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Toromont Industries (TSE:TIH)
TSX:TIH

Toromont Industries (TIH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TIH

Toromont Industries

(TSX:TIH)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$228.00
▲(13.05% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is led by strong fundamentals (growth, solid margins, conservative leverage) and a constructive earnings update (backlog/bookings strength, liquidity, and capital returns). This is tempered by premium valuation and overbought technical signals, plus cash-flow variability and some recent cost/margin pressure.
Positive Factors
Large, growing backlog/order intake
A materially larger backlog and sharply higher bookings provide durable near‑term revenue visibility and support equipment production and service cadence. With ~90% of Equipment Group backlog expected to ship within 12 months, the backlog underpins organic revenue growth and capacity planning into the next 12 months.
Conservative balance sheet and strong liquidity
Substantial cash and undrawn credit plus low net leverage give the company flexibility to fund the AVL ramp, capital expenditure, and opportunistic M&A while maintaining capital returns. Equity growth and conservative debt ratios reduce refinancing risk and support strategic execution through industry cycles.
Recurring aftermarket and rental revenues
A sizable and growing installed base with expanding product support and rental streams creates recurring, higher‑margin cash flow that is less cyclical than new equipment sales. This structural mix supports margin sustainability, steadier cash generation, and customer stickiness across construction, mining and industrial end markets.
Negative Factors
Margin pressure and rising operating expenses
Operating cost growth and compression in rental and product support margins suggest pressure on core profitability. Margins peaked in 2022–2023; persistent SG&A and margin erosion would reduce operating leverage, slow ROE improvement toward targets, and constrain the free cash flow available for returns.
Volatile cash-flow generation
Wide year-to-year swings in operating cash flow and free cash flow reflect working‑capital and capex variability. That variability complicates capacity to sustainably fund dividends, buybacks or sizable acquisitions without depending on cyclical timing, making capital returns and reinvestment less predictable.
Acquisition accounting charges and higher financing costs
Significant amortization and revaluation tied to the AVL acquisition compress reported earnings near term, while new senior debt issuance raised interest expense. Combined with the noted increase in absolute debt in 2025, these factors raise reported expense volatility and financing cost risk during the AVL production ramp through 2026.

Toromont Industries (TIH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Toromont Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToromont Industries Ltd. provides specialized capital equipment in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Equipment Group and CIMCO. The Equipment Group segment engages in the sale, rental, and service of mobile equipment for Caterpillar and other manufacturers; sale, rental, and service of engines used in various applications, including industrial, commercial, marine, on-highway trucks, and power generation; and sale of complementary and related products, parts, and services. This segment serves building, mining, aggregates, public infrastructure, residential construction, power generation, marine, agriculture, forestry, on-highway truck engines, industrial, demolition, and waste management markets. The CIMCO segment is involved in the design, engineering, fabrication, installation, and after-sale support of refrigeration systems in industrial and recreational markets. This segment primarily serves beverage and food processing, cold storage, food distribution, mining, and recreational ice rink sectors. Toromont Industries Ltd. was founded in 1961 and is based in Concord, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyToromont Industries generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of heavy equipment, particularly Caterpillar products, which are crucial for construction and mining activities. The company also earns significant revenue from its parts and service divisions, providing maintenance, repair, and spare parts for the equipment it sells. Additionally, Toromont's power systems segment, which includes the sale of generators and related services, contributes to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers like Caterpillar enhance TIH's offerings and market reach. The company also benefits from its established customer relationships, leading to repeat business and long-term contracts, especially in sectors with ongoing equipment needs.

