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WSP Global (TSE:WSP)
TSX:WSP

WSP Global (WSP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:WSP

WSP Global

(TSX:WSP)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$254.00
▲(11.56% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, margin improvement, and stronger 2025 cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook with solid backlog and cash-conversion targets. These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and a premium valuation (P/E 31.3 with a low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Expansion
Sustained multi-year top-line growth and steady margin expansion indicate a scalable services platform and improving pricing/mix. This durability suggests WSP can convert scale into higher operating profitability and sustain investment in capabilities and talent over multiple years.
Strong Backlog and Pipeline
A record CAD 17B backlog and expanding pipeline provide multi-quarter revenue visibility and reduce near-term revenue volatility. High levels of MSAs and a large U.S. sub‑backlog support repeat business and baked-in demand for project execution and program delivery.
Robust Cash Generation and FCF Conversion
Consistently strong operating cash flow and high FCF conversion provide durable financial flexibility to fund organic growth, deleveraging and M&A. High cash conversion also supports capital allocation discipline and reduces sensitivity to short-term revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Elevated Pro-Forma Leverage
Higher pro‑forma leverage increases sensitivity to interest rates and financing conditions and limits near-term balance‑sheet optionality. While management targets progressive deleveraging, the current elevated ratio raises medium‑term refinancing and covenant risk if cash generation softens.
Acquisition Margin Drag & Integration Risk
An M&A push that brings lower‑margin businesses can compress overall margins and extends the timeline to realize synergies. Ongoing ERP rollout and onboarding (roughly 20% of EBITDA still to migrate) create execution risk that can weigh on margins and free cash flow in the medium term.
Slower APAC Recovery and Lumpiness
A gradual APAC recovery and project comparability issues add geographic and timing risk to revenue and margin consistency. Regional underperformance and one‑offs (project revisions, emergency services variability) make near‑term organic growth more lumpy and forecasting less reliable.

WSP Global (WSP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

WSP Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWSP Global Inc. operates as a professional services consulting firm in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Australia, and internationally. It advises, plans, designs, and manages projects for rail transit, aviation, highways, bridges, tunnels, water, maritime, and urban infrastructure for public and private clients, construction contractors, and other partners. The company also provides engineering and consultancy services, such as decarbonisation strategies, digital building design, structural and mechanical, electrical, and plumbing engineering services; and long-term operational management support services, including first feasibility studies; and advisory services, such as technical, financial, and environmental issues, as well as engineering design and energy simulations. In addition, it works with and advises businesses and governments in various areas of environmental consultancy, including environmental, social, and governance matters. Further, the company provides engineering and environmental services to companies operating in upstream exploration and production, midstream transportation and storage, and downstream refining and distribution; and a range of consulting and engineering services, such as strategic studies, concept design, and productivity analysis to the food and beverages, pharmaceutical and biotechnology, automotive, and chemicals industries. Additionally, it offers strategic advisory services comprising planning and advisory, management, and technology and sustainability services. The company was formerly known as GENIVAR Inc. and changed its name to WSP Global Inc. in January 2014. WSP Global Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyWSP Global generates revenue primarily through the provision of consulting and engineering services, which are billed on a project basis or through hourly rates. The company has several key revenue streams, including large-scale infrastructure projects, environmental and sustainability consulting, and building design services. Additionally, WSP benefits from long-term contracts and framework agreements with government agencies and private enterprises, providing a steady flow of income. Significant partnerships with other firms and stakeholders in the construction and engineering sectors further enhance WSP's capacity to secure large projects, contributing to its overall earnings.

