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Russel Metals Inc (TSE:RUS)
TSX:RUS

Russel Metals (RUS) AI Stock Analysis

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Russel Metals

(TSX:RUS)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$48.00
▲(8.57%Upside)
Russel Metals' strong balance sheet and robust cash flow underpin its financial stability, despite challenges in revenue and profitability. Technical analysis shows positive momentum, supported by recent corporate actions that enhance financial flexibility and shareholder confidence. Valuation metrics are favorable for income-focused investors, contributing to a solid overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Capacity
RUS has significant financial capacity to pursue opportunities across its capital allocation priorities.
Operational Performance
RUS is executing well and continues to demonstrate its ability to capitalize on opportunities as they arise.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimate
Revised assumptions for the Service Center division, including marking-to-market steel prices and reduced gross margins, have led to a lowered 2025 EPS estimate.
Steel Pricing
Steel prices have been flat-to-down, leading to moderated assumptions for steel pricing in RUS' Service Centers and Steel Distributors segments.

Russel Metals (RUS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Russel Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRussel Metals Inc. operates as a metal distribution company in North America. The company operates through three segments: Metals Service Centers, Energy Products, and Steel Distributors. The Metal Service Centers segment sells plates, flat rolled carbon, stainless steel, aluminum, and other non-ferrous specialty metal products, as well as general line steel products, such as plates, structural shapes, bars, sheets, pipes, tubing, and hollow structural steel tubing. It also offers services, including fiber tube and flat laser processing; multi-dimensional press braking and rolling; shearing, slitting, and cutting to length; laser, oxy-fuel, and plasma cutting; stretcher and traditional leveling; beam drilling, notching, coping, and tee-splitting; saw cutting; edge trimming; and cambering. This segment serves customers in industries, such as machinery and equipment manufacturing, construction, ship building, and natural resources. The Energy Products segment distributes flanges, valves, fittings, and tubular goods primarily to energy industry. The Steel Distributors segment operates as a steel distributor for steel service centers and large equipment manufactures. Russel Metals Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRussel Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of metal products. The metals service centers segment processes and distributes metal products, serving as a critical link between metal producers and end users. The energy products segment focuses on the distribution of products used in the oil and gas industry, such as oil country tubular goods, line pipe, and fittings. The steel distributors segment buys steel in bulk from producers and sells it to customers, benefiting from economies of scale. Significant revenue drivers include the demand for metal products in construction and industrial sectors, fluctuations in metal prices, and the company's ability to efficiently manage inventory and logistics. Strategic partnerships with metal producers and a strong distribution network also play a crucial role in the company's earnings.

Russel Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with strategic growth investments and significant returns to shareholders. However, some challenges remain, such as revenue declines due to seasonality, market uncertainties related to tariffs, and integration costs from recent acquisitions. Despite these challenges, the company's achievements in cash flow, investments, and debt reduction indicate a positive outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Russel Metals generated $344 million of cash flow from operations in 2024, including $103 million from working capital, even amidst steel price volatility and economic uncertainty.
Record Investments and Capital Growth
Russel Metals made significant investments with $90 million in CapEx and over $300 million in acquisitions, marking the largest year for investing activities in the company's history.
Return on Invested Capital
The company achieved a return on invested capital of 15% in 2024, averaging 24% over the past three years, which is above their 15% target.
Significant Capital Return to Shareholders
Russel Metals returned $229 million to shareholders in 2024 through share buybacks and dividends, marking the largest capital return in the company's history.
Debt Reduction and Strong Balance Sheet
The company eliminated all long-term debt and ended the year with a net cash position of $32 million and $580 million of liquidity.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Q4
Revenues were down by 5% in Q4 compared to Q3 due to seasonality, and EBITDA decreased from Q3 levels.
Impact of Tariffs and Market Uncertainty
The potential U.S. tariffs and retaliatory tariffs present uncertainties that could affect steel prices and the business activities of some customers.
Nonrecurring Costs from Acquisitions
The Samuel integration incurred $1 million in nonrecurring costs in Q4, with further integration expected to complete in 2025.
Seasonal Dynamics and Market Volatility
There was a cautious buying activity amidst market volatility, impacting the steel distributors' segment negatively.
Company Guidance
In the Russel Metals 2024 Year End and Fourth Quarter Results Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company reported generating $344 million in cash flow from operations, with $103 million coming from working capital. Capital investments in 2024 totaled $90 million in CapEx, while the company completed acquisitions worth over $300 million, marking the largest year for investing activities in its history. This growth was reflected in their capital base, which increased from $1.3 billion at the end of 2023 to $1.6 billion by the end of 2024. The return on invested capital was reported at 15% for 2024, with a three-year average of 24%. The Service Center segment contributed 67% of revenues, and the U.S. platform accounted for 39%, expected to grow further. In terms of shareholder returns, $131 million was returned through share buybacks and $98 million via dividends, totaling $229 million. The company also achieved a net cash position of $32 million with $580 million in liquidity, having eliminated all long-term debt. Looking ahead to 2025, Russel Metals anticipates continued growth in their U.S. operations and specialty metals, while maintaining flexibility in adapting to market conditions such as potential U.S. tariffs.

