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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$106.00
▲(10.93% Upside)
AtkinsRealis demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive profitability and a solid balance sheet, though cash flow management needs improvement. The stock appears undervalued based on its low P/E ratio. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could pose short-term risks.
Positive Factors
High reported profitability
Sustained high net profit and rising EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate durable operational efficiency and pricing power across projects. This supports internal funding for bid investments, R&D and sustainability services, and provides a buffer versus cyclical revenue swings in infrastructure work.
Low leverage and strong equity returns
A low debt-to-equity ratio gives the company financial flexibility to pursue large, capital-intensive projects or M&A without stressing solvency. Exceptionally high ROE suggests efficient capital deployment, supporting reinvestment and long-term shareholder value if sustained by core operations.
Diversified, contract-based revenue model
A fee-for-service model with long-term public-sector contracts and partnerships reduces revenue volatility and underpins backlog visibility. Diversification across public and private projects and sustainability advisory increases resilience to single-client or sector shocks and supports steady pipeline.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
A steep drop in free cash flow growth materially weakens the firm's ability to self-fund projects, pay dividends, or build cash reserves. For a project-driven engineering firm, reduced FCF can constrain bidding capacity and increase dependence on external financing for working capital and capex.
Weak conversion of earnings into cash
Low operating cash flow relative to reported net income signals potential working-capital friction or revenue recognition timing differences. In construction/engineering this elevates liquidity risk on long-duration contracts and may necessitate higher short-term borrowing to fund project execution.
Relatively low gross profit margin
A comparatively low gross margin points to cost intensity or limited pricing power on core services. Structural pressure on gross margins makes the business more vulnerable to rising input or labor costs and reduces scope to absorb project overruns without harming long-term profitability.

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital. The company provides consultancy, strategy, advisory, engineering, design, project & program management and project delivery services for building and places, defence, industrial, power and renewables, and transportation and water markets; and operations, maintenance, and asset management solutions for various assets. It also offers services for clients across the nuclear life cycle from consultancy, engineering, procurement and construction management, field, technology, decommissioning, and waste management services, as well as spare parts; and new-build and full refurbishment services for reactors. In addition, the company is involved in installation of alternative current power substations, including expansions and electrification, notably through repetitive engineering, procurement and construction offerings for utilities, renewables and conventional generation, transportation, and data centers markets; and provision of lump-sum turnkey LSTK construction contracts for the mass transit projects. Further, it engages in developing projects, arranging financing, investing in equity, undertaking complex financial modeling, and managing its infrastructure investments, such as bridges and highways, mass transit systems, power facilities, energy infrastructure, water treatment plants, and social infrastructure. Additionally, it offers staff augmentation services. The company was formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and changed its name to AtkinsRéalis in September 2023. AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkinsRealis generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on service delivery. The company earns money by charging clients for project management, engineering, and consulting services on a fee-for-service basis. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with governmental agencies for infrastructure projects, private sector contracts related to construction management and environmental consulting, and specialized advisory services for sustainability initiatives. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other firms in the construction and engineering sectors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to secure larger projects and diversify its service offerings.

