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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$105.00
▲(9.99% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (stronger revenue/profitability and lower leverage) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are mixed cash-flow conversion and only neutral-to-weak technical momentum, which temper confidence in near-term performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line growth across 2022–2024 into the TTM suggests improving market demand and scale for AtkinsRéalis' services. Steadier revenue underpins recurring fee opportunities, better utilization and supports reinvestment in capabilities across multi-year programs and bids.
Improved Balance Sheet
Meaningfully lower leverage and an expanded equity base increase financial flexibility for bidding, absorbing project timing swings, and funding strategic investments. A healthier capital structure reduces refinancing risk and bolsters resilience through infrastructure investment cycles.
Backlog & Sector Strength (Nuclear)
Notable backlog and growth in nuclear/Linxon work provide multi-year revenue visibility and higher-margin, specialized project opportunities. Exposure to large, long-duration public/energy programs creates structural demand and higher barriers to entry versus generic engineering work.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Cash Conversion
Irregular operating and free cash flow history indicates working-capital swings and timing effects that can strain liquidity when project receipts lag. Persistent conversion variability raises execution risk and can limit the firm's ability to sustainably self-fund growth or cushion downturns.
Profitability Volatility
Earnings and margins have swung materially across periods, implying sensitivity to project mix, cost overruns, or one-offs. This volatility reduces predictability of cash generation and returns, complicating long-term planning, investor confidence, and performance-based contract pricing.
Regional / Execution Risks
Operational exposure to weaker regions and segments creates concentrated execution risk: localized public spending or competitive pressure can depress revenue and margins. Reliance on specific geographies or sectors makes diversified, stable growth harder to sustain over cycles.

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital. The company provides consultancy, strategy, advisory, engineering, design, project & program management and project delivery services for building and places, defence, industrial, power and renewables, and transportation and water markets; and operations, maintenance, and asset management solutions for various assets. It also offers services for clients across the nuclear life cycle from consultancy, engineering, procurement and construction management, field, technology, decommissioning, and waste management services, as well as spare parts; and new-build and full refurbishment services for reactors. In addition, the company is involved in installation of alternative current power substations, including expansions and electrification, notably through repetitive engineering, procurement and construction offerings for utilities, renewables and conventional generation, transportation, and data centers markets; and provision of lump-sum turnkey LSTK construction contracts for the mass transit projects. Further, it engages in developing projects, arranging financing, investing in equity, undertaking complex financial modeling, and managing its infrastructure investments, such as bridges and highways, mass transit systems, power facilities, energy infrastructure, water treatment plants, and social infrastructure. Additionally, it offers staff augmentation services. The company was formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and changed its name to AtkinsRéalis in September 2023. AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkinsRealis generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on service delivery. The company earns money by charging clients for project management, engineering, and consulting services on a fee-for-service basis. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with governmental agencies for infrastructure projects, private sector contracts related to construction management and environmental consulting, and specialized advisory services for sustainability initiatives. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other firms in the construction and engineering sectors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to secure larger projects and diversify its service offerings.

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong growth in certain areas like Nuclear and capital allocation, while facing challenges in Engineering Services with delays and reduced growth outlook in USLA and EMEA segments. The balance of positive and negative aspects suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog Achieved
AtkinsRéalis reached a record high backlog of $21 billion, driven primarily by demand in Engineering Services and Nuclear.
Strong Nuclear Growth
Nuclear revenue organically grew 56% to a quarterly record high of $567 million, with backlog increasing 223% year-over-year.
Successful Capital Allocation Activities
The company closed the acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, and completed the sale of its interest in Highway 407, resulting in total proceeds of approximately $2.6 billion. They also paid down $900 million in debt and repurchased 9 million shares.
Positive EPS and EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EPS increased by 59% to $0.78 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment increased 21% to $246 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineering Services Regions Revenue
Engineering Services Regions revenue organically declined 1% to $1.9 billion, with a revised outlook for organic growth in 2025 now expected to be mid-single-digit percentage.
Challenges in USLA and EMEA Segments
Due to lower-than-expected revenue growth in the USLA and EMEA segments, the 2025 Engineering Services Regions revenue organic growth outlook was decreased.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow stood at negative $163 million for the quarter, mainly due to higher working capital usage.
Delays in Major Projects
Delays or termination of a handful of major projects in EMEA and the USLA regions impacted the first half of the year.
Company Guidance
In the AtkinsRéalis Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance with a 15% increase in services revenue, reaching $2.6 billion, and a record high total backlog of $21 billion. Notably, Nuclear revenue saw a significant 56% organic growth to $567 million, while Linxon grew by 11%. Adjusted EBIT for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment rose by 21% to $246 million. The company adjusted its 2025 revenue outlook, increasing expectations for the Nuclear segment but lowering projections for the Engineering Services Regions due to lower growth in the USLA and EMEA segments. Capital allocation included a $2.6 billion acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, a $900 million debt repayment, and a $800 million share repurchase, leaving the company net cash positive. Looking forward, AtkinsRéalis plans to focus on organic and inorganic growth, particularly through strategic acquisitions in high-growth markets such as transport, water, and nuclear services.

