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Russel Metals Inc (TSE:RUS)
TSX:RUS

Russel Metals (RUS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RUS

Russel Metals

(TSX:RUS)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$46.00
▲(4.28% Upside)
Russel Metals' strong earnings performance and strategic expansion efforts are the most significant factors driving the score. While financial performance shows some challenges, the company's technical indicators and valuation are favorable. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
The consistent growth in revenue and EBITDA indicates strong operational performance and effective management strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability.
U.S. Platform Expansion
Expansion in the U.S. market diversifies revenue streams and reduces dependency on Canadian operations, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Improved Credit Rating
An improved credit rating enhances financial flexibility and lowers borrowing costs, supporting future investments and stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Reduced margins can impact long-term profitability, suggesting the need for cost management and efficiency improvements to sustain earnings.
Weakening Cash Flow
Decreased cash flow may limit the company's ability to fund new projects or return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term growth capacity.
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs can strain profit margins and require strategic adjustments to maintain competitiveness and financial health.

Russel Metals (RUS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Russel Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRussel Metals Inc. operates as a metal distribution company in North America. The company operates through three segments: Metals Service Centers, Energy Products, and Steel Distributors. The Metal Service Centers segment sells plates, flat rolled carbon, stainless steel, aluminum, and other non-ferrous specialty metal products, as well as general line steel products, such as plates, structural shapes, bars, sheets, pipes, tubing, and hollow structural steel tubing. It also offers services, including fiber tube and flat laser processing; multi-dimensional press braking and rolling; shearing, slitting, and cutting to length; laser, oxy-fuel, and plasma cutting; stretcher and traditional leveling; beam drilling, notching, coping, and tee-splitting; saw cutting; edge trimming; and cambering. This segment serves customers in industries, such as machinery and equipment manufacturing, construction, ship building, and natural resources. The Energy Products segment distributes flanges, valves, fittings, and tubular goods primarily to energy industry. The Steel Distributors segment operates as a steel distributor for steel service centers and large equipment manufactures. Russel Metals Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRussel Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related processing services. Its revenue model is based on a combination of product sales and value-added services, such as cutting, drilling, and other forms of metal processing that enhance the usability of raw materials for its customers. The key revenue streams include sales from the Metals Service Centers segment, which provides a variety of metal products to numerous industries, and the Energy Sector segment, which supplies specialized products to the oil and gas industry. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which help secure competitive pricing and reliable product availability. Additionally, economic factors such as demand fluctuations in construction and manufacturing sectors also play a crucial role in influencing the company's earnings.

Russel Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Russel Metals highlighted strong financial performance with revenue and EBITDA growth, improved return on invested capital, and shareholder returns. However, challenges such as a slight Q3 revenue decline, tariff costs, and increased operating costs due to restructuring were noted. The company's liquidity and credit rating improvements, along with strategic U.S. platform expansion, position them well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
For the first 9 months of 2025, Russel Metals reported a 10% increase in revenues and a 13% increase in EBITDA compared to the same period in 2024.
Return on Invested Capital
The company achieved a 16% annualized return on invested capital for 2025 year-to-date, surpassing their target of over 15% and outperforming three U.S. peers.
Capital Structure and Liquidity
Russel Metals has strong liquidity with flexible bank covenants and no financial covenants in term debt. S&P upgraded their credit rating to BBB-, marking them as investment-grade.
Shareholder Returns
The company returned $38 million to shareholders in Q3 through share buybacks and dividends. They have reduced shares outstanding by over 13% since August 2022.
U.S. Platform Expansion
The U.S. platform now accounts for 44% of year-to-date revenues, up from 30% in 2019, and is expected to exceed 50% with the Kloeckner acquisition.
Negative Updates
Q3 Revenue Decline
Revenues were down 3% from Q2 2025, attributed to seasonal factors and a $4 million one-time charge for the closure of the Delta, BC facility.
Tariff Costs
A $2 million tariff cost was incurred due to changes in Canadian government tariff rules, impacting materials in transit.
Operating Costs and Restructuring
Higher operating costs were reported in Q3 due to the Delta closure and equipment relocations in Western Canada, affecting near-term operations.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 third quarter call for Russel Metals, the company outlined significant financial metrics and strategic initiatives. They reported a 10% increase in revenues and a 100 basis point improvement in gross margins for the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. EBITDA also rose by 13%, reflecting positive impacts from recent acquisitions and ongoing capital investments. The company’s capital expenditure for Q3 was $15 million, with total capital deployment over $1.7 billion, expected to reach $1.9 billion post the Kloeckner acquisition. Russel Metals has managed to release over $100 million of capital in Western Canada, reducing the cost of the Samuel acquisition. Their annualized return on invested capital reached 16%, surpassing their target of over 15%. The U.S. platform now constitutes 44% of year-to-date revenues, projected to exceed 50% after the Kloeckner deal. In Q3, they returned $38 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, and their liquidity remains strong with flexibility for future investments. The company received a credit rating upgrade to BBB- from S&P, solidifying their investment-grade status. Despite facing market volatility and seasonal slowdowns, Russel Metals maintained stable shipment levels and expects typical seasonal volume declines in Q4.

