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U-Haul Holding Company (UHAL)
NYSE:UHAL

U-Haul (UHAL) AI Stock Analysis

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UHAL

U-Haul

(NYSE:UHAL)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
▲(18.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven down primarily by weakened financial profitability/returns and a demanding valuation (high P/E with no dividend yield provided). Technicals are a relative bright spot with a positive trend and supportive momentum, while the latest earnings call remains mixed: near-term cost/depreciation headwinds are significant, but management’s planned capex pullback and solid liquidity provide partial support.
Positive Factors
Network & Distribution Expansion
A growing company-operated footprint plus hundreds of additional dealers materially strengthens U-Haul’s distribution and customer access. This durable network improves fleet utilization, lowers unit acquisition payback risk, and supports long-term revenue resilience across markets.
Storage Revenue Growth & Pricing Power
Consistent storage revenue and per-foot pricing gains reflect structural pricing power and sticky cash flows. Storage earnings are less cyclical than some moving revenues, providing a durable margin and cash generation anchor as the company expands rentable square footage.
Capital Deployment Discipline & Fleet Pullback Plan
A deliberate >$500M reduction in fleet purchases is a structural adjustment to improve future depreciation and resale dynamics. Slowing growth capex and using distribution/dispositions to rebalance the fleet should improve medium-term cash flows and reduce recurring disposal losses.
Negative Factors
Weakened Profitability & Low Returns
Lower net margins and ROE on a substantial asset and equity base signal reduced capital efficiency. Persistently weak returns constrain reinvestment capacity and shareholder optionality, making sustained improvement necessary for durable value creation.
Elevated Depreciation & Disposal Losses
Significant disposal losses from recent vehicle cohorts and rising depreciation are structural risks when acquisition cohorts are oversized. These recurring losses depress EBIT and operating cash flow until fleet mix and capex cadence normalize, pressuring multi-quarter profitability.
Volatile Free Cash Flow & High Capital Intensity
Large, lumpy fleet capex drives inconsistent free cash flow, reducing predictability of internal funding for growth or debt paydown. Until FCF consistency is restored, the firm remains exposed to refinancing and reinvestment timing risks in a capital-intensive model.

U-Haul (UHAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

U-Haul Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionU-Haul Holding Company operates as a do-it-yourself moving and storage operator for household and commercial goods in the United States and Canada. The company's Moving and Storage segment rents trucks, trailers, portable moving and storage units, specialty rental items, and self-storage spaces primarily to the household movers; and sells moving supplies, towing accessories, and propane. It also provides uhaul.com, an online marketplace that connects consumers to independent Moving Help service providers and independent self-storage affiliates; auto transport and tow dolly options to transport vehicles; and specialty boxes for dishes, computers, flat screen television, and sensitive electronic equipment, as well as tapes, security locks, and packing supplies. This segment rents its products and services through a network of approximately 2,100 company operated retail moving stores and 21,100 independent U-Haul dealers. As of March 31, 2022, it had a rental fleet of approximately 186,000 trucks, 128,000 trailers, and 46,000 towing devices; and 1,844 self-storage locations with approximately 876,000 rentable storage units. The company's Property and Casualty Insurance segment offers loss adjusting and claims handling services. It also provides moving and storage protection packages, such as Safemove and Safetow packages, which offer moving and towing customers with a damage waiver, cargo protection, and medical and life insurance coverage; Safestor that protects storage customers from loss on their goods in storage; Safestor Mobile, which protects customers stored belongings; and Safemove Plus, which provides rental customers with a layer of primary liability protection. The company's Life Insurance segment provides life and health insurance products primarily to the senior market through the direct writing and reinsuring of life insurance, medicare supplement, and annuity policies. The company was formerly known as AMERCO. U-Haul Holding Company was founded in 1945 and is based in Reno, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyU-Haul generates revenue primarily through its rental services, which include truck and trailer rentals for various durations. The company charges customers based on the type of vehicle rented, the distance traveled, and additional time if necessary. Another significant revenue stream comes from its self-storage facilities, where U-Haul offers climate-controlled and standard storage units for personal and business use. Additionally, U-Haul sells moving supplies such as boxes, packing materials, and equipment, contributing to its earnings. Partnerships with various retail locations also enhance revenue, as U-Haul utilizes these sites for drop-off and pick-up services, expanding its reach without the overhead of maintaining a large number of dedicated locations.

