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Atkinsrealis (TSE:ATRL)
:ATRL
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AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(OTC:ATRL)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$105.00
▲(8.31% Upside)
AtkinsRealis benefits from strong financial performance in key segments like Nuclear, supported by strategic corporate actions. However, valuation concerns and operational efficiency issues weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Nuclear Segment Growth
The Nuclear segment achieved +67.0% year-over-year revenue growth.
Sale Proceeds
The sale of its remaining stake in Highway 407 provides significant resources to be redeployed across its capital allocation priorities.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of a 70% stake in engineering services firm David Evans is viewed positively both strategically and financially, aligning well with ATRL's U.S. Land & Expand strategy and significantly bolstering ATRL's Western U.S. presence.
Negative Factors
Automotive Sector Sentiment
Negative sentiment was observed on the automotive sector.
Project Management Losses
The Professional Services & Project Management adjusted EBITDA missed estimates by 23% due to $84 million in losses associated with legacy LSTK contracts.
User Growth
Continued weakness in monthly active user growth is expected.

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital. The company provides consultancy, strategy, advisory, engineering, design, project & program management and project delivery services for building and places, defence, industrial, power and renewables, and transportation and water markets; and operations, maintenance, and asset management solutions for various assets. It also offers services for clients across the nuclear life cycle from consultancy, engineering, procurement and construction management, field, technology, decommissioning, and waste management services, as well as spare parts; and new-build and full refurbishment services for reactors. In addition, the company is involved in installation of alternative current power substations, including expansions and electrification, notably through repetitive engineering, procurement and construction offerings for utilities, renewables and conventional generation, transportation, and data centers markets; and provision of lump-sum turnkey LSTK construction contracts for the mass transit projects. Further, it engages in developing projects, arranging financing, investing in equity, undertaking complex financial modeling, and managing its infrastructure investments, such as bridges and highways, mass transit systems, power facilities, energy infrastructure, water treatment plants, and social infrastructure. Additionally, it offers staff augmentation services. The company was formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and changed its name to AtkinsRéalis in September 2023. AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkinsRealis generates revenue through a diversified model primarily based on providing consultancy and engineering services across multiple industry sectors. Key revenue streams include fees from project management, design, and consultancy services offered to both public and private sector clients. The company also earns income from long-term contracts and partnerships with governments and large corporations, delivering significant infrastructure and energy projects. Additionally, AtkinsRealis leverages its expertise in digital engineering to offer advanced technological solutions, which contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships and collaborations further enhance its market presence and earning potential.

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of significant achievements, particularly in the Nuclear segment with record growth and backlog, and challenges, notably in the Engineering Services and specific regional markets. The strong performance in key areas such as Nuclear and Linxon, along with positive cash flow and a robust balance sheet, offer a positive outlook. However, the declines in certain segments and regions temper the overall sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Revenue Growth in AtkinsRéalis Services
AtkinsRéalis Services experienced significant organic revenue growth of 10% to $2.5 billion.
Record High Nuclear Revenue
Nuclear revenue grew 77% organically to a quarterly record high of $538 million.
Linxon Revenue Increase
Linxon revenue organically grew 36%, continuing its strong volume momentum from 2024.
Backlog Growth
AtkinsRéalis achieved a 32% increase in backlog over the prior year, driven by growth in the Nuclear and Engineering Services sectors.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
The company reported $39 million of positive operating cash flow this quarter.
Strong Balance Sheet
The balance sheet remains strong with a 1.1 times net leverage ratio at the low end of the long-term target range.
Increased Full Year Nuclear Revenue Outlook
The full year revenue outlook for Nuclear was raised to a range of $1.9 billion to $2 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineering Services Revenue
Engineering Services regions revenue organically declined 4% to $1.7 billion.
Challenges in Canadian Market
Revenue in Canada declined 14% organically in the first quarter, mainly due to the completion of a large project in 2024.
Revenue Decline in AMEA
Revenue in AMEA declined 9% on an organic basis, with a 12% decrease in backlog versus Q1 2024.
Decrease in US Revenue
US revenue organically declined 1% year-over-year, due to a decrease in the global Minerals and Metals sector.
Company Guidance
During the AtkinsRéalis First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported strong financial metrics, including a 10% organic revenue growth to $2.5 billion in the AtkinsRéalis Services, with Nuclear revenue surging 77% to a record $538 million. The Engineering Services regions, however, faced a 4% decline to $1.7 billion. The company achieved a 20% increase in adjusted EBIT to $224 million, contributing to a positive operating cash flow of $39 million and maintaining a net leverage ratio of 1.1 times. A significant backlog growth of 32% was noted, driven by Nuclear and Engineering Services, with a total backlog reaching $20.4 billion, a 31% increase year-over-year. The company's strategic focus remains on infrastructure and energy transition projects, highlighted by contracts for nuclear reactor life extensions and significant transportation projects in North America and the UK. The Nuclear business raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.9 billion to $2 billion, anticipating further growth with a projected annual revenue of $2.2 billion to $2.5 billion by 2027.