WSP Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strong financial and operational achievements — double-digit top-line moves, record free cash flow and backlog, margin expansion, and clear strategic progress in Power & Energy and digital adoption. The principal negatives are short-term impacts from sizable acquisitions (higher pro-forma leverage and some margin drag), a still-recovering APAC region, and a few one-off comparability items. On balance the positive execution, cash generation and growth outlook outweigh the challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Full-year revenue increased 13% to $18.0B and net revenue increased 15% to $14.0B versus 2024, finishing at the high end of guidance.
Robust Profitability Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for the year grew 17% to $2.5B (Q4 adjusted EBITDA $694M, +~9% YoY). Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin improved ~40 basis points to 18.3%.
Record Free Cash Flow and Cash Conversion
Delivered record free cash flow of $1.7B in 2025, representing ~180% of net earnings (1.8x) and operating cash inflow of $2.25B, up $865M versus 2024.
Working Capital Improvements
DSO declined to a record low 63 days (9 days lower YoY), supporting cash generation and lower leverage pre-close (net debt/EBITDA ~0.9x prior to TRC close).
Record Backlog and Strong Pipeline
Backlog reached a record $17B, up 10% over 12 months; sub-backlog ~ $8B (85% from MSAs). Proposal activity and pipeline increased (U.S. pipeline +~15%; global client pipeline >+50%).
Strategic M&A in Power & Energy
Deployed ~CAD 7B over 15 months (including TRC, POWER Engineers, Ricardo) to build scale in Power & Energy; POWER Engineers delivered mid‑teens organic growth in 2025.
Positive 2026 Financial Outlook
Guidance: net revenue $16B–$17B (midpoint implies >18% total growth year-over-year including acquisitions), adjusted EBITDA $3.0B–$3.18B (midpoint ~21% growth vs. 2024), and organic net revenue growth 4%–7%.
Digital and AI Adoption Progress
ERP deployment now covers ~80% of EBITDA; strategic AI partnerships (e.g., Microsoft) producing production solutions and client deployments; two proprietary solutions in production with clients and general availability planned.
Negative Updates
Increased Pro-Forma Leverage from Acquisitions
Pro forma net debt to adjusted EBITDA stands at ~2.3x following the TRC and other acquisitions, up from a pre-close ~0.9x and above the company’s historical target range.
Acquisitions Create Short-Term Margin Drag
Recent acquisitions carry lower margins; Ricardo is expected to impose a ~15–20 basis point drag on 2026 margin guidance and TRC runs at a slightly lower margin, tempering margin improvement.
APAC Performance Still Recovering
APAC only showed improving sequential results in 2025 and is expected to return to organic growth gradually in 2026 (guidance: APAC stable vs. 2025), indicating slower recovery versus other regions.
Q4 Adjustments and One-Offs
Q4 organic growth figure (5.9%) excluded a much lower volume of emergency response services in the U.S. versus prior year and revisions to significant Canadian projects in 2024, signaling lumpiness in comparables.
Disposals and Discontinued Operations Impact
Non-core disposals and discontinued operations in 2025 reduced net revenue by approximately $150M (representing ~1% of 2025 net revenue), and will affect comparability and annualization.
ERP and Integration Work Remains
About 20% of EBITDA remains to be onboarded to the new ERP (key regions like Australia/NZ, Sweden, Central Europe, Ricardo), meaning continued implementation effort and focus on optimization in 2026.
Company Guidance
WSP’s 2026 guidance calls for net revenue of CAD 16.0–17.0 billion (midpoint implying >18% total growth and roughly CAD 3 billion of incremental revenue), adjusted EBITDA of CAD 3.0–3.18 billion (midpoint ~21% growth vs. 2024), and organic net‑revenue growth of 4–7%, with an expected ~40 basis‑point expansion in adjusted‑EBITDA margin; regionally management expects Canada and the Americas to deliver mid‑ to high‑single‑digit organic growth, EMEIA mid‑single‑digit, and APAC roughly stable versus 2025. Q1 2026 guidance is net revenue of CAD 3.575–3.775 billion and adjusted EBITDA CAD 590–630 million (with ~1.5% headwind to Q1 organic growth from fewer billable days); the outlook includes contributions from TRC and Ricardo, assumes ~CAD 150 million of annualized net‑revenue impact from 2025 disposals, and excludes any post‑call M&A/disposals. Management also reiterated targets of continued strong free‑cash‑flow conversion (well above 100%), balance‑sheet deleveraging from a pro‑forma net‑debt/EBITDA of ~2.3x (post‑TRC) toward ~1.6–1.7x by year‑end 2026, and pointed to healthy backlog/pipeline metrics (record backlog CAD 17 billion, U.S. sub‑backlog ~USD 8 billion, pipeline growth in key markets) supporting the outlook.

