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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL
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AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$103.00
▲(9.97% Upside)
AtkinsRealis shows strong financial performance and attractive valuation, driven by growth in the Nuclear segment and effective leverage management. However, technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, and challenges in cash flow efficiency and regional growth could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Q2 results showed a strong performance with a 20% beat, affirming a positive outlook for the company.
Infrastructure Development
ATRL, along with various partners, was selected to develop a proposed high-speed rail line in the Toronto-Quebec City corridor, with the potential to be Canada's largest-ever infrastructure project.
Strategic Expansion
The acquisition of a 70% stake in engineering services firm David Evans is viewed positively both strategically and financially, aligning well with ATRL's U.S. Land & Expand strategy and significantly bolstering ATRL's Western U.S. presence.
Negative Factors
Investment Concerns
Downgrade to HOLD due to higher-for-longer investment concerns.
Performance Miss
Slight miss in core wireless performance during Q2, impacting overall results.
User Growth
Continued weakness in monthly active user growth is expected.

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkinsRealis (ATRL) is a leading global provider of advanced planning and management solutions, specializing in the energy and infrastructure sectors. The company focuses on delivering innovative technologies and consulting services that enhance operational efficiency and project delivery. ATRL's core offerings include project management software, data analytics, and advisory services designed to optimize resource allocation and streamline processes for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkinsRealis generates revenue through a diversified model that includes software licensing, subscription fees for its planning and management platforms, and consulting services. Key revenue streams comprise direct sales of software solutions to enterprises in the energy and infrastructure sectors, ongoing service agreements for software maintenance and updates, and professional consulting engagements that provide expert guidance on project execution and risk management. Additionally, ATRL has established strategic partnerships with technology providers and industry stakeholders, enhancing its market reach and contributing to its overall earnings through collaborative projects and joint ventures.

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong growth in certain areas like Nuclear and capital allocation, while facing challenges in Engineering Services with delays and reduced growth outlook in USLA and EMEA segments. The balance of positive and negative aspects suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog Achieved
AtkinsRéalis reached a record high backlog of $21 billion, driven primarily by demand in Engineering Services and Nuclear.
Strong Nuclear Growth
Nuclear revenue organically grew 56% to a quarterly record high of $567 million, with backlog increasing 223% year-over-year.
Successful Capital Allocation Activities
The company closed the acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, and completed the sale of its interest in Highway 407, resulting in total proceeds of approximately $2.6 billion. They also paid down $900 million in debt and repurchased 9 million shares.
Positive EPS and EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EPS increased by 59% to $0.78 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment increased 21% to $246 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineering Services Regions Revenue
Engineering Services Regions revenue organically declined 1% to $1.9 billion, with a revised outlook for organic growth in 2025 now expected to be mid-single-digit percentage.
Challenges in USLA and EMEA Segments
Due to lower-than-expected revenue growth in the USLA and EMEA segments, the 2025 Engineering Services Regions revenue organic growth outlook was decreased.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow stood at negative $163 million for the quarter, mainly due to higher working capital usage.
Delays in Major Projects
Delays or termination of a handful of major projects in EMEA and the USLA regions impacted the first half of the year.
Company Guidance
In the AtkinsRéalis Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance with a 15% increase in services revenue, reaching $2.6 billion, and a record high total backlog of $21 billion. Notably, Nuclear revenue saw a significant 56% organic growth to $567 million, while Linxon grew by 11%. Adjusted EBIT for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment rose by 21% to $246 million. The company adjusted its 2025 revenue outlook, increasing expectations for the Nuclear segment but lowering projections for the Engineering Services Regions due to lower growth in the USLA and EMEA segments. Capital allocation included a $2.6 billion acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, a $900 million debt repayment, and a $800 million share repurchase, leaving the company net cash positive. Looking forward, AtkinsRéalis plans to focus on organic and inorganic growth, particularly through strategic acquisitions in high-growth markets such as transport, water, and nuclear services.

