Saturn Oil & Gas (SOIL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $393.85M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 150.02K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.22
• Revenue Growth: 37.66%
• EPS Growth: 782.26%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 342
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 48
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.19
• Shares Outstanding: 196,924,840
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 181,080
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 150,018
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.76
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.02
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $3.62
• Price Target Upside: 74.12% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: C$2.50 ▲(20.19%Upside)

Saturn Oil & Gas scores well overall due to its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, underscoring robust revenue growth and operational efficiency. Attractive valuation adds to the appeal, though technical indicators highlight caution due to overbought signals. The company's high net debt and oil price volatility remain significant risks.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

Q4/24 results beat expectations on lower operating expenses.

Production Performance

Strong well performance expected to drive record production over 41,000 boe/d in Q4, beating previous forecasts and company guidance.

Stock Valuation

The company's considerable discount to NAV presents compelling value.

Negative Factors

Debt Levels

The company exited Q4/24 with significant net debt of $860.2M.

Saturn Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of petroleum and natural gas resource deposits in Canada. It is involved in the exploration and development of light oil assets in the Oxbow area of Southeast Saskatchewan; Viking light oil assets in West-Central Saskatchewan; Cardium light oil assets in Central Alberta; Montney and Swan Hills light oil in North Alberta. Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Saturn Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's earnings are driven by its ability to efficiently extract and sell these resources at competitive market prices. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of oil and gas from its various properties and fields. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its production capabilities and expand its market reach. Additionally, fluctuations in global oil and gas prices, along with operational efficiencies, significantly influence Saturn Oil & Gas's revenue generation.

Saturn Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Saturn Oil & Gas demonstrates robust financial health with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The company has a strong gross profit margin and effective cost management, though attention is needed to manage capital expenditure and debt levels.

Income Statement

Saturn Oil & Gas shows robust revenue growth with a significant increase from $337M in 2022 to $971M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 57.1% in TTM 2025, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly to 15.96% in TTM 2025, reflecting increasing profitability. The EBIT margin also improved to 30.69%. Overall, the company demonstrates strong growth and improving profitability, though historical volatility in net income is noted.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.11 in TTM 2025, indicating a balanced capital structure that leverages debt effectively. Return on equity (ROE) improved to 18.48%, showing effective utilization of equity in generating profits. However, the equity ratio is moderate at 38.29%, suggesting a fair level of financial stability but potential risks if the debt levels increase further.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow grew impressively by 85% from 2024 to TTM 2025, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.63 demonstrates efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, reflecting a healthy ability to convert earnings into free cash. The company shows strong cash flow management, though capital expenditure remains substantial.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
970.72M	920.79M	624.83M	337.19M	98.42M	7.16M
	Gross Profit
554.08M	577.69M	270.83M	247.64M	56.03M	5.28M
	EBIT
297.93M	272.26M	254.95M	96.31M	-59.75M	1.03M
	EBITDA
567.37M	405.17M	586.73M	144.85M	-40.28M	5.39M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
154.91M	54.11M	290.62M	74.81M	-65.06M	-7.76M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
79.48M	48.42M	26.46M	18.74M	8.88M	613.00K
	Total Assets
2.19B	2.16B	1.34B	582.91M	221.11M	40.31M
	Total Debt
926.53M	951.84M	458.01M	245.84M	94.95M	29.94M
	Net Debt
847.05M	903.42M	431.55M	235.58M	92.54M	29.37M
	Total Liabilities
1.35B	1.36B	726.55M	444.39M	251.41M	36.71M
	Stockholders Equity
837.96M	803.97M	608.66M	138.52M	-30.31M	3.61M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
121.44M	65.62M	153.41M	13.21M	-9.98M	-277.00K
	Operating Cash Flow
407.09M	311.94M	283.99M	102.31M	-1.28M	851.00K
	Investing Cash Flow
-799.36M	-749.53M	-576.40M	-318.24M	-87.86M	-1.35M
	Financing Cash Flow
455.79M	459.55M	308.62M	223.76M	90.99M	-38.00K

Saturn Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.08
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SOIL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.81, above the 50-day MA of 1.67, and above the 200-day MA of 2.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SOIL.