WSP Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth (2020–2025) with improving profitability (gross margin ~13.2% to ~16.6%; EBIT margin ~5.2% to ~9.7%) and materially stronger 2025 operating/free cash flow. Constraints include modest net margin (~5.3%) and elevated absolute debt (~$5.8B), though leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.59).
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
WSP Global shows strong and consistent top-line expansion, with revenue rising from $8.8B (2020) to $18.3B (2025). Profitability has improved alongside scale: gross margin stepped up to ~16.6% (2025) from ~13.2% (2020), and operating profitability improved with EBIT margin reaching ~9.7% (2025) versus ~5.2% (2020). Net margin is still modest for the sector (~5.3% in 2025) and remains the key constraint, but the overall trajectory is favorable with earnings growing meaningfully over time.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is generally sound with equity building to $9.8B (2025) and leverage at a manageable level for a scaled services business (debt-to-equity ~0.59 in 2025, improved from ~0.70 in 2024). Total debt is elevated in absolute terms (~$5.8B), which adds sensitivity to financing conditions, but returns to shareholders are steady to improving (return on equity ~9.8% in 2025 vs. ~7.2% in 2022). Overall, the company appears reasonably levered with improving capitalization, though debt remains a notable watch item.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Cash generation strengthened materially in 2025, with operating cash flow increasing to ~$2.01B (from ~$1.18B in 2024) and free cash flow rising to ~$1.87B. Free cash flow is consistently high relative to earnings (roughly 0.80–0.93x net income across the period), supporting quality of profits and financial flexibility. The main weakness is variability year-to-year (including declines in free cash flow in 2021–2022 before re-accelerating), suggesting some lumpiness in cash conversion even though the long-run trend is positive.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.29B16.17B14.44B11.93B10.28B
Gross Profit3.04B2.60B2.18B1.70B1.50B
EBITDA2.52B1.89B1.64B1.26B1.22B
Net Income964.30M681.40M550.00M431.80M473.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.84B20.20B15.58B14.84B11.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.72B791.20M501.10M603.00M1.06B
Total Debt5.84B5.79B4.26B4.08B2.80B
Total Liabilities11.00B11.93B9.25B8.83B6.59B
Stockholders Equity9.84B8.27B6.33B6.01B4.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.87B1.03B652.40M626.70M926.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.01B1.18B812.30M757.60M1.03B
Investing Cash Flow-753.00M-2.47B-533.00M-2.70B-1.36B
Financing Cash Flow-349.60M1.54B-400.80M1.50B838.00M

WSP Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price227.68
Price Trends
50DMA
251.82
Negative
100DMA
254.76
Negative
200DMA
266.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.53
Negative
RSI
40.49
Neutral
STOCH
78.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WSP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 227.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 237.59, below the 50-day MA of 251.82, and below the 200-day MA of 266.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:WSP.

WSP Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$15.94B5.7256.38%0.09%13.97%715.65%
70
Outperform
C$31.68B33.6711.21%0.60%18.85%29.60%
69
Neutral
C$1.80B13.1821.68%2.88%6.26%0.52%
66
Neutral
$14.72B30.8215.59%0.67%11.73%41.17%
66
Neutral
C$2.50B12.9522.05%0.99%13.02%52.88%
65
Neutral
C$2.39B9.420.92%2.38%25.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
226.61
-17.57
-7.19%
TSE:STN
Stantec
124.93
6.51
5.50%
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
96.40
32.17
50.09%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
70.75
30.19
74.42%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
37.58
19.52
108.11%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
31.79
11.83
59.24%

WSP Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WSP Delivers Record 2025 Results and Strengthens Balance Sheet With Robust Cash Flow
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

WSP reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2025, with revenues rising to $4.85 billion in Q4 and $18.29 billion for the year, while net revenues reached $3.67 billion and $13.96 billion, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA grew 9.4% in the quarter and 17.2% for the year, with margins edging higher and net earnings attributable to shareholders jumping 53.6% in Q4 and 41.6% for 2025.

