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Finning International (TSE:FTT)
TSX:FTT

Finning International (FTT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FTT

Finning International

(TSX:FTT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$108.00
▲(15.71% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven mainly by sound fundamentals (healthy profitability and manageable, improving leverage) and a positive earnings-call backdrop (record backlog, improving returns, and strong cash generation/deleveraging). Technicals add support via a clear uptrend, while valuation is the main offset due to a higher P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Exclusive Caterpillar dealership
Exclusive, territory-based Caterpillar dealership rights create durable competitive advantage: guaranteed product supply, strong brand pull and scale across mining, construction and energy. This underpins recurring parts and service demand and raises barriers to entry for rivals in these regions.
Recurring product-support growth
Consistent expansion of product-support (~$6B) and technician capacity shifts revenue mix toward recurring, higher‑stickiness services. Service aftermarkets are less cyclical than equipment sales, improving revenue durability, parts attachment and lifetime customer relationships over multi-year cycles.
Strong cash generation and deleveraging
Large, positive free cash flow and a meaningful reduction in net debt/EBITDA strengthen financial flexibility. Improved cash conversion funds capex, rental fleet investment and technician hiring while lowering leverage-driven downside, supporting durable capital allocation and cyclical resilience.
Negative Factors
Used-equipment and revenue volatility
Material swings in used-equipment volumes create earnings and margin variability because resale mix and non-repeating conversions materially affect gross profit. Combined with a modest revenue slip in 2025, this history of volatility weakens predictability of cash flows across cycles.
Margin pressure and one-time charges
Erosion of product-support margins, a $22M technology write-off and elevated LTIP costs compress operating margins and introduce non-operational noise. If support margins or compensation expense remain elevated, sustained margin recovery could be delayed despite revenue and ROIC gains.
High capital intensity and execution risk
Significant planned capex and rental‑fleet spending raises reinvestment needs and execution demands on supply chain and hiring. Scaling fleets and technicians is capital intensive; mis-timing or weaker demand would pressure cash flow and leverage, increasing cyclicality of returns.

Finning International (FTT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Finning International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFinning International Inc. sells, services, and rents heavy equipment, and power and energy systems in Canada, Chile, the United Kingdom, Argentina, and internationally. The company offers telehandlers, articulated trucks, asphalt pavers, backhoe loaders, cable assist vehicles, cable yarding systems, chip dozers, cold planers, compactors, dozers, drills, electric rope shovels, excavators, material handlers, motor graders, off-highway trucks, pipelayers, remixing transfer vehicle, road reclaimers, road wideners, skid steer and compact track loaders, tack distributors, track loaders, underground-hard rock, wheel loaders, wheel tractor-scrapers, and windrow elevators, as well as attachments. It is also involved in electric power generation, marine power systems, oil and gas, and industrials. In addition, the company provides aftercare, customer training, fuel solutions, fluid analysis, financing, rebuilds, rentals, repair services, maintenance options, warranty, and other services, as well as product support including sales of parts and servicing of equipment. It serves agriculture, construction, forestry, governmental, mining, paving, pipeline, power systems, and snow removal industries. The company was formerly known as Finning Ltd. and changed its name to Finning International Inc. in April 1997. Finning International Inc. was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Surrey, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFinning International generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of new and used heavy equipment and machinery, which constitute a significant portion of its income. The company also earns revenue through parts sales, providing essential components for maintenance and repair of equipment. Additionally, Finning's aftermarket services, including equipment repair, maintenance contracts, and rental services, contribute to a steady revenue flow. Strategic partnerships with Caterpillar and other manufacturers further enhance its market position, allowing Finning to leverage brand reputation and access a broad range of products. The company's diversification into various sectors, such as construction, mining, and forestry, also helps mitigate risks and stabilize earnings across different market conditions.