Russel Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Russel Metals demonstrates financial stability with a strong balance sheet and robust cash flow despite challenges in revenue and profitability. The balance sheet is particularly strong with a high equity ratio and improved debt-to-equity ratio, although income statement metrics indicate declining revenue and profitability.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Russel Metals experienced fluctuating revenues over the past years, with a notable decline in 2024. The gross profit margin in 2024 was 20.88%, a decrease from previous years, reflecting reduced operational efficiency. The absence of EBIT in 2024 indicates challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBITDA margin for 2024 was 7.39%, showing some resilience despite revenue decline, but significantly lower than previous years' margins.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Russel Metals maintains a strong equity position, with an equity ratio of 70.66% in 2024, indicating a stable financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.12 in 2024, reflecting lower financial leverage. Return on equity (ROE) for 2024 was 9.71%, a decrease from previous years, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow from operations was strong at $343.9 million in 2024, though down from 2023. Free cash flow was $253.7 million in 2024, indicating solid cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio was 1.58, showing that the company generates significant cash beyond net income, albeit decreased compared to previous years.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.26B4.51B5.07B4.21B2.69B
Gross Profit889.90M956.50M1.13B1.21B518.70M
EBITDA315.50M428.20M580.40M657.90M125.20M
Net Income161.00M266.70M371.90M432.20M24.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.57B2.51B2.31B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.60M629.20M363.00M133.10M26.30M
Total Debt196.80M422.50M422.90M404.30M399.40M
Total Liabilities688.30M930.20M947.60M1.07B731.60M
Stockholders Equity1.66B1.64B1.56B1.25B864.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow253.70M389.00M318.40M275.70M346.10M
Operating Cash Flow343.90M461.70M359.90M304.50M371.00M
Investing Cash Flow-417.70M-5.30M-6.50M-107.20M-27.30M
Financing Cash Flow-537.90M-184.90M-139.10M-93.50M-327.10M

Russel Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.21
Price Trends
50DMA
41.54
Positive
100DMA
40.39
Positive
200DMA
40.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Negative
RSI
66.67
Neutral
STOCH
96.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.93, above the 50-day MA of 41.54, and above the 200-day MA of 40.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RUS.

Russel Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFTT
79
Outperform
C$7.79B16.3518.79%2.08%6.61%1.87%
TSMTL
78
Outperform
C$1.26B11.7610.81%5.84%3.28%-14.21%
TSRUS
76
Outperform
$2.49B16.679.30%5.34%-0.13%-33.06%
TSTIH
76
Outperform
C$10.10B20.4917.36%1.67%10.93%-3.34%
TSWJX
73
Outperform
C$502.18M12.258.09%6.03%-2.65%-47.65%
71
Outperform
¥254.81B12.928.49%3.09%6.34%12.88%
TSARE
55
Neutral
C$1.29B-9.26%3.70%1.70%-154.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RUS
Russel Metals
44.55
10.03
29.05%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
20.76
7.25
53.66%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
59.77
21.17
54.84%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
14.40
2.14
17.46%
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
124.64
6.66
5.65%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
23.64
0.03
0.13%

Russel Metals Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Russel Metals Announces 2025 Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. announced the results of its 2025 annual meeting of shareholders, where 60.91% of common shares were represented. All nominee directors were elected with strong support, and the advisory ‘say on pay’ resolution was approved by 79.38% of votes. KPMG LLP was appointed as the company’s auditors. This outcome reflects shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Private Placements and FinancingDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Russel Metals Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 6, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with revenues reaching $1.2 billion and EBITDA at $86 million, driven by record quarterly shipments and favorable market conditions. The company achieved significant milestones, including a 2.4% increase in quarterly dividends, a $300 million issuance of senior unsecured notes, and a strategic expansion of its U.S. platform, enhancing its capital structure and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Russel Metals Enhances Financial Flexibility with Credit Facility Amendments
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. has extended its $450 million credit facilities to April 2029, removing the springing lien provision and maintaining unsecured facilities with investment-grade covenants. The company also canceled a $150 million sidecar facility following a $300 million debt issuance, enhancing liquidity and financial flexibility to support strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025