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United Utilities (UUGRY)
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United Utilities (UUGRY) AI Stock Analysis

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UUGRY

United Utilities

(OTC:UUGRY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
â–²(4.00% Upside)
The overall stock score of 62 reflects solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and efficient cost management. However, high leverage and capital expenditures pose risks. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.

United Utilities (UUGRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United Utilities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Utilities Group PLC is a leading water and wastewater company based in the United Kingdom, primarily serving the North West of England. The company is responsible for the supply of drinking water and the management of wastewater services for millions of customers. United Utilities operates in the regulated utility sector, focusing on ensuring the delivery of clean water, the treatment of sewage, and the protection of the environment. Its core services include water supply, wastewater treatment, and the maintenance of infrastructure to support these essential utilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnited Utilities generates revenue primarily through the provision of water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is largely regulated, with prices set by Ofwat, the economic regulator for the water sector in England and Wales. Key revenue streams include fixed charges for water supply, volume-based charges linked to water usage, and sewerage services. United Utilities also benefits from capital investment projects funded through regulatory frameworks, which allow for infrastructure improvements and expansions. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships with local governments or organizations for environmental initiatives and sustainability projects, contributing to its earnings.

United Utilities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in cash performance, regulatory engagement, and strong financial positioning. However, challenges regarding regulatory uncertainty, environmental ratings, and initial ODI penalties were notable concerns. The company expressed optimism about handling future investments and transformations.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Performance and Customer Affordability
The company maintained strong cash performance despite an increase in bills, doubling the number of customers on affordability schemes to mitigate impact.
Positive Engagement with Regulators
Continued engagement with regulators to discuss growth opportunities, reopeners, and implementation of new investment drivers, showing a proactive approach to future challenges.
Flexibility in Funding and Strong Balance Sheet
Reported a strong balance sheet with 60% net debt to RCV gearing, with flexibility to extend beyond current levels due to the Moody's Baa1 threshold of 68%.
Focus on Innovation and Efficiency
Emphasis on driving transformation through standard assets and deployment to manage costs and deliver on totex commitments.
Positive Outlook on Environmental Super Cycle
The company highlighted potential opportunities arising from government policies, particularly in water infrastructure and data center investments.
Negative Updates
Disappointing EPA Rating
Received a 2-star rating from the EPA, highlighting challenges with energy resilience and pollution due to storms and power interruptions.
Uncertainty in Regulatory Framework
Concerns about the lack of clarity over future regulatory timelines and structures, with potential disruptions from upcoming white paper recommendations.
Potential for Increased Costs Due to Methodology Changes
Changes in categorization of pollutions in upcoming EPA methodology could lead to increased costs and challenges in maintaining current standards.
ODI Penalties Expected in Initial Year
Projected penalties for ODIs in the first year, although a net reward position is expected over the AMP period.
Company Guidance
In the recent United Utilities Fiscal '26 Interim Results Q&A session, the company provided guidance on several key metrics impacting their strategic outlook. The discussion highlighted their engagement with regulatory bodies concerning the AMP8 reopeners, focusing on asset health improvements and new investment drivers like PFAS and data centers. Expectations for the December white paper include 88 recommendations, emphasizing investor-friendly strategies and regulatory clarity. The company is pushing for a national social tariff to help with affordability as they double the number of customers on affordability schemes. Financially, United Utilities maintains robust metrics with a net debt to RCV gearing of 60%, benefiting from inflationary tailwinds, and a strong balance sheet within their 55%-65% target range. They anticipate a 100 basis point outperformance from financing, ODIs, and PCDs over AMP8, despite a penalty position this year, with improvements expected as infrastructure investments mature. The strategic policy statement from Ofwat and the EA is also anticipated in December, providing further direction for regulatory and environmental strategies.

United Utilities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
United Utilities demonstrates solid revenue growth and efficient cost management. Despite strong cash flow from operations, high leverage and capital expenditures pose potential risks. The company maintains steady profitability, but careful debt management is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
United Utilities shows strong growth with a revenue increase from the previous year, leading to an improved EBIT margin. The Gross Profit Margin is high, indicating efficient cost control. However, the Net Profit Margin reflects moderate profitability, impacted by high operational costs.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio is relatively high, suggesting significant leverage, which is common in the regulated utilities sector. While the Return on Equity is reasonable, indicating effective use of equity, the equity ratio is low, highlighting potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust and exceeds net income, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. However, negative Free Cash Flow indicates high capital expenditure, which could strain liquidity if not managed carefully.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.15B2.15B1.95B1.82B1.86B1.81B
Gross Profit1.95B2.00B1.73B754.10M884.30M874.30M
EBITDA1.10B1.19B988.60M1.18B1.06B1.06B
Net Income264.70M264.70M126.90M204.90M-56.80M453.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.77B16.77B15.65B14.53B14.44B14.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.67B1.40B340.40M240.90M744.10M
Total Debt10.79B10.79B10.00B8.44B7.98B8.45B
Total Liabilities14.77B14.77B13.60B12.02B11.48B11.15B
Stockholders Equity2.00B2.00B2.06B2.51B2.96B3.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-70.40M-79.90M-19.00M93.50M305.90M221.80M
Operating Cash Flow918.10M918.10M745.10M787.50M934.40M865.80M
Investing Cash Flow-987.20M-987.20M-731.40M-593.40M-639.70M-555.70M
Financing Cash Flow358.80M358.80M1.04B-85.00M-809.70M-89.70M

United Utilities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.73
Price Trends
50DMA
31.33
Negative
100DMA
30.86
Negative
200DMA
29.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
39.04
Neutral
STOCH
7.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UUGRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.60, above the 50-day MA of 31.33, and above the 200-day MA of 29.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UUGRY.

United Utilities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.77B21.4413.73%2.70%10.28%13.56%
72
Outperform
$10.84B16.2410.29%3.46%21.35%20.96%
70
Outperform
$18.24B14.3216.99%2.12%-10.23%-26.87%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
66
Neutral
$2.63B19.678.19%2.81%-2.60%-33.78%
65
Neutral
$24.80B22.7810.46%2.53%12.29%13.13%
62
Neutral
$10.32B20.0219.97%4.47%19.58%264.49%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UUGRY
United Utilities
30.67
3.74
13.89%
AWR
American States Water
71.87
-10.05
-12.27%
AWK
American Water
128.13
-7.33
-5.41%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
38.67
0.67
1.76%
CWT
California Water Service
44.38
-5.63
-11.26%
SBS
Companhia De Saneamento
25.15
8.49
50.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2025