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Mullen Group Ltd. (TSE:MTL)
TSX:MTL
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Mullen Group (MTL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MTL

Mullen Group

(TSX:MTL)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$15.50
▲(10.71%Upside)
Mullen Group Ltd. achieves a solid overall score driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The strategic acquisitions and financing efforts bolster its financial positioning. However, technical indicators and mixed earnings call sentiment present near-term uncertainties.

Mullen Group (MTL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Mullen Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMullen Group Ltd. provides a range of trucking and logistics services in Canada and the United States. The company operates in four segments: Less-Than-Truckload, Logistics & Warehousing, Specialized & Industrial Services, and U.S. & International Logistics. The Less-Than-Truckload segment delivers general freight consisting of smaller shipments, packages, and parcels; and pharmaceutical and package products. The Logistics & Warehousing segment offers multimode transportation services, such as full truckload, specialized trucking, intermodal, and transload to customers through a network of terminals and transload facilities; and warehousing and distribution services. The Specialized & Industrial Services segment provides production services, such as well servicing, production fluid transportation, transportation of fluids for disposal, frac support, hydrovac excavation, and industrial cleaning and turnaround services; and specialized services comprising dredging and dewatering services, large diameter pipe stockpiling and stringing services, water management, environmental services, civil construction, municipal development and emergency services, hydrostatic testing services to the pipeline industry and midstream sector, and transporting of oversize and overweight shipments, as well as deals in original equipment manufacturer parts and services. This segment also offers drilling and drilling related services, consisting of transportation, handling, and storage of oilfield fluids, tubulars, and drilling mud; drilling rig relocation; general oilfield hauling; well disposal facility; core drilling; setting surface casing; and conductor pipe setting services. The U.S. & International Logistics segment provides logistics services through professional representatives and station agents. This segment also owns SilverExpress, a proprietary integrated transportation management platform. Mullen Group Ltd. was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Okotoks, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMullen Group Ltd. makes money through its diversified portfolio of transportation and logistics services. The company's revenue model primarily revolves around providing Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) services, where it consolidates freight from multiple customers into single shipments, optimizing truckloads and improving efficiency. Another significant revenue stream comes from its Logistics and Warehousing segment, which offers services such as inventory management, storage, and distribution solutions. Additionally, Mullen Group capitalizes on its expertise in the oil and gas sector by offering specialized transportation and logistics services tailored to that industry. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach.

Mullen Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive revenue growth driven by acquisitions and strong cash flow, but also noted challenges such as decreased operating margins, specific revenue declines, and increased corporate costs. The uncertainty around tariffs and trade issues poses a risk to future performance. The overall sentiment is mixed, with both positive and negative aspects balancing out.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Increase Across All Segments
Revenues increased in all four segments, reaching approximately $500 million, an increase of $34.5 million compared to the prior year.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Incremental revenue from acquisitions was $37.7 million, highlighting the success of the acquisition strategy in driving growth.
Cash Flow Growth
Net cash flow from operating activities was $39.9 million, a 3.4% increase from the prior year, indicating strong cash generation.
LTL Segment Performance
The LTL segment saw revenue growth of $9 million year-over-year despite a decline at Grimshaw Trucking, indicating resilience in core business units.
Cascade Energy Services Success
Cascade Energy Services experienced market share gains due to new technology investments, contributing positively to the Specialized & Industrial Services segment.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
The company ended the quarter with $131 million in cash and working capital of $286.7 million, highlighting strong financial positioning.
Negative Updates
Grimshaw Trucking Revenue Decline
Grimshaw Trucking experienced a $10.2 million revenue decline due to the demarketing of a winter ice road project.
Decreased Operating Margins
Operating margins decreased to 14.9% from 15.7% due to lower margins from new acquisitions and a reduction in higher-margin business.
Challenges in U.S. 3PL Segment
The U.S. 3PL segment experienced decreased OIBDA due to higher direct operating expenses and a competitive environment.
Impact of Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty
Ongoing uncertainty around tariffs and trade issues is causing concern for future business activity and freight demand.
Higher Corporate Costs
Corporate costs increased due to higher professional fees, foreign exchange variances, and staffing for future growth initiatives.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter earnings call for Mullen Group Limited, the company provided guidance for the remainder of 2025, emphasizing a cautious yet optimistic outlook. They anticipate maintaining their revenue target of $2.25 billion and OIBDA goal of $350 million, primarily driven by strategic acquisitions such as the Cole Group, which is expected to contribute significantly to their growth. The company reported first-quarter revenues of approximately $500 million, a $34.5 million increase from the previous year, primarily due to $37.7 million in incremental revenue from acquisitions. However, they noted a decrease in operating margins to 14.9% from 15.7%, attributed to lower margins from recent acquisitions. Mullen Group also highlighted a 3.4% increase in net cash flow from operating activities to $39.9 million. Despite economic uncertainties, they remain focused on acquiring market share as competitors struggle and have strategically delayed some capital expenditures to adjust to potential tariff impacts.