Toromont Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive operational and strategic picture: revenue growth, a markedly larger backlog, strong bookings, CIMCO outperformance, ample liquidity, share buybacks and a dividend increase. Headwinds include sizeable noncash AVL acquisition charges that depressed reported earnings, higher financing and operating expenses, some margin pressure (rental and product support), and notable Q4 booking weakness at CIMCO and volatility in mining revenue. On balance the positives (organic growth, backlog, liquidity, AVL production ramp and capital returns) outweigh the near-term accounting and expense-related negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth (Q4 & FY 2025)
Revenue of $97.7 million in Q4 2025 and $254.7 million for the full year 2025; consolidated revenue increased 9% in Q4 and 4% for the year versus 2024.
Substantial Backlog and Order Intake
Backlog of $1.5 billion, up 46% year-over-year; consolidated bookings rose 47% in Q4. Equipment Group backlog up 68% and Equipment Group bookings increased 71% in Q4.
AVL Acquisition Drives Power Systems Momentum
AVL backlog ~ $428 million contributing materially to Power Systems order growth (Power Systems orders up 195% in Q4); AVL production ramp underway (Charlotte facility began phased production in 2025 and will scale through 2026).
CIMCO Strong Growth and Profitability
CIMCO revenue up 10% in Q4 and 14% year-to-date; operating income increased 9% in Q4 and 20% for the year, with year-to-date operating margin rising 60 basis points to 12.2%.
Improved Product Support and Rental Activity
Product support revenue increased 9% in Q4 and 4% year-to-date (Equipment Group); rental revenue up 5% in Q4 and 9% year-to-date, supported by a larger fleet (RPO fleet $92.5M).
Gross Profit and Equipment Margins Improved
Gross profit margins improved year-over-year; equipment margins increased ~50 basis points in the quarter and year, contributing to operating income being up 3% in Q4 (2% year-to-date).
Strong Balance Sheet and Capital Returns
Ample liquidity with $1.3 billion in cash and $453 million available under credit facilities; net debt to total capitalization negative 19%; repurchased 337,500 shares for $40.1 million and increased quarterly dividend by $0.04 (7.7%) to $0.56/share.
High Backlog Delivery Visibility
Approximately 90% of the Equipment Group backlog and ~75% of CIMCO backlog expected to be delivered within 12 months, providing near-term revenue visibility (subject to supply/timing).
Negative Updates
Significant Noncash Charges from AVL Acquisition
Noncash acquisition-related expenses recognized were $33.4 million pretax in Q4 and $90.4 million pretax for the full year 2025 (largely amortization of acquired backlog and intangibles), reducing near-term reported earnings.
Net Earnings and EPS Pressure (Full Year)
Net earnings decreased 2% ($9.9 million) year-over-year; basic EPS was $6.11 for the year (Q4 EPS $1.93), with growth investments and acquisition accounting cited as drivers.
Higher Interest and Financing Costs
Net interest expense increased by $17 million for the year due to higher borrowings (new senior debentures issued in March 2025) and lower interest income from lower market rates.
Expense Growth and Margin Compression in Some Areas
Selling & administrative expenses rose (ex-property gain) 10% in the quarter and 5% for the year; company SG&A increased to 12.3% of revenue (from 11.8%). Equipment rental margins down 10 bps in Q4 and 20 bps year-to-date; product support margins down 30 bps in Q4 and 10 bps year-to-date.
CIMCO Bookings Weakness in Q4
CIMCO bookings fell 45% in Q4 (down $56 million) and were 11% lower versus a strong comparator, with industrial and recreational orders down year-to-date (industrial -9%, recreational -14%).
Mining Revenue Volatility and Near-Term Decline
Total equipment revenue from mining decreased 39% in Q4 due to inherent lumpiness and timing of deliveries; mining deliveries were lower versus a strong comparable period.
Revaluation Expense on Purchase Commitment Liability
Revaluation of the commitment to purchase the remaining 40% of AVL shares generated a $7.9 million expense in 2025 (liability rose from $42M to $50M), with potential for further revaluations tied to AVL performance.
Company Guidance
Management guided that AVL production will continue to ramp through 2026 (Charlotte phase 1 began in Q3 2025) with most purchase‑price amortization related to acquired backlog completing in H1 2026 and AVL dividends expected to begin in 2026 (sized from 2025 earnings before amortization and AVL cash needs); consolidated Q4 bookings rose 47% (Equipment Group +71%, Power Systems +195%, mining +324%, CIMCO -45%), consolidated backlog is $1.5B (Equipment Group $1.2B incl. ~$428M AVL, CIMCO $343M) with ~90% of Equipment and ~75% of CIMCO backlog expected to ship in the next 12 months, consolidated revenue was +9% in Q4 and +4% for the year (Equipment +9% Q / +3% Y, CIMCO +10% Q / +14% Y; AVL revenue $97.7M Q4 / $254.7M FY), AVL non‑cash acquisition charges were $33.4M Q4 / $90.4M FY (pretax) with EPS impact ≈ -$0.01 Q4 / +$0.01 FY, and the company reiterated strong liquidity ($1.3B cash + $453M credit, net debt-to-capitalization -19%), improved working capital (noncash working capital down 11% YoY, DSO 39 days), rental trends (rental revenue +5% Q / +9% YTD, RPO fleet $92.5M), margin/earnings metrics (operating income ~13.1% YTD, ROE target 18% vs actual 16.9%, ROCE 23.4%), a $40.1M share buyback (337,500 shares) and a 7.7% dividend increase to $0.56 quarterly ($2.24 annual).

