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TILT Holdings Inc (TSE:TILT)
NEO-L:TILT

TILT Holdings Inc (TILT) AI Stock Analysis

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TILT Holdings Inc

(NEO-L:TILT)

Rating:35Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.50
▼(-13.79%Downside)
TILT Holdings Inc. is currently under significant financial pressure, with declining revenues and high leverage posing risks to its stability. Technical indicators show limited price momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. While recent strategic initiatives and innovations provide some optimism, the financial difficulties and operational setbacks weigh heavily on the stock's overall outlook.

TILT Holdings Inc (TILT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TILT Holdings Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTILT Holdings Inc. is a vertically-integrated technology and infrastructure company based in the cannabis industry. The company operates in various sectors including inhalation technology, cultivation, manufacturing, processing, brand development, and retail. TILT provides a comprehensive suite of products and services designed to meet the needs of the cannabis industry, catering to both businesses and consumers. Its core offerings include hardware products, such as vaporizers, and software solutions aimed at enhancing business operations for cannabis companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyTILT Holdings Inc. generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income by manufacturing and selling cannabis-related hardware products, including vaporizers, which are distributed to both wholesale and retail customers. Additionally, TILT offers software and support services designed to optimize supply chain management and enhance customer relationships for cannabis businesses. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with established cannabis brands and cultivators, allowing it to expand its product offerings and market reach. Revenue is further supplemented by its operations in the cultivation and sale of cannabis products in markets where it is legally permissible.

TILT Holdings Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TILT's earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant strategic progress and product innovation, but also highlighted challenges such as decreased revenue and continued supply chain issues. The company's efforts to transform into a Jupiter-first organization are promising, yet financial metrics indicate ongoing struggles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Transformation Progress
TILT is transforming into a streamlined Jupiter-first organization, focusing on reducing regulatory complexity, freeing up working capital, and enhancing growth potential. The company has been engaged in strategic asset sales and improving cost discipline.
Successful Divestiture in Massachusetts
TILT signed a definitive agreement to sell two dispensaries in Massachusetts for $2 million, with proceeds directed toward reducing Smoore-related obligations, positioning Jupiter for future growth.
Product Innovation and Growth
In Pennsylvania, Live Rosin products saw a month-over-month sales growth of 9.5%. Additionally, TILT launched a new 0.5 gram Live Rosin product in Ohio, representing a new category in cannabis vape.
Major Milestone in EU Certification
The QMID handheld liquid vaporizer device achieved European Union Medical Device Regulation certification, marking it the first handheld vape device to achieve this status.
Improved Cash Flow
Cash flow provided from operations in Q1 was $1.9 million, an improvement compared to cash used in previous quarters.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue
Revenue in Q1 was $22.7 million, a decrease from $37.5 million in the year-ago period, primarily driven by the Jupiter hardware business and supply chain challenges.
Lower Gross Margin
Gross margin in Q1 was 15%, down from 18% in the year-ago period, despite a 700 basis points increase in Jupiter's gross margin due to a new commission-based structure.
Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Net loss in Q1 was $13.2 million compared to a $9.7 million loss in the year-ago period, and adjusted EBITDA was negative $974,000, reflecting lower revenue and consolidated gross margin.
Continued Supply Chain Challenges
The supply chain continues to face challenges, exacerbated by tariff uncertainties, impacting customer purchasing behavior and leading to a decrease in the number of orders year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During TILT's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on its strategic transformation into a streamlined Jupiter-first organization. The CEO, Tim Conder, highlighted their focus on reducing regulatory complexity, freeing up working capital, and enhancing growth potential. Key metrics included a 20% quarter-over-quarter sales increase in plant-touching businesses, a 35% increase in average order totals despite a decrease in the number of orders, and a notable 700 basis point rise in Jupiter's gross margin compared to the previous year. The company reported a revenue of $22.7 million, a decrease from $37.5 million in the same period last year, and a gross margin of 15%, down from 22% in the previous quarter. Operating expenses decreased by 10% year-over-year to $7.3 million, with a net loss of $13.2 million. However, cash flow from operations improved, providing $1.9 million in the first quarter. TILT remains focused on exiting plant-touching operations, product innovation, and optimizing its supply chain to drive future growth.