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround: revenue and profitability have improved materially into TTM, and leverage has declined, boosting flexibility. The main offsets are uneven earnings/margins across years and mixed cash-flow quality (inconsistent FCF historically and weak cash conversion vs. earnings in TTM), which raises execution and working-capital risk. KPI insights support strength in Nuclear and Linxon growth/backlog, but note softness in some Engineering Services regions.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2022–2024 and is up further in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating improving scale and demand. Profitability has also improved markedly versus 2020–2022, with much stronger earnings and margins in 2023–2024 and especially in TTM. The main drawback is margin volatility across the cycle (losses/very low profitability in earlier years), which suggests results can be sensitive to project mix, costs, or one-time items.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully, with debt-to-equity declining from higher levels in 2022–2024 to a much lower level in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which increases financial flexibility. Equity has expanded over time, supporting a stronger capital base. A watch item is that returns on equity swing widely across years (including negative in 2020 and extremely high in TTM), implying earnings can be uneven and potentially influenced by non-recurring factors.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation is positive overall, with operating cash flow and free cash flow positive in most periods and a sharp free-cash-flow rebound in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, cash flow quality is mixed: cash flow has been inconsistent (negative operating/free cash flow in 2022 and negative free cash flow in 2023), and recent operating cash flow covers only a small portion of earnings in TTM, suggesting working-capital swings or timing effects are materially impacting cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.96B9.57B8.53B7.47B7.29B
Gross Profit822.29M665.27M574.53M251.22M-122.17M
EBITDA948.97M693.40M673.37M283.59M383.82M
Net Income2.63B283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.53B11.29B10.28B9.46B9.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B679.01M486.63M599.35M628.04M
Total Debt1.72B2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B
Total Liabilities6.96B7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B
Stockholders Equity5.50B3.77B3.28B2.87B2.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow284.70M365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M
Operating Cash Flow461.28M525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M
Investing Cash Flow1.96B70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M
Financing Cash Flow-1.93B-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price95.46
Price Trends
50DMA
95.13
Positive
100DMA
93.59
Positive
200DMA
94.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
51.75
Neutral
STOCH
84.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.64, above the 50-day MA of 95.13, and above the 200-day MA of 94.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$15.94B5.7256.38%0.09%13.97%715.65%
70
Outperform
C$31.68B33.6711.21%0.60%18.85%29.60%
69
Neutral
C$1.80B13.1821.68%2.88%6.26%0.52%
66
Neutral
C$14.72B30.8215.59%0.67%11.73%41.17%
66
Neutral
$2.50B12.9522.05%0.99%13.02%52.88%
65
Neutral
C$2.39B9.420.92%2.38%25.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
95.46
27.88
41.27%
TSE:STN
Stantec
126.46
7.55
6.35%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
71.92
33.46
87.01%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
37.33
15.81
73.49%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
32.23
11.69
56.88%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
227.68
-19.95
-8.06%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AtkinsRéalis Posts Double-Digit 2025 Growth and Record Backlog on Nuclear and Engineering Demand
Positive
Feb 27, 2026

AtkinsRéalis reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with total annual revenue rising 14% to $11.0 billion and services revenue up 16%, driven by robust demand in its Engineering Services Regions and Nuclear divisions. Segment Adjusted EBIT grew 19%, diluted EPS from professional services and project management rose sharply, and net cash from operating activities reached $461 million.

The company ended 2025 with a record $21.2 billion backlog, reflecting sustained demand and particularly strong nuclear orders, while also achieving margin expansion in core segments. Management highlighted progress on its Delivering Excellence, Driving Growth strategy, including three acquisitions in the U.S. and Australia to support its Land and Expand approach, and the substantial completion of Toronto’s Eglinton rail project, reinforcing its positioning in large-scale infrastructure and nuclear markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026