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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$105.00
▲(15.42% Upside)
AtkinsRealis demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive profitability and a solid balance sheet, though cash flow management needs improvement. The stock appears undervalued based on its low P/E ratio. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could pose short-term risks.
Positive Factors
High net profitability
Sustained high net margin (24.94%) and improving EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate durable operational efficiency and pricing power across projects. This supports long-term cash generation, funds reinvestment and shareholder returns, and reduces sensitivity to project cost volatility.
Solid balance sheet and leverage
Low leverage and strong ROE point to financial resilience and efficient use of equity. This balance sheet strength enables capacity to bid large public projects, absorb working capital swings, and pursue strategic investments or M&A without materially stressing liquidity.
Diversified, contract-backed revenue mix
Revenue anchored by long-term government contracts, private sector construction mandates and partnerships provides recurring, contractually backed cash flows and backlog visibility. This diversification lowers revenue volatility and supports multi-year project pipelines.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
A 43% drop in free cash flow growth despite earnings strength signals weakening cash generation. If persistent, lower FCF growth can constrain reinvestment, dividends and debt service capacity, forcing reliance on external financing for growth or working capital.
Weak cash conversion
Low operating cash flow relative to net income shows earnings are not reliably turning into cash. Over months this raises liquidity risk when projects delay payments or receivables lengthen, increasing working capital needs and financing costs for normal operations.
Relatively low gross profit margin
A relatively weak gross margin amid strong net results implies tight project-level margins or high direct costs. This reduces buffer against input cost inflation and competitive pressure, making long-term margin sustainability reliant on improved cost control or pricing power.

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital. The company provides consultancy, strategy, advisory, engineering, design, project & program management and project delivery services for building and places, defence, industrial, power and renewables, and transportation and water markets; and operations, maintenance, and asset management solutions for various assets. It also offers services for clients across the nuclear life cycle from consultancy, engineering, procurement and construction management, field, technology, decommissioning, and waste management services, as well as spare parts; and new-build and full refurbishment services for reactors. In addition, the company is involved in installation of alternative current power substations, including expansions and electrification, notably through repetitive engineering, procurement and construction offerings for utilities, renewables and conventional generation, transportation, and data centers markets; and provision of lump-sum turnkey LSTK construction contracts for the mass transit projects. Further, it engages in developing projects, arranging financing, investing in equity, undertaking complex financial modeling, and managing its infrastructure investments, such as bridges and highways, mass transit systems, power facilities, energy infrastructure, water treatment plants, and social infrastructure. Additionally, it offers staff augmentation services. The company was formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and changed its name to AtkinsRéalis in September 2023. AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkinsRealis generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on service delivery. The company earns money by charging clients for project management, engineering, and consulting services on a fee-for-service basis. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with governmental agencies for infrastructure projects, private sector contracts related to construction management and environmental consulting, and specialized advisory services for sustainability initiatives. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other firms in the construction and engineering sectors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to secure larger projects and diversify its service offerings.