TILT Holdings Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TILT Holdings Inc is facing substantial financial difficulties, characterized by declining revenues, negative profit margins, and increased financial leverage. Despite some cash generation from operations, the company's profitability issues and increased debt levels pose significant long-term financial health risks.
Income Statement
35
Negative
TILT Holdings Inc has shown a declining revenue trend over the years with a negative revenue growth rate of -22% in the TTM compared to 2023. The company is struggling with profitability as indicated by consistently negative EBIT and Net Income, which results in negative profit margins. The gross profit margin has significantly dropped from 23% in 2023 to 0.7% in the TTM, indicating increasing cost pressures or inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio, rising to 28.08 in the TTM from 1.76 in 2023, signaling increased leverage and financial risk. Stockholders' equity has diminished significantly, reflecting potential financial instability. Despite this, TILT Holdings maintains a high equity ratio of 2.41% in the TTM, although it has decreased from 27% in 2023, indicating a declining proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
There has been a decline in free cash flow from 2023 to the TTM, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -26.5%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at -0.054, suggesting operational activities are generating cash despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.042, indicating challenges in converting earnings to cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
129.46M165.96M174.19M202.71M158.41M152.94M
Gross Profit
890.06K18.77M38.17M58.21M58.95M55.14M
EBIT
-45.98M-43.15M-28.72M272.00K4.50M-101.67M
EBITDA
-34.15M-22.02M-64.65M-17.04M-29.62M-90.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-80.76M-62.38M-107.46M-45.12M-52.11M-133.37M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
97.25M2.03M2.20M6.95M7.43M2.58M
Total Assets
221.24M231.19M293.98M415.18M429.60M545.90M
Total Debt
0.00109.99M105.91M98.47M85.01M86.53M
Net Debt
-97.25M107.96M103.70M91.51M77.58M83.95M
Total Liabilities
14.66M168.79M172.46M181.15M146.56M158.15M
Stockholders Equity
204.86M62.39M121.35M233.86M283.05M387.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.42M4.65M-6.53M-12.29M7.75M-60.16M
Operating Cash Flow
4.36M5.37M8.61M-8.82M9.65M-27.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-496.67K13.17M-16.84M872.00K-2.52M-96.24M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.74M-18.69M4.78M6.02M-2.91M28.51M

TILT Holdings Inc Risk Analysis

TILT Holdings Inc disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TILT Holdings Inc reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TILT Holdings Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSOGI
73
Outperform
C$239.65M17.824.76%26.93%
62
Neutral
$11.72B10.43-7.10%2.91%7.41%-7.94%
TSACB
50
Neutral
$405.59M33.594.78%16.39%-98.10%
48
Neutral
C$146.09M-38.89%-6.80%11.94%
47
Neutral
$367.57M-122.10%-16.27%
39
Underperform
$227.80M-554.70%-14.45%44.87%
35
Underperform
C$213.77M-955.11%-35.53%-54.28%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TILT
TILT Holdings Inc
0.58
0.00
0.00%
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
2.31
-7.67
-76.85%
TSE:ACB
Aurora Cannabis
7.81
-0.31
-3.82%
TSE:OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
1.86
-0.33
-15.30%
TSE:TSND
TerrAscend Corp
0.38
-1.63
-81.09%
TSE:CBST
Cannabist Company Holdings
0.56
0.00
0.00%

TILT Holdings Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TILT Holdings Inc. Reports Strategic Shift and Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 15, 2025

TILT Holdings Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a strategic shift towards a more asset-light operating model by divesting plant-touching assets. This move is expected to enhance the company’s scalability and financial performance. The company achieved a significant milestone with the EU medical device certification for its Jupiter handheld liquid vaporizer, indicating a focus on innovation and improved patient care. Despite a decrease in revenue and a net loss, TILT is making progress in repositioning itself in a challenging market environment, with a focus on sustainable growth and margin improvement.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TILT Holdings Inc. Reshapes Strategy with Focus on Jupiter and Market Expansion
Negative
May 15, 2025

TILT Holdings Inc. reported its first quarter 2025 results, highlighting a strategic shift towards an asset-light, Jupiter-first business model by divesting plant-touching assets. This transition aims to expand market reach and improve financial performance, despite a decrease in revenue and an increased net loss compared to the previous year. The company achieved a significant milestone with the EU certification of its Jupiter QMID vaporizer, enhancing its innovation in medical cannabis delivery.

Business Operations and Strategy
TILT Holdings Faces Default Notices Over Unpaid Rent
Negative
Apr 3, 2025

TILT Holdings Inc. has received default notices from Innovative Industrial Properties due to outstanding rental payments on properties in Pennsylvania and Massachusetts. The company is actively negotiating with the landlord to resolve these financial obligations and has already made payments to satisfy April rent obligations, securing a temporary forbearance from eviction. This situation highlights potential financial challenges for TILT, impacting its operations and possibly affecting stakeholder confidence.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TILT Holdings Reports Transformative Year with Strategic Shifts and Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

TILT Holdings Inc. reported its financial results for Q4 and the full year 2024, highlighting a transformative year with strategic shifts towards focusing on its Jupiter segment. The company is divesting its Massachusetts retail assets and exiting plant-touching operations to become more agile and focused. Despite a decrease in revenue and an increase in net loss, improvements in gross margin and cash operating expenses were noted. TILT is making organizational changes, including leadership enhancements, to drive business forward and expand its product portfolio.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TILT Holdings Shifts Focus to Jupiter Amid Financial Restructuring
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

TILT Holdings Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a strategic shift towards focusing on its Jupiter business. The company is divesting its Massachusetts retail assets and exiting plant-touching operations to become more agile. Despite a decrease in revenue, TILT improved its gross margin and adjusted EBITDA due to operational changes. The company also announced leadership changes and plans to sell its Massachusetts retail locations, aiming to strengthen its market position and achieve strategic goals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.