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Tyler Technologies (TYL)
NYSE:TYL

Tyler Technologies (TYL) AI Stock Analysis

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TYL

Tyler Technologies

(NYSE:TYL)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$377.00
▲(12.50% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/13/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (growth, cash generation, and low leverage) and constructive earnings-call guidance focused on continued SaaS momentum and durable free cash flow. These positives are meaningfully offset by weak technicals (broad downtrend and oversold signals) and a premium valuation (P/E ~47) that raises execution risk.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a stronger equity base give Tyler durable financial flexibility over the next several quarters. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk, enables strategic M&A and buybacks, and supports continued investment in SaaS product development without stressing liquidity.
Strong free cash flow
Consistent, high free cash flow provides a durable funding source for share repurchases, acquisitions (e.g., FTR), and elevated R&D. Strong cash conversion underpins capital return programs and strategic investments while insulating the business from short-term revenue lumpiness.
Recurring revenue & SaaS momentum
A sustained shift toward SaaS and higher recurring revenue increases revenue visibility and margin sustainability. ARR growth and strong SaaS guidance imply more predictable cash flows, higher lifetime value per customer, and structural progress toward a higher-margin, cloud-first revenue mix.
Negative Factors
Margin volatility
Fluctuating gross and operating margins reflect mix shifts between licenses, services and SaaS plus episodic one-offs. That variability complicates multi-quarter margin forecasting and raises execution risk for management's margin targets as the firm scales cloud offerings and absorbs higher investment spend.
Lumpy bookings cadence
Irregular bookings and large multi-year deals create timing volatility in revenue recognition and ARR conversion. This lumpiness makes near-term growth uneven, complicates resource planning, and increases the chance of quarterly misses even if long-term demand remains intact.
R&D spend and cost reclassification
Higher planned R&D and migration of development costs into R&D raise near-term operating expense and shift margin dynamics. While strategic for AI and cloud, increased spend elevates execution risk and can compress margins until investments scale into higher SaaS revenue and efficiency gains.

Tyler Technologies (TYL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tyler Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTyler Technologies, Inc. provides integrated information management solutions and services for the public sector. The company operates in three segments: Enterprise Software; Appraisal and Tax; and NIC. It offers financial management solutions, including modular fund accounting systems for government agencies or not-for-profit entities; utility billing systems for the billing and collection of metered and non-metered services; products to automate city and county functions, such as municipal courts, parking tickets, equipment and project costing, animal and business licenses, permits and inspections, code enforcement, citizen complaint tracking, ambulance billing, fleet maintenance, and cemetery records management; and student information and transportation solutions for K-12 schools. The company also provides a suite of judicial solutions comprising court case management, court and law enforcement, prosecutor, and supervision systems to handle multi-jurisdictional county or statewide implementations, and single county systems; public safety software solutions; systems and software to automate the appraisal and assessment of real and personal property, as well as tax applications for agencies that bill and collect taxes; planning, regulatory, and maintenance software solutions for public sector agencies; software applications to enhance and automate operations involving records and document management; and data and insights solutions. In addition, it offers software as a service arrangements and electronic document filing solutions for courts and law offices; software and hardware installation, data conversion, training, product modification, and maintenance and support services; and property appraisal outsourcing services for taxing jurisdictions. The company has a strategic collaboration agreement with Amazon Web Services for cloud hosting services. Tyler Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTyler Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, maintenance contracts, and subscription services. The company earns significant income from both one-time software license fees and ongoing subscription fees for its cloud-based products. Additionally, Tyler provides consulting and implementation services, which contribute to its revenue. Key partnerships with government agencies and organizations enhance its market presence and allow for tailored solutions that meet specific regulatory and operational needs, further driving sales and customer retention.

