Russel Metals Inc (TSE:RUS)
TSX:RUS
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Russel Metals (RUS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RUS

Russel Metals

(TSX:RUS)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$48.00
▲(20.60% Upside)
Russel Metals receives a solid score of 76, driven by strong earnings call highlights and attractive valuation. The company's stable financial performance and positive technical indicators further support this score. However, challenges in cash flow growth and operational efficiency slightly temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 10% revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, which can lead to sustained financial health and expansion.
Return on Invested Capital
A high return on invested capital suggests efficient use of resources, enhancing long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
U.S. Platform Expansion
Expanding the U.S. platform strengthens market presence and diversifies revenue streams, supporting long-term growth and resilience.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth can limit investment capacity and operational flexibility, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Operating Costs and Restructuring
Increased operating costs from restructuring can pressure margins and reduce profitability, affecting long-term operational efficiency.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin indicates cost pressures, which may erode profitability and competitiveness if not managed effectively.

Russel Metals (RUS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Russel Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRussel Metals Inc. is one of the largest metals distribution and processing companies in North America, primarily serving the industrial, construction, and manufacturing sectors. The company operates through various segments, including Metals Service Centers, Energy Sector, and Steel Distributors, offering a wide range of products such as steel, aluminum, copper, and specialty metals. With a strong focus on customer service and operational efficiency, Russel Metals has established a robust presence in the marketplace, catering to diverse customer needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyRussel Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related processing services. Its revenue model is based on a combination of product sales and value-added services, such as cutting, drilling, and other forms of metal processing that enhance the usability of raw materials for its customers. The key revenue streams include sales from the Metals Service Centers segment, which provides a variety of metal products to numerous industries, and the Energy Sector segment, which supplies specialized products to the oil and gas industry. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which help secure competitive pricing and reliable product availability. Additionally, economic factors such as demand fluctuations in construction and manufacturing sectors also play a crucial role in influencing the company's earnings.

Russel Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Russel Metals highlighted strong financial performance with revenue and EBITDA growth, improved return on invested capital, and shareholder returns. However, challenges such as a slight Q3 revenue decline, tariff costs, and increased operating costs due to restructuring were noted. The company's liquidity and credit rating improvements, along with strategic U.S. platform expansion, position them well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
For the first 9 months of 2025, Russel Metals reported a 10% increase in revenues and a 13% increase in EBITDA compared to the same period in 2024.
Return on Invested Capital
The company achieved a 16% annualized return on invested capital for 2025 year-to-date, surpassing their target of over 15% and outperforming three U.S. peers.
Capital Structure and Liquidity
Russel Metals has strong liquidity with flexible bank covenants and no financial covenants in term debt. S&P upgraded their credit rating to BBB-, marking them as investment-grade.
Shareholder Returns
The company returned $38 million to shareholders in Q3 through share buybacks and dividends. They have reduced shares outstanding by over 13% since August 2022.
U.S. Platform Expansion
The U.S. platform now accounts for 44% of year-to-date revenues, up from 30% in 2019, and is expected to exceed 50% with the Kloeckner acquisition.
Negative Updates
Q3 Revenue Decline
Revenues were down 3% from Q2 2025, attributed to seasonal factors and a $4 million one-time charge for the closure of the Delta, BC facility.
Tariff Costs
A $2 million tariff cost was incurred due to changes in Canadian government tariff rules, impacting materials in transit.
Operating Costs and Restructuring
Higher operating costs were reported in Q3 due to the Delta closure and equipment relocations in Western Canada, affecting near-term operations.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 third quarter call for Russel Metals, the company outlined significant financial metrics and strategic initiatives. They reported a 10% increase in revenues and a 100 basis point improvement in gross margins for the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. EBITDA also rose by 13%, reflecting positive impacts from recent acquisitions and ongoing capital investments. The company’s capital expenditure for Q3 was $15 million, with total capital deployment over $1.7 billion, expected to reach $1.9 billion post the Kloeckner acquisition. Russel Metals has managed to release over $100 million of capital in Western Canada, reducing the cost of the Samuel acquisition. Their annualized return on invested capital reached 16%, surpassing their target of over 15%. The U.S. platform now constitutes 44% of year-to-date revenues, projected to exceed 50% after the Kloeckner deal. In Q3, they returned $38 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, and their liquidity remains strong with flexibility for future investments. The company received a credit rating upgrade to BBB- from S&P, solidifying their investment-grade status. Despite facing market volatility and seasonal slowdowns, Russel Metals maintained stable shipment levels and expects typical seasonal volume declines in Q4.

