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Kolibri Global Energy (TSE:KEI)
TSX:KEI
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Kolibri Global Energy (KEI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:KEI

Kolibri Global Energy

(TSX:KEI)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(7.14% Upside)
Kolibri Global Energy's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and an attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and challenges such as declining revenue growth and increased operating expenses weigh on the outlook. The earnings call provided a mixed view, with positive production growth but concerns over net income declines.
Positive Factors
Production Growth
Significant production growth indicates operational efficiency and potential for increased revenue, strengthening market position in the long term.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management enhances financial stability and supports future investments, ensuring sustainable growth.
Balance Sheet Strength
A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to navigate market fluctuations effectively.
Negative Factors
Decline in Net Income
Declining net income can hinder reinvestment and shareholder returns, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses reduce profit margins, challenging the company's ability to maintain cost efficiency over time.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Inconsistent revenue growth may limit the company's ability to scale and compete effectively, impacting long-term market position.

Kolibri Global Energy (KEI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKolibri Global Energy Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and gas. in the United States. It produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2021, the company primarily held an interest in approximately 17,163 net acres of shale oil acreage in the Ardmore basin Oklahoma. It had a total proved reserves of 76.1 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company was formerly known as BNK Petroleum Inc. and changed its name to Kolibri Global Energy Inc. in November 2020. Kolibri Global Energy Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Newbury Park, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKolibri Global Energy generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is based on the production of hydrocarbons, which are sold to refineries, distributors, and other end-users. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Additionally, KEI may benefit from joint ventures or partnerships with other energy firms that facilitate access to technology, resources, or markets. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuations in global oil and gas prices, operational efficiency, and the successful management of its extraction projects.

Kolibri Global Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant production and revenue growth, as well as positive steps like a stock buyback program. However, these positives were tempered by declines in net income and netbacks due to lower oil prices and increased operating expenses. The company remains optimistic about future production increases.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Production Increase
Production increased by over 40% year-over-year to over 4,250 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
Revenue Growth
Quarterly revenue increased by 15% to $15 million despite a decrease in oil prices.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% to $11.1 million from the previous year.
Stock Buyback Program
The company repurchased about 568,000 shares since starting the buyback program.
Record-High Production Expected
Company expects to exit the year with record-high production due to new wells coming online.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income
Net income decreased to $3.6 million from $5.1 million due to a $1.8 million negative swing in noncash unrealized mark-to-market adjustments on hedges.
Decrease in Netbacks
Netbacks decreased by 23% to $30.84 per BOE compared to the prior year, primarily due to lower prices.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expense increased by 11% to $7.37 per BOE due to reassessed production tax adjustments.
Lower Oil Prices Impact
Oil prices were down 18%, affecting overall financial performance despite production increases.
Company Guidance
During Kolibri Global Energy's Third Quarter 2025 Financial Conference Call, the company reported a significant 40% year-over-year increase in average production, reaching over 4,250 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day, compared to 3,032 BOE per day in the prior year. Despite an 18% decline in oil prices, revenue rose by 15% to $15 million due to higher production levels. Operating expenses were noted at $7.37 per BOE, rising by 11% from the previous year, influenced by a one-time production tax adjustment. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% to $11.1 million, while net income decreased to $3.6 million, with basic EPS at $0.10 per share, affected by a $1.8 million negative swing in non-cash unrealized mark-to-market adjustments on hedges. The company reaffirmed its $65 million line of credit and is on track to bring four new wells into production in early December, which is expected to further boost production to an all-time high. Looking forward, Kolibri plans to continue shareholder capital returns through share buybacks, having repurchased approximately 568,000 shares since September 2024.

Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kolibri Global Energy demonstrates a stable financial profile with strong equity and cash flow management. The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio and a robust return on equity. However, challenges in maintaining consistent revenue growth and profitability margins are evident, necessitating a focus on operational efficiency and revenue generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kolibri Global Energy shows a fluctuating yet generally positive trend in its revenue and profitability metrics. The gross profit margin for 2024 is 46.09%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 24.28% from 16.76% in 2023, mainly due to reduced revenue. The EBIT margin is absent for 2024, highlighting a potential area for improvement. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a significant decline from 2023 to 2024.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects strong equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 in 2024, demonstrating low leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is robust at 9.60%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 75.89%, indicating financial stability and low reliance on external debt.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.15 for 2024, indicating high-quality earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, highlighting efficient capital expenditure management. A notable improvement in free cash flow from negative in 2023 to positive in 2024 suggests enhanced cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue72.19M74.59M114.99M48.38M19.13M12.25M
Gross Profit38.64M34.40M80.29M25.07M8.42M2.21M
EBITDA43.27M43.34M40.01M28.90M75.50M3.91M
Net Income17.86M18.11M19.28M13.04M71.00M-71.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets282.09M248.76M224.36M184.08M157.02M82.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.89M4.31M1.44M1.04M7.32M920.00K
Total Debt47.32M33.99M30.84M17.85M16.91M20.86M
Total Liabilities80.89M59.95M53.94M33.88M23.93M26.54M
Stockholders Equity201.20M188.81M170.41M150.20M133.09M55.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.66M7.64M-14.53M-15.05M5.61M6.11M
Operating Cash Flow39.27M38.89M38.65M22.04M6.30M6.11M
Investing Cash Flow-48.58M-36.21M-49.87M-29.24M-2.88M-1.64M
Financing Cash Flow10.64M1.04M10.79M922.00K2.98M-6.64M

Kolibri Global Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.60
Price Trends
50DMA
6.49
Negative
100DMA
7.18
Negative
200DMA
8.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
38.96
Neutral
STOCH
68.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KEI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.68, below the 50-day MA of 6.49, and below the 200-day MA of 8.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:KEI.

Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$514.15M4.8412.26%24.36%-55.40%
66
Neutral
C$208.98M7.779.49%12.17%6.99%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$462.33M19.2310.64%40.83%26.01%
58
Neutral
$432.00M-28.23%3.88%-2.65%-591.26%
56
Neutral
C$750.79M4.2598.62%194.52%10204.44%
50
Neutral
$523.40M-2.47-14.96%-11.85%-307.86%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KEI
Kolibri Global Energy
5.69
-0.47
-7.63%
TSE:OBE
Obsidian Energy
8.66
0.84
10.74%
TSE:FEC
Frontera Energy
6.45
-1.11
-14.66%
TSE:TNZ
Tenaz Energy Corp
23.47
10.10
75.54%
TSE:SOIL
Saturn Oil & Gas
2.76
0.53
23.77%
TSE:LGN
Logan Energy Corp
0.84
0.09
12.00%

