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United Utilities (UUGRY)
OTHER OTC:UUGRY
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United Utilities (UUGRY) AI Stock Analysis

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UUGRY

United Utilities

(OTC:UUGRY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
â–²(0.95% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/04/26
The score is driven primarily by improving earnings/operating cash flow and a constructive technical uptrend, supported by a low P/E and solid dividend yield. Offsetting these positives are elevated leverage and a recent stretch of negative free cash flow, plus earnings-call risks tied to regulatory uncertainty and environmental/ODI headwinds.
Positive Factors
Regulated revenue model
United Utilities benefits from a structurally predictable revenue model: multi-year Ofwat settlements allow recovery of efficient costs and a permitted return on the regulated asset base. This underpinning provides durable cashflow visibility and alignment of capex with allowed returns over AMP cycles.
Negative Factors
High leverage and thin equity base
Leverage is structurally high, constraining balance sheet flexibility. In a capital‑intensive regulated sector this increases sensitivity to higher funding costs, limits capacity for incremental investment without raising debt or equity, and raises refinancing and rating risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated revenue model
United Utilities benefits from a structurally predictable revenue model: multi-year Ofwat settlements allow recovery of efficient costs and a permitted return on the regulated asset base. This underpinning provides durable cashflow visibility and alignment of capex with allowed returns over AMP cycles.
Read all positive factors

United Utilities (UUGRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United Utilities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
United Utilities Group PLC provides water and wastewater services in the United Kingdom. It is also involved in the renewable energy generation, corporate trustee, financing, and property management activities; and provision of consulting, and pro...
How the Company Makes Money
United Utilities makes money primarily through regulated revenues earned from providing water supply and wastewater services to customers in its appointed service area. The core revenue stream is customer billing: (1) household and non-household w...

United Utilities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in cash performance, regulatory engagement, and strong financial positioning. However, challenges regarding regulatory uncertainty, environmental ratings, and initial ODI penalties were notable concerns. The company expressed optimism about handling future investments and transformations.
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Performance and Customer Affordability
The company maintained strong cash performance despite an increase in bills, doubling the number of customers on affordability schemes to mitigate impact.
Negative Updates
Disappointing EPA Rating
Received a 2-star rating from the EPA, highlighting challenges with energy resilience and pollution due to storms and power interruptions.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Cash Performance and Customer Affordability
The company maintained strong cash performance despite an increase in bills, doubling the number of customers on affordability schemes to mitigate impact.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the recent United Utilities Fiscal '26 Interim Results Q&A session, the company provided guidance on several key metrics impacting their strategic outlook. The discussion highlighted their engagement with regulatory bodies concerning the AMP8 reopeners, focusing on asset health improvements and new investment drivers like PFAS and data centers. Expectations for the December white paper include 88 recommendations, emphasizing investor-friendly strategies and regulatory clarity. The company is pushing for a national social tariff to help with affordability as they double the number of customers on affordability schemes. Financially, United Utilities maintains robust metrics with a net debt to RCV gearing of 60%, benefiting from inflationary tailwinds, and a strong balance sheet within their 55%-65% target range. They anticipate a 100 basis point outperformance from financing, ODIs, and PCDs over AMP8, despite a penalty position this year, with improvements expected as infrastructure investments mature. The strategic policy statement from Ofwat and the EA is also anticipated in December, providing further direction for regulatory and environmental strategies.

United Utilities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is a clear positive with strong recent revenue and net income improvement, but the balance sheet is a major constraint due to high leverage versus equity. Operating cash flow improved, yet recent negative free cash flow suggests ongoing funding needs while investment remains elevated.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.66B2.15B1.95B1.82B1.86B
Gross Profit1.29B2.00B1.73B754.10M884.30M
EBITDA1.62B1.19B988.60M1.18B1.06B
Net Income596.34M264.70M126.90M204.90M-56.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.13B16.77B15.65B14.53B14.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.79B1.67B1.40B340.40M240.90M
Total Debt11.49B10.79B10.00B8.44B7.98B
Total Liabilities15.89B14.77B13.60B12.02B11.48B
Stockholders Equity2.24B2.00B2.06B2.51B2.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.99M-79.90M-19.00M93.50M305.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.40B918.10M745.10M787.50M934.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.50B-987.20M-731.40M-593.40M-639.70M
Financing Cash Flow225.00M358.80M1.04B-85.00M-809.70M

United Utilities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price36.65
Price Trends
50DMA
36.25
Negative
100DMA
35.32
Positive
200DMA
33.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
43.96
Neutral
STOCH
17.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UUGRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.06, above the 50-day MA of 36.25, and above the 200-day MA of 33.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UUGRY.

United Utilities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$12.99B6.4127.72%4.28%28.12%133.04%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$2.98B24.6913.06%2.64%11.68%5.79%
63
Neutral
$20.31B16.2120.63%2.22%7.58%60.87%
62
Neutral
$24.38B33.8510.14%2.51%8.10%2.89%
61
Neutral
$10.56B12.718.16%3.48%13.07%-11.65%
55
Neutral
$2.56B167.626.96%2.88%4.20%-12.47%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UUGRY
United Utilities
36.20
6.65
22.50%
AWR
American States Water
75.96
-0.38
-0.49%
AWK
American Water
122.36
-17.44
-12.47%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
36.54
-0.98
-2.61%
CWT
California Water Service
43.34
-2.75
-5.97%
SBS
Companhia De Saneamento
5.86
1.89
47.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 04, 2026