Russel Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Russel Metals demonstrates stable financial health with a strong balance sheet and moderate income statement performance. However, the company faces challenges in maintaining cash flow growth and operational efficiency. Continued focus on cost management and cash flow optimization will be crucial for future growth.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Russel Metals shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.1% TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin has decreased to 18.7% TTM from 20.8% in 2024, suggesting pressure on cost management. Net profit margin is stable at 3.7% TTM, but lower than historical highs. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.30 TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is stable at 10.1% TTM, showing consistent profitability. The equity ratio remains strong, highlighting a solid capital structure. However, the decline in ROE from previous years suggests a need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow growth is negative at -5.6% TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.58 TTM, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.71 TTM, but lower than previous years, reflecting reduced cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.51B4.26B4.51B5.07B4.21B2.69B
Gross Profit845.40M889.90M956.50M1.13B1.21B518.70M
EBITDA328.00M315.50M428.20M580.40M657.90M125.20M
Net Income164.80M161.00M266.70M371.90M432.20M24.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.63B2.35B2.57B2.51B2.31B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments194.50M45.60M629.20M363.00M133.10M26.30M
Total Debt474.60M196.80M422.50M422.90M404.30M399.40M
Total Liabilities1.02B688.30M930.20M947.60M1.07B731.60M
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.66B1.64B1.56B1.25B864.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow216.90M253.70M389.00M318.40M275.70M346.10M
Operating Cash Flow304.10M343.90M461.70M359.90M304.50M371.00M
Investing Cash Flow-414.30M-417.70M-5.30M-6.50M-107.20M-27.30M
Financing Cash Flow-82.50M-537.90M-184.90M-139.10M-93.50M-327.10M

Russel Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.80
Price Trends
50DMA
41.24
Negative
100DMA
41.94
Negative
200DMA
40.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
41.15
Neutral
STOCH
15.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RUS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.35, below the 50-day MA of 41.24, and below the 200-day MA of 40.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RUS.

Russel Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.22B12.839.33%5.91%5.53%-21.87%
77
Outperform
C$13.23B26.7016.34%1.21%2.97%-0.80%
76
Outperform
$2.34B14.4810.04%4.27%8.15%-3.57%
74
Outperform
C$9.52B20.4419.66%1.56%1.32%24.27%
73
Outperform
C$541.89M11.768.84%5.23%3.71%-12.70%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
C$1.83B222.050.92%2.88%25.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RUS
Russel Metals
39.80
-1.33
-3.23%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
26.37
-1.41
-5.08%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
74.01
36.72
98.47%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
14.21
-0.36
-2.47%
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
159.56
44.90
39.16%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
26.78
6.61
32.77%

Russel Metals Corporate Events

Russel Metals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Russel Metals Inc., a leading North American metals distribution company, operates through three main segments: metals service centers, energy field stores, and steel distributors, with a focus on value-added processing.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Russel Metals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Russel Metals reported a revenue of $1.2 billion and an EBITDA of $75 million for the third quarter of 2025, reflecting a steady performance with a year-to-date annualized return on capital of 16%. The company announced strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of seven service center locations from Kloeckner Metals Corporation, which will enhance its U.S. market footprint and increase revenue contribution from U.S. operations to over 50%. This acquisition aligns with Russel Metals’ strategy to optimize its operations and expand its market reach, potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased efficiency and market share.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RUS) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Russel Metals stock, see the TSE:RUS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Russel Metals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting revenues of $1.2 billion and an EBITDA of $75 million. The company announced strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of seven service center locations from Kloeckner Metals Corporation, expected to boost annual revenues by approximately US$500 million and increase the U.S. revenue contribution to over 50%. Additionally, Russel Metals is undertaking business improvement initiatives in Western Canada, including location rationalization and property sales, to enhance operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RUS) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Russel Metals stock, see the TSE:RUS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Russel Metals Expands US Presence with Kloeckner Acquisition
Positive
Sep 28, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. has announced an agreement to acquire seven service center locations from Kloeckner Metals Corporation for approximately US$118.6 million. This acquisition is expected to enhance Russel’s geographic footprint in the US South and Midwest, aligning with its long-term growth strategy. The transaction will increase Russel’s revenue base in the US to over 50% and is anticipated to provide operational benefits through improved inventory management and facility upgrades. The deal is expected to close by Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RUS) stock is a Buy with a C$48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Russel Metals stock, see the TSE:RUS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Russel Metals Streamlines Western Canadian Operations for Efficiency
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. has announced rationalization initiatives in its Western Canadian operations to reduce excess capacity and improve operational efficiency. These initiatives include selling real estate in Delta and Saskatoon, closing the Delta location, and relocating equipment, aiming for a cumulative invested capital reduction of approximately $100 million, enhancing the company’s financial position and operational focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RUS) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Russel Metals stock, see the TSE:RUS Stock Forecast page.

Russel Metals Reports Strong Q2 with Cautious Optimism
Aug 13, 2025

Russel Metals’ recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported significant improvements in revenue, EBITDA, and return on invested capital, reflecting a strong U.S. platform and a solid liquidity position. However, there were notes of caution regarding potential margin pressures in the upcoming quarter, uncertainties around tariffs, and expected seasonal slowdowns, which tempered the overall optimism.

Russel Metals Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 9, 2025

Russel Metals Inc., one of North America’s largest metals distribution companies, operates in the metals service centers, energy field stores, and steel distributors segments, with a focus on value-added processing.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Russel Metals Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Revenue Growth and Operational Improvements
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Russel Metals Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with revenues reaching $1.2 billion, marking a 3% increase from the previous quarter. The company achieved its highest revenue level since mid-2022, driven by favorable market conditions, higher metal prices, and improved margins. The EBITDA rose by 26% to $108 million, and earnings per share increased by 43% to $1.07. The company also completed key operational improvements, including the integration of former Samuel branches into its ERP system, and enhanced its financial flexibility by extending its bank debt facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RUS) stock is a Buy with a C$47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Russel Metals stock, see the TSE:RUS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025