Saturn Oil & Gas (SOIL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$429.40M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 344.24K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.22
• Revenue Growth: 24.36%
• EPS Growth: -55.40%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 342
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 188,332,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 290,814
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 344,241
• PEG Ratio: -0.08
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.49
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.42
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$5.50
• Price Target Upside: 89.17% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.68
• Revenue Forecast (FY): C$1.03B

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: C$3.00 ▲(3.09% Upside)

Saturn Oil & Gas receives a strong score due to its robust financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and attractive valuation. The company's ability to exceed production targets and manage costs effectively, despite a challenging price environment, positions it well for future growth. High leverage remains a concern but is mitigated by strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant revenue growth indicates effective market expansion and product demand, positioning the company for sustained financial performance.

Strategic Acquisitions

These acquisitions enhance production capacity and asset optimization, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning in key markets.

Cost Efficiency

Achieving lower operating costs improves profitability and cash flow, providing a buffer against volatile commodity prices and enhancing financial resilience.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.

Decreased EBIT Margin

A declining EBIT margin suggests rising operational costs or pricing pressures, which could affect future profitability if not addressed.

Increased Net Debt

Rising net debt levels, driven by acquisitions and operational activities, may strain cash flow and limit strategic flexibility in the long term.

Saturn Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of petroleum and natural gas resource deposits in Canada. It is involved in the exploration and development of light oil assets in the Oxbow area of Southeast Saskatchewan; Viking light oil assets in West-Central Saskatchewan; Cardium light oil assets in Central Alberta; Montney and Swan Hills light oil in North Alberta. Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Saturn Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is built around its ability to extract hydrocarbons from its leased properties and sell these products to various markets, including refineries and distributors. Key revenue streams include direct sales of oil and gas, often influenced by market prices for these commodities. Additionally, Saturn may engage in joint ventures or partnerships, allowing it to share costs and risks associated with exploration and production while capitalizing on shared resources. The company’s earnings can also be affected by operational efficiencies, investment in technology to enhance extraction processes, and fluctuations in global oil and gas prices.

Saturn Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Saturn Oil & Gas shows strong revenue growth and profitability metrics, with robust gross and net profit margins. However, high leverage and potential cost management issues pose risks. The company's cash flow position is improving, but further enhancement in free cash flow relative to net income is needed.

Income Statement

Saturn Oil & Gas has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 5.61% increase in TTM, supported by robust gross and net profit margins of 74.76% and 20.16% respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 27.75% and 42.14%, indicating efficient operations. However, the decline in gross profit from the previous year suggests potential cost management issues.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the return on equity is strong at 138.28%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 44.20% suggests a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Saturn Oil & Gas shows a substantial 37.9% growth in free cash flow, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.14 suggests strong cash conversion, although the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.13 indicates limited free cash flow relative to earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.03B	920.79M	624.83M	337.19M	98.42M	7.16M
Gross Profit	614.54M	577.69M	270.83M	247.64M	56.03M	5.28M
EBITDA	546.61M	405.17M	567.87M	143.92M	-40.84M	5.39M
Net Income	110.02M	54.11M	290.62M	74.81M	-65.06M	-7.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.21B	2.16B	1.34B	582.91M	221.11M	40.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	34.06M	48.42M	26.46M	18.74M	8.88M	613.00K
Total Debt	828.21M	951.84M	458.01M	247.19M	95.89M	30.11M
Total Liabilities	1.29B	1.36B	726.55M	444.39M	251.41M	36.71M
Stockholders Equity	924.51M	803.97M	608.66M	138.52M	-30.31M	3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	190.59M	65.62M	153.41M	13.21M	-9.98M	-277.00K
Operating Cash Flow	472.49M	311.94M	283.99M	102.31M	-1.28M	851.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-384.01M	-749.53M	-576.40M	-318.24M	-87.86M	-1.35M
Financing Cash Flow	-167.39M	459.55M	308.62M	223.76M	90.99M	-38.00K

Saturn Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2.91
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SOIL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.61, above the 50-day MA of 2.56, and above the 200-day MA of 2.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SOIL.

Saturn Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SOIL	80 Outperform	C$429.40M	4.04	12.26%	―	24.36%	-55.40%
TNZ	73 Outperform	C$669.77M	3.28	98.62%	―	194.52%	10204.44%
LGN	68 Neutral	C$485.45M	19.27	10.64%	―	40.83%	26.01%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
KEI	64 Neutral	C$184.21M	7.39	9.49%	―	12.17%	6.99%
FEC	53 Neutral	C$420.15M	-0.79	-28.23%	4.15%	-2.65%	-591.26%
GASX	40 Underperform	C$220.99M	-5.40	-79.56%	―	5.13%	61.58%

Saturn Oil & Gas Corporate Events

Saturn Oil & Gas Exceeds Q3 2025 Production Guidance, Strengthens Strategic Position

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with production surpassing guidance and analyst expectations. The company executed an $87 million capital program, focusing on acquisitions with better economic returns than drilling, and achieved a 10% production increase from the previous quarter. This performance, alongside strategic acquisitions and efficient cost management, supports Saturn’s long-term sustainability and enhances shareholder value through debt repayment and share buybacks.

Saturn Oil & Gas to Release Q3 2025 Results and Host Conference Call

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. has announced the release date for its Q3 2025 financial results, scheduled for November 5, 2025, after market close. The company will host a conference call and webcast on November 6, 2025, to discuss the results, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction. This announcement highlights Saturn’s ongoing commitment to transparency and engagement with investors, analysts, and media, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Saturn Oil & Gas Boosts 2025 Production Forecast and Cuts Capital Expenditures

Saturn Oil & Gas has announced a corporate update featuring increased 2025 production forecasts and reduced capital expenditures. The company has achieved operational outperformance and strategic acquisitions, leading to a 12% increase in forecasted production and an 18% reduction in capital expenditures. The appointment of Lynn A. Peterson to the board is expected to strengthen governance. These strategic moves are aimed at enhancing the company’s asset base and maintaining financial stability despite fluctuating commodity prices.