The firm closed 2025 with record metrics including a $17.1 billion backlog, $1.7 billion in free cash flow—1.8 times net earnings—and a sharply improved net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 0.9, reflecting strong cash generation and disciplined balance sheet management. Capital committed to acquisitions reached $5.2 billion during the year, underscoring WSP’s aggressive growth strategy and reinforcing its competitive position in global professional services while providing greater earnings visibility for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WSP) stock is a Buy with a C$335.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WSP Global stock, see the TSE:WSP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
WSP Closes TRC Acquisition, Becomes Top U.S. Engineering Firm by Revenue
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

WSP Global has completed its acquisition of TRC Companies, a major U.S. Power & Energy brand with around 8,000 professionals and more than five decades of sector experience. The deal is closely aligned with WSP’s 2025–2027 strategic plan and is designed to deepen its exposure to high-growth segments such as water, infrastructure, environment and digital solutions.

With TRC now integrated, WSP becomes the largest engineering and design firm in the U.S. by revenue and creates what it describes as the leading Power & Energy platform in the country. Management from both companies framed the transaction as a scale and capability play that enhances WSP’s role as a strategic advisor on complex, resilient energy and infrastructure projects, while promising a careful integration to preserve client relationships and employee continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WSP) stock is a Buy with a C$335.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WSP Global stock, see the TSE:WSP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
WSP Global Prices US$1 Billion Private Senior Notes to Help Fund TRC Acquisition
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

WSP Global Inc. has priced a private placement of US$1 billion in senior unsecured notes, split evenly between US$500 million of 4.003% notes maturing in 2032 and US$500 million of 4.586% notes maturing in 2036, with closing expected around January 22, 2026. The proceeds are earmarked primarily to help finance WSP’s pending acquisition of TRC Companies and to lessen its reliance on incremental bank facilities, with a contingency plan to redeem the 2036 notes and repay existing debt if the deal fails to close. Rated BBB (high) with a stable trend by DBRS and ranking pari passu with WSP’s other senior unsecured debt, the notes are being placed privately in Canada under prospectus exemptions and will not be registered for public sale in Canada or the United States, underscoring the company’s continued use of the private debt market to support its acquisition-driven growth strategy while managing balance sheet flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WSP) stock is a Buy with a C$306.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WSP Global stock, see the TSE:WSP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
WSP Raises $977.5 Million to Help Fund TRC Acquisition
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

WSP Global has raised approximately $977.5 million through a combination of a bought deal public offering and a concurrent private placement of common shares, including full exercise of both the over-allotment and additional subscription options. The proceeds will be used to help finance WSP’s previously announced acquisition of TRC Companies and reduce reliance on new term loan commitments, with completion of the transaction targeted for the first quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals; the deal strengthens WSP’s balance sheet and underscores support from major shareholder La Caisse, which will hold about 13.9% of outstanding shares following the financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WSP) stock is a Buy with a C$277.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WSP Global stock, see the TSE:WSP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
WSP Global to Acquire TRC, Strengthening U.S. Market Position
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

WSP Global Inc. has announced its agreement to acquire TRC Companies for $3.3 billion, a move that will position WSP as the largest engineering and design firm in the U.S. by revenue. This acquisition is expected to enhance WSP’s capabilities in the Power & Energy sector and provide significant growth opportunities through expanded service offerings and cross-selling potential, aligning with its 2025-2027 Global Strategic Action Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WSP) stock is a Buy with a C$268.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WSP Global stock, see the TSE:WSP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026