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Finning International (TSE:FTT)
TSX:FTT

Finning International (FTT) AI Stock Analysis

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Finning International

(TSX:FTT)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$58.00
▲(9.99%Upside)
Finning International's robust financial performance, including strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, supports a favorable outlook. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and challenges in used equipment sales and labor costs could impact future performance. The stock's attractive valuation and positive corporate events provide a balanced investment case.
Positive Factors
Earnings Expectations
Earnings are expected to remain well above historical levels due to improving demand underpinned by healthy commodity prices, robust infrastructure spending, and growing needs for power systems.
Risk/Reward
The risk/reward skews very favourably, though some patience may be required for the upside to be realized.
Valuation
Valuation is at the low end of its historical range and attractive compared to peers.
Negative Factors
Adjusted EBIT Margins
The step-down in Adjusted EBIT margins reflects a confluence of factors including unfavourable mix and increased competitive pressures.
Product Support Revenues
Product support revenues had muted growth in recent quarters, and the previously targeted CAGR of 7% through 2025 was increasingly out of reach.

Finning International (FTT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Finning International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFinning International Inc. sells, services, and rents heavy equipment, and power and energy systems in Canada, Chile, the United Kingdom, Argentina, and internationally. The company offers telehandlers, articulated trucks, asphalt pavers, backhoe loaders, cable assist vehicles, cable yarding systems, chip dozers, cold planers, compactors, dozers, drills, electric rope shovels, excavators, material handlers, motor graders, off-highway trucks, pipelayers, remixing transfer vehicle, road reclaimers, road wideners, skid steer and compact track loaders, tack distributors, track loaders, underground-hard rock, wheel loaders, wheel tractor-scrapers, and windrow elevators, as well as attachments. It is also involved in electric power generation, marine power systems, oil and gas, and industrials. In addition, the company provides aftercare, customer training, fuel solutions, fluid analysis, financing, rebuilds, rentals, repair services, maintenance options, warranty, and other services, as well as product support including sales of parts and servicing of equipment. It serves agriculture, construction, forestry, governmental, mining, paving, pipeline, power systems, and snow removal industries. The company was formerly known as Finning Ltd. and changed its name to Finning International Inc. in April 1997. Finning International Inc. was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Surrey, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFinning International generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is the sale of new and used Caterpillar equipment, which includes heavy machinery, power systems, and engines used in industries such as construction and mining. Additionally, Finning derives significant income from its product support services, which encompass equipment maintenance, repairs, and the sale of parts. Another important revenue stream comes from equipment rentals, allowing customers flexible access to machinery without the need for ownership. Finning's strategic partnerships with Caterpillar and strong regional presence in its operating territories further bolster its financial performance by enhancing customer reach and service capabilities.

Finning International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, increased backlog, and significant free cash flow generation, indicating a positive financial position. However, challenges such as declining used equipment sales and anticipated labor cost increases in South America present potential hurdles. The sentiment is balanced with notable achievements and some concerning challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net revenue grew by 7% from Q1 2024 to $2.5 billion, led by strong growth in product support revenue and new equipment sales.
Increased Backlog
Backlog increased by $240 million from year-end 2024, reaching a new record at $2.8 billion, up 45% from March 2024.
Dividend Growth
Continued dividend growth with a 10% increase, marking the 24th consecutive annual increase for Finning.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated $135 million in free cash flow in Q1, a significant improvement from a use of cash of $210 million in Q1 of last year.
Sale of 4Refuel
Agreement to sell 4Refuel for $450 million, expected to be accretive to earnings per share and advance strategic objectives.
Adjusted EPS Record
Adjusted EPS of $0.90 was a record for the first quarter, up 18% from Q1 2024.
Negative Updates
Used Equipment Sales Decline
Used equipment sales decreased by 27% compared to Q1 2024, largely due to a lack of repeat large conversions of rental equipment.
Labor Cost Concerns in South America
Anticipated higher labor costs in Chile due to upcoming union negotiations and a more challenging labor environment.
SG&A Cost Concerns in Canada
SG&A as a percentage of net revenue in Canada was down only slightly by 20 basis points, indicating ongoing cost control challenges.
Decline in New Equipment Sales in Canada
New equipment sales in Canada were down 14% from Q1 2024 due to timing of power system deliveries and slower construction sector activity.
Company Guidance
During the Finning International Incorporated First Quarter 2025 Investor Call, the company reported a 7% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching $2.5 billion. The strong performance was driven by a 7% growth in new equipment sales and an 11% increase in product support revenue. The backlog grew by $240 million from year-end 2024, with order intake remaining robust across all regions, particularly in Canada. The company also achieved a 10% year-over-year growth in Canadian product support revenue, with mining activity playing a significant role. SG&A as a percentage of net revenue decreased by 50 basis points to 16.4%. Additionally, Finning generated $135 million in free cash flow and announced a 10% increase in dividends. The power systems backlog saw a 50% increase, reaching over $900 million. Despite a decrease in used equipment revenue, margins stabilized, and rental store revenue grew by 15% in Canada. Finning is committed to executing its resilience strategy and plans to focus on growth opportunities in product support, power generation, and rental, while also investing in technology and digital capabilities. Furthermore, Finning announced the sale of 4Refuel for $450 million, which is expected to optimize invested capital and improve SG&A costs.

