Saturn Oil & Gas (SOIL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $485.23M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 651.55K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.20
• Revenue Growth: 36.69%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: CA
• Employees: 342
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.46
• Shares Outstanding: 193,318,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 346,545
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 651,546
• PEG Ratio: -0.08
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.49
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.42
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.52
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.19
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.18
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.81
• 1Y Price Target: $4.00
• Price Target Upside: 57.67% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: C$3.00 ▲(18.11% Upside)

Saturn Oil & Gas is performing well with strong financial metrics and an undervalued stock price. The positive earnings call further boosts confidence, although high leverage and potential cost management issues remain concerns. Technical indicators suggest strong momentum but caution due to overbought signals.

Positive Factors

Asset Growth

SOIL's reserves increased year-over-year, considerably boosting its asset base.

Financial Strategy

The company has hedged the FX rate on its US$-denominated debt, effectively fixing its payments in CAD and offsetting the carried amount of the notes on its balance sheet.

Production Performance

Strong well performance expected to drive record production over 41,000 boe/d in Q4, beating previous forecasts and company guidance.

Negative Factors

Debt Level

The company exited Q4/24 with significant net debt of $860.2M.

Saturn Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Saturn Oil & Gas (SOIL) is a Canadian-based oil and gas exploration and production company focused on the development of its significant asset base in the Williston Basin. The company specializes in the acquisition, exploration, and production of crude oil, leveraging advanced drilling techniques and technologies to optimize resource extraction. SOIL is committed to sustainable practices and aims to enhance operational efficiencies while maximizing shareholder value through its strategic initiatives.

How the Company Makes Money

Saturn Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company profits from the sale of these hydrocarbons in various markets, benefiting from fluctuating oil and gas prices. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced oil and gas, royalties from production, and potentially, revenue from partnerships or joint ventures in exploration projects. Additionally, efficient operational practices and cost management play a significant role in enhancing profit margins. The company's strategic focus on high-potential areas, such as the Williston Basin, positions it to capitalize on favorable market conditions and increases in demand for energy resources.

Saturn Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Saturn Oil & Gas demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a net profit margin of 15.96% and an EBIT margin of 30.69%. The company's balance sheet indicates effective leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11, although there is moderate equity ratio risk. Cash flow management is robust with an 85% increase in free cash flow, though capital expenditures remain high.

Income Statement

Saturn Oil & Gas shows robust revenue growth with a significant increase from $337M in 2022 to $971M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 57.1% in TTM 2025, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly to 15.96% in TTM 2025, reflecting increasing profitability. The EBIT margin also improved to 30.69%. Overall, the company demonstrates strong growth and improving profitability, though historical volatility in net income is noted.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.11 in TTM 2025, indicating a balanced capital structure that leverages debt effectively. Return on equity (ROE) improved to 18.48%, showing effective utilization of equity in generating profits. However, the equity ratio is moderate at 38.29%, suggesting a fair level of financial stability but potential risks if the debt levels increase further.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow grew impressively by 85% from 2024 to TTM 2025, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.63 demonstrates efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, reflecting a healthy ability to convert earnings into free cash. The company shows strong cash flow management, though capital expenditure remains substantial.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.03B	920.79M	624.83M	337.19M	98.42M	7.16M
Gross Profit	560.59M	577.69M	270.83M	247.64M	56.03M	5.28M
EBITDA	674.19M	405.17M	586.73M	144.85M	-40.28M	5.39M
Net Income	208.16M	54.11M	290.62M	74.81M	-65.06M	-7.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.10B	2.16B	1.34B	582.91M	221.11M	40.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	49.25M	48.42M	26.46M	18.74M	8.88M	613.00K
Total Debt	836.54M	951.84M	458.01M	245.84M	94.95M	29.94M
Total Liabilities	1.17B	1.36B	726.55M	444.39M	251.41M	36.71M
Stockholders Equity	929.57M	803.97M	608.66M	138.52M	-30.31M	3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	167.47M	65.62M	153.41M	13.21M	-9.98M	-277.00K
Operating Cash Flow	446.41M	311.94M	283.99M	102.31M	-1.28M	851.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-314.94M	-749.53M	-576.40M	-318.24M	-87.86M	-1.35M
Financing Cash Flow	-163.45M	459.55M	308.62M	223.76M	90.99M	-38.00K

Saturn Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.54
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SOIL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.41, above the 50-day MA of 2.23, and above the 200-day MA of 2.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SOIL.

