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Russel Metals Inc (TSE:RUS)
TSX:RUS
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Russel Metals (RUS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RUS

Russel Metals

(TSX:RUS)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
C$51.00
▲(14.92%Upside)
Russel Metals achieves a strong overall stock score of 81, driven primarily by robust technical indicators and positive corporate events, indicating strong market confidence and strategic growth. The company's stable financial performance and fair valuation further support this outlook, making it an attractive option in the industrial distribution sector.
Positive Factors
Company Execution
RUS is executing well and continues to demonstrate its ability to capitalize on opportunities as they arise.
Financial Capacity
RUS has significant financial capacity to pursue opportunities across its capital allocation priorities.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimate
Revised assumptions for the Service Center division, including marking-to-market steel prices and reduced gross margins, have led to a lowered 2025 EPS estimate.
Macro Uncertainty
Elevated near-term macro uncertainties keep the analyst on the sidelines.

Russel Metals (RUS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Russel Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRussel Metals Inc. is one of the largest metals distribution and processing companies in North America. It operates through three main segments: Metals Service Centers, Energy Products, and Steel Distributors. The company distributes steel and non-ferrous products and offers value-added services, including processing and cutting to length. Russel Metals serves a diverse range of industries, including construction, industrial machinery, transportation, and energy.
How the Company Makes MoneyRussel Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of metals and metal-related products. The Metals Service Centers segment is a significant revenue driver, offering a wide range of steel and non-ferrous products and providing value-added services, such as cutting, slitting, and custom processing. The Energy Products segment supplies pipes, valves, and fittings to the energy sector, catering to oil and gas companies. The Steel Distributors segment sources and sells steel products in bulk, often acting as an intermediary between mills and end-users. Russel Metals benefits from its strategic partnerships with major steel mills and its extensive distribution network, which enhances its ability to serve diverse markets effectively. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as steel prices, demand from key industries, and economic conditions in North America.

Russel Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with strategic growth investments and significant returns to shareholders. However, some challenges remain, such as revenue declines due to seasonality, market uncertainties related to tariffs, and integration costs from recent acquisitions. Despite these challenges, the company's achievements in cash flow, investments, and debt reduction indicate a positive outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Russel Metals generated $344 million of cash flow from operations in 2024, including $103 million from working capital, even amidst steel price volatility and economic uncertainty.
Record Investments and Capital Growth
Russel Metals made significant investments with $90 million in CapEx and over $300 million in acquisitions, marking the largest year for investing activities in the company's history.
Return on Invested Capital
The company achieved a return on invested capital of 15% in 2024, averaging 24% over the past three years, which is above their 15% target.
Significant Capital Return to Shareholders
Russel Metals returned $229 million to shareholders in 2024 through share buybacks and dividends, marking the largest capital return in the company's history.
Debt Reduction and Strong Balance Sheet
The company eliminated all long-term debt and ended the year with a net cash position of $32 million and $580 million of liquidity.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Q4
Revenues were down by 5% in Q4 compared to Q3 due to seasonality, and EBITDA decreased from Q3 levels.
Impact of Tariffs and Market Uncertainty
The potential U.S. tariffs and retaliatory tariffs present uncertainties that could affect steel prices and the business activities of some customers.
Nonrecurring Costs from Acquisitions
The Samuel integration incurred $1 million in nonrecurring costs in Q4, with further integration expected to complete in 2025.
Seasonal Dynamics and Market Volatility
There was a cautious buying activity amidst market volatility, impacting the steel distributors' segment negatively.
Company Guidance
In the Russel Metals 2024 Year End and Fourth Quarter Results Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company reported generating $344 million in cash flow from operations, with $103 million coming from working capital. Capital investments in 2024 totaled $90 million in CapEx, while the company completed acquisitions worth over $300 million, marking the largest year for investing activities in its history. This growth was reflected in their capital base, which increased from $1.3 billion at the end of 2023 to $1.6 billion by the end of 2024. The return on invested capital was reported at 15% for 2024, with a three-year average of 24%. The Service Center segment contributed 67% of revenues, and the U.S. platform accounted for 39%, expected to grow further. In terms of shareholder returns, $131 million was returned through share buybacks and $98 million via dividends, totaling $229 million. The company also achieved a net cash position of $32 million with $580 million in liquidity, having eliminated all long-term debt. Looking ahead to 2025, Russel Metals anticipates continued growth in their U.S. operations and specialty metals, while maintaining flexibility in adapting to market conditions such as potential U.S. tariffs.

