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Ubisoft (UBSFY)
OTHER OTC:UBSFY

UBISOFT Entertainment (UBSFY) AI Stock Analysis

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UBSFY

UBISOFT Entertainment

(OTC:UBSFY)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-35.06% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/23/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (revenue decline, losses, and strained cash flow) and a bearish technical trend (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call was a relative positive with bookings outperformance and deleveraging support from the Tencent cash injection, but ongoing negative free cash flow outlook and operational risks keep the overall score low.
Positive Factors
Strong franchise engagement
High and rising engagement in Assassin's Creed (211m session days, +35%) indicates durable player retention and live-service potential. Sustained session growth supports recurring monetization (DLC, season passes, in‑game purchases) and reduces reliance on one‑time releases over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and losses
A persistent revenue contraction (-11.12%) combined with negative net margin (-8.37%) signals structural demand or execution weaknesses. Continued top‑line declines constrain reinvestment in content and live services and make sustained improvement dependent on successful product cycles and cost discipline over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong franchise engagement
High and rising engagement in Assassin's Creed (211m session days, +35%) indicates durable player retention and live-service potential. Sustained session growth supports recurring monetization (DLC, season passes, in‑game purchases) and reduces reliance on one‑time releases over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

UBISOFT Entertainment (UBSFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UBISOFT Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ubisoft Entertainment SA produce, publishes, and distributes video games for consoles, PC, smartphones, and tablets in both physical and digital formats in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company designs and develops software, incl...
How the Company Makes Money
Ubisoft generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from game sales, both physical and digital. The sale of video games represents a significant portion of its income, with the company releasing new titles regularly. Additionally, Ubisof...

UBISOFT Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 21, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong net booking performance and strategic achievements like the Tencent partnership, alongside challenges such as Rainbow Six Siege's issues and financial restatements. Despite challenges, the strategic and financial improvements suggest a positive outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong Net Booking Performance
Net bookings stood at EUR 772 million for H1 FY26, up 20% year-on-year, with Q2 net bookings at EUR 491 million, up 39% year-on-year, surpassing guidance.
Negative Updates
Rainbow Six Siege Challenges
Despite new player acquisitions, a surge in cheating affected player activity and spending, requiring additional resources and measures to address the issue.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Net Booking Performance
Net bookings stood at EUR 772 million for H1 FY26, up 20% year-on-year, with Q2 net bookings at EUR 491 million, up 39% year-on-year, surpassing guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Ubisoft H1 Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating stronger-than-expected net bookings, with figures reaching EUR 772 million for H1, up 20% year-on-year, and Q2 net bookings at EUR 491 million, surpassing guidance and increasing 39% compared to the previous year. The call highlighted the strategic transaction with Tencent, expected to inject EUR 1.16 billion in cash, aiding in deleveraging efforts. Ubisoft's cost reduction program targets at least EUR 100 million in fixed cost savings by FY '27, while the company's non-IFRS operating income returned to a positive EUR 27 million, marking a significant improvement from the previous year's EUR 250 million loss. The company projects full-year net bookings to remain stable year-on-year, despite Rainbow Six Siege facing competitive pressure, with a focus on achieving breakeven non-IFRS operating income and negative free cash flow. Ubisoft anticipates Q3 net bookings of approximately EUR 305 million, a slight year-on-year increase, driven by new releases and partnerships, with a strong cash position of around EUR 1.5 billion expected by March 2026.

UBISOFT Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue declined (-11.12%) and profitability is negative (net margin -8.37%) despite very strong gross margin (89.33%). Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 1.21) and cash flow trends are concerning with significantly negative free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87B1.90B2.30B1.81B2.13B2.22B
Gross Profit1.43B1.70B2.10B1.60B1.86B1.90B
EBITDA457.69M670.30M1.11B719.30M799.90M804.60M
Net Income-71.30M-159.00M157.80M-494.20M79.10M103.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.31B4.70B5.12B4.67B4.96B4.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments668.40M990.00M1.21B1.49B1.45B1.87B
Total Debt2.32B2.17B2.51B2.46B2.07B2.09B
Total Liabilities2.75B2.90B3.24B3.19B3.15B3.22B
Stockholders Equity1.56B1.79B1.88B1.48B1.81B1.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow778.86M126.90M-465.60M-425.80M-282.20M107.90M
Operating Cash Flow817.29M168.80M537.60M-354.20M-191.60M957.90M
Investing Cash Flow-772.30M-49.00M-1.01B-107.90M-152.00M-868.20M
Financing Cash Flow-269.60M-300.40M204.70M588.60M139.90M463.80M

UBISOFT Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.54
Price Trends
50DMA
0.96
Negative
100DMA
1.22
Negative
200DMA
1.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
50.91
Neutral
STOCH
60.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBSFY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.91, above the 50-day MA of 0.96, and below the 200-day MA of 1.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UBSFY.

UBISOFT Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$51.05B145.1211.05%0.37%-1.45%-11.99%
65
Neutral
$10.05B62.048.04%16.84%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$37.43B-126.36-126.41%13.98%-6.71%
52
Neutral
$40.75B-290.61%32.70%12.57%
50
Neutral
$1.22B-7.20119.44%9.98%7.49%-60.32%
46
Neutral
$628.74M-1.97-4.39%-11.04%-45.92%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBSFY
UBISOFT Entertainment
0.94
-1.03
-52.37%
EA
Electronic Arts
203.99
67.99
50.00%
TTWO
Take-Two
202.13
-6.00
-2.88%
BILI
Bilibili
24.29
8.41
52.96%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
3.21
-1.37
-29.87%
RBLX
Roblox
55.43
-1.88
-3.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026