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AtkinsRéalis exhibits strong revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, but operational efficiency issues are a concern given the declining EBIT. The balance sheet is stable and reflects a prudent capital structure, while cash flows show improvement but are still subject to volatility. The company is positioned well in the construction industry, but operational improvements are needed to enhance profitability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
AtkinsRealis has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over recent years, with a notable increase in gross profit margin, indicating improved cost management. However, the company has faced challenges with EBIT, showing a decline in profitability from core operations recently. The net profit margin has improved, but the inconsistency in EBIT signals operational efficiency issues that could affect future profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of AtkinsRealis is solid with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid foundation of assets relative to equity. However, the return on equity has shown variability, suggesting fluctuating profitability returns to shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, reflecting improved cash management. Operating cash flow has shown improvement, supporting net income, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains volatile, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.67B8.63B7.55B7.37B7.01B
Gross Profit844.84M766.00M413.11M489.31M125.35M
EBITDA768.97M752.00M283.59M383.82M-14.32M
Net Income283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M-965.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.29B10.17B9.46B9.88B10.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments805.85M540.64M645.06M680.24M1.08B
Total Debt2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B2.50B
Total Liabilities7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B7.77B
Stockholders Equity3.77B3.16B2.87B2.97B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M45.66M
Operating Cash Flow525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M121.48M
Investing Cash Flow70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M-185.12M
Financing Cash Flow-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M-190.43M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price93.66
Price Trends
50DMA
96.33
Negative
100DMA
87.47
Positive
200DMA
79.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Positive
RSI
40.98
Neutral
STOCH
20.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 93.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.73, below the 50-day MA of 96.33, and above the 200-day MA of 79.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$15.32B6.3257.95%0.09%13.07%697.05%
64
Neutral
$10.95B16.378.81%1.96%2.68%-15.33%
$12.45B39.6014.26%0.57%
$1.42B25.5021.65%1.26%
78
Outperform
C$36.61B45.5310.52%0.53%18.24%28.47%
68
Neutral
C$1.29B50.422.78%3.72%20.53%74.96%
66
Neutral
C$1.26B12.9625.25%3.36%8.49%14.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
93.66
39.92
74.30%
STN
Stantec
109.43
27.30
33.24%
BDGIF
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
42.46
16.32
62.43%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
20.43
2.70
15.23%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
22.89
0.57
2.55%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
281.21
58.93
26.51%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q2 Results and Strategic Milestones
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported a strong second quarter in 2025, with a 15% increase in revenue and a 20% rise in total backlog, reaching a record $20.9 billion. The company achieved significant financial milestones, including the sale of its Highway 407 ETR interest, reducing debt, and acquiring a majority stake in David Evans. These strategic moves, along with robust financial performance, position AtkinsRéalis to capitalize on market opportunities and reinforce its industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
AtkinsRéalis to Repurchase 7 Million Shares from La Caisse
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

AtkinsRéalis announced a private agreement to repurchase 7,000,000 of its shares from La Caisse at a price of $90.87 per share, totaling approximately $636 million. This transaction aligns with the company’s capital allocation strategy and aims to create shareholder value, leveraging its strong balance sheet after selling its interest in Highway 407 ETR. La Caisse remains a significant shareholder, holding 16.5% of the company’s shares, and continues to express confidence in AtkinsRéalis’ prospects. The transaction received an exemption from issuer bid requirements, allowing it to proceed at a discount.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AtkinsRéalis Finalizes Sale of Highway 407 ETR Stake, Boosting Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

AtkinsRéalis has completed the sale of its remaining 6.76% interest in Highway 407 ETR, generating approximately $2.6 billion in total proceeds. This transaction allows the company to repay a $400 million loan and align with its capital allocation priorities, which include reducing debt, pursuing growth through acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders, thereby enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q1 2025 Results with Strong Nuclear Growth
Positive
May 15, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue, Segment Adjusted EBIT, and diluted earnings per share. The company’s backlog reached record-high levels, driven by robust demand in its Engineering Services Regions, Nuclear, and Linxon segments. The nuclear segment, in particular, saw a substantial increase in revenue and backlog, highlighting the company’s strong market positioning in this area. The acquisition of David Evans and the integration of its team further bolster AtkinsRéalis’ capabilities and workforce. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook for the nuclear segment, reflecting continued confidence in market demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025