Finning International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Finning International demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, as evident from its healthy margins and increasing free cash flow. The balance sheet reflects stable leverage and asset management, though there is a slight dip in ROE. Overall, the company shows a positive financial trajectory with effective cash flow management and growth potential in the industrial distribution sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Finning International has shown strong revenue growth of 23.3% from 2021 to 2022 and 13.5% from 2022 to 2023, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.1%. Gross profit margin remains robust at 22.1% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 4.3% TTM from 4.5% in the previous year. EBITDA margin is healthy at 10.2% TTM, indicating strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio is stable at 33.0% TTM, indicating solid asset backing. Return on equity is slightly reduced to 18.4% TTM compared to the previous year, suggesting a minor decline in profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Free cash flow has shown significant growth of 39.3% from 2023 to TTM, highlighting effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.72 TTM, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 2.43 TTM.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.44B11.21B10.53B9.28B7.29B6.20B
Gross Profit
2.52B2.48B2.58B2.22B1.80B1.57B
EBIT
845.00M833.00M934.00M755.00M533.00M436.00M
EBITDA
1.17B1.21B1.28B1.09B869.00M698.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
492.00M509.00M523.00M503.00M364.00M232.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
433.00M384.00M177.00M354.00M502.00M539.00M
Total Assets
8.10B7.73B7.56B7.27B5.97B5.46B
Total Debt
2.61B2.58B2.70B2.33B1.81B1.70B
Net Debt
2.18B2.26B2.54B2.04B1.31B1.16B
Total Liabilities
5.43B5.09B5.03B4.81B3.63B3.25B
Stockholders Equity
2.68B2.63B2.51B2.44B2.32B2.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.20B858.00M8.00M-170.00M292.00M847.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.34B1.01B228.00M1.00M425.00M962.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-136.00M-128.00M-229.00M-268.00M-151.00M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.08B-818.00M-71.00M-13.00M-300.00M-573.00M

Finning International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.73
Price Trends
50DMA
42.97
Positive
100DMA
41.59
Positive
200DMA
40.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.52
Positive
RSI
73.07
Negative
STOCH
67.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FTT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.44, above the 50-day MA of 42.97, and above the 200-day MA of 40.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 73.07 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FTT.

Finning International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFTT
77
Outperform
C$6.88B14.3418.79%2.21%6.61%1.87%
66
Neutral
$4.48B12.265.32%248.53%4.10%-12.36%
$484.02M11.826.81%2.13%
TSTIH
78
Outperform
C$9.67B19.5817.36%1.65%10.93%-3.34%
TSWJX
73
Outperform
C$488.12M11.918.09%6.21%-2.65%-47.65%
69
Neutral
C$9.75B26.15-23.10%16.31%4.12%
TSARE
55
Neutral
C$1.19B-9.26%3.98%1.70%-154.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FTT
Finning International
52.73
13.10
33.06%
HDIUF
ADENTRA
19.55
-7.83
-28.60%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
19.29
3.24
20.19%
TSE:BBD.A
Bombardier Cl A MV
100.72
11.94
13.45%
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
119.70
1.74
1.48%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
22.58
-1.97
-8.02%

Finning International Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Finning International Announces Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 14, 2025

Finning International Inc. announced the results of its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where 72.07% of the company’s outstanding shares were represented. Shareholders approved all business items, including the appointment of auditors, executive compensation, and the election of directors, indicating strong support for the company’s current management and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTT) stock is a Buy with a C$49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finning International stock, see the TSE:FTT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Finning International Sells 4Refuel to H.I.G. Capital for $450 Million
Positive
May 9, 2025

Finning International Inc. has announced the sale of its mobile on-site refueling business, 4Refuel, to H.I.G. Capital for up to $400 million, with an implied transaction value of approximately $450 million. This strategic move allows Finning to simplify operations and focus on core dealership operations, aiming to enhance earnings and sustainable growth. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, with proceeds used for share repurchases and reinvestment, potentially increasing earnings per share.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.