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Stantec Inc (TSE:STN)
TSX:STN

Stantec (STN) AI Stock Analysis

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Stantec

(TSX:STN)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$157.00
▲( 12.29% Upside)
Stantec's strong financial performance, complemented by positive earnings guidance and strategic corporate events, supports a favorable outlook. Although the high valuation and increasing debt levels pose challenges, the company's strengths in revenue growth and cash flow management mitigate these risks, making it well-positioned within its industry.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
STN had a strong finish in 2024 and the momentum is expected to carry over into 2025.
Market Demand
Order intake has been strong with backlogs in Canada and the US at record levels, providing very good visibility into activity levels in 2025.
Mergers and Acquisitions
The balance sheet is strong and should support a meaningful amount of M&A and/or share buyback activity.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Demand across STN's regions and business units remains strong with pricing more than offsetting wage inflation.

Stantec (STN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Stantec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStantec Inc. is a global design and consulting services firm headquartered in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The company operates in diverse sectors including infrastructure, water, energy, and built environment, providing engineering, architecture, interior design, landscape architecture, surveying, environmental sciences, project management, and project economics services. Stantec collaborates with clients across various industries to deliver sustainable solutions and innovative designs that enhance the quality of life in communities worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyStantec makes money primarily through providing professional consulting services across its key sectors: infrastructure, water, energy, and the built environment. The company generates revenue by offering engineering and architectural design services, environmental consulting, and project management. Its revenue model is based on fee-for-service arrangements, where clients are billed for the time and expertise provided by its professionals on a project basis. Significant partnerships with government agencies, private sector clients, and other organizations also contribute to its earnings. Stantec's diverse portfolio and global presence enable it to secure a steady stream of projects and maintain a robust financial performance.

Stantec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stantec shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth of 15.7% and improved profit margins. The absence of EBIT in 2024 and rising debt levels are concerns, but the company's robust cash flow management ensures liquidity and financial stability.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Stantec has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 15.7% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved from 38% in 2023 to 42.6% in 2024, indicating effective cost management. However, there was no EBIT recorded in 2024, which is a concern and affects profitability analysis. The net profit margin remained stable at approximately 4.8% in 2024, showcasing decent profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.69 in 2024, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) improved to 12.3% in 2024 from 12% in 2023, highlighting an effective use of equity to generate profits. With an equity ratio of 42.3%, Stantec maintains a solid capital structure, but the increasing debt levels require attention.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Stantec's free cash flow grew by 13.5% in 2024, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.67 in 2024 indicates effective cash management. The substantial free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.39 further demonstrates the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, enhancing financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.50B6.48B5.68B4.58B4.73B
Gross Profit
3.20B2.46B2.42B1.96B1.93B
EBIT
0.00530.10M383.60M325.70M344.50M
EBITDA
901.70M801.00M677.50M523.40M491.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
361.50M331.20M247.00M200.70M171.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
254.70M352.90M148.30M193.90M285.00M
Total Assets
6.96B6.08B5.65B5.23B4.39B
Total Debt
2.04B1.73B1.92B1.92B1.32B
Net Debt
1.81B1.38B1.77B1.73B1.03B
Total Liabilities
4.01B3.32B3.37B3.22B2.46B
Stockholders Equity
2.95B2.76B2.29B2.00B1.93B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
504.10M444.10M229.40M346.40M569.60M
Operating Cash Flow
603.10M544.70M304.30M397.00M603.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-605.00M-201.70M-73.80M-764.80M-102.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-152.10M-134.00M-296.70M276.50M-412.60M

Stantec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price139.82
Price Trends
50DMA
122.99
Positive
100DMA
118.12
Positive
200DMA
115.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.30
Negative
RSI
73.00
Negative
STOCH
76.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:STN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 139.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 129.69, above the 50-day MA of 122.99, and above the 200-day MA of 115.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:STN.

Stantec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSBDT
81
Outperform
C$1.44B14.3626.31%2.60%16.14%27.71%
TSSTN
76
Outperform
$15.95B41.3313.13%0.60%15.62%9.66%
TSWSP
75
Outperform
C$35.97B50.159.42%0.54%16.77%21.38%
70
Outperform
$1.52B22.7219.89%1.60%10.97%24.27%
67
Neutral
$15.77B51.348.66%0.09%12.05%1.32%
64
Neutral
$4.39B11.815.20%249.39%3.96%-12.36%
TSARE
56
Neutral
C$1.19B-9.26%4.02%1.70%-154.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:STN
Stantec
139.82
28.92
26.08%
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
90.17
36.68
68.57%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
44.91
3.70
8.98%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
26.03
5.28
25.45%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
18.90
2.60
15.95%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
275.60
67.53
32.46%