Russel Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Russel Metals shows stable revenue with slight growth, but declining gross and net profit margins indicate cost pressures and limited profitability. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but cash flow generation has weakened, raising concerns about future investments.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Russel Metals shows a stable revenue base with a slight growth in the TTM period. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures. The net profit margin is relatively low, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a conservative approach to leverage. Return on equity has decreased, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, showing a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow has significantly decreased in the TTM period, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating adequate cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has declined, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.59B4.26B4.51B5.07B4.21B2.69B
Gross Profit868.60M889.90M956.50M1.13B1.21B518.70M
EBITDA334.30M315.50M428.20M580.40M657.90M125.20M
Net Income165.30M161.00M266.70M371.90M432.20M24.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.62B2.35B2.57B2.51B2.31B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments211.60M45.60M629.20M363.00M133.10M26.30M
Total Debt469.70M196.80M422.50M422.90M404.30M399.40M
Total Liabilities997.70M688.30M930.20M947.60M1.07B731.60M
Stockholders Equity1.63B1.66B1.64B1.56B1.25B864.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow123.00M253.70M389.00M318.40M275.70M346.10M
Operating Cash Flow204.20M343.90M461.70M359.90M304.50M371.00M
Investing Cash Flow-185.50M-417.70M-5.30M-6.50M-107.20M-27.30M
Financing Cash Flow-47.80M-537.90M-184.90M-139.10M-93.50M-327.10M

Russel Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.11
Price Trends
50DMA
41.27
Positive
100DMA
41.00
Positive
200DMA
40.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.96
Negative
RSI
72.49
Negative
STOCH
77.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.36, above the 50-day MA of 41.27, and above the 200-day MA of 40.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.49 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RUS.

Russel Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$9.76B18.7819.66%1.58%1.32%24.27%
74
Outperform
C$1.55B14.869.33%5.21%5.53%-21.87%
73
Outperform
C$593.78M12.898.84%5.09%3.71%-12.70%
73
Outperform
C$2.47B15.0910.04%3.88%8.15%-3.57%
69
Neutral
C$13.56B27.3716.34%1.25%2.97%-0.80%
65
Neutral
C$2.00B242.190.92%2.38%25.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RUS
Russel Metals
44.11
3.55
8.75%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
31.63
5.27
19.99%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
74.42
37.90
103.78%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
16.21
2.38
17.21%
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
166.65
53.99
47.92%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
27.46
7.93
40.60%

Russel Metals Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Russel Metals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Russel Metals reported a revenue of $1.2 billion and an EBITDA of $75 million for the third quarter of 2025, reflecting a steady performance with a year-to-date annualized return on capital of 16%. The company announced strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of seven service center locations from Kloeckner Metals Corporation, which will enhance its U.S. market footprint and increase revenue contribution from U.S. operations to over 50%. This acquisition aligns with Russel Metals’ strategy to optimize its operations and expand its market reach, potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased efficiency and market share.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Russel Metals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting revenues of $1.2 billion and an EBITDA of $75 million. The company announced strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of seven service center locations from Kloeckner Metals Corporation, expected to boost annual revenues by approximately US$500 million and increase the U.S. revenue contribution to over 50%. Additionally, Russel Metals is undertaking business improvement initiatives in Western Canada, including location rationalization and property sales, to enhance operational efficiency.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Russel Metals Expands US Presence with Kloeckner Acquisition
Positive
Sep 28, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. has announced an agreement to acquire seven service center locations from Kloeckner Metals Corporation for approximately US$118.6 million. This acquisition is expected to enhance Russel’s geographic footprint in the US South and Midwest, aligning with its long-term growth strategy. The transaction will increase Russel’s revenue base in the US to over 50% and is anticipated to provide operational benefits through improved inventory management and facility upgrades. The deal is expected to close by Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, subject to customary conditions.

Business Operations and Strategy
Russel Metals Streamlines Western Canadian Operations for Efficiency
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. has announced rationalization initiatives in its Western Canadian operations to reduce excess capacity and improve operational efficiency. These initiatives include selling real estate in Delta and Saskatoon, closing the Delta location, and relocating equipment, aiming for a cumulative invested capital reduction of approximately $100 million, enhancing the company’s financial position and operational focus.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025