Finning International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized broad, measurable progress across core operating and financial metrics: revenue growth (+7%), record backlog (+20%), product support expansion (+8% to nearly $6B), improved returns (ROIC ~19.2%), strengthened leverage (net debt/EBITDA 1.2x) and strong free cash flow. Offsetting these positives were near-term margin pressures (gross margin down ~70 bps), one-time technology asset write-offs ($22M), higher LTIP expense, weaker used equipment sales (Q4 down 23%), and localized near-term softness and labor constraints in Chile and softer construction utilization in the U.K. Overall the company presented stronger earnings resilience, capital discipline and clear growth initiatives, while acknowledging some cyclical and execution challenges that management plans to manage through investments and operational actions.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Backlog Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue up 7% to $10.6 billion; Q4 2025 revenue up 6% to $2.7 billion. Equipment backlog reached a record $3.1 billion at year-end, up 20% year-over-year and up 9% from September 2025.
Product Support Expansion
Product support revenue grew 8% in 2025 to nearly $6.0 billion (nearing $6B from $5.2B at Q2 2023); mining-driven product support increased ~10% in Canada and ~5% in South America. Company added 225 technicians across regions to expand service capacity.
Earnings and Return Improvements
Adjusted EPS increased 14% in 2025 (Q4 adjusted EPS $1.00, up 3% year-over-year). Invested capital turns improved to ~2.34x and consolidated adjusted return on invested capital was 19.2% in Q4, up ~130 basis points year-over-year.
Strong Cash Generation and Deleveraging
Generated strong free cash flow (nearly $550 million for the year) and reported a Q4 free cash flow of $642 million. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA reduced to 1.2x from 1.7x at year-end 2024, strengthening the balance sheet.
Power & Energy and Used Equipment Momentum
Power & Energy revenues up 41% since Q2 2023 and backlog up over 70% since Q2 2023; Power & Energy backlog ~$1.0 billion at year-end, up ~25% versus December 2024. Used equipment revenues up ~31% since Investor Day.
Regional Operational Wins and Order Intake
Q4 new equipment sales up 9% with record new equipment revenue for the year. Order intake in Canada was nearly +50% versus Q4 2024. Over the past two years delivered 95 new mining trucks and have more than 50 in backlog (Chile delivered 132 trucks over last two years with pipeline of additional orders).
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure and EBIT Volatility
Gross profit margin declined ~70 basis points in Q4, largely due to lower product support margins. Excluding a $22 million write-off, Q4 adjusted EBIT was down ~2% year-over-year. Q4 SG&A margin was ~15.4%, adversely affected by higher LTIP expense.
One-Time Charges and LTIP Impact
Recorded a $22 million write-off related to decommissioning certain technology assets in Q4. LTIP expense was $21 million in the quarter (a ~$0.12 per share impact) versus a $3 million recovery in Q4 2024, increasing SG&A and reducing reported earnings.
Used Equipment Sales Decline
Used equipment sales fell 23% year-over-year in Q4 2025 (Canada used equipment sales down 42% due to large, non-repeating conversions in Q4 2024), creating a negative mix impact on revenue and margins.
Near-Term Moderation in South America (Chile)
Management flagged a near-term moderation in activity in Chile as fleets are reorganized and older machines are retired; South America adjusted return on invested capital decreased ~140 basis points year-over-year. Labor market tightness (skilled labor) remains a headwind in the region.
U.K. Construction Softness and Margin Effects
In the U.K. & Ireland, adjusted EBIT margin declined ~120 basis points year-over-year to 4.6%, driven by a higher proportion of new equipment amid softer construction utilization; product support was flat due to offsetting factors.
Increased Capital Needs and Execution Risk
Planned 2026 net capital and rental fleet expenditures expected to be greater than $350 million to grow rental and capacity; this reflects required investment and execution risk as the company scales fleets and workforce to capture recovery in construction and power rental markets.
Company Guidance
Management guided continued execution of the 2023 Investor Day strategy with a focus on product support and Power & Energy growth—after 2025 results of revenue +7% to $10.6B, product support ~ $6B (+8%), adjusted EPS +14% and backlog at a record $3.1B (+20% YoY; P&E backlog $1.0B, +25% YoY)—while targeting invested capital turns of 2.3–2.5x (Q4 at ~2.34x), an adjusted ROIC range of 18–25% (consolidated Q4 ROIC 19.2%), and SG&A well below the 17% target (2025 ~15%; Q4 15.4%); financial priorities include sustaining positive free cash flow (nearly $550M in 2025), lower leverage (net debt/adjusted EBITDA 1.2x vs 1.7x YE‑2024), disciplined capital allocation and selective growth investment (2026 net capex and net rental fleet spend expected > $350M), plus continued technician hiring (225 added in 2025).