Mullen Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mullen Group Ltd. demonstrates stable financial health with solid revenue and cash flow figures amidst a competitive trucking industry. Despite robust cash flows and efficient cost management, slight pressures on net profitability and a decrease in return on equity indicate a need for improvement in profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a stable revenue base with moderate growth. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 23.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has seen a slight decline, from 5.6% in 2024 to 5.3% TTM, suggesting pressure on net earnings. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting good operational efficiency despite competitive industry dynamics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position, with an equity ratio of approximately 43.4% TTM, showcasing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is around 0.98, indicating manageable leverage levels. Return on equity has shown a slight decline to 10.6% TTM from 11% in the previous year, pointing to a need for improving profitability on shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Mullen Group demonstrates robust cash flow generation capabilities, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 2.0 TTM, highlighting effective cash conversion. Operating cash flow remains strong, supporting liquidity. However, free cash flow growth has been slightly negative, indicating potential capital investment or operational cash requirements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.02B1.99B1.99B2.00B1.48B1.16B
Gross Profit476.12M472.68M473.88M459.00M308.08M266.20M
EBITDA334.60M332.98M334.63M350.31M239.13M215.82M
Net Income107.77M112.26M136.72M158.62M72.44M63.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.33B2.04B2.00B1.92B1.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.15M126.29M2.29M8.76M-81.25M105.34M
Total Debt995.03M997.56M764.08M712.28M745.32M607.87M
Total Liabilities1.32B1.32B1.07B1.02B1.03B821.52M
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.02B974.88M973.40M888.66M896.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow215.17M224.55M175.15M181.56M129.76M159.65M
Operating Cash Flow281.34M296.12M276.75M262.97M197.97M224.82M
Investing Cash Flow-103.95M-111.90M-111.84M-36.99M-255.59M-68.66M
Financing Cash Flow-51.02M-51.61M-138.67M-215.14M-46.28M-128.89M

Mullen Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.00
Price Trends
50DMA
14.07
Negative
100DMA
13.35
Positive
200DMA
13.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.57
Neutral
STOCH
42.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MTL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.12, below the 50-day MA of 14.07, and above the 200-day MA of 13.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MTL.

Mullen Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.22B11.4010.81%5.93%3.28%-14.21%
65
Neutral
$11.08B15.705.19%2.15%3.13%-24.94%
$7.56B19.7314.78%0.02%
78
Outperform
C$36.77B51.269.42%0.53%16.77%21.38%
50
Neutral
C$1.23B-9.26%3.90%1.70%-154.73%
$1.86B17.239.30%0.12%
$1.17B13.5715.65%0.02%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
14.00
0.32
2.34%
TFII
TFI International
90.05
-63.30
-41.28%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
19.49
5.22
36.58%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
285.62
63.36
28.51%
RUSMF
Russel Metals
33.45
5.89
21.37%
CGJTF
Cargojet
74.86
-16.93
-18.44%

Mullen Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mullen Group Reports Q2 2025 Results, Highlights Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a successful bond issue and the acquisition of the Cole Group. Despite economic uncertainties and a challenging logistics market, the company maintained stable revenues and margins. Mullen Group’s strategy focuses on acquisitions to enhance market positioning and protect margins, with optimism for future economic projects in Canada that could benefit the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Mullen Group Declares Monthly Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. has announced a monthly dividend of $0.07 per common share, payable to shareholders of record as of July 31, 2025, with payment on August 15, 2025. This dividend is classified as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian tax purposes, potentially providing tax benefits to shareholders. This announcement reflects Mullen Group’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor sentiment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mullen Group Closes CAD$400 Million Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. has successfully closed a private placement of approximately CAD$400 million in senior secured notes, with the proceeds intended to prepay existing debt and for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to strengthen Mullen Group’s financial position and support its ongoing operations and growth within the logistics and transportation sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Mullen Group to Announce Q2 2025 Earnings
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. announced it will release its second quarter earnings results for 2025 on July 24, with a conference call and webcast scheduled for the same day. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Mullen Group Declares Monthly Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. has declared a monthly dividend of $0.07 per common share, payable to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025, with payment scheduled for July 15, 2025. This announcement underscores Mullen Group’s commitment to providing value to its shareholders and reflects its stable financial position within the logistics and transportation industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mullen Group Expands with Acquisition of Cole Group
Positive
May 30, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. has completed the acquisition of the Cole Group, a leading logistics services company specializing in customs brokerage, freight forwarding, and trade consulting across Canada and the U.S. This acquisition aligns with Mullen Group’s strategy to expand its non-asset based logistics offerings and is expected to enhance synergies across its business units. The acquisition is financially attractive, expected to generate significant free cash flow with minimal capital expenditure, and provides a strong foundation for future growth in the U.S. and international markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mullen Group Secures CAD$400 Million in Private Placement Notes Offering
Positive
May 22, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. announced the pricing of a CAD$400 million senior secured notes offering through a private placement, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds will be used to prepay existing debt and support future growth plans, including acquisitions. This strategic financial move is aimed at enhancing liquidity amid economic uncertainties, reflecting Mullen Group’s commitment to strengthening its market position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MTL) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mullen Group stock, see the TSE:MTL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mullen Group Announces Board of Directors Election Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. announced the election results for its board of directors following the annual shareholders’ meeting. The election saw high approval rates for all nominees, indicating strong shareholder confidence in the current leadership. This development is likely to reinforce the company’s strategic direction and operational stability, benefiting stakeholders and maintaining its robust position in the logistics and transportation sector.

Shareholder Meetings
Mullen Group Ltd. Announces Virtual Annual Meeting for 2025
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Mullen Group Ltd. has announced that its Annual Meeting will be held virtually on May 6, 2025. The meeting will be accessible via a live webcast, allowing registered shareholders and proxyholders to participate and vote in real time. Non-registered shareholders can attend as guests but will not have voting rights. This move to a virtual meeting format reflects the company’s adaptation to modern communication methods, potentially increasing accessibility and engagement among stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025