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TWFG, Inc. Class A (TWFG)
NASDAQ:TWFG
US Market
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TWFG, Inc. Class A (TWFG) AI Stock Analysis

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TWFG

TWFG, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:TWFG)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(6.46% Upside)
TWFG, Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving its stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, improved margins, and strategic M&A activities highlight its growth potential. However, the high P/E ratio and technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock may be overvalued and facing resistance in the longer term.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
TWFG's strong revenue growth indicates effective market expansion and product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Margin Expansion
Improved margins reflect efficient cost management and operational effectiveness, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Cash Position
A strong cash position provides TWFG with flexibility for strategic investments and resilience against market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Increased Expenses
Rising expenses can pressure margins and profitability, potentially limiting reinvestment opportunities and affecting long-term growth.
Softening Market Conditions
Softening market conditions could lead to reduced pricing power and lower revenue growth, challenging TWFG's market strategy.
Challenges in California
Persistent challenges in key markets like California may hinder growth and require strategic adjustments to maintain market share.

TWFG, Inc. Class A (TWFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TWFG, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTWFG, Inc. operates an independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance products in the United States. Its personal and commercial insurance products include auto, home, renters, life, health, motorcycle, umbrella, boat, recreational vehicle, flood, wind, event, luxury item, general liability, property, business auto, workers' compensation, business owner policy, and professional liability insurance products, as well as commercial bonds and group benefits. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas. TWFG, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Bunch Family Holdings, LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyTWFG generates revenue primarily through the sale of insurance policies, which include premiums collected from customers for property, casualty, and life insurance products. The company's revenue model is structured around underwriting insurance, where it assesses risk and prices policies accordingly. Key revenue streams include policy premiums, investment income from managing reserves, and fees from ancillary services such as risk management consulting. Additionally, TWFG may engage in strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and insurance providers, enhancing its distribution capabilities and expanding its market reach. These collaborations can lead to increased policy sales and improved customer acquisition, thereby contributing positively to the company's overall earnings.

TWFG, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, margin expansion, and successful M&A activities. However, challenges such as increased expenses and softening market conditions, particularly in California, were noted. Overall, the positive aspects, including robust financial metrics and strategic growth initiatives, outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased 21.3% over the prior year period to $64.1 million, with organic revenue growth of 10.2%.
Strong EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA grew 44.7% to $17 million, with margins expanding by over 400 basis points to 26.5%.
Successful M&A Activities
Addition of 8 new retail locations, 1 corporate location, and 370 independent agents. Acquisition of Alabama Insurance Agency added 23 retail locations.
Robust Premium and Retention Rates
Written premium increased by 16.9% to $467.7 million with a retention rate of 91%.
Positive Cash Flow and Financial Position
Operating cash flow of $15 million and $151 million in cash with no draws on the revolver.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses
Commission expenses increased by 13% and salaries and benefits rose by 19.2% over the prior year.
Softening Market Conditions
The transition from a hard to soft market is impacting renewal rates and premium retention.
Challenges in California
California remains a hard market, with limited carrier capacity and competitive pressures.
Company Guidance
During TWFG's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance for the year ahead, reflecting its strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Total revenues for the quarter rose by 21% quarter-over-quarter to $64.1 million, driven by a 10.2% organic revenue growth and successful mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Adjusted EBITDA increased significantly by 45% to $17 million, with margins expanding by 430 basis points to 26.5%. The company's recruiting and M&A efforts resulted in the addition of 8 new retail locations, 1 corporate location, and 370 independent agents, alongside the acquisition of Alabama Insurance Agency, which added 23 retail locations. For the full year 2025, TWFG expects total revenues to be between $240 million and $245 million, with an organic revenue growth rate of 11% to 13%, and adjusted EBITDA margins of 24% to 25%. The company ended the quarter with $151 million in cash, positioning it well for future growth and M&A opportunities.

TWFG, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TWFG, Inc. exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth, improved profitability margins, and reduced leverage. The company has effectively managed its costs and capital structure, enhancing its financial stability. While past leverage levels were high, recent improvements indicate a positive trajectory.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TWFG, Inc. shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 6.27% and a previous annual growth of 16.01%. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 40.91% TTM from 24.04% in 2024, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 6.59% TTM, though it has improved from 1.42% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.08 TTM from 0.14 in 2024, indicating reduced leverage and better financial stability. Return on equity is strong at 18.89% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, past high leverage in 2023 poses a potential risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
TWFG, Inc. demonstrates robust cash flow management with a TTM free cash flow growth of 7.92% and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.15. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 93.23% TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion. Consistent growth in free cash flow highlights strong operational cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue217.88M193.72M166.99M147.78M
Gross Profit53.09M46.57M36.17M30.63M
EBITDA52.90M44.33M31.13M27.05M
Net Income6.61M2.75M0.000.00
Balance Sheet
Total Assets349.17M323.43M115.44M114.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments150.99M195.77M39.30M22.33M
Total Debt9.02M10.30M51.76M13.31M
Total Liabilities53.43M48.14M84.39M56.37M
Stockholders Equity79.36M73.88M31.05M57.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.29M37.28M14.51M13.48M
Operating Cash Flow51.81M40.48M30.15M25.75M
Investing Cash Flow-67.21M-25.05M-14.65M-14.50M
Financing Cash Flow-22.96M143.43M-9.70M-15.26M

TWFG, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.18
Price Trends
50DMA
26.66
Positive
100DMA
27.40
Positive
200DMA
29.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.64
Negative
RSI
60.07
Neutral
STOCH
61.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.22, above the 50-day MA of 26.66, and below the 200-day MA of 29.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TWFG.

TWFG, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.58B63.738.79%18.54%-67.02%
71
Outperform
$525.01M16.9018.72%2.65%4.39%61.61%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$525.01M15.4818.72%2.69%4.39%61.61%
56
Neutral
$123.98M108.635.88%16.79%
50
Neutral
$246.36M15.11%13.16%
41
Neutral
$47.15M-0.19-142.05%7.56%-344.04%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TWFG
TWFG, Inc. Class A
28.28
-5.47
-16.21%
CRD.A
Crawford & Company A
10.95
-0.21
-1.88%
EHTH
Ehealth
4.16
-1.31
-23.95%
CRD.B
Crawford & Company B
10.13
-0.61
-5.68%
SLQT
SelectQuote
1.47
-1.43
-49.31%
GOCO
GoHealth
2.99
-7.71
-72.06%

TWFG, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

TWFG, Inc. Reports Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion
Nov 14, 2025

TWFG, Inc. is a high-growth, independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance in the United States, operating primarily through its Insurance Services and TWFG MGA offerings. The company recently released its earnings report for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, showcasing significant growth in revenue and net income compared to the previous year.

TWFG, Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Nov 14, 2025

The latest earnings call for TWFG, Inc. Class A was marked by a generally positive sentiment, reflecting strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported significant revenue growth, margin expansion, and successful mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activities. Despite challenges like increased expenses and softening market conditions, particularly in California, the positive aspects of the earnings call outweighed the negatives, showcasing robust financial metrics and strategic growth plans.

TWFG, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Aug 14, 2025

TWFG, Inc. is a high-growth insurance distribution company based in the United States, specializing in personal and commercial insurance through its independent distribution platform.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025