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Montrose Environmental Group (MEG)
NYSE:MEG
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Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) AI Stock Analysis

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MEG

Montrose Environmental Group

(NYSE:MEG)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(8.02% Upside)
Montrose Environmental Group's overall score is driven by strong earnings call results and improving financial performance, despite ongoing profitability challenges. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. The company's strategic positioning and increased guidance provide a positive outlook, but profitability improvements are essential for a higher score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for MEG's services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash flow generation enhances MEG's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.
Strategic Positioning
MEG's strategic positioning allows it to capitalize on industry trends and regulatory changes, driving sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could hinder MEG's ability to invest in growth and compete effectively in the long term.
Decline in Remediation Segment
A decline in key segments like Remediation affects overall profitability and may require strategic adjustments to sustain growth.
Wind Down of Renewable Services
Exiting renewables limits MEG's diversification and growth potential in emerging markets, impacting long-term strategic goals.

Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Montrose Environmental Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMontrose Environmental Group, Inc. operates as an environmental services company in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Assessment, Permitting and Response; Measurement and Analysis; and Remediation and Reuse. The Assessment, Permitting and Response segment provides scientific advisory and consulting services to support environmental assessments, environmental emergency response and recovery, toxicology consulting and environmental audits and permits for current operations, facility upgrades, new projects, decommissioning projects, and development projects. Its technical advisory and consulting services include regulatory compliance support and planning, environmental, and ecosystem and toxicological assessments and support during responses to environmental disruptions. The Measurement and Analysis segment tests and analyzes air, water, and soil to determine concentrations of contaminants, as well as the toxicological impact of contaminants on flora, fauna, and human health. Its services include source and ambient air testing and monitoring, leak detection, and advanced analytical laboratory services, such as air, storm water, wastewater, and drinking water analysis. The Remediation and Reuse segment provides engineering, design, implementation, and operations and maintenance services primarily to treat contaminated water, remove contaminants from soil, or create biogas from waste. It serves technology, media, chemical, energy, power and utility, industrial and manufacturing, financial, and engineering industries, as well as local, state, provincial, and federal government entities. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in North Little Rock, Arkansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyMontrose Environmental Group generates revenue primarily through its diversified service offerings. Key revenue streams include consulting fees for environmental assessments, contracts for remediation projects, and ongoing monitoring services for compliance with environmental regulations. The company also earns income through partnerships with government agencies and private sector clients, which often result in multi-year contracts. Additionally, MEG leverages its expertise to provide specialized training and educational services, contributing further to its earnings. Overall, the company's ability to adapt to regulatory changes and invest in technological advancements plays a significant role in its financial success.

Montrose Environmental Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with record revenue growth, positive net income, and increased guidance for 2025. Strategic decisions and successful cross-selling efforts contributed positively. Despite challenges in the Remediation and Reuse segment and the wind down of renewables, the overall business outlook remains positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Achieved 26% revenue growth and 19% consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth in Q3 year-over-year.
Positive Financial Performance
Reported a positive GAAP net income for the second consecutive quarter with a GAAP EPS of $0.21.
Increased 2025 Guidance
Raised 2025 guidance for revenue to $810 million to $830 million and consolidated adjusted EBITDA to $112 million to $118 million.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating and free cash flow increased by $65 million and $77 million year-over-year.
Successful Cross-Selling
Notable cross-selling benefits following emergency response incidents, leading to longer-term opportunities.
Strategic Positioning
Montrose's unique business model and competitive positioning capturing tailwinds from external factors.
Positive Customer Feedback
Clients indicate long-term outlook remains positive, leading to continued demand for services.
Negative Updates
Decline in Remediation and Reuse Segment
Adjusted EBITDA margin fell by 380 basis points to 13.3%, primarily due to losses from the wind down of the renewables business.
Wind Down of Renewable Services
Decision to exit the renewable service line due to current administration's policies, impacting margins.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 earnings call, Montrose Environmental Group provided guidance indicating a strong year-to-date performance, citing a 26% revenue increase and a 19% growth in consolidated adjusted EBITDA year-over-year for Q3. They raised their 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $810 million to $830 million, with consolidated adjusted EBITDA expected between $112 million and $118 million, marking an approximate 18% revenue increase and 20% full year adjusted EBITDA growth at the midpoint over 2024. Montrose highlighted their strategic acquisition pause earlier in the year, which was aimed at showcasing the underlying strength of their business. Free cash flow generation exceeded expectations, with a $65 million increase in operating cash flow year-over-year. The company noted positive net income and GAAP EPS for the second consecutive quarter and detailed their optimism for 2026, expecting EBITDA to reach at least $125 million and further improvement in EBITDA margin. They also discussed a favorable industry position amidst economic volatility and evolving regulatory frameworks, emphasizing their resilience and growth potential in the environmental solutions market.