Stantec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Stantec's Q1 2025 performance was robust, characterized by strong revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and increased profitability. The company continues to expand its global presence and maintain a strong backlog. While there are some challenges in the U.S. market, particularly in government procurement, these are minor in comparison to the overall positive performance and outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth
Stantec delivered net revenue of $1.6 billion in Q1 2025, up 13.3% year-over-year, with 5.9% organic growth and 3.2% acquisition growth.
Record Adjusted EBITDA and EPS Growth
Adjusted EBITDA grew by over 19% with a margin of 16.2%, and adjusted EPS increased by 29% compared to Q1 2024.
Successful Strategic Acquisitions
Stantec announced two major acquisitions: Page, a 1,400-person architecture and engineering firm, and Ryan Hanley, a 150-person consultancy in Ireland, enhancing expertise in key growth areas.
Strong Performance in Canada and Global Markets
Canada saw 15% net revenue growth (12.2% organic), while global business delivered 20.3% growth in net revenue with 7.5% organic growth.
Record Backlog
Backlog reached an all-time high of $7.9 billion, with almost 13% year-over-year growth, 7.5% of which was organic.
Improved Cash Flow and Leverage
Operating cash flow increased by 136% year-over-year, and the net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was reduced to 1.1 times.
Negative Updates
Slower Growth in U.S. Organic Revenue
U.S. Q1 net revenues increased by 9.7% but organic growth was only 2.4% due to project cycle timing in the Water segment.
Challenges in Government Procurement
Some slowing in procurement cycles in the U.S. government due to changes in procurement practices, affecting project timelines.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Stantec showcased strong financial performance with a net revenue increase of 13.3% year-over-year, reaching $1.6 billion. The growth was driven by a 5.9% organic increase and 3.2% from acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA saw a rise of over 19%, resulting in a margin of 16.2%, while adjusted EPS grew by 29% compared to Q1 2024. Stantec also reported robust regional growth, with Canada achieving 12.2% organic growth and the U.S. recording a 9.7% increase in net revenues. The company announced strategic acquisitions, including Page and Ryan Hanley, to bolster its market position. Stantec's backlog reached a record $7.9 billion, reflecting a 13% increase from the previous year, with significant contributions from the Water and Energy & Resources sectors. The company's outlook remains optimistic, maintaining a guidance of 7% to 10% net revenue growth for the year.

Stantec Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Stantec to Lead Design for Mississauga’s Dundas BRT Corridor
Positive
May 8, 2025

Stantec has been selected by the City of Mississauga to lead the design and contract administration for the Dundas Bus Rapid Transit Mississauga East Corridor, a project aimed at enhancing regional transit connectivity and supporting urban growth. With a budget of C$580 million, the project will include dedicated bus lanes, improved accessibility, and environmentally friendly practices, aligning with regional transportation plans and the city’s commitment to sustainable development.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Stantec to Design Largest PFAS Treatment System in Northwestern US
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Stantec has been selected by the City of Vancouver, Washington, to design the largest PFAS treatment system in the Northwestern US, aiming to provide cleaner drinking water by removing harmful substances. This project aligns with the EPA’s new regulations requiring public water utilities to reduce PFAS by 2029, showcasing Stantec’s role in helping municipalities meet these standards and ensuring long-term water safety and reliability.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Stantec’s 2024 Sustainability Report Highlights Global Impact and Financial Success
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

Stantec has released its 18th annual Sustainability Report, highlighting its achievements in sustainability and financial performance for 2024, with revenues of $4.63 billion. The report underscores Stantec’s commitment to sustainable development goals and its recognition as a top sustainable corporation. Key projects include environmental initiatives in Australia, Canada, the UK, the US, and Uruguay, showcasing Stantec’s role in addressing global challenges and driving community success.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Stantec Announces Q1 2025 Results Release and Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Stantec has announced the release of its first quarter 2025 financial results, scheduled for May 14, 2025, followed by a webcast and conference call on May 15, 2025, led by the company’s CEO and CFO. Additionally, Stantec will hold its annual general meeting of shareholders on May 15, 2025, in a hybrid format, allowing participation both in person and via live webcast. These events are significant for stakeholders as they provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Stantec Expands Irish Presence with Ryan Hanley Acquisition
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Stantec has acquired Ryan Hanley, an Irish engineering and environmental consultancy, to enhance its presence in Ireland, particularly in the water sector. This acquisition builds on a successful joint venture between the two companies, aiming to leverage Ryan Hanley’s local expertise and Stantec’s global resources to address Ireland’s infrastructure challenges and expand into new markets such as energy and transport.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.