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Vodacom Group (OTC) (VDMCY)
:VDMCY
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Vodacom Group (VDMCY) AI Stock Analysis

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Vodacom Group

(OTC:VDMCY)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$9.00
â–²(11.39%Upside)
Vodacom Group scores well due to strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's solid cash flow and revenue growth, alongside stable valuation metrics, contribute positively to the score. The technical analysis suggests bullish momentum, although there are signs of potential overbought conditions. No earnings call or corporate events data impacts the score.

Vodacom Group (VDMCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vodacom Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVodacom Group (VDMCY) is a leading African mobile communications company providing a wide range of services, including voice, messaging, data, and converged services to over 110 million customers. Headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, Vodacom operates in multiple countries across the African continent, with a strong presence in South Africa, Tanzania, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, and Lesotho. The company is a subsidiary of the UK-based Vodafone Group and is committed to driving digital inclusion and innovation across its markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyVodacom Group generates revenue primarily through its mobile communication services, which include voice, messaging, and data services offered to both individual and enterprise customers. The company also earns from providing broadband internet services and digital solutions, such as financial services through its mobile money platform, M-Pesa. Vodacom's revenue streams are further bolstered by its business partnerships and collaborations, which enhance its offerings in areas like Internet of Things (IoT), cloud services, and digital media. Additionally, Vodacom benefits from roaming agreements and interconnect fees from other telecom operators using its network.

Vodacom Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in financial services and data revenue, especially in Egypt, offset by significant challenges from currency devaluations impacting earnings, and setbacks in the fiber strategy in South Africa. Despite these challenges, the company is optimistic about future growth potential.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Customer Base Growth
Vodacom now connects 206 million customers and provides financial services to 83 million customers, marking significant milestones in the company's history.
Strong Financial Services Growth
Financial Services business was up 7.8% in rands or 17.6% on a normalized basis, contributing 11.4% to group service revenue.
Expansion in 4G Coverage
Vodacom added 1,133 new 4G sites across the group in the last six months, aiming to close the digital divide.
Impressive Performance in Egypt
Local currency revenue growth in Egypt was 44.1%, with financial services growing 94.4%. Egypt's EBITDA margins improved to 43.4%.
Data Revenue Growth
Prepaid data makes up 28.2% of service revenue and grew 21.8% in the period.
Negative Updates
Currency Devaluation Impact
Earnings were significantly impacted by currency devaluations in Egypt and Ethiopia, with HEPS declining 19.4% to 353 cents.
International Business EBITDA Decline
International business EBITDA was ZAR4.3 billion and declined by 20% due to foreign exchange pressures and one-off costs in the DRC.
Disappointment in South Africa Fiber Deal
The MAZIV transaction was prohibited by the competition tribunal, impacting Vodacom's fiber strategy in South Africa.
Prepaid Voice Revenue Decline
Prepaid voice revenue declined by 3.4% in the period, indicating a challenge in maintaining this revenue stream.
Tax Rate Increase
The effective tax rate was 38.4%, significantly above the statutory rate of 27%, due to various one-off factors and non-deductible finance costs.
Company Guidance
In the latest call, Vodacom Group outlined strong commercial momentum despite challenging currency headwinds, targeting high-single-digit growth in service revenue and EBITDA over the medium term. The group served 206 million customers, with 83 million using financial services, and aimed to expand this to 120 million by 2030. Financial services contributed 11.4% to group service revenue, with a 17.6% underlying growth trend, supported by over $421 billion in annual mobile money transactions. Additionally, Vodacom focused on digital inclusion, adding 1,133 new 4G sites and targeting the connection of 300 million customers. The group's financial results were impacted by currency devaluations in Egypt and Ethiopia, leading to a 19.4% decline in HEPS to 353 cents, although normalized group service revenue grew by 9.9%. Capital intensity was maintained within a 13% to 14.5% revenue range, with the group spending ZAR8.8 billion so far. The Board declared an interim dividend of 285 cents per share. Despite challenges, Vodacom emphasized its commitment to connectivity, financial inclusion, and sustainable growth across its African markets.

Vodacom Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vodacom Group demonstrates solid financial health across all verticals. The income statement shows strong profitability and growth trends with increasing revenues and healthy profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, though there is potential for enhancing equity strength. Cash flows are impressive, with strong operational cash generation.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
The company shows a strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth, increasing from 150.59 billion to 152.23 billion annually. Gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 61%, and the net profit margin is stable around 11%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management. The revenue growth rate from the previous year is positive, indicating continued expansion.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. The return on equity is decent at approximately 18%, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is moderate, with stockholders' equity constituting about 37% of total assets, implying room for strengthening the equity base.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow metrics are strong, with robust operating cash flows exceeding net income, highlighting good cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth is positive at 5.34%, demonstrating effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 3.18, indicating efficient conversion of profit to cash.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue152.23B150.59B6.97B6.88B5.98B
Gross Profit92.89B82.76B2.76B2.81B2.42B
EBITDA58.80B59.07B44.61B43.45B43.09B
Net Income16.60B16.29B985.68M1.16B1.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets249.98B240.61B12.87B12.18B11.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.17B34.84B1.30B1.25B1.50B
Total Debt2.09B73.48B3.96B3.59B3.38B
Total Liabilities146.33B136.78B7.38B6.33B5.84B
Stockholders Equity92.02B92.76B4.84B5.44B5.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.11B26.69B1.22B1.30B1.24B
Operating Cash Flow52.80B49.01B2.40B2.23B2.06B
Investing Cash Flow-24.21B-20.72B-1.88B-1.04B-814.02M
Financing Cash Flow-25.86B-25.70B-375.41M-1.09B-1.20B

Vodacom Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.08
Price Trends
50DMA
7.55
Positive
100DMA
7.05
Positive
200DMA
6.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
66.34
Neutral
STOCH
100.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VDMCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.83, above the 50-day MA of 7.55, and above the 200-day MA of 6.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VDMCY.

Vodacom Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TLTLK
79
Outperform
$16.82B11.4716.28%5.74%-5.14%-7.47%
79
Outperform
$8.86B14.4513.18%0.39%-6.63%2.46%
78
Outperform
$15.68B17.1418.39%0.48%3.88%4.83%
VIVIV
77
Outperform
$18.07B17.757.95%0.40%-5.69%-0.05%
SKSKM
69
Neutral
$8.57B9.5011.08%0.29%-4.13%4.96%
VOVOD
62
Neutral
$26.89B9.21-7.17%0.44%0.89%-494.16%
62
Neutral
$41.89B-1.63-12.07%3.43%2.03%-69.89%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VDMCY
Vodacom Group
8.17
3.27
66.73%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
17.47
-0.85
-4.64%
SKM
Sk Telecom
22.56
1.06
4.93%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
10.79
2.62
32.07%
TIMB
TIM
17.85
4.16
30.39%
VOD
Vodafone
11.32
2.67
30.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025