Tyler Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive picture: strong recurring revenue growth (SaaS >20%), ARR up ~11%, record free cash flow and margin expansion, notable bookings momentum in flips, meaningful AI deployment traction, a $1B share repurchase authorization and strategic M&A activity. Offsetting items included a one-time contract reserve that reduced Q4 reported results (no cash impact), the wind-down/shortfall from a Texas payments contract, lumpiness and tough comps in bookings, and higher near-term R&D investment. On balance, the company demonstrated healthy underlying demand, solid cash generation and confidence in continued SaaS and transaction growth while acknowledging some short-term variability and investment-driven margin shifts.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Recurring revenue and SaaS momentum
Recurring revenues grew 11% year-over-year; subscriptions revenue increased 16.1% and SaaS revenue grew 20.2% (SaaS exceeded $200M in a quarter for the first time). Company guidance expects subscription growth of 12%–15% and SaaS growth of 20.5%–22.5% for FY2026.
Record free cash flow and strong cash position
Q4 free cash flow reached a fourth-quarter record of $236.9M (free cash flow margin expanded to ~41% in the quarter). Full-year free cash flow totaled $620.8M with a free cash flow margin of 26.6%. Cash and investments at quarter end were approximately $1.16B.
Annualized recurring revenue (ARR) growth
Total annualized recurring revenue (ARR) was approximately $2.06B, up 10.9% year-over-year.
Flips and bookings strength in Q4
Total Q4 bookings were $601M (essentially flat YoY versus a difficult comparison). Total SaaS bookings grew 9.6% year-over-year in Q4 and full-year SaaS bookings grew 4%. Annual contract value (ACV) from flips signed in Q4 was $28.1M, up 64.5% YoY and up 54.8% sequentially; management said flips are a continuing growth base and expect them to grow further.
Transaction revenue growth
Transaction revenues grew 12.1% year-over-year, driven by higher volumes, adoption of new transaction services and growth from payment partners. Management expects underlying transaction revenue growth of roughly 10%–12% in 2026 after excluding a lapping impact from a large Texas contract that ended in 2025.
Profitability and operating margin improvement (full year)
Non-GAAP operating margin for the full year was 26%, up 150 basis points year-over-year, reflecting a shift toward higher-margin SaaS and transaction revenues and cloud efficiency gains.
Clear FY2026 guidance and financial targets
FY2026 guidance: total revenues $2.50B–$2.55B (midpoint ≈ +8.3%); GAAP diluted EPS $8.30–$8.61 and non-GAAP diluted EPS $12.40–$12.65; expected free cash flow margin 26%–28%; R&D $242M–$247M.
Strategic M&A and capital return
Completed four strategic acquisitions in 2025 and announced a definitive agreement to acquire For The Record (management ballparked FTR annual revenue near $45M–$50M). Board authorized a new share repurchase program up to $1.0B, underscoring strong balance sheet and capital allocation flexibility.
Commercial wins and state-level momentum
Notable Q4 wins included multiple large flips (LA County, Travis and Collin Counties TX, Contra Costa County CA, Marin County CA, Madison WI), statewide deal with New Mexico Department of Corrections, payments wins (Multnomah County OR, Maryland AOC), and SaaS deals with major school districts and Riverside County jail solution.
Early AI traction and product roadmap
Tyler's resident AI assistant is live in six states (Alabama, Hawaii, Indiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, South Carolina) with Indiana showing ~17,000 residents/month and ~50,000 questions/month. Company plans early access for agentic AI in Q1 and is embedding AI into enterprise permitting, licensing and supervision platforms with a phased rollout and client advisory board input.
Negative Updates
One-time contract dispute reserve reduced reported results
A one-time noncash loss reserve related to a contract dispute reversed approximately $8.8M of license revenue and $0.9M of professional services revenue in Q4. Management stated there is no cash impact or remaining balance-sheet exposure; excluding the reserve, reported revenue growth would have been 8.1% (vs. reported 6.3%), operating margin would have been ~120 bps higher, and EPS would have been $0.17 higher.
Texas payments contract wind-down and near-term revenue shortfall
Revenues from the Texas payments contract wound down in 2025: total 2025 revenue from that contract was ~ $36M. Q4 actual revenue from that contract was ~ $3M, roughly $4M below the company's expectation entering the quarter, contributing to a revenue shortfall in Q4. Management noted this contract was low margin but impacted transaction revenue comparisons.
Bookings and growth cadence remain mixed
Total bookings for the full year grew only 1.4%, and full-year SaaS bookings grew 4% (Q4 bookings faced tough comps due to several large multi-year deals and ARPA pull-forward in the prior year). Management acknowledged bookings can be lumpier and that last year included unusually large and long-duration deals that compressed comparisons.
License and hardware revenue volatility
Guidance shows license and hardware revenues with meaningful directional changes: license revenues guidance is mixed (company noted that excluding the 2025 contract reserve license revenues would be expected to decline 30%–32%), and hardware and other revenues are expected to decline 17%–19% as 2025 included large one-time hardware deliveries.
Professional services and services bookings pressure
Professional services remain lower-margin and services & other bookings were down materially year-over-year in Q4 (largest factor being the contract reserve). Management emphasized a deliberate strategy to limit low-margin services growth and improve services efficiency, but this continues to be a margin/booking headwind.
Q4 non-GAAP operating margin tick down
Non-GAAP operating margin in Q4 was 24.1%, down 30 basis points year-over-year (though full-year margin improved).
Short-term variability and comps from prior large deals/ARPA funding
Management noted variability in quarter-to-quarter SaaS revenue and bookings due to timing lags (e.g., lag between signing flips and revenue recognition), lumpiness from large prior-year deals (e.g., an eight-year $25M Maine deal), and ARPA-driven pull-forwards that created tough comps in 2025.
Increased R&D spending and shifting cost classification
R&D expense guide for 2026 is higher ($242M–$247M) with R&D as a percentage of revenue expected around ~8%–9% (up from ~5.5% in 2024). Part of the increase (~$20M) reflects migration of development expense from cost of sales to R&D; the company is investing meaningfully in AI and cloud capabilities, which raises near-term spend intensity.
Company Guidance
Tyler guided fiscal 2026 total revenues of $2.50–$2.55 billion (midpoint ≈ +8.3% growth) with GAAP diluted EPS $8.30–$8.61 and non‑GAAP diluted EPS $12.40–$12.65, an estimated non‑GAAP tax rate of 23% (up 0.5 ppt), and a free cash flow margin target of 26%–28%; R&D is expected to be $242M–$247M. Revenue-line guidance: subscription +12%–15%, SaaS +20.5%–22.5% (midpoint 21.5%), transaction +5%–7% (or +10%–12% excluding the ~$36M Texas payments contract that ended in 2025), maintenance −5% to −7%, professional services +3%–5%, license +15%–17% (note: excluding the 2025 contract loss reserve, license revenues would have been expected to decline ~30%–32%), and hardware & other −17% to −19%. Guidance excludes potential acquisitions (including pending For The Record) and GAAP EPS may vary materially due to discrete tax items.