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AtkinsRéalis exhibits strong revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, but operational efficiency issues are a concern given the declining EBIT. The balance sheet is stable and reflects a prudent capital structure, while cash flows show improvement but are still subject to volatility. The company is positioned well in the construction industry, but operational improvements are needed to enhance profitability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
AtkinsRealis has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over recent years, with a notable increase in gross profit margin, indicating improved cost management. However, the company has faced challenges with EBIT, showing a decline in profitability from core operations recently. The net profit margin has improved, but the inconsistency in EBIT signals operational efficiency issues that could affect future profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of AtkinsRealis is solid with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid foundation of assets relative to equity. However, the return on equity has shown variability, suggesting fluctuating profitability returns to shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, reflecting improved cash management. Operating cash flow has shown improvement, supporting net income, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains volatile, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.67B8.63B7.55B7.37B7.01B
Gross Profit844.84M766.00M413.11M489.31M125.35M
EBITDA768.97M752.00M283.59M383.82M-14.32M
Net Income283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M-965.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.29B10.17B9.46B9.88B10.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments805.85M540.64M645.06M680.24M1.08B
Total Debt2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B2.50B
Total Liabilities7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B7.77B
Stockholders Equity3.77B3.16B2.87B2.97B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M45.66M
Operating Cash Flow525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M121.48M
Investing Cash Flow70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M-185.12M
Financing Cash Flow-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M-190.43M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price96.94
Price Trends
50DMA
95.66
Positive
100DMA
83.90
Positive
200DMA
78.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Positive
RSI
50.73
Neutral
STOCH
41.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 96.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.91, above the 50-day MA of 95.66, and above the 200-day MA of 78.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥258.28B14.578.48%2.82%6.30%11.95%
69
Neutral
C$15.98B54.858.66%0.08%12.05%1.32%
$12.72B45.7813.13%0.57%
$1.30B23.4321.65%1.37%
79
Outperform
C$1.61B15.9926.31%2.68%16.14%27.71%
70
Outperform
C$37.25B51.9210.52%0.53%16.77%21.38%
61
Neutral
C$1.21B47.562.78%3.78%20.53%74.96%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
96.94
44.48
84.79%
STN
Stantec
108.82
29.54
37.26%
BDGIF
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
39.10
13.09
50.33%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
20.10
3.19
18.86%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
28.73
5.01
21.12%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
274.47
63.74
30.25%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q2 Results and Strategic Milestones
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported a strong second quarter in 2025, with a 15% increase in revenue and a 20% rise in total backlog, reaching a record $20.9 billion. The company achieved significant financial milestones, including the sale of its Highway 407 ETR interest, reducing debt, and acquiring a majority stake in David Evans. These strategic moves, along with robust financial performance, position AtkinsRéalis to capitalize on market opportunities and reinforce its industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
AtkinsRéalis to Repurchase 7 Million Shares from La Caisse
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

AtkinsRéalis announced a private agreement to repurchase 7,000,000 of its shares from La Caisse at a price of $90.87 per share, totaling approximately $636 million. This transaction aligns with the company’s capital allocation strategy and aims to create shareholder value, leveraging its strong balance sheet after selling its interest in Highway 407 ETR. La Caisse remains a significant shareholder, holding 16.5% of the company’s shares, and continues to express confidence in AtkinsRéalis’ prospects. The transaction received an exemption from issuer bid requirements, allowing it to proceed at a discount.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AtkinsRéalis Finalizes Sale of Highway 407 ETR Stake, Boosting Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

AtkinsRéalis has completed the sale of its remaining 6.76% interest in Highway 407 ETR, generating approximately $2.6 billion in total proceeds. This transaction allows the company to repay a $400 million loan and align with its capital allocation priorities, which include reducing debt, pursuing growth through acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders, thereby enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q1 2025 Results with Strong Nuclear Growth
Positive
May 15, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue, Segment Adjusted EBIT, and diluted earnings per share. The company’s backlog reached record-high levels, driven by robust demand in its Engineering Services Regions, Nuclear, and Linxon segments. The nuclear segment, in particular, saw a substantial increase in revenue and backlog, highlighting the company’s strong market positioning in this area. The acquisition of David Evans and the integration of its team further bolster AtkinsRéalis’ capabilities and workforce. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook for the nuclear segment, reflecting continued confidence in market demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025