Finning International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability and equity growth with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.0 and improving) support a strong base, but recent revenue softness and notable free-cash-flow volatility across years reduce confidence in consistency through the cycle.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Revenue scaled materially from 2020 to 2024 (from ~6.2B to ~11.2B), but 2025 revenue slipped (-1.7% growth), pointing to a softer near-term demand backdrop. Profitability has been steady and healthy for a distributor: 2024 gross margin was ~22.1% and net margin ~4.5%, with earnings holding roughly flat across 2022–2025 (~503–509M) despite the revenue fluctuation. The main watch-out is modest margin compression versus 2022–2023 levels and the lack of clear earnings growth in the most recent years.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage is moderate for the business: debt-to-equity ran around ~0.95–1.07 during 2022–2024, improving to ~0.98 in 2024, with total debt also easing in 2025 (2.58B to 2.31B). Equity has been building (2.44B in 2022 to 2.79B in 2025), supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns on equity were strong in 2022–2024 (~19–21%), but leverage remains meaningful and could amplify downside in a cyclical industrial environment.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is positive but volatile. Free cash flow rebounded sharply from near-breakeven in 2023 (8M) to strong levels in 2024 (856M) and remained solid in 2025 (480M), suggesting improved working-capital and/or capex discipline. In 2024, free cash flow was a high share of net income (~0.85x), indicating decent earnings-to-cash conversion that year. The key weakness is the history of large swings (including negative free cash flow in 2022 and very low free cash flow in 2023), which lowers confidence in consistency across cycles.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.59B11.21B10.53B9.28B7.29B
Gross Profit2.37B2.48B2.50B2.22B1.80B
EBITDA1.25B1.09B1.18B975.00M729.00M
Net Income506.00M509.00M523.00M503.00M364.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.80B7.73B7.56B7.27B5.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments397.00M316.00M177.00M288.00M502.00M
Total Debt2.31B2.58B2.70B2.33B1.81B
Total Liabilities5.01B5.09B5.03B4.81B3.63B
Stockholders Equity2.79B2.63B2.51B2.44B2.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow480.00M856.00M8.00M-170.00M292.00M
Operating Cash Flow688.00M1.01B228.00M1.00M425.00M
Investing Cash Flow217.00M-128.00M-229.00M-268.00M-151.00M
Financing Cash Flow-817.00M-816.00M-71.00M-13.00M-300.00M

Finning International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price93.34
Price Trends
50DMA
84.12
Positive
100DMA
78.33
Positive
200DMA
67.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.65
Negative
RSI
58.74
Neutral
STOCH
72.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FTT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 93.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.98, above the 50-day MA of 84.12, and above the 200-day MA of 67.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FTT.

Finning International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$15.94B6.2656.38%0.09%13.97%715.65%
73
Outperform
C$17.13B34.4316.34%1.25%2.97%-0.80%
71
Outperform
C$12.21B24.5619.66%1.58%1.32%24.27%
69
Neutral
C$737.82M15.858.84%5.09%3.71%-12.70%
65
Neutral
C$2.44B291.420.92%2.38%25.68%
65
Neutral
$2.66B16.0510.04%3.88%8.15%-3.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FTT
Finning International
93.34
52.98
131.26%
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
96.91
29.62
44.03%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
38.06
16.74
78.48%
TSE:TIH
Toromont Industries
210.32
94.22
81.15%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
33.77
17.52
107.84%
TSE:RUS
Russel Metals
48.25
9.94
25.94%

Finning International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Finning lifts 2025 revenue and backlog as product support and equipment sales hit records
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

Finning reported 2025 revenue of $10.6 billion, up 7% year over year, with fourth-quarter sales rising 6% to $2.7 billion on broad-based regional growth and robust demand for product support and new equipment. Product support revenue climbed 8% in both the quarter and full year, nearing $6 billion annually, while new equipment sales hit a record $3.9 billion and contributed to a record $3.1 billion order backlog, particularly in Canada.

Despite higher long-term incentive plan expenses and a write-off of certain IT assets tied to aligning with Caterpillar’s digital and technology strategy, adjusted EBIT for 2025 rose 6% to $869 million and adjusted ROIC improved to 19.2%. Strong free cash flow of $642 million in the fourth quarter helped reduce net debt to 1.2 times adjusted EBITDA, and management highlighted improved earnings resilience, constructive mining and power & energy markets, and anticipated improvement in construction demand in 2026 as key supports for continued strategic execution and shareholder value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTT) stock is a Buy with a C$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finning International stock, see the TSE:FTT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026