Montrose Environmental Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Montrose Environmental Group demonstrates positive revenue and cash flow growth with improved margins and reduced leverage. However, profitability challenges persist, as indicated by negative net income and return on equity. The balance sheet is strengthening, and cash flow metrics are robust, positioning the company well for future growth if profitability can be improved.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Montrose Environmental Group shows a positive revenue growth trend with a 5.92% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin has improved to 40.77% from 39.95% in the previous year, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is still facing challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -2.52% and negative EBIT margin. The EBITDA margin has improved to 8.55%, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.15 in TTM from 0.52 in the previous year, indicating a stronger balance sheet and reduced leverage. However, the return on equity remains negative at -7.50%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Montrose Environmental Group has shown a strong free cash flow growth rate of 20.17% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, reflecting a healthy cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.84, suggesting efficient cash management despite negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue826.32M696.39M624.21M544.42M546.41M328.24M
Gross Profit336.88M278.20M240.31M192.53M177.38M112.75M
EBITDA60.65M25.88M31.93M32.44M40.96M-6.00M
Net Income-20.85M-62.31M-30.86M-31.82M-25.32M-57.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets985.68M990.35M816.79M791.91M833.09M602.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.84M12.94M23.24M89.83M146.74M34.39M
Total Debt369.63M281.00M210.34M202.12M205.77M175.90M
Total Liabilities526.96M544.09M495.53M478.73M516.59M465.58M
Stockholders Equity458.72M446.26M321.25M313.19M316.50M137.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.87M902.00K23.09M10.65M30.00M-5.93M
Operating Cash Flow87.50M22.23M56.02M20.65M37.58M1.85M
Investing Cash Flow-13.46M-138.04M-101.62M-38.69M-71.64M-179.74M
Financing Cash Flow-79.82M106.00M-20.11M-38.76M146.10M205.90M

Montrose Environmental Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price25.92
Price Trends
50DMA
28.20
Negative
100DMA
26.16
Negative
200DMA
21.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.76
Positive
RSI
43.96
Neutral
STOCH
29.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MEG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 25.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.16, below the 50-day MA of 28.20, and above the 200-day MA of 21.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MEG.

Montrose Environmental Group Risk Analysis

Montrose Environmental Group disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Montrose Environmental Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Montrose Environmental Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$915.95M-4.17%22.77%44.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$237.71M-34.16%-16.87%-124.96%
47
Neutral
$983.10M-35.66%-0.83%-61.90%
47
Neutral
$30.03M-46.57%-5.20%-275.34%
39
Underperform
$44.78M-0.29-490.45%-40.11%-36.69%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MEG
Montrose Environmental Group
25.92
4.16
19.12%
NVRI
Enviri
12.19
4.89
66.99%
PESI
Perma-Fix
12.87
-2.05
-13.74%
QRHC
Quest Resource
1.45
-5.82
-80.06%
AMBI
Ambipar Emergency Response
0.51
-5.59
-91.64%
LNZA
LanzaTech Global
18.59
-141.41
-88.38%

Montrose Environmental Group Corporate Events

Montrose Environmental Group Reports Record Growth and Raises Guidance
Nov 6, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. is a leading environmental solutions company that provides comprehensive services in air measurement, laboratory services, regulatory compliance, environmental emergency response, permitting, engineering, and remediation across approximately 120 locations worldwide. The company aims to enhance environmental stewardship while supporting economic development.

Montrose Environmental Group Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Nov 6, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group Inc. recently held its earnings call, which conveyed a strong financial performance characterized by record revenue growth, positive net income, and an optimistic outlook for the future. Strategic decisions and successful cross-selling efforts were highlighted as key contributors to this success. Despite some challenges in specific segments, the overall sentiment was positive, with increased guidance for 2025 underscoring the company’s confidence in its growth trajectory.

Financial Disclosures
Montrose Environmental Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group reported record financial results for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2025, with significant revenue growth and improved net income compared to the previous year. The company increased its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting continued growth in revenue and Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA, driven by strong organic growth and operating leverage, while also providing a positive outlook for 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (MEG) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Montrose Environmental Group stock, see the MEG Stock Forecast page.

Montrose Environmental Group Reports Strong Q2 Earnings
Aug 13, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group Inc’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscoring the company’s impressive revenue and EBITDA growth. The call highlighted strong organic growth, improved margins, and successful financial strategies, despite some regulatory uncertainties and a temporary pause in acquisitions. The company’s outlook remains optimistic with increased guidance for 2025.

Montrose Environmental Group Reports Record Growth in 2025
Aug 8, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc., a prominent player in the environmental solutions sector, is dedicated to enhancing environmental stewardship through innovative solutions across air, water, and soil management. The company operates globally, providing comprehensive services in environmental measurement, analysis, and remediation.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Montrose Environmental Group Reports Record-Breaking Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group reported a record-breaking second quarter and first half of 2025, with significant revenue growth and improved financial metrics compared to the previous year. The company increased its full-year 2025 financial guidance, driven by strong organic growth, contributions from acquisitions, and improved margins, while also simplifying its capital structure by redeeming Series A-2 Preferred Stock earlier than planned.

The most recent analyst rating on (MEG) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Montrose Environmental Group stock, see the MEG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025