Suncor Energy (SU) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $75.49B
• Dividend Yield: 3.63%
• Average Volume (3M): 6.23M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.05
• Revenue Growth: -3.08%
• EPS Growth: -31.48%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 15,010
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 1.48
• Shares Outstanding: 1,201,266,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,354,475
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,229,822
• PEG Ratio: -0.43
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.47
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.29
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.09
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.64
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.84
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.45
• 1Y Price Target: $65.42
• Price Target Upside: 4.26% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: C$71.00 ▲(13.15% Upside)

Suncor Energy's overall stock score reflects its strong operational efficiency, solid financial position, and positive technical indicators. The upward revisions in guidance and robust shareholder returns further enhance its attractiveness. While valuation is fair, the company's ability to maintain strong performance amid market challenges supports a favorable outlook.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Record production and refining throughput demonstrate Suncor's operational efficiency, enhancing its competitive position and long-term profitability.

Cost Management

Effective cost management, with flat operating costs amid higher production, strengthens Suncor's ability to sustain margins and invest in growth.

Shareholder Returns

Increasing dividends and consistent share buybacks reflect Suncor's commitment to returning value to shareholders, supporting investor confidence.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A negative revenue growth rate indicates declining sales, which could challenge Suncor's ability to sustain long-term growth if not addressed.

Free Cash Flow Decline

Declining free cash flow growth may limit Suncor's capacity to fund new projects and investments, potentially impacting future expansion.

Profit Margin Pressure

Decreasing net profit margins suggest pressure on profitability, which could affect Suncor's financial health if the trend continues.

Suncor Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Suncor Energy Inc. is a Canadian integrated energy company based in Calgary, Alberta. It is primarily involved in the exploration, production, and refining of oil and natural gas, as well as the marketing of petroleum products. Suncor operates in several segments, including Oil Sands, Exploration and Production, Refining and Marketing, and Renewable Energy. The company's core products include crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products such as gasoline and diesel fuel. Suncor is also committed to sustainable energy practices and has invested in renewable energy projects.

How the Company Makes Money

Suncor Energy generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products. The Oil Sands segment, which includes extraction and production of bitumen, is a significant revenue driver, as the company extracts heavy crude oil from the oil sands in Alberta. The Exploration and Production segment contributes further by exploring and producing conventional oil and gas outside of the oil sands. Suncor's Refining and Marketing segment refines crude oil into various fuels and sells them through its extensive retail network and commercial channels, providing a steady income stream. Additionally, Suncor has entered partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in its oil sands operations, to share costs and increase production efficiency, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company is also investing in renewable energy, which may contribute to future earnings as the global energy landscape shifts.

Suncor Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Suncor Energy demonstrates strong profitability margins and a stable balance sheet. However, declining revenue and free cash flow growth are concerns. The company maintains efficient operations and a balanced leverage position, but focus on revenue growth and cash flow improvement is crucial.

Income Statement

Suncor Energy's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of over 40% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased compared to previous years, reflecting some pressure on profitability. The revenue growth rate is negative in the TTM period, suggesting a decline in sales, which could be a concern if it continues. Overall, the company maintains solid EBIT and EBITDA margins, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.33 in TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity remains healthy, although slightly lower than previous years, suggesting consistent shareholder value creation. The equity ratio is strong, highlighting a solid asset base supported by equity.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, which could impact future investments. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	50.16B	50.69B	49.09B	58.34B	39.13B	24.66B
Gross Profit	21.37B	19.85B	19.54B	24.83B	15.28B	4.30B
EBITDA	15.06B	16.40B	18.33B	22.28B	12.63B	2.55B
Net Income	5.26B	6.02B	8.29B	9.08B	4.12B	-4.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	89.47B	89.78B	88.54B	84.62B	83.74B	84.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.94B	3.48B	1.73B	1.98B	2.21B	1.89B
Total Debt	14.45B	14.69B	15.80B	16.03B	18.78B	22.14B
Total Liabilities	44.31B	45.27B	45.26B	45.25B	47.13B	48.86B
Stockholders Equity	45.16B	44.51B	43.28B	39.37B	36.61B	35.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.04B	9.48B	6.52B	10.56B	7.21B	-1.25B
Operating Cash Flow	13.94B	15.96B	12.34B	15.68B	11.76B	2.67B
Investing Cash Flow	-6.21B	-6.47B	-6.51B	-4.79B	-3.98B	-4.52B
Financing Cash Flow	-7.83B	-7.88B	-5.99B	-11.23B	-7.46B	1.79B

Suncor Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 62.75
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.50, above the 50-day MA of 58.48, and above the 200-day MA of 53.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SU.