Russel Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Russel Metals presents a stable financial position with moderate profitability and efficient cash generation. While the company shows slight revenue growth and a decrease in free cash flow, its strong balance sheet and profitability metrics indicate a solid financial foundation. The leverage is well-managed, and the company is capable of converting income into cash effectively, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company's gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 15.81%, and the net profit margin is around 3.53%. Both margins are indicative of moderate profitability. The revenue growth rate over the past year is 2.64%, showing a slight increase, but still lower than the growth seen in previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 4.96% and 7.07%, respectively, reflecting stable operating efficiency. Overall, the income statement exhibits decent profitability with room for improvement in revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Russel Metals maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, indicating a conservative leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM stands at approximately 9.35%, reflecting satisfactory profitability from equity. The equity ratio is about 60.89%, highlighting a solid equity base. The balance sheet reflects strong financial health with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The TTM free cash flow growth rate is negative at -9.41%, indicating a decrease in free cash flow compared to the previous year. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is quite robust at 2.11, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.49, showing good cash flow conversion. Overall, the cash flow statement demonstrates solid cash generation capabilities, albeit with recent declines in free cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.26B4.51B5.07B4.21B2.69B
Gross Profit889.90M956.50M1.13B1.21B518.70M
EBITDA315.50M428.20M580.40M657.90M125.20M
Net Income161.00M266.70M371.90M432.20M24.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.57B2.51B2.31B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.60M629.20M363.00M133.10M26.30M
Total Debt196.80M422.50M422.90M404.30M399.40M
Total Liabilities688.30M930.20M947.60M1.07B731.60M
Stockholders Equity1.66B1.64B1.56B1.25B864.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow253.70M389.00M318.40M275.70M346.10M
Operating Cash Flow343.90M461.70M359.90M304.50M371.00M
Investing Cash Flow-417.70M-5.30M-6.50M-107.20M-27.30M
Financing Cash Flow-537.90M-184.90M-139.10M-93.50M-327.10M

Russel Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.38
Price Trends
50DMA
43.42
Positive
100DMA
41.24
Positive
200DMA
41.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
52.67
Neutral
STOCH
22.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.63, above the 50-day MA of 43.42, and above the 200-day MA of 41.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RUS.

Russel Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.48B16.739.30%3.81%-0.13%-33.06%
79
Outperform
C$8.02B16.9518.79%1.87%6.61%1.87%
74
Outperform
C$11.40B23.5816.70%1.42%6.99%-5.58%
73
Outperform
C$510.62M12.468.09%5.93%-2.65%-47.65%
72
Outperform
C$1.15B11.489.99%6.43%5.52%-18.01%
65
Neutral
$10.84B16.295.52%2.09%3.14%-29.96%
48
Neutral
C$1.18B2.78%4.05%1.70%-154.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RUS
Russel Metals
43.73
6.64
17.89%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
60.29
24.27
67.38%
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
140.49
17.03
13.79%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
23.81
<0.01
0.04%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
13.07
-0.34
-2.54%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
19.34
2.88
17.50%

Russel Metals Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Russel Metals Announces 2025 Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. announced the results of its 2025 annual meeting of shareholders, where 60.91% of common shares were represented. All nominee directors were elected with strong support, and the advisory ‘say on pay’ resolution was approved by 79.38% of votes. KPMG LLP was appointed as the company’s auditors. This outcome reflects shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Private Placements and FinancingDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Russel Metals Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 6, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with revenues reaching $1.2 billion and EBITDA at $86 million, driven by record quarterly shipments and favorable market conditions. The company achieved significant milestones, including a 2.4% increase in quarterly dividends, a $300 million issuance of senior unsecured notes, and a strategic expansion of its U.S. platform, enhancing its capital structure and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025