Kolibri Global Energy (KEI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$242.20M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 27.92K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.05
• Revenue Growth: 12.17%
• EPS Growth: 6.99%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 8
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.12
• Shares Outstanding: 35,357,258
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 29,365
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 27,921
• PEG Ratio: -1.45
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.05
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.66
• P/FCF Ratio: 26.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.36
• Revenue Forecast (FY): C$59.33M

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: C$5.50 ▲(1.66% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/07/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/07/25

Kolibri Global Energy's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, offset by technical weaknesses and challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The earnings call and corporate events provide mixed signals, with positive production growth and shareholder returns countered by strategic concerns.

Positive Factors

High Profitability Margins

Sustained gross and net margins above industry norms indicate durable operational efficiency and pricing power. High margins support reinvestment, debt servicing and shareholder returns, providing a cushion through commodity cycles and enabling longer-term capital allocation flexibility.

Rapid Production Growth

Material production growth driven by new wells raises scale and operating leverage, lowering per-unit costs and improving cash generation potential. Planned wells and expected record production suggest a multi-month structural boost to revenue capacity and adjusted EBITDA.

Conservative Capital Structure

Very low leverage and a strong equity base provide financial flexibility to fund development, withstand price shocks, and pursue buybacks or opportunistic M&A. A conservative balance sheet enhances resilience across multi-month commodity cycles and supports credit access.

Negative Factors

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow undermines self-funding of capex and returns, forcing reliance on credit or equity for growth and buybacks. Over several months this can constrain operational investment, reduce liquidity buffers, and elevate refinancing or covenant risk if prices weaken.

Slowing Revenue Trend

A TTM decline in revenue growth signals potential difficulty sustaining top-line momentum despite quarterly bumps. Structural deceleration can pressure long-term profitability and cash generation, complicating planning for capex, dividends or continued buybacks over the coming months.

Commodity Price & Hedge Volatility

Significant netback compression and mark-to-market hedge swings demonstrate earnings sensitivity to oil prices. This structural exposure makes cash flows and net income volatile, complicating capital allocation and potentially forcing defensive measures during prolonged price downturns.

Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and gas. in the United States. It produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2021, the company primarily held an interest in approximately 17,163 net acres of shale oil acreage in the Ardmore basin Oklahoma. It had a total proved reserves of 76.1 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company was formerly known as BNK Petroleum Inc. and changed its name to Kolibri Global Energy Inc. in November 2020. Kolibri Global Energy Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Newbury Park, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Kolibri Global Energy generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is based on the production of hydrocarbons, which are sold to refineries, distributors, and other end-users. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Additionally, KEI may benefit from joint ventures or partnerships with other energy firms that facilitate access to technology, resources, or markets. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuations in global oil and gas prices, operational efficiency, and the successful management of its extraction projects.

Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Kolibri Global Energy shows strong profitability with high margins and a healthy balance sheet. However, the declining revenue growth and negative free cash flow present challenges that need addressing to ensure long-term financial stability.

Income Statement

Kolibri Global Energy demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 50.29% and a net profit margin of 28.79%. However, the revenue growth rate shows a decline of 1.76% TTM, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 42.60% and 66.39% respectively, reflecting efficient operational management.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity is moderate at 10.11%, suggesting reasonable profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 71.34%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Kolibri Global Energy's cash flow situation is mixed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.06 TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -6.77%, which could signal potential liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Mar 2024	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	72.19M	74.59M	114.99M	48.38M	19.13M	12.25M
Gross Profit	38.64M	34.40M	80.29M	25.07M	8.42M	2.21M
EBITDA	43.27M	43.34M	40.01M	28.90M	75.50M	3.91M
Net Income	17.86M	18.11M	19.28M	13.04M	71.00M	-71.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	282.09M	248.76M	224.36M	184.08M	157.02M	82.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.89M	4.31M	1.44M	1.04M	7.32M	920.00K
Total Debt	47.32M	33.99M	30.84M	17.85M	16.91M	20.86M
Total Liabilities	80.89M	59.95M	53.94M	33.88M	23.93M	26.54M
Stockholders Equity	201.20M	188.81M	170.41M	150.20M	133.09M	55.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-14.66M	7.64M	-14.53M	-15.05M	5.61M	6.11M
Operating Cash Flow	39.27M	38.89M	38.65M	22.04M	6.30M	6.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-48.58M	-36.21M	-49.87M	-29.24M	-2.88M	-1.64M
Financing Cash Flow	10.64M	1.04M	10.79M	922.00K	2.98M	-6.64M

Kolibri Global Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.41
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KEI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.02, below the 50-day MA of 5.50, and below the 200-day MA of 6.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:KEI.

Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ALV	81 Outperform	C$322.14M	9.69	21.90%	8.44%	2.20%	38.33%
ORC.B	76 Outperform	C$97.15M	0.82	18.65%	2.08%	10.08%	322.40%
HME	71 Outperform	C$252.40M	7.63	38.78%	8.04%	2.27%	3.61%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
KEI	64 Neutral	C$242.20M	13.84	9.12%	―	12.17%	6.99%
BNE	55 Neutral	C$238.05M	-9.66	-3.24%	―	-9.55%	-154.04%
SEI	45 Neutral	C$261.81M	-15.92	-51.21%	―	―	-27.99%

Kolibri Global Energy Corporate Events

Kolibri Global Energy Boosts Oil-Weighted Output as New Barnes Wells Outperform Lovina Program

Kolibri Global Energy reported strong initial production results from its latest Barnes wells in the Tishomingo field in Oklahoma, with both wells delivering high oil cuts of around 83% and outperforming the earlier Lovina wells on a comparable basis by roughly 22% in barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company noted that its Velin wells are improving more slowly due to operational factors and unique geological features, but management highlighted a growing oil-weighted production mix, which is enhancing netbacks and expected to support lower decline rates and robust returns, while Kolibri continues share buybacks, plans to reduce its credit line in the first quarter, and steps up investor outreach through upcoming virtual conferences and roadshows.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Caps Authorized Shares Following Shareholder Vote

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. held a special shareholder meeting where a resolution was approved to cap the number of authorized common shares at 37,367,894. The decision, initiated by TFG Asset Management UK LLP, was supported by 78.05% of proxy votes, representing about 65% of the outstanding shares. This move could impact the company’s capital structure and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Boosts Production by 40% in Q3 2025

Kolibri Global Energy reported a 40% increase in production and a 15% rise in net revenues for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. Despite the production boost, net income decreased due to higher operating expenses and lower average prices. The company expects further growth as it completes additional wells, aiming for record production levels by the end of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Urges Shareholders to Reject Share Limit Proposal

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has announced that independent proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended shareholders vote against a proposal to limit the number of common shares the company can issue. The proposal, put forth by TFG Asset Management UK LLP, was deemed potentially detrimental to the company’s strategic flexibility and shareholder interests by both the advisory firms and Kolibri’s board of directors. The board and management unanimously advise shareholders to reject the proposal, as it could hinder the company’s ability to manage its share capital effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.