Suncor Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CNQ	81 Outperform	$98.51B	14.91	16.17%	5.84%	8.06%	-10.64%
SU	79 Outperform	$75.49B	14.69	11.41%	3.63%	-3.08%	-31.48%
IMO	77 Outperform	C$68.32B	17.58	16.52%	2.01%	-6.18%	-14.06%
TRP	74 Outperform	$78.56B	23.14	12.96%	4.44%	-3.98%	-33.45%
CVE	71 Outperform	$47.62B	14.42	10.65%	3.79%	-9.17%	-12.97%
PPL	66 Neutral	$31.48B	19.31	10.22%	5.13%	2.81%	-14.92%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

Suncor Energy Corporate Events

Suncor Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results

Suncor Energy, a leading integrated energy company based in Canada, is engaged in oil sands development, production, and upgrading, as well as offshore oil production and petroleum refining. The company also operates a retail and wholesale distribution network under the Petro-Canada brand, including a coast-to-coast network of fast-charging EV stations.

Suncor Energy Achieves Record Third-Quarter Results in 2025

Suncor Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, achieving record refinery throughput and upstream production. The company generated $3.8 billion in adjusted funds from operations and returned over $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Suncor’s performance reflects its commitment to operational excellence and a robust integrated business model, leading to increased shareholder value and reliable cash flow generation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SU) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncor Energy stock, see the TSE:SU Stock Forecast page.

Suncor Energy Boosts Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Performance

Suncor Energy has announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.60 per common share, reflecting the company’s strong operational improvements and financial performance. This decision underscores the Board’s confidence in Suncor’s ability to generate value for shareholders through enhanced free funds flow and share repurchases, with dividends payable on December 24, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SU) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncor Energy stock, see the TSE:SU Stock Forecast page.

Suncor Energy to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results

Suncor Energy announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, followed by a webcast on November 5, 2025, to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, impacting its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SU) stock is a Buy with a C$60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncor Energy stock, see the TSE:SU Stock Forecast page.

Suncor Energy Announces CFO Retirement and Leadership Changes

On October 14, 2025, Suncor Energy announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Kris Smith, effective December 31, 2025. Kris Smith, who has been with the company for over 25 years, will transition to an executive advisory role on November 1, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition. Troy Little, currently the Senior Vice President of External Affairs, will succeed him as CFO, bringing extensive financial experience and strong investment community relationships. Additionally, Adam Albeldawi will expand his role as Chief Human Resources Officer to include responsibilities for Investor Relations, Government Affairs, and Public Affairs. These leadership changes are part of Suncor’s strategic succession planning to maintain its industry-leading performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SU) stock is a Buy with a C$65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncor Energy stock, see the TSE:SU Stock Forecast page.

Suncor Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance

Suncor Energy, a leading integrated energy company in Canada, is involved in oil sands development, offshore oil production, petroleum refining, and retail distribution. In its second quarter of 2025, Suncor reported strong operational performance with record upstream production and refinery throughput. The company generated $2.7 billion in adjusted funds from operations and returned $1.45 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Key highlights include a record upstream production of 808,000 barrels per day and refinery throughput of 442,000 barrels per day. Despite a decrease in net earnings to $1.134 billion due to lower upstream price realizations, Suncor maintained consistent operating expenses. Looking ahead, Suncor has reduced its 2025 capital guidance, reflecting strong execution and capital discipline, positioning the company for a robust second half of the year.

Suncor Energy’s Record-Breaking Earnings Call Highlights

Suncor Energy’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s operational successes and robust shareholder returns. Despite challenges such as crude oil price volatility and the impacts of turnaround activities, the company demonstrated strong performance and maintained an optimistic outlook.