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Stantec Inc (TSE:STN)
TSX:STN
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Stantec (STN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:STN

Stantec

(TSX:STN)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$172.00
▲(15.22% Upside)
Stantec's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust growth and strategic positioning. While technical analysis shows a stable trend, the high valuation and modest dividend yield slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Stantec's EBITDA increased 19% year-over-year, surpassing both the consensus and the analyst's estimates.
Financial Performance
Backlog ended the quarter 12.8% higher year-over-year at a record high, providing excellent visibility for future work.
Strategic Positioning
STN remains well-positioned to capitalize on secular demand trends including infrastructure development, energy transition, climate change, and reshoring.
Negative Factors
Market Expectations
The target price increased to $145 due to upward estimate revisions and rolling forward the valuation base.

Stantec (STN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Stantec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStantec Inc. provides engineering, architecture, and environmental consulting services in the areas of infrastructure and facilities in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company provides consulting services in engineering, architecture, interior design, landscape architecture, surveying, environmental sciences, project management, and project economics. It also offers structural, mechanical, electrical, plumbing, and hydraulics engineering services; transportation advisory, planning and analytics, transport engineering, and technical design; paleontological and archaeological services for the rail, transportation, water, and power and energy sectors; environmental and infrastructure services; and environmental and cultural resource compliance services. The company was formerly known as Stanley Technology Group Inc. and changed its name to Stantec Inc. in October 1998. Stantec Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyStantec generates revenue primarily through professional services provided in the sectors of engineering, architecture, and consulting. The company's revenue model is predominantly project-based, with fees charged for design, consulting, project management, and other related services. Key revenue streams include contracts with public and private sector clients for infrastructure projects, environmental assessments, and urban development initiatives. Stantec also benefits from long-term relationships with clients, which can lead to repeat business and ongoing projects. Additionally, the company engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its service offerings and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings. Factors such as market demand for infrastructure development, urbanization trends, and government investment in public projects also play a significant role in driving Stantec's revenue growth.

Stantec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant growth and strategic acquisitions. Despite some challenges in the U.S. market and concerns about Thames Water, Stantec has increased its guidance and demonstrated robust financial metrics and market position.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition and Expansion
Stantec successfully closed the acquisition of Page, a U.S.-based architecture and engineering firm, and Cosgroves, a 90-person firm in New Zealand, expanding its capabilities in key growth sectors such as health care, advanced manufacturing, and data centers. Additionally, Ryan Hanley was acquired to bolster offerings in the Irish water sector.
Strong Organic Growth
Stantec reported a 4.8% organic growth in Q2 2025, with significant contributions from Energy & Resources and Water, which achieved 12.4% organic growth. The company delivered net revenue of $1.6 billion, up 6.9% year-over-year.
Improved Financial Performance
Stantec's adjusted EBITDA grew by 15% with a margin of 17.8%. Adjusted EPS increased over 21% compared to Q2 2024. Year-to-date operating cash flows doubled from $117 million in 2024 to $235 million in 2025.
Increased Guidance
Based on strong performance, Stantec increased its 2025 net revenue growth guidance to 10% to 12% from 7% to 10% and adjusted EBITDA margin to 17% to 17.4%.
Robust Backlog
Stantec's contract backlog stood at $7.9 billion, reflecting approximately 12 months of work, with a nearly 10% year-over-year growth, driven by strong demand in Water and Energy & Resources.
Negative Updates
U.S. Market Challenges
The U.S. market experienced slower growth due to procurement delays and conservative investment decisions by private sector clients, leading to a moderation in organic growth expectations.
Thames Water Financial Difficulties
Stantec's client, Thames Water, is experiencing financial difficulties, although no immediate impact on payment issues was reported.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Stantec reported robust financial performance, demonstrating strong growth across various metrics. The company achieved a net revenue of $1.6 billion, marking a 6.9% increase year-over-year, driven by 4.8% organic growth. The Energy & Resources segment showed high single-digit organic growth, while the Water business achieved a remarkable 12.4% organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 15%, with a margin enhancement to 17.8%, and adjusted EPS grew by over 21% compared to the same quarter in 2024. Regionally, the U.S. saw a 5.7% rise in net revenue, with 4.4% organic growth, and Canada reported a 6.2% net revenue growth, entirely from organic sources. The global segment experienced a 10.5% net revenue increase, supported by 4.3% organic growth and 3.6% acquisition growth. Stantec's contract backlog reached $7.9 billion, reflecting a nearly 10% year-over-year increase, with 9% organic growth. Additionally, the company's net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio remained stable at 1.1x, and operating cash flows doubled to $235 million. In light of these strong results, Stantec updated its guidance for 2025, anticipating net revenue growth between 10% and 12%, and adjusted EBITDA margins between 17% and 17.4%.