Kolibri Global Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kolibri Global Energy Boosts Production by 40% in Q3 2025
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy reported a 40% increase in production and a 15% rise in net revenues for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. Despite the production boost, net income decreased due to higher operating expenses and lower average prices. The company expects further growth as it completes additional wells, aiming for record production levels by the end of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Kolibri Global Energy Urges Shareholders to Reject Share Limit Proposal
Negative
Nov 11, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has announced that independent proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended shareholders vote against a proposal to limit the number of common shares the company can issue. The proposal, put forth by TFG Asset Management UK LLP, was deemed potentially detrimental to the company’s strategic flexibility and shareholder interests by both the advisory firms and Kolibri’s board of directors. The board and management unanimously advise shareholders to reject the proposal, as it could hinder the company’s ability to manage its share capital effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Opposes Share Cap Proposal Ahead of November Meeting
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. issued a supplement to its management information circular dated October 6, 2025, in preparation for a special general meeting of shareholders scheduled for November 25, 2025. The meeting, prompted by a shareholder requisition from TFG Asset Management UK LLP, will address a proposed resolution to cap the number of authorized common shares at 37,367,894. The company’s board and management oppose this resolution, citing potential detriment to shareholders and the company’s interests. While most directors and officers plan to vote against the resolution, director David Neuhauser remains undecided on his voting intentions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Kolibri Global Energy Opposes Share Cap Proposal
Negative
Oct 18, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has announced an update regarding a special meeting of shareholders to vote on a proposed resolution to cap the number of authorized common shares. The company’s board and management unanimously oppose this resolution, arguing that it would negatively impact shareholder value by limiting strategic growth opportunities and flexibility in share issuances. The board believes that the resolution could hinder the company’s competitive position and result in unnecessary costs and delays.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Kolibri Global Energy Urges Shareholders to Reject Share Limit Proposal
Negative
Oct 15, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has filed a management information circular for a special shareholder meeting to address a proposed resolution that would cap the number of common shares the company can issue. The board of directors unanimously opposes this resolution, arguing it would negatively impact shareholder value by limiting the company’s flexibility and growth opportunities. The board urges shareholders to vote against the resolution before the proxy voting deadline, emphasizing the potential detrimental effects on the company’s competitive position and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kolibri Global Energy Updates 2025 Forecast Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has revised its 2025 forecasted guidance, showing significant growth in average production, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA from 2024, despite being lower than previous guidance due to lower oil prices and delays in well production. The company anticipates higher capital expenditures and net debt due to these delays but expects to generate cash flow from production to reduce debt in early 2026. The successful drilling of the Barnes 6-31-2H well and the ongoing production improvements in other wells position the company for a strong 2026, with expectations of record production rates.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Buy with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Announces Amended Notice for November 2025 Special Meeting
Sep 23, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has announced an amended notice for its upcoming special meeting of security holders. The meeting is scheduled for November 25, 2025, with the record date for notice and voting set for October 6, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it outlines the timeline and logistics for the meeting, which may impact shareholder decisions and company governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Announces Share Repurchase Plan
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. announced that the Toronto Stock Exchange approved its intention to initiate a normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 1,768,841 common shares, representing approximately 5% of its outstanding shares as of September 10, 2025. The share repurchase, set to begin on September 23, 2025, and end on September 22, 2026, aims to capitalize on the perceived undervaluation of the company’s shares and is seen as an attractive investment opportunity. This move is expected to enhance shareholder value and reflects the company’s confidence in its market position and financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Kolibri Global Energy Updates on Investor Engagement and Share Repurchase Strategy
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has announced its participation in upcoming investor conferences, including the Sidoti Virtual Investor Conference and the Lytham Partners Virtual Investor Conference, where company representatives will present and engage in one-on-one meetings with investors. Additionally, Kolibri has been actively repurchasing its common shares under its normal course issuer bid, with plans to renew the program for another year, indicating a strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Calls Special Shareholder Meeting to Discuss Share Issuance Cap
Sep 12, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. announced on September 12, 2025, that its Board of Directors received a shareholder requisition to call a special meeting. The meeting, scheduled for November 25, 2025, will address the proposal to set a maximum number of common shares authorized for issuance at 37,367,894. Currently, the company has 35,376,833 common shares outstanding on an undiluted basis and 36,864,413 on a fully diluted basis. This move could impact the company’s future share issuance strategy and influence shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Schedules Special Meeting for Security Holders
Sep 12, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. announced a special meeting for its security holders scheduled for November 25, 2025. The record date for notice and voting is set for October 6, 2025. This meeting is significant for stakeholders as it involves decisions that could impact the company’s future operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy Reports Positive Update on Oklahoma Wells
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. announced an operations update for its Tishomingo field in Oklahoma, highlighting the performance of its Lovina and Forguson wells. The Lovina wells showed promising results with higher oil percentages and increased production rates, while the Forguson well is still in the flowback phase with potential for economic viability. The company is also progressing with the drilling of the Barnes wells, which are expected to enhance production and cash flow, potentially adding value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KEI) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kolibri Global Energy stock, see the TSE:KEI Stock Forecast page.

Kolibri Global Energy’s Mixed Q2: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed performance for the quarter. The company showcased significant operational achievements, such as increased production and enhanced financial flexibility through credit expansion. However, these positives were tempered by challenges, including reduced net revenue and income due to lower oil prices. Despite these setbacks, the strategic focus on future production growth and share buybacks suggests a positive outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025