U-Haul Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Shows profitability across different business segments, highlighting which areas drive earnings and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsU-Haul's Moving & Storage segment shows a volatile trend, recently dipping into negative territory, reflecting strategic challenges despite revenue growth from equipment rental and self-storage. The earnings call highlights a mixed performance with increased expenses and depreciation costs impacting overall earnings. However, the U-Box segment's 16% revenue growth and a strong cash position offer some optimism. The Property & Casualty Insurance segment remains stable, while Life Insurance shows inconsistency, suggesting the need for strategic adjustments to balance growth and cost management.
Data provided by:The Fly

U-Haul Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call presented a mixed picture: meaningful operational and strategic strengths (storage revenue growth, U-Box scale, expanded distribution, strong liquidity and a plan to materially reduce next-year fleet purchases) are overshadowed in the near term by significant earnings pressures tied to elevated depreciation, losses on disposal of 2023–2024 cargo van cohorts, rising operating and insurance expenses, and a decline in same-store occupancy. Management has concrete mitigation plans (selling older units, opening more dealerships, slowing fleet purchases, reserve adjustments and targeted development), but the company is facing material near-term headwinds that will likely take multiple quarters to fully resolve.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Storage Revenue Growth
Storage revenues increased $18 million, up 8% year-over-year for the quarter; average revenue per foot improved just under 7% and same-store revenue per occupied foot rose 5%, reflecting successful rate initiatives and pricing strategy.
U-Box Scale and Expansion
U-Box now has a significant presence with over 700 locations, ~200,000 containers in service and >100,000 containers with customers; ongoing projects planned in underserved metros (D.C., L.A., Boston, NYC, Bay Area) and select Canadian markets to expand capacity.
Network and Distribution Growth
Comparing end of Dec 2025 to Dec 2024, added 65 new company-operated locations and a net increase of 365 independent dealers, strengthening distribution to put fleet to work and improve transaction volumes.
Capital Deployment and Planned Pullback
Gross fleet spend for calendar 2025 was approximately $2.025 billion (net of equipment sales $1.331 billion). Initial estimates indicate a planned decrease in new truck purchases next fiscal year of more than $500 million to correct overfleet and reduce future depreciation pressure.
Improving Unit Economics for New Purchases
Model year 2026 cargo van purchases are expected to be ~12% lower in average cost versus last year's model year and ~20% lower versus two years ago, which should reduce future acquisition cost pressure if resale values stabilize.
Liquidity and Capital Flexibility
As of December 2025, cash plus availability from existing loan facilities at the moving and storage segment totaled $1.475 billion; additionally, a $100 million dividend from the property & casualty insurance subsidiary was made available for corporate use.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Net Loss and EPS Decline
Reported third quarter net loss of $37 million versus earnings of $67 million in the prior-year quarter; loss per nonvoting share of $0.18 compared to prior-year EPS of $0.35, representing a meaningful deterioration in profitability.
Sharp Increase in Depreciation and Disposal Losses
Depreciation and losses from disposal of retired rental equipment were a major headwind: a $26 million loss on disposal this quarter versus a $4 million gain a year ago; overall a $75 million increase in costs related to fleet depreciation and losses versus the prior-year quarter (approximately a $0.24 per-share impact).
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA in the moving and storage segment declined 11% to nearly $42 million for the quarter, tracking similarly to a comparable decrease in operating cash flows.
Overfleeted Cargo Vans / Older Cohorts Causing Losses
Excess acquisition costs for 2023 and 2024 model-year vans/pickups have driven elevated depreciation and losses on sale; management indicated continued elevated disposition activity and expects losses on sale for remaining 2024 cohort (~6,000 units) with ~19,000 model-year 2025 vans also on the books.
Storage Occupancy and Move-In Headwinds
Same-store occupancy decreased 490 basis points to just over 87%; management noted nearly 4% of that decline was due to removal of delinquent units (policy change), and net tenant move-ins are slower year-over-year (though improved when adjusted for delinquent removals).
Rising Storage Operating Expenses
Storage operating expenses rose $66 million for the third quarter. Major contributors included personnel (+$16M), fleet maintenance and repair (+$13M), and a $38M increase in self-insurance liability/reserve strengthening; liability reserves have increased nearly $79M since March 2025.
High Near-Term Capital Intensity
Capital expenditures for new rental equipment in the first 9 months were $1.748 billion (a $162 million increase versus the prior-period 9 months). Management noted this high recent spend contributed to current overfleet and earnings pressure.
Demand & Market Mix Pressure on One-Way and U-Box
Management described softer one-way/long-distance demand (customers shortening moves), which disproportionately impacts U-Box (higher long-zone exposure) and long-distance truck transactions; significant weather in January also temporarily dampened recovery trends.
Company Guidance
Guidance focused on rebalancing the fleet and slowing purchases: management expects to cut new truck purchases next fiscal year by north of $500 million while adding distribution and disposition levers (65 new company‑operated locations and a net +365 independent dealers year‑over‑year as of Dec 2025, and planned increased sales of older/high‑mile trucks over the next 12 months) to absorb excess capacity; they also noted model‑year 2026 cargo vans will be ~12% cheaper than last year (~20% vs two years ago). Near‑term results and headwinds cited: Q3 FY26 GAAP loss $37M (‑$0.18 per nonvoting share) vs $67M ($0.35) a year ago, moving & storage adjusted EBITDA down 11% to nearly $42M, a $26M loss on disposal vs a $4M gain prior, and a $75M quarter‑over‑quarter cost increase (≈$0.24/share) driven >75% by the cargo‑van fleet and an ~11,000‑unit box‑truck fleet increase. Storage strategy is measured—storage revenue +$18M (8%) for the quarter, average revenue per foot up ~7%, same‑store revenue per occupied foot +5% but same‑store occupancy down 490 bps to just over 87% (≈4% of that due to removal of delinquent units); first 9 months real‑estate investment $770M (‑$444M YoY), 16 new storage locations added (~1.5M net rentable sq ft), active development pipeline 106 projects (~5.7M sq ft). Liquidity and other metrics: rental equipment capex YTD $1.748B (gross fleet spend last 12 months ~$2.025B, net $1.331B; est. ~$670M was growth‑related), $1.475B cash + available facility liquidity as of Dec 2025, $100M dividend from their P&C insurer available for corporate use, and U‑Box presence of 700+ locations with ~200,000 containers (100,000 with customers).

