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Montrose Environmental Group (MEG)
NYSE:MEG
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Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) AI Stock Analysis

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MEG

Montrose Environmental Group

(NYSE:MEG)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(11.79% Upside)
Montrose Environmental Group's strong revenue growth, improving cash flow, and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths. However, profitability challenges and valuation concerns due to negative net income and lack of dividends weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial health and market position.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, supporting future investments and debt reduction, crucial for sustainable growth.
Balance Sheet Simplification
Simplifying the balance sheet by reducing leverage improves financial stability and reduces risk, supporting long-term strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder reinvestment in growth and innovation, affecting competitive positioning and long-term viability.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Regulatory changes can impact operational costs and strategic planning, posing risks to business continuity and market operations.
Increased Share Dilution
Share dilution can reduce earnings per share and shareholder value, potentially impacting investor sentiment and capital raising capabilities.

Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Montrose Environmental Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMontrose Environmental Group, Inc. operates as an environmental services company in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Assessment, Permitting and Response; Measurement and Analysis; and Remediation and Reuse. The Assessment, Permitting and Response segment provides scientific advisory and consulting services to support environmental assessments, environmental emergency response and recovery, toxicology consulting and environmental audits and permits for current operations, facility upgrades, new projects, decommissioning projects, and development projects. Its technical advisory and consulting services include regulatory compliance support and planning, environmental, and ecosystem and toxicological assessments and support during responses to environmental disruptions. The Measurement and Analysis segment tests and analyzes air, water, and soil to determine concentrations of contaminants, as well as the toxicological impact of contaminants on flora, fauna, and human health. Its services include source and ambient air testing and monitoring, leak detection, and advanced analytical laboratory services, such as air, storm water, wastewater, and drinking water analysis. The Remediation and Reuse segment provides engineering, design, implementation, and operations and maintenance services primarily to treat contaminated water, remove contaminants from soil, or create biogas from waste. It serves technology, media, chemical, energy, power and utility, industrial and manufacturing, financial, and engineering industries, as well as local, state, provincial, and federal government entities. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in North Little Rock, Arkansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyMontrose Environmental Group generates revenue primarily through its diversified service offerings. Key revenue streams include consulting fees for environmental assessments, contracts for remediation projects, and ongoing monitoring services for compliance with environmental regulations. The company also earns income through partnerships with government agencies and private sector clients, which often result in multi-year contracts. Additionally, MEG leverages its expertise to provide specialized training and educational services, contributing further to its earnings. Overall, the company's ability to adapt to regulatory changes and invest in technological advancements plays a significant role in its financial success.

Montrose Environmental Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with record-breaking revenue and EBITDA growth, robust organic growth, improved cash flow, and increased guidance. Despite some regulatory uncertainties and share dilution, the overall performance and outlook remain very optimistic.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Montrose achieved a 35% revenue growth and 70% consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth year-over-year, with revenue reaching $234.5 million and adjusted EBITDA at $39.6 million.
Strong Organic Growth
The company experienced strong organic growth across all segments, with expectations to be at or above the high-end of the 7% to 9% target range for the year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Improvement
Operating free cash flow increased by $48.5 million over the first half of 2024. Montrose redeemed preferred shares and reduced leverage below 3x ahead of schedule.
Increased Guidance
Montrose raised its 2025 revenue guidance to surpass 2024 by 17%, with adjusted EBITDA projected to grow 19%. This increase aligns with their goal of driving scalable profitability.
Positive Net Income
Reported positive GAAP net income of $18.4 million, compared to a net loss in the previous year, with a significant increase in GAAP earnings per share.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Uncertainty
Despite minimal impact expected, the repeal of the greenhouse gas endangerment finding by the U.S. EPA creates near-term regulatory uncertainty.
Increased Weighted Average Diluted Shares
The increase in weighted average diluted common shares outstanding partially offset the benefits of revenue growth and margin expansion.
Company Guidance
During Montrose Environmental's 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust financial guidance, highlighting a record-setting second quarter with 35% revenue growth and a 70% increase in consolidated adjusted EBITDA year-over-year. Revenue for the quarter reached $234.5 million, driven by strong organic growth across all segments and a significant $35 million contribution from environmental emergency response services. The company's EBITDA margin improved by 340 basis points to 16.9%, and they reported positive net income and GAAP EPS. Montrose raised its full-year guidance, expecting a 17% revenue increase over 2024 and a 19% growth in full-year adjusted EBITDA, indicating continued margin expansion. The company also achieved a $48.5 million increase in operating free cash flow in the first half compared to 2024. Additionally, Montrose completed a balance sheet simplification by fully redeeming preferred shares and reducing leverage below 3x. The CEO, Vijay Manthripragada, emphasized the effectiveness of the company's integrated business model and its focus on environmental science, which allows it to thrive through economic and political cycles, while CFO Allan Dicks noted the positive impacts of the company's strategic pause in acquisitions.