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong growth in certain areas like Nuclear and capital allocation, while facing challenges in Engineering Services with delays and reduced growth outlook in USLA and EMEA segments. The balance of positive and negative aspects suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog Achieved
AtkinsRéalis reached a record high backlog of $21 billion, driven primarily by demand in Engineering Services and Nuclear.
Strong Nuclear Growth
Nuclear revenue organically grew 56% to a quarterly record high of $567 million, with backlog increasing 223% year-over-year.
Successful Capital Allocation Activities
The company closed the acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, and completed the sale of its interest in Highway 407, resulting in total proceeds of approximately $2.6 billion. They also paid down $900 million in debt and repurchased 9 million shares.
Positive EPS and EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EPS increased by 59% to $0.78 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment increased 21% to $246 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineering Services Regions Revenue
Engineering Services Regions revenue organically declined 1% to $1.9 billion, with a revised outlook for organic growth in 2025 now expected to be mid-single-digit percentage.
Challenges in USLA and EMEA Segments
Due to lower-than-expected revenue growth in the USLA and EMEA segments, the 2025 Engineering Services Regions revenue organic growth outlook was decreased.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow stood at negative $163 million for the quarter, mainly due to higher working capital usage.
Delays in Major Projects
Delays or termination of a handful of major projects in EMEA and the USLA regions impacted the first half of the year.
Company Guidance
In the AtkinsRéalis Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance with a 15% increase in services revenue, reaching $2.6 billion, and a record high total backlog of $21 billion. Notably, Nuclear revenue saw a significant 56% organic growth to $567 million, while Linxon grew by 11%. Adjusted EBIT for the AtkinsRéalis Services segment rose by 21% to $246 million. The company adjusted its 2025 revenue outlook, increasing expectations for the Nuclear segment but lowering projections for the Engineering Services Regions due to lower growth in the USLA and EMEA segments. Capital allocation included a $2.6 billion acquisition of a majority stake in David Evans, a $900 million debt repayment, and a $800 million share repurchase, leaving the company net cash positive. Looking forward, AtkinsRéalis plans to focus on organic and inorganic growth, particularly through strategic acquisitions in high-growth markets such as transport, water, and nuclear services.

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AtkinsRealis shows strong revenue and profit growth with high profitability metrics and a solid balance sheet. However, cash flow management is a concern due to declining free cash flow growth and low operating cash flow ratios.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AtkinsRealis has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 3.69% increase in TTM, supported by a robust net profit margin of 24.94%. The company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins significantly over the years, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively low, suggesting potential cost management challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in TTM, reflecting strong financial leverage management. Return on equity is exceptionally high at 61.63%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, but the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 43.28% in TTM, which could pose liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, indicating some level of cash generation efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.57B9.57B8.53B7.47B7.29B6.92B
Gross Profit798.07M665.27M574.53M251.22M-122.17M-88.77M
EBITDA3.33B693.40M673.37M283.59M383.82M-14.32M
Net Income2.59B283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M-965.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.38B11.29B10.28B9.46B9.88B10.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B679.01M486.63M599.35M628.04M968.40M
Total Debt1.32B2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B2.50B
Total Liabilities6.78B7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B7.77B
Stockholders Equity5.53B3.77B3.28B2.87B2.97B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.57M365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M45.66M
Operating Cash Flow371.00M525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M121.48M
Investing Cash Flow2.09B70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M-185.12M
Financing Cash Flow-2.02B-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M-190.43M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price95.56
Price Trends
50DMA
90.67
Positive
100DMA
94.28
Positive
200DMA
91.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.66
Positive
RSI
54.31
Neutral
STOCH
60.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.15, above the 50-day MA of 90.67, and above the 200-day MA of 91.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$35.49B39.2511.21%0.60%18.85%29.60%
71
Outperform
C$15.72B6.3956.38%0.09%13.97%715.65%
70
Outperform
$15.39B31.8415.96%0.67%11.73%41.17%
69
Neutral
C$1.67B17.7921.68%2.88%6.26%0.52%
66
Neutral
$2.60B30.5022.05%0.99%13.02%52.88%
65
Neutral
C$2.26B270.290.92%2.38%25.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
95.56
23.72
33.02%
TSE:STN
Stantec
134.94
26.77
24.75%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
76.99
38.48
99.94%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
35.30
12.47
54.61%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
30.16
7.65
34.00%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
263.23
18.11
7.39%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a 15% increase in total revenue and a 68% rise in diluted earnings per share from PS&PM compared to the previous year. The company achieved a record high backlog of $21 billion, reflecting a 20% increase from the end of 2024. The acquisition of C2AE is part of their strategy to expand in the U.S. market, positioning AtkinsRéalis to capitalize on growing demand for their services. The company’s strong results underscore its ability to grow and operate efficiently, driven by significant growth in its engineering and nuclear segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Hold with a C$98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025