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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL
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AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$100.00
▲(7.18% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:06/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth and improved leverage) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and ongoing concerns about earnings quality and cash-flow consistency.
Positive Factors
Multi-year Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth over multiple years indicates broad end-market demand and successful project wins across infrastructure and energy sectors. This scale supports recurring backlog, pricing leverage and cross-selling, strengthening durable top-line momentum and competitive position.
Negative Factors
Volatile Profitability / Earnings Quality
Large swings in profitability and a pronounced step-change in recent net income suggest reliance on one-time items or uneven project margins. This undermines predictability of earnings, complicates forecasting, and raises risk that current margins may not be sustainable over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth over multiple years indicates broad end-market demand and successful project wins across infrastructure and energy sectors. This scale supports recurring backlog, pricing leverage and cross-selling, strengthening durable top-line momentum and competitive position.
Read all positive factors

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., founded in 1911 and headquartered in Montreal, Canada, provides extensive professional services, project management, and capital investment solutions worldwide. Its operations span the United Kingdom, Canada, the United St...
How the Company Makes Money
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AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational and financial progress: record revenues and backlog, robust cash generation, material EPS improvement, and major nuclear contract wins. Management highlighted margin expansion initiatives, strategic acquisitions, an investment-grade balance sheet after monetizing Highway 407, and a confident 2026 outlook for Engineering Services and Nuclear. Key negatives center on legacy LSTK project closeouts causing notable near-term cash and EBIT drag, higher transformation costs, and some regional/sector softness (U.S. minerals & metals, Middle East reprioritization). Overall, the positive indicators (record metrics, cash, backlog, nuclear momentum, improved margins and EPS) substantially outweigh the limited, mostly one-time or transitional lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue for AtkinsRealis Services
AtkinsRealis Services generated record revenue of $11.0 billion in 2025, up 16% organic growth year-over-year with an approximate 10% segment adjusted EBIT-to-segment revenue ratio.
Negative Updates
LSTK Legacy Project Closeout Drag
LSTK projects produced negative full-year EBIT (-$112 million) and negative net cash of $25 million in 2025. Management expects LSTK cash flows to be negative $100 million to $150 million in 2026 while completing legacy light rail transit closeouts and settling final accounts and claims.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Annual Revenue for AtkinsRealis Services
AtkinsRealis Services generated record revenue of $11.0 billion in 2025, up 16% organic growth year-over-year with an approximate 10% segment adjusted EBIT-to-segment revenue ratio.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company’s 2026 guidance calls for Engineering Services regions organic revenue growth of 5%–7% with a segment adjusted EBITDA-to-net-revenue margin of 16.5%–17.5% (with EBITDA more weighted to H2), Nuclear revenues of approximately $2.5 billion with adjusted EBIT margin ~11%–12% (implying segment adjusted EBITDA in the mid‑20% range), corporate SG&A of $125–135 million, CapEx of $175–200 million, net cash from operating activities of ~ $500 million, LSTK cash flow drag of roughly negative $100–150 million, and an expected 2026 effective tax rate nearer the statutory 25%–30%; longer‑term targets were updated to Engineering Services organic CAGR 2025–27 of 5%–7% and Nuclear revenue of $2.6–3.0 billion by 2027 with adjusted EBIT-to-revenue targeted at 11%–13% (long‑term 12%–14%).

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and a materially improved balance sheet with much lower leverage support the score. Offsetting factors are volatile profitability (including a step-change in 2025–TTM) and uneven cash conversion, with operating/free cash flow modest relative to reported earnings.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.43B10.96B9.57B8.53B7.47B7.29B
Gross Profit884.72M822.29M665.27M574.53M251.22M-122.17M
EBITDA3.49B3.45B693.40M673.37M283.59M383.82M
Net Income2.65B2.63B283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.58B12.53B11.29B10.28B9.46B9.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.15B1.17B679.01M486.63M599.35M628.04M
Total Debt1.34B1.72B2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B
Total Liabilities7.10B6.96B7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B
Stockholders Equity5.40B5.50B3.77B3.28B2.87B2.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow336.60M284.70M365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M
Operating Cash Flow519.24M461.28M525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M
Investing Cash Flow1.97B1.96B70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M
Financing Cash Flow-2.02B-1.93B-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price93.30
Price Trends
50DMA
86.94
Positive
100DMA
90.49
Negative
200DMA
92.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Negative
RSI
58.68
Neutral
STOCH
66.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 93.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.78, above the 50-day MA of 86.94, and above the 200-day MA of 92.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$3.19B33.2523.71%0.99%13.42%17.76%
70
Outperform
C$14.65B5.8748.91%0.09%16.01%776.59%
66
Neutral
C$3.46B69.4111.25%2.88%1.05%-50.79%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
C$10.95B22.2815.21%0.67%7.61%27.00%
61
Neutral
C$24.03B24.2510.39%0.60%8.70%33.66%
58
Neutral
C$3.02B80.113.71%2.38%26.30%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
90.46
-4.96
-5.20%
TSE:STN
Stantec
98.23
-49.15
-33.35%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
94.89
47.73
101.21%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
44.06
23.96
119.18%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
62.47
34.37
122.30%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
178.21
-98.27
-35.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2026