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Tenaz Energy Corp (TSE:TNZ)
TSX:TNZ

Tenaz Energy Corp (TNZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TNZ

Tenaz Energy Corp

(TSX:TNZ)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$72.00
▲(174.39% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is led by attractive valuation (very low P/E) and strong technical uptrend. Offsetting this, financial performance is improved but carries meaningful quality/consistency concerns (sharp gross margin decline, unusually high net margin indicating non-core impacts, and only moderate cash conversion) alongside moderate leverage.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & scale step-up
A ~50% revenue increase reflects durable scale expansion, improving fixed-cost absorption and operating leverage. Over 2–6 months this larger revenue base supports higher cash flow potential, better funding for development drilling, and a stronger platform for accretive acquisitions.
Negative Factors
Earnings quality concerns
A sharp drop in gross margin to ~10% alongside an outsized net margin implies results were materially affected by non-recurring items. This undermines the reliability of earnings for forecasting, weakens comparability, and raises risk that profits and ROE may revert absent recurring operational improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & scale step-up
A ~50% revenue increase reflects durable scale expansion, improving fixed-cost absorption and operating leverage. Over 2–6 months this larger revenue base supports higher cash flow potential, better funding for development drilling, and a stronger platform for accretive acquisitions.
Read all positive factors

Tenaz Energy Corp (TNZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tenaz Energy Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tenaz Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition and development of oil and gas assets in central Alberta. As of December 31, 2021, the company held 85.7% working interest in 36,208 acres of land at Leduc-Woodbend Rex Pool propert...
How the Company Makes Money
Tenaz Energy makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons (crude oil, natural gas, and potentially associated natural gas liquids where applicable) from its operated and non-operated upstream assets. Revenue is generated based on pr...

Tenaz Energy Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2024
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strategic achievements and operational challenges. While there were declines in production and funds flow, the company's share buyback program, strategic acquisition, and strong hedging strategy highlight positive growth and future potential.
Positive Updates
Successful Share Buyback Program
Retired a total of 2 million shares at an average cost of $2.77 since the NCIB began, with 200,000 shares retired in Q1 2024 at $3.67 per share.
Negative Updates
Decline in Production Volumes
Production volumes decreased to approximately 2,900 boe/d due to natural declines in Canadian wells and planned/unplanned downtime in the Netherlands.
Read all updates
Q1-2024 Updates
Negative
Successful Share Buyback Program
Retired a total of 2 million shares at an average cost of $2.77 since the NCIB began, with 200,000 shares retired in Q1 2024 at $3.67 per share.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2024 earnings call for Tenaz Energy, CEO Anthony Marino reported production volumes of approximately 2,900 boe/d, slightly lower than Q4 2023 due to natural declines and reduced output from Canadian wells. The company recorded a funds flow from operations (FFO) of $7 million, with a free cash flow of $3.2 million after a capital expenditure of $3.8 million. Tenaz maintained a positive adjusted working capital of $49 million, facilitated by their share buyback program, which retired 200,000 shares at an average cost of $3.67 per share. A significant development was the acquisition of a gas processing plant and surrounding leasehold in Leduc-Woodbend for a net cost of $2.8 million, aimed at enhancing processing flexibility and potential third-party partnerships. The plant, with a current capacity of 7.5 million cubic feet per day, holds potential for expansion, which could increase capacity to 12 million cubic feet per day with minimal investment. Marino reaffirmed the 2024 production guidance of 2,700 to 2,900 boe/d and CapEx guidance of CAD 23 million to CAD 25 million, emphasizing ongoing M&A efforts in targeted international regions for higher return opportunities.

Tenaz Energy Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent results show a strong scale step-up (revenue up ~50%) and solid EBITDA margin (~51%), but earnings quality and consistency are key risks: gross margin fell sharply (~10%) and net margin (~111%) suggests material non-core/one-time impacts. Cash conversion is only moderate (operating cash flow to net income ~0.38) and prior years included negative free cash flow, while leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.78) after rising versus earlier low-leverage periods.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue284.13M63.00M64.85M34.09M17.83M
Gross Profit29.61M36.85M39.23M21.71M11.09M
EBITDA144.53M4.28M25.37M12.67M13.49M
Net Income315.61M-7.71M26.55M5.24M8.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.53B390.83M238.72M203.90M75.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments103.55M139.91M50.30M1.83M25.47M
Total Debt341.27M138.54M244.00K21.61M167.00K
Total Liabilities2.09B298.70M142.36M132.53M10.09M
Stockholders Equity438.09M92.13M96.35M71.37M65.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.60M-14.51M-9.68M-7.75M-6.45M
Operating Cash Flow115.85M6.24M15.18M9.35M3.94M
Investing Cash Flow-368.93M-54.12M58.20M-53.89M-4.24M
Financing Cash Flow170.00M137.85M-25.36M20.91M25.76M

Tenaz Energy Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price26.24
Price Trends
50DMA
51.63
Positive
100DMA
39.15
Positive
200DMA
30.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.74
Positive
RSI
53.47
Neutral
STOCH
39.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TNZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 26.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.14, below the 50-day MA of 51.63, and below the 200-day MA of 30.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:TNZ.

Tenaz Energy Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$979.98M2.8024.42%24.36%-55.40%
73
Outperform
C$847.07M17.025.47%7.59%-7.36%
72
Outperform
C$1.92B2.37112.36%194.52%10204.44%
67
Neutral
C$537.49M13.4010.64%40.83%26.01%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
C$821.14M16.602.52%-11.85%-307.86%
57
Neutral
C$604.44M18.3511.72%46.17%-82.95%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TNZ
Tenaz Energy Corp
59.97
48.37
416.98%
TSE:OBE
Obsidian Energy
12.20
6.18
102.66%
TSE:SGY
Surge Energy
8.57
4.40
105.56%
TSE:SNM
ShaMaran Petroleum
0.21
0.01
7.69%
TSE:SOIL
Saturn Oil & Gas
5.42
4.02
287.14%
TSE:LGN
Logan Energy Corp
0.93
0.36
63.16%

Tenaz Energy Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Tenaz Energy’s 2025 Acquisitions Drive Surging Output and Profits Amid Higher Leverage
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Tenaz Energy reported a transformative 2025, driven by the acquisition of NAM Offshore B.V., now Tenaz Energy Netherlands, and Hansa Hydrocarbons, which added material interests in the Gateway to the Ems project in the North Sea. These deals expan...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Tenaz Energy Renews Share Buyback, Authorized to Repurchase Up to 8.4% of Shares
Positive
Feb 12, 2026
Tenaz Energy Corp., a Canada-listed oil and gas producer with key operations in the Dutch North Sea and Alberta’s Leduc-Woodbend, continues to focus on sustainable development and international asset acquisition. The company’s shares t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026