Saturn Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SOIL	77 Outperform	$393.85M	2.58	22.02%	―	37.66%	782.26%
Sector *	58 Neutral	$7.37B	3.39	-4.49%	10.01%	0.82%	-49.15%
FECCF		$362.52M	30.14	0.67%	3.76%	―	―
KEI	74 Outperform	C$331.45M	12.09	11.09%	―	24.05%	44.00%
TNZ	67 Neutral	C$509.64M	187.11	-13.52%	―	-3.50%	-153.25%
LGN	64 Neutral	C$392.98M	47.76	2.74%	―	42.32%	―
GASX	54 Neutral	C$237.26M	―	-80.24%	―	73.53%	48.09%

Saturn Oil & Gas Corporate Events

Saturn Oil & Gas Launches Substantial Issuer Bid to Enhance Shareholder Value

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has launched a substantial issuer bid to purchase up to 7,000,000 common shares for cancellation at CAD$2.15 per share, totaling up to $15,050,000. This initiative is part of Saturn’s strategy to maximize shareholder value, supplementing previous share repurchases and debt repayments. The company has returned over $34 million to shareholders since August 2024 and repaid approximately $91 million of debt. Saturn plans to continue exploring capital return initiatives to enhance equity value, although future actions depend on business results and strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Announces Substantial Issuer Bid to Enhance Shareholder Value

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has announced its intention to commence a substantial issuer bid, offering $2.15 per common share, which represents a 20% premium over the current share price. This initiative is part of Saturn’s strategy to return capital to shareholders, with a potential total of $15 million to be returned, bringing total share repurchases to approximately $34 million since August 2024. The company aims to enhance shareholder value through this bid, supported by cost savings and production outperformance, while maintaining financial flexibility for future capital return initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. Reports Successful AGM Voting Results

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announced the successful voting results from their Annual General Meeting, where all proposed matters were approved. The meeting saw 74.12% of the company’s outstanding shares voted, and all eight director nominees were elected with strong support. The appointment of KPMG LLP as the auditor was also confirmed. This approval reflects shareholder confidence in Saturn’s strategic direction and governance, reinforcing its position in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SOIL) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Oil & Gas stock, see the TSE:SOIL Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Oil & Gas Achieves Record Production and Financial Growth in Q1 2025

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. reported record production and adjusted funds flow for the first quarter of 2025, with production reaching 41,680 boe/d and adjusted funds flow totaling $131.1 million. The company successfully reduced its net debt by $46.3 million and repurchased US$15 million of Senior Notes below par, enhancing its financial flexibility. Saturn’s strategic asset development and operational efficiencies have led to strong financial performance, positioning the company to continue executing its strategy amidst market volatility.

Saturn Oil & Gas Sets Date for Q1 2025 Financial Results Release

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has announced the release date for its Q1 2025 financial results, scheduled for May 7, 2025, after market close. The company will host a conference call and webcast on May 8, 2025, to discuss the results and engage with investors, analysts, and media. This announcement reflects Saturn’s ongoing transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Saturn Oil & Gas Exceeds Q1/25 Targets and Strengthens Financial Position

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announced a successful Q1/25 capital program, with well performance exceeding expectations by 20%, resulting in production volumes surpassing guidance estimates. The company has also accelerated debt repayment by repurchasing US$15 million in senior notes and continued its share buyback program, enhancing financial resilience and long-term value creation for stakeholders.

Saturn Oil & Gas to Participate in Virtual Investor Conference

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announced its participation in a virtual investor conference hosted by VirtualInvestorConferences.com on March 27, 2025. The event will feature a presentation by Saturn’s leadership and a live Q&A session, providing an opportunity for investors, analysts, and advisors to engage with the company. This participation is part of Saturn’s ongoing efforts to enhance investor engagement and communicate its strategic initiatives and operational progress.

Saturn Oil & Gas Achieves Record Production and Financial Success in 2024

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. reported record production and financial results for Q4 and the year ending 2024, with production volumes exceeding expectations and significant increases in adjusted funds flow and EBITDA. The company successfully integrated new assets, expanded drilling operations, and reduced operating costs, positioning itself well to navigate economic challenges while focusing on long-term value generation for shareholders.