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong growth in certain areas like Nuclear and capital allocation, while facing challenges in Engineering Services with delays and reduced growth outlook in USLA and EMEA segments. The balance of positive and negative aspects suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog Achieved
AtkinsRéalis reached a record high backlog of $21 billion, driven primarily by demand in Engineering Services and Nuclear.
Strong Nuclear Growth
Nuclear revenue organically grew 56% to a quarterly record high of $567 million, with backlog increasing 223% year-over-year.
Successful Capital Allocation Activities
The company closed the acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, and completed the sale of its interest in Highway 407, resulting in total proceeds of approximately $2.6 billion. They also paid down $900 million in debt and repurchased 9 million shares.
Positive EPS and EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EPS increased by 59% to $0.78 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment increased 21% to $246 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineering Services Regions Revenue
Engineering Services Regions revenue organically declined 1% to $1.9 billion, with a revised outlook for organic growth in 2025 now expected to be mid-single-digit percentage.
Challenges in USLA and EMEA Segments
Due to lower-than-expected revenue growth in the USLA and EMEA segments, the 2025 Engineering Services Regions revenue organic growth outlook was decreased.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow stood at negative $163 million for the quarter, mainly due to higher working capital usage.
Delays in Major Projects
Delays or termination of a handful of major projects in EMEA and the USLA regions impacted the first half of the year.
Company Guidance
In the AtkinsRéalis Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance with a 15% increase in services revenue, reaching $2.6 billion, and a record high total backlog of $21 billion. Notably, Nuclear revenue saw a significant 56% organic growth to $567 million, while Linxon grew by 11%. Adjusted EBIT for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment rose by 21% to $246 million. The company adjusted its 2025 revenue outlook, increasing expectations for the Nuclear segment but lowering projections for the Engineering Services Regions due to lower growth in the USLA and EMEA segments. Capital allocation included a $2.6 billion acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, a $900 million debt repayment, and a $800 million share repurchase, leaving the company net cash positive. Looking forward, AtkinsRéalis plans to focus on organic and inorganic growth, particularly through strategic acquisitions in high-growth markets such as transport, water, and nuclear services.

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AtkinsRealis demonstrates solid growth and profitability with stable revenue and profit margins. The company manages leverage effectively, but cash flow efficiency needs improvement to support ongoing operations and growth.
Income Statement
AtkinsRealis has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.54%. The gross profit margin is stable at around 8.71%, and the net profit margin has improved to 3.09% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the company needs to maintain this trajectory to ensure long-term profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.56 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is at 8.40%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Continued focus on reducing debt could enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains positive, but free cash flow has declined slightly by 3.33% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.11, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. Improving cash flow efficiency will be crucial for sustaining operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.57B9.57B8.53B7.47B7.29B6.92B
Gross Profit798.07M665.27M574.53M251.22M-122.17M-88.77M
EBITDA3.33B693.40M673.37M283.59M383.82M-14.32M
Net Income2.59B283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M-965.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.38B11.29B10.28B9.46B9.88B10.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B679.01M486.63M599.35M628.04M968.40M
Total Debt1.32B2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B2.50B
Total Liabilities6.78B7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B7.77B
Stockholders Equity5.53B3.77B3.28B2.87B2.97B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.57M365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M45.66M
Operating Cash Flow371.00M525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M121.48M
Investing Cash Flow2.09B70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M-185.12M
Financing Cash Flow-2.02B-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M-190.43M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.97
Price Trends
50DMA
90.03
Positive
100DMA
94.03
Negative
200DMA
89.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.80
Negative
RSI
52.89
Neutral
STOCH
60.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.13, above the 50-day MA of 90.03, and above the 200-day MA of 89.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$33.57B38.2111.21%0.60%18.85%29.60%
71
Outperform
C$15.18B6.0956.38%0.09%13.97%715.65%
70
Outperform
C$15.52B31.7815.96%0.67%11.73%41.17%
69
Neutral
C$1.64B17.5221.68%2.88%6.26%0.52%
66
Neutral
$2.42B29.6822.05%0.99%13.02%52.88%
65
Neutral
C$2.02B237.900.92%2.38%25.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
90.97
19.00
26.40%
TSE:STN
Stantec
134.70
25.27
23.09%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
74.91
38.72
107.02%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
31.07
6.98
28.97%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
29.69
6.56
28.36%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
256.21
17.22
7.21%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a 15% increase in total revenue and a 68% rise in diluted earnings per share from PS&PM compared to the previous year. The company achieved a record high backlog of $21 billion, reflecting a 20% increase from the end of 2024. The acquisition of C2AE is part of their strategy to expand in the U.S. market, positioning AtkinsRéalis to capitalize on growing demand for their services. The company’s strong results underscore its ability to grow and operate efficiently, driven by significant growth in its engineering and nuclear segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Hold with a C$98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025