Tyler Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving fundamentals: accelerating revenue, solid profitability with net margin ~13.5% in TTM, strong free cash flow with good earnings quality, and a conservative balance sheet with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11). Main offsets are uneven margin progression and some variability in cash flow conversion versus revenue in TTM.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
TYL shows strong top-line momentum with revenue up meaningfully over time and accelerating in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Profitability is solid and improving versus the 2022–2023 period, with net margin rising to ~13.5% in TTM and EBIT margin holding in the low-teens. The main drawback is margin volatility: gross margin improved in TTM versus recent years, but remains below the 2020 peak, and operating margins have fluctuated rather than expanding steadily.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative with low leverage: debt-to-equity is ~0.11 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), down materially from 2021–2022 levels, indicating improved financial flexibility. Equity has increased significantly over the period, supporting stability. Returns on equity are healthy and consistent (~7–8% recently), though not exceptional for a software company and slightly below earlier highs, suggesting profitability improvements haven’t fully translated into higher returns.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are strong and free cash flow is near net income in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating good earnings quality. Free cash flow growth is also very strong in TTM after more modest or negative growth in parts of 2021–2023. A watch item is the softer cash conversion versus revenue in TTM, with operating cash flow representing a smaller share of revenue than in 2024, implying some working-capital or timing headwinds.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.33B2.14B1.95B1.85B1.59B
Gross Profit1.03B876.13M786.47M722.50M664.79M
EBITDA505.54M466.47M392.63M388.01M328.12M
Net Income315.60M263.03M165.92M164.24M161.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.64B5.18B4.68B4.69B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.10B767.98M175.88M210.89M361.47M
Total Debt675.96M638.37M696.89M1.05B1.39B
Total Liabilities1.94B1.79B1.74B2.06B2.41B
Stockholders Equity3.70B3.39B2.94B2.62B2.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow637.53M604.10M327.43M331.30M316.14M
Operating Cash Flow653.54M624.63M380.44M381.45M371.75M
Investing Cash Flow-222.49M-67.61M-76.96M-172.53M-2.09B
Financing Cash Flow-160.37M22.21M-311.84M-344.24M1.42B