Toromont Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and solid profitability with low leverage and rising equity. Offsets include some margin softening versus the 2022–2023 peak and notably volatile cash-flow conversion despite a 2025 free-cash-flow rebound.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2020 to 2025 (from ~3.48B to ~5.20B), showing durable end-market demand and execution. Profitability is solid, with 2025 gross margin ~25% and healthy operating profitability (EBIT margin ~13.8%, EBITDA margin ~19.9%). A key watch-out is that margins peaked in 2022–2023 and have eased modestly since, and 2025 net income dipped slightly versus 2024 despite higher revenue—suggesting some cost pressure or mix/headwind into the latest year.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered: debt-to-equity remains low (~0.23–0.34 across 2021–2025, ~0.26 in 2025) while equity has compounded meaningfully (from ~1.70B in 2020 to ~3.29B in 2025). Total assets have also expanded consistently, indicating scale growth without outsized balance-sheet risk. The main weakness is that absolute debt rose in 2025 versus 2024, which bears monitoring if profitability continues to soften.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is generally positive, with 2025 operating cash flow of ~742M and free cash flow of ~514M (a sharp rebound versus 2024’s ~162M). However, cash flow has been volatile year-to-year (notably the 2024 drop and prior swings), and free cash flow has not consistently tracked earnings strongly (free cash flow running at ~32% of net income in 2024, improving to ~69% in 2025). This variability suggests working-capital and/or capital spending swings that can materially affect cash available to shareholders.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.20B5.02B4.62B4.12B3.89B
Gross Profit1.32B1.26B1.24B1.12B969.77M
EBITDA1.03B864.02M876.31M772.03M627.66M
Net Income496.59M506.52M534.71M454.20M332.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.47B4.87B4.57B4.18B3.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.33B890.82M1.04B927.78M916.83M
Total Debt851.12M689.72M682.06M670.92M665.92M
Total Liabilities2.18B1.91B1.89B1.86B1.63B
Stockholders Equity3.29B2.96B2.68B2.33B1.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow513.96M162.19M180.62M114.19M420.68M
Operating Cash Flow742.12M508.10M526.99M388.17M610.07M
Investing Cash Flow-258.86M-355.78M-249.31M-215.55M-136.21M
Financing Cash Flow-47.29M-303.44M-164.49M-162.16M-148.14M

Toromont Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price201.68
Price Trends
50DMA
185.78
Positive
100DMA
173.64
Positive
200DMA
154.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.27
Positive
RSI
56.30
Neutral
STOCH
24.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TIH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 201.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 202.87, above the 50-day MA of 185.78, and above the 200-day MA of 154.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TIH.

Toromont Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$16.43B27.1815.97%1.25%2.97%-0.80%
71
Outperform
C$11.75B19.5719.66%1.58%1.32%24.27%
66
Neutral
C$728.43M10.3210.91%5.09%3.71%-12.70%
65
Neutral
$2.57B20.0310.04%3.88%8.15%-3.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
C$2.17B29.8922.05%0.99%13.02%52.88%
60
Neutral
C$3.99B30.95-0.27%-5.59%-104.09%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
201.68
89.04
79.05%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
64.41
25.86
67.09%
TSE:ATS
ATS Corporation
40.66
3.90
10.61%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
89.80
51.32
133.39%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
33.34
16.30
95.69%
TSE:RUS
Russel Metals
46.70
8.35
21.77%

Toromont Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Toromont posts higher 2025 revenue, lifts dividend as margins hold firm
Positive
Feb 10, 2026

Toromont Industries reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.42 billion, up 9% year over year, and full-year revenue of $5.2 billion, a 4% increase, driven by growth in both the Equipment Group and CIMCO. Earnings were relatively flat, with quarterly net income up 1% and full-year net income down 2%, as higher gross margins and acquisition-driven growth were offset by increased expenses, lower net interest income, and non-cash costs tied to the AVL acquisition.

The company highlighted strong rental, product support, and power systems activity, while mining equipment deliveries declined against a strong prior-year comparison but finished with robust fourth-quarter bookings. CIMCO delivered higher revenue and earnings on solid package and product support demand in both Canada and the U.S., and Toromont’s board raised the quarterly dividend by 7.7%, underscoring confidence in the firm’s financial position and long-term outlook despite macroeconomic and trade uncertainty.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TIH) stock is a Hold with a C$172.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toromont Industries stock, see the TSE:TIH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Toromont Sets February 10 Date to Release 2025 Full-Year Results
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026

Toromont Industries will release its 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year financial results after markets close on February 10, 2026, and will hold an analyst and media call and webcast the following morning to review the numbers and discuss operating highlights. The scheduled briefing, led by CEO Michael S. McMillan and CFO John M. Doolittle, underscores the company’s engagement with investors and stakeholders as it provides insight into recent performance and business trends across its equipment and thermal management operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TIH) stock is a Hold with a C$196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toromont Industries stock, see the TSE:TIH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026