U-Haul Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue acceleration (+45.3%) is outweighed by materially weaker profitability and returns (TTM net margin ~3.3% vs higher historically; ROE ~2.6%), moderate-to-elevated leverage around ~1x equity, and volatile free cash flow despite a recent swing to positive.
Income Statement
62
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue accelerated sharply (+45.3%), but profitability is materially lower versus prior annual periods: net margin is ~3.3% (vs. ~5.7% in FY2025 and ~10–15% in FY2023–FY2024) and EBIT margin is ~10.5% (vs. ~13–25% historically). Gross margin also compressed to ~46.8% in TTM from ~86% in recent annual reports, indicating either mix/price pressure or cost headwinds. Overall: strong top-line momentum, but recent margin and earnings deterioration is a clear offset.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage is moderate-to-elevated with debt running around ~1.0x equity in recent annual periods (debt-to-equity ~0.88–1.21), which reduces financial flexibility in a cyclical leasing business. Returns on equity have stepped down meaningfully—TTM is ~2.6% versus ~4.4% in FY2025 and materially higher levels in FY2022–FY2024—suggesting weaker profitability on the capital base. Equity is sizable (~$7.7B TTM) against a large asset base (~$21.6B), but the lower return profile and leverage keep the balance sheet assessment in the middle range.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains solid (TTM ~$1.59B; FY2025 ~$1.45B), but free cash flow is volatile: deeply negative in FY2023–FY2025 and positive in TTM (~$1.0B). Cash generation quality is mixed because free cash flow has often not covered reported earnings (free cash flow to net income is negative in most periods, including TTM), implying heavy reinvestment/capex or working-capital swings. The recent swing to positive free cash flow is a constructive datapoint, but consistency is not yet proven.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.00B5.83B5.63B5.86B5.74B4.54B
Gross Profit1.67B5.00B4.83B5.02B1.46B3.82B
EBITDA1.65B1.75B1.94B2.19B2.34B1.62B
Net Income93.33M331.80M596.94M890.75M1.12B610.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.62B20.48B19.06B18.10B17.30B14.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B1.70B2.06B2.75B2.74B1.20B
Total Debt8.06B7.24B6.33B6.17B7.19B5.83B
Total Liabilities13.87B12.98B11.89B11.60B11.35B9.80B
Stockholders Equity7.74B7.50B7.17B6.50B5.95B4.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.00B-2.00B-1.54B-994.29M-190.30M93.92M
Operating Cash Flow1.59B1.45B1.45B1.73B1.95B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-2.47B-2.89B-2.05B-2.42B-1.87B-1.13B
Financing Cash Flow880.71M895.11M66.53M59.80M1.43B287.35M

U-Haul Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price52.27
Price Trends
50DMA
53.50
Negative
100DMA
53.56
Negative
200DMA
57.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.16
Positive
RSI
41.54
Neutral
STOCH
78.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UHAL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.04, below the 50-day MA of 53.50, and below the 200-day MA of 57.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UHAL.

U-Haul Risk Analysis

U-Haul disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. U-Haul reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

U-Haul Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$8.79B18.8016.15%1.75%1.68%9.91%
59
Neutral
$9.41B108.241.21%4.32%-55.65%
58
Neutral
$4.91B4,598.130.06%1.79%19.40%-120.47%
58
Neutral
$2.84B19.5512.70%1.79%4.77%-35.44%
50
Neutral
$1.65B-1.36-567.03%-7.36%62.27%
45
Neutral
$4.34B-1.22%-639.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UHAL
U-Haul
50.39
-21.20
-29.61%
CAR
Avis Budget
87.69
4.24
5.08%
HRI
Herc Holdings
146.19
1.40
0.97%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
113.07
-10.04
-8.16%
R
Ryder System
219.73
62.18
39.47%
HTZ
Hertz Global
4.43
0.19
4.48%

U-Haul Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
U-Haul Files Prospectus for Secured Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, U-Haul Holding Company filed a prospectus supplement for a registration statement concerning $13,673,700 of Fixed Rate Secured Notes. This filing is part of the company’s financial strategy, potentially impacting its capital structure and offering investment opportunities to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (UHAL) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on U-Haul stock, see the UHAL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026