Veolia’s diversified multi-local model and high indexation across water, waste and energy secures recurring, contract-linked revenues. That structural mix and local footprint provide predictable cash flows, pass-through pricing and resilience to regional cycles over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp increase in leverage
Debt-to-equity jumping to ~4.7x materially increases balance-sheet risk. Elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility for capex, M&A or dividends, heightens refinancing and covenant exposure, and makes performance more sensitive to cash-flow volatility over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified, contract-based model
Veolia’s diversified multi-local model and high indexation across water, waste and energy secures recurring, contract-linked revenues. That structural mix and local footprint provide predictable cash flows, pass-through pricing and resilience to regional cycles over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Veolia Environnement Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Veolia Environnement S.A. designs and provides water, waste, and energy management solutions worldwide. The company is involved in the resource management, production, and delivery of drinking water and industrial process water; collection, treatm...
How the Company Makes Money
Veolia makes money primarily by delivering contracted environmental services to public-sector and industrial customers across three main businesses: (1) Water: Revenue is generated from operating and maintaining water and wastewater facilities and...

Veolia Environnement Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive tone: management reported resilient organic revenue (+2.1%) and solid EBITDA growth (+5.1%) with margin expansion (+73 bps), improved free cash flow (+EUR 144m), clear M&A progress (Clean Earth cleared and on-track) and active portfolio management and efficiency gains (EUR 96m in Q1). The main negatives were temporary and situational — weather-related volume disruptions, Middle East-driven project-signing delays in Water Technology, and translation/ForEx headwinds (EUR 33m EBITDA impact). Management reiterated full-year guidance and emphasized structural strengths (diversified multi-local model, high indexation, strong liquidity and targeted innovation), indicating that positives materially outweigh the identified headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Revenue of EUR 11,427 million (EUR 11.4bn), up 2.1% organic (constant scope & FX, excluding energy prices). EBITDA EUR 1,766 million, up 5.1% organic (5.8% including tuck-ins). EBITDA margin expanded by 73 bps to 15.5%. Current EBIT EUR 971 million, up 7.2% organic.
Negative Updates
Middle East Geopolitical Impact — Project Delays
Middle East crisis led to delays in signing Water Technology projects (timing/booking & milestone delays). Management expects some of these project-signing delays to continue into Q2; projects are ~30% of activity and are more volatile by nature.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Revenue of EUR 11,427 million (EUR 11.4bn), up 2.1% organic (constant scope & FX, excluding energy prices). EBITDA EUR 1,766 million, up 5.1% organic (5.8% including tuck-ins). EBITDA margin expanded by 73 bps to 15.5%. Current EBIT EUR 971 million, up 7.2% organic.
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Company Guidance
Management fully confirmed 2026 guidance and the GreenUp trajectory: organic EBITDA to grow 5–6% and current net income to rise ~8% at constant FX and before PPA (both figures exclude Clean Earth), with Clean Earth assumed to close mid‑2026 and be accretive to current net income from 2027 (before PPA) and after PPA from 2028; leverage is expected to be ≈3x (equal or slightly above) including Clean Earth and the dividend will grow in line with the current year. They reiterated disciplined cash generation and spending—Q1 net free cash flow improved by €144m, Q1 CapEx was €860m (vs >€1bn last year), net financial debt stood at €20.8bn, net group liquidity €6.7bn and 85% of debt is fixed—supporting the guidance while noting a Q1 FX translation headwind of ~‑€33m on EBITDA. Management also flagged progress on transformation metrics (Water Tech synergies €30m of €90m planned, €96m efficiency gains in Q1, €8.5bn of assets targeted for rotation over four years and €2bn of non‑strategic divestitures planned in the two years after Clean Earth).

Veolia Environnement Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has improved (EBIT margin ~8.4% and net margin ~2.7% in 2025), but revenue momentum is weak (2025 down ~4%). Balance-sheet risk is elevated after a sharp leverage jump (debt-to-equity ~4.7x in 2025), and free cash flow is volatile with a large 2025 drop (~72%), limiting near-term flexibility.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.64B44.69B45.35B42.89B28.51B
Gross Profit7.51B7.77B7.50B7.11B4.58B
EBITDA6.32B6.02B5.86B5.14B3.44B
Net Income1.17B1.10B937.00M716.00M404.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.64B72.96B72.57B73.30B53.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.02B11.76B10.79B10.86B11.96B
Total Debt33.33B19.96B20.46B28.58B21.04B
Total Liabilities61.21B57.65B57.86B61.93B42.77B
Stockholders Equity7.02B12.91B12.31B12.26B11.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.40B5.04B1.86B855.50M1.28B
Operating Cash Flow4.34B5.04B5.00B3.64B3.01B
Investing Cash Flow-3.27B-2.12B-2.12B4.52B-850.60M
Financing Cash Flow-2.51B-1.86B-3.14B-10.17B2.29B

Veolia Environnement Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.29
Price Trends
50DMA
19.69
Positive
100DMA
19.05
Positive
200DMA
17.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
52.60
Neutral
STOCH
67.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VEOEY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.26, below the 50-day MA of 19.69, and below the 200-day MA of 17.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VEOEY.

Veolia Environnement Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$61.67B28.5618.12%1.11%3.19%5.11%
69
Neutral
$14.85B37.5314.37%1.90%2.13%
67
Neutral
$84.92B30.5228.85%1.50%10.87%4.11%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$29.64B20.9413.90%5.25%3.73%14.01%
58
Neutral
$5.23B731.090.46%14.92%-48.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VEOEY
Veolia Environnement
20.26
3.25
19.12%
CWST
Casella Waste
82.17
-34.81
-29.76%
CLH
Clean Harbors
281.03
55.26
24.48%
RSG
Republic Services
200.44
-54.83
-21.48%
WM
Waste Management
211.46
-27.03
-11.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 06, 2026