Montrose Environmental Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Montrose Environmental Group shows solid revenue growth and improving cash flow, indicating future potential. However, challenges with profitability and leverage, as reflected in negative net income and increasing debt levels, require attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Montrose Environmental Group shows a positive revenue growth trend with an 8.5% increase in TTM, indicating strong market demand. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is healthy at 41.2%, but the net profit margin remains negative at -5.1%, reflecting ongoing challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 in TTM suggests moderate leverage, which is manageable but has increased over time. The return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, showing that a significant portion of assets is financed by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Montrose Environmental Group demonstrates strong cash flow improvements, with a significant 104.6% growth in free cash flow in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.48, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.87, showing effective cash conversion despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue780.12M696.39M624.21M544.42M546.41M328.24M
Gross Profit321.36M278.20M240.31M192.53M177.38M112.75M
EBITDA48.16M25.88M31.93M32.44M36.91M-7.41M
Net Income-39.79M-62.31M-30.86M-31.82M-25.32M-57.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets998.08M990.35M816.79M791.91M833.09M602.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.48M12.94M23.24M89.83M146.25M34.39M
Total Debt331.42M281.00M210.34M202.12M205.77M175.90M
Total Liabilities494.02M544.09M342.61M325.80M363.67M312.65M
Stockholders Equity504.06M539.19M474.18M466.12M469.43M290.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.47M902.00K23.09M10.65M30.00M-5.93M
Operating Cash Flow70.76M22.23M56.02M20.65M37.58M1.85M
Investing Cash Flow-58.04M-138.04M-101.62M-38.69M-71.64M-179.74M
Financing Cash Flow-18.09M106.00M-20.11M-38.76M146.10M205.90M

Montrose Environmental Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.73
Price Trends
50DMA
26.90
Positive
100DMA
23.95
Positive
200DMA
20.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
45.49
Neutral
STOCH
13.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MEG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.28, above the 50-day MA of 26.90, and above the 200-day MA of 20.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MEG.

Montrose Environmental Group Risk Analysis

Montrose Environmental Group disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Montrose Environmental Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Montrose Environmental Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$978.49M-7.61%17.78%2.57%
57
Neutral
$5.69B495.460.71%20.35%-45.38%
56
Neutral
$988.74M-6.26-41.84%-0.83%-61.90%
51
Neutral
$183.41M-8.83-32.02%-16.87%-124.96%
46
Neutral
$33.55M-1.34-58.85%-5.20%-275.34%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MEG
Montrose Environmental Group
27.73
1.43
5.44%
NVRI
Enviri
12.26
1.92
18.57%
PESI
Perma-Fix
9.93
-2.34
-19.07%
QRHC
Quest Resource
1.62
-6.36
-79.70%
AMBI
Ambipar Emergency Response
1.26
-4.61
-78.53%
LNZA
LanzaTech Global
23.52
-167.48
-87.69%

Montrose Environmental Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Montrose Environmental Group Reports Record-Breaking Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Montrose Environmental Group reported a record-breaking second quarter and first half of 2025, with significant revenue growth and improved financial metrics compared to the previous year. The company increased its full-year 2025 financial guidance, driven by strong organic growth, contributions from acquisitions, and improved margins, while also simplifying its capital structure by redeeming Series A-2 Preferred Stock earlier than planned.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Montrose Environmental Redeems Series A-2 Preferred Stock
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. redeemed all outstanding shares of its Series A-2 Preferred Stock from OCM Montrose II Holdings, L.P., valued at $62.2 million, using cash and borrowings. This redemption eliminates the Holder’s rights to appoint a board member, potentially impacting the company’s governance structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025