Stantec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stantec demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, improving margins, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a stable leverage position, but managing debt levels remains crucial.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Stantec's income statement reveals robust growth with a steady increase in revenue over the years, culminating in a TTM revenue of $7.7 billion. Gross profit margin remains strong, and the net profit margin has improved to 5.01% in TTM from 4.82% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown consistent improvement, reflecting operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a balanced growth trajectory with a healthy equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio has remained stable, indicating effective leverage management. Return on equity has been steadily growing, showing improved profitability relative to equity. However, the equity ratio indicates a moderate reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed well.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Stantec's cash flow statement demonstrates strong cash generation capabilities, with TTM operating cash flow surpassing $666 million. The free cash flow has consistently grown, showing effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates solid cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.78B7.50B6.48B5.68B4.58B4.73B
Gross Profit3.35B3.20B2.46B2.42B1.96B1.93B
EBITDA980.20M901.70M801.00M677.50M523.40M491.50M
Net Income436.70M361.50M331.20M247.00M200.70M171.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.97B6.96B6.08B5.65B5.23B4.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments363.70M254.70M352.90M148.30M193.90M285.00M
Total Debt2.14B2.04B1.73B1.92B1.92B1.32B
Total Liabilities3.93B4.01B3.32B3.37B3.22B2.46B
Stockholders Equity3.04B2.95B2.76B2.29B2.00B1.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow647.10M504.10M444.10M229.40M346.40M569.60M
Operating Cash Flow720.40M603.10M544.70M304.30M397.00M603.80M
Investing Cash Flow-113.40M-605.00M-201.70M-73.80M-764.80M-102.00M
Financing Cash Flow-484.30M-152.10M-134.00M-296.70M276.50M-412.60M

Stantec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price149.28
Price Trends
50DMA
149.87
Negative
100DMA
141.22
Positive
200DMA
128.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
48.50
Neutral
STOCH
61.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:STN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 149.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.88, below the 50-day MA of 149.87, and above the 200-day MA of 128.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:STN.

Stantec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$17.03B39.5514.26%0.58%12.49%26.18%
64
Neutral
$10.84B16.098.89%1.97%2.67%-15.04%
$11.39B6.4757.95%0.08%
$1.41B25.6321.65%1.26%
78
Outperform
C$36.51B45.8110.52%0.54%18.24%28.47%
68
Neutral
C$1.29B50.722.78%3.72%20.53%74.96%
66
Neutral
C$1.25B12.9025.25%3.51%8.49%14.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:STN
Stantec
149.28
40.09
36.71%
SNCAF
AtkinsRealis
68.63
29.53
75.52%
BDGIF
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
41.97
16.27
63.31%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
20.41
2.77
15.70%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
22.61
1.05
4.87%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
279.68
55.05
24.51%

Stantec Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Stantec to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

Stantec announced it will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 13, 2025, followed by a webcast and conference call on August 14, 2025, led by CEO Gord Johnston and CFO Vito Culmone. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, reinforcing its position as a leader in sustainable design and engineering.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:STN) stock is a Buy with a C$134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stantec stock, see the TSE:STN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025