Tyler Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price335.11
Price Trends
50DMA
404.53
Negative
100DMA
442.76
Negative
200DMA
504.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-25.81
Negative
RSI
41.42
Neutral
STOCH
60.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TYL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 335.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 339.22, below the 50-day MA of 404.53, and below the 200-day MA of 504.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -25.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TYL.

Tyler Technologies Risk Analysis

Tyler Technologies disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyler Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tyler Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$7.98B37.5571.66%4.10%-0.21%
72
Outperform
$13.92B46.548.90%10.62%31.43%
70
Outperform
$5.56B24.4120.99%13.30%2.80%
68
Neutral
$17.17B22.3411.87%1.17%6.67%21.21%
65
Neutral
$10.89B128.876.57%22.80%198.93%
65
Neutral
$5.94B-56.14-12.84%16.98%-265.85%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TYL
Tyler Technologies
335.11
-270.30
-44.65%
GWRE
Guidewire
135.89
-62.85
-31.62%
MANH
Manhattan Associates
135.30
-39.90
-22.77%
SSNC
SS&C Technologies Holdings
72.87
-14.21
-16.32%
PCTY
Paylocity
103.78
-96.62
-48.21%
ESTC
Elastic
58.00
-43.28
-42.73%

Tyler Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Tyler Technologies Authorizes New $1 Billion Share Buyback
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Tyler Technologies announced that its board of directors had approved a new share repurchase plan authorizing the company to buy back up to $1 billion of its Class A common stock, effective immediately, replacing all prior repurchase authorizations. The open-ended plan, which does not require the company to repurchase a specific amount of shares and can be modified, suspended, or terminated at any time, may be executed in the open market or through other methods, including potential Rule 10b5-1 plans, and is positioned as a response to what management views as an undervaluation of the stock and as a means to return capital to shareholders while continuing to invest in long-term growth, signaling confidence in Tyler’s durable free cash flow generation and strategic outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (TYL) stock is a Buy with a $403.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyler Technologies stock, see the TYL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tyler Technologies to Acquire Digital Court-Recording Firm FTR
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Tyler Technologies announced it had signed a definitive agreement to acquire For The Record (FTR), a digital court-recording pioneer founded in 1993, for approximately $212.5 million in cash, with closing expected in the first quarter of 2026 subject to customary conditions and regulatory approvals. The deal will fold FTR’s AI-powered, cloud-enabled courtroom recording and multilingual transcription platform—already used in all 50 U.S. states and major courts such as Los Angeles County Superior Court and the Superior Court of Arizona in Maricopa County—into Tyler’s Courts & Justice Division, with FTR’s management and staff joining that unit. By integrating FTR’s “legal grade” speech-to-text and real-time transcription with Tyler’s existing justice software, the company aims to create a unified, near real-time digital court record that enhances “judicial intelligence,” improves efficiency amid a shortage of court reporters, and strengthens Tyler’s competitive position as a provider of next-generation, AI-driven solutions to courts and justice agencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TYL) stock is a Hold with a $390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyler Technologies stock, see the TYL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026