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Surge Energy (TSE:SGY)
TSX:SGY

Surge Energy (SGY) AI Stock Analysis

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Surge Energy

(TSX:SGY)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
Surge Energy's overall stock score reflects its financial struggles with negative profitability, balanced by robust cash flow and shareholder returns. Technical indicators suggest caution, while a high dividend yield provides some support. The company's strategic focus on generating cash flow and rewarding shareholders positively impacts its market positioning.
Positive Factors
Asset Performance
Surge exemplifies improved asset performance and favorable valuations, with its Sparky and Frobisher plays yielding some of the industry’s best wells.
Operational Performance
Quarterly production exceeded consensus expectations, showing strong operational performance.
Production and Cash Flow
Production and cash flow per share were meaningfully above expectations, while maintaining spending levels, indicating confidence in long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Capital Utilization
For every dollar spent, management added $0.68 in value, showing efficient capital utilization.
Debt Levels
The company's debt is 32% of PDP value, indicating a manageable debt level.
Market Volatility
Potential for outsized gains for Surge in the future, especially if WTI prices improve from current levels.

Surge Energy (SGY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Surge Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSurge Energy Inc. explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas in western Canada. The company holds interest in the Greater Sawn Lake assets located in Northern Alberta; Valhalla/Wembley property located in northwestern Alberta; Sparky assets located between Provost and Wainwright in eastern Alberta and western Saskatchewan; and Shaunavon properties located to the southwest of Swift Current, Saskatchewan. It holds an average working interest of approximately 84% in approximately 123,884 net developed acres and approximately 83% in approximately 68,031 net undeveloped acres in Greater Sawn area; approximately 70% in approximately 22,920 net developed acres and approximately 72% in approximately 10,680 net undeveloped acres in Valhalla area; and approximately 90 % in approximately 59,655 net developed acres and 98% in approximately 47,398 net undeveloped acres in Sparky area. As of December 31, 2021, it held interests in 362 net oil and 20 net gas wells in Greater Sawn area; 100 net oil and 9 net gas wells in Valhalla area; 424 net oil and 6 net gas wells in Sparky area; and 185 net oil wells, as well as an average working interest of approximately 100% in approximately 24,249 net developed acres and 12,021 net undeveloped acres in the Shaunavon properties. The company was formerly known as Zapata Energy Corporation and changed its name to Surge Energy Inc. in June 2010. Surge Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySurge Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Surge Energy operates in core areas with substantial reserves, allowing for efficient extraction and production. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance operational efficiency and expand its production capabilities. Market factors such as commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies significantly influence the company's earnings.

Surge Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Surge Energy exhibits mixed financial performance. Revenue growth is positive, but net income is negative, reflecting profitability challenges. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow is robust despite declining free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Surge Energy's income statement reveals some challenges, with a negative net income of -$53.72 million for the latest year. The net profit margin is negative, reflecting losses despite a gross profit margin of approximately 53.64%. Revenue growth is observed in recent years, moving from $558.64 million to $665.30 million, indicating a positive trend. However, the absence of EBIT highlights operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31, which is relatively stable. Stockholders' equity has decreased from $843.98 million to $738.51 million, indicating a decrease in shareholder wealth. The equity ratio stands at 54.05%, suggesting a reasonable portion of the company is financed by equity rather than debt.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a robust operating cash flow of $278.65 million for the latest year, with free cash flow slightly declining from $84.57 million to $83.54 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but the free cash flow growth rate is negative, posing potential concerns for future liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
640.01M665.29M558.64M734.47M414.64M215.82M
Gross Profit
324.12M356.90M348.63M464.61M243.96M86.28M
EBIT
125.50M121.49M114.72M264.21M102.05M-42.76M
EBITDA
190.76M163.24M307.51M340.70M542.12M-570.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-41.84M-53.72M15.75M231.72M407.61M-747.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.74M7.59M0.000.000.000.00
Total Assets
1.38B1.37B1.48B1.55B1.28B707.96M
Total Debt
243.13M232.12M282.18M347.92M337.06M405.60M
Net Debt
231.39M224.53M282.18M347.92M337.06M405.60M
Total Liabilities
651.16M627.64M636.79M711.75M762.06M774.18M
Stockholders Equity
731.71M738.51M843.98M838.32M513.38M-66.22M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
91.69M83.54M84.57M106.18M-3.30M19.42M
Operating Cash Flow
295.33M278.65M266.14M276.13M100.48M72.19M
Investing Cash Flow
-157.78M-153.00M-177.56M-332.27M-16.00M-42.67M
Financing Cash Flow
-125.82M-118.05M-88.58M56.15M-84.48M-29.52M