Saturn Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SOIL	80 Outperform	$485.23M	2.40	24.71%	―	36.69%	―
LGN	70 Outperform	C$427.66M	17.79	9.82%	―	42.95%	4522.22%
KEI	69 Neutral	C$276.50M	10.28	10.49%	―	9.28%	37.20%
FEC	63 Neutral	$425.96M	27.41	-28.80%	4.22%	-3.16%	-537.24%
Sector *	57 Neutral	HK$79.99B	2.16	1.58%	5.44%	0.06%	-49.68%
GASX	56 Neutral	C$260.73M	―	-80.24%	―	73.53%	48.09%
TNZ	53 Neutral	C$530.53M	3.10	91.45%	―	65.41%	573.12%

Saturn Oil & Gas Corporate Events

Saturn Oil & Gas Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Significant Debt Reduction

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announced its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a significant net debt reduction of $119 million from the previous quarter, driven by strategic debt repayments and favorable foreign exchange rates. The company achieved record free funds flow of $93 million, bolstered by strong production performance and cost management, which supports its financial flexibility and long-term sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas to Announce Q2 2025 Results and Host Conference Call

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has announced that it will release its Q2 2025 financial results on July 30, 2025, after market close. A conference call and webcast will follow on July 31, 2025, providing an overview of the results and a Q&A session with the leadership team. This announcement is part of Saturn’s ongoing efforts to engage with investors and stakeholders, reflecting its commitment to transparency and strategic growth in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Buy with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Completes Substantial Issuer Bid and Plans to Resume Share Buybacks

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announced the results of its substantial issuer bid, purchasing 1,608,182 common shares at $2.15 per share, totaling approximately $3.46 million. This purchase represents about 0.8% of the company’s outstanding shares. The company plans to resume its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) to continue purchasing shares, aiming to maximize its daily purchase limit. This strategic move is expected to enhance shareholder value and reflects Saturn’s ongoing commitment to efficient capital management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Expands Credit Facility to Bolster Asset Development

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has announced the renewal and expansion of its $150 million syndicated credit facility, which now includes an uncommitted accordion feature allowing for a $100 million increase, bringing the potential total to $250 million. This move reflects Saturn’s strong financial position and provides the company with the flexibility to continue developing its light oil-weighted assets, supporting its strategic blueprint and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Launches Substantial Issuer Bid to Enhance Shareholder Value

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has launched a substantial issuer bid to purchase up to 7,000,000 common shares for cancellation at CAD$2.15 per share, totaling up to $15,050,000. This initiative is part of Saturn’s strategy to maximize shareholder value, supplementing previous share repurchases and debt repayments. The company has returned over $34 million to shareholders since August 2024 and repaid approximately $91 million of debt. Saturn plans to continue exploring capital return initiatives to enhance equity value, although future actions depend on business results and strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Announces Substantial Issuer Bid to Enhance Shareholder Value

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has announced its intention to commence a substantial issuer bid, offering $2.15 per common share, which represents a 20% premium over the current share price. This initiative is part of Saturn’s strategy to return capital to shareholders, with a potential total of $15 million to be returned, bringing total share repurchases to approximately $34 million since August 2024. The company aims to enhance shareholder value through this bid, supported by cost savings and production outperformance, while maintaining financial flexibility for future capital return initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. Reports Successful AGM Voting Results

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announced the successful voting results from their Annual General Meeting, where all proposed matters were approved. The meeting saw 74.12% of the company’s outstanding shares voted, and all eight director nominees were elected with strong support. The appointment of KPMG LLP as the auditor was also confirmed. This approval reflects shareholder confidence in Saturn’s strategic direction and governance, reinforcing its position in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.