Surge Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.59
Price Trends
50DMA
5.15
Positive
100DMA
5.31
Positive
200DMA
5.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
80.50
Negative
STOCH
89.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.59, above the 50-day MA of 5.15, and above the 200-day MA of 5.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.50 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SGY.

Surge Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSTAL
74
Outperform
C$631.88M4.7718.60%11.94%11.68%-30.95%
TSTNZ
69
Neutral
C$539.60M187.11-13.52%-3.50%-153.25%
58
Neutral
$7.59B3.32-4.46%9.96%0.83%-49.64%
TSCEI
56
Neutral
C$451.68M-6.69%41.39%-61.36%
TSSGY
52
Neutral
$604.89M-5.48%8.05%-2.37%-421.59%
OBOBE
$390.83M5.39-12.88%
$570.66M37.213.68%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SGY
Surge Energy
6.59
0.35
5.64%
OBE
Obsidian Energy
5.90
-1.42
-19.40%
TSE:TNZ
Tenaz Energy Corp
19.26
15.77
451.86%
TSE:TAL
PetroTal Corp
0.70
0.07
11.11%
DALXF
Spartan Delta
2.92
-0.06
-2.01%
TSE:CEI
Coelacanth Energy, Inc.
0.85
0.05
6.25%

Surge Energy Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Surge Energy Announces May 2025 Dividend
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Surge Energy Inc. has announced a cash dividend of $0.043333 per share to be paid on May 15, 2025, for shareholders of record on April 30, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder returns. This announcement underscores Surge Energy’s strategic focus on generating free cash flow and leveraging high-quality oil reservoirs, which may positively impact its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SGY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SGY is a Neutral.

Surge Energy’s overall score reflects its financial struggles with negative profitability, balanced by robust cash flow and shareholder returns. Technical indicators suggest caution, while high dividend yield and positive corporate events provide some support.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SGY stock, click here.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Surge Energy Announces April 2025 Dividend
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Surge Energy Inc. has announced a cash dividend of $0.043333 per share, to be paid on April 15, 2025, for shareholders of record on March 31, 2025. This dividend reflects the company’s ongoing strategy to generate free cash flow and enhance shareholder returns, reinforcing its position in the oil industry.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Surge Energy Exceeds 2024 Production Targets and Boosts Shareholder Returns
Positive
Mar 6, 2025

Surge Energy Inc. reported strong financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, with production exceeding expectations and significant cash flow generation. Despite a decline in crude oil prices, the company increased its adjusted funds flow due to higher production and cost savings from new debt financing. Surge returned $19.4 million to shareholders in Q4 through dividends and share buybacks, and generated $278.6 million in cash flow from operations for the year, reflecting a 5% increase from 2023. The company’s strategic focus on core areas and financial discipline positions it well in the market.

Dividends
Surge Energy Declares February Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Surge Energy Inc. has announced a cash dividend of $0.043333 per share, to be paid on March 17, 2025, for shareholders of record on February 28, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value by distributing returns generated from its oil production activities. The dividend is recognized as an eligible dividend under the Income Tax Act of Canada, indicating its compliance with tax regulations and its potential benefit to investors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.