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NG Energy International (TSE:GASX)
:GASX

NG Energy International (GASX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GASX

NG Energy International

(GASX)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-12.28% Downside)
NG Energy International's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial instability and weak technical indicators. The negative valuation metrics further contribute to a low score, reflecting significant risks for investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained TTM revenue growth indicates the company is expanding gas sales and market penetration in its operating region. Over 2-6 months this supports durable demand visibility, underpins contractual negotiations, and provides a foundation for scaling operations if cash and capital allocation improve.
Strong Gross Margin
A ~52% gross margin demonstrates favorable production economics and a competitive cost base at the upstream level. This structural margin provides a buffer against commodity price swings and can support reinvestment in fields and infrastructure if operating and financing losses are addressed.
Contractual Sales & Partnerships
A revenue model built on extraction, long-term supply contracts and regional partnerships yields more predictable cash flows and lower customer-concentration risk. Structurally this enhances revenue stability and supports project planning and infrastructure investment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 2.8 indicates significant leverage, increasing interest burden and refinancing risk. Over the medium term this constrains financial flexibility, limits capacity for capex or acquisitions, and raises vulnerability to commodity price or cash-flow shocks.
Weak Cash Generation
Negative free cash flow and a very low operating cash/earnings ratio show the business struggles to convert earnings into cash. Structurally this forces reliance on external financing, limiting reinvestment and elevating liquidity risk during prolonged downturns or high capex needs.
Persistent Unprofitability
Negative EBIT/EBITDA and net margins signal that operational costs and/or non-operating items erode gross profit. Over several months this undermines ability to self-fund growth, weakens shareholder returns, and necessitates structural cost improvements or capital restructuring to reach sustainable profitability.

NG Energy International (GASX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

NG Energy International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNG Energy International Corp., an oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and exploitation of oil and natural gas assets in Colombia. It holds working interests in the SN-9 block, which covers an area of approximately 311,353 acres; the Maria Conchita block, covering an area of approximately 32,518 acres; and the Tiburon Block that covers an area of approximately 245,850 acres. The company was formerly known as NGX Energy International Corp. and changed its name to NG Energy International Corp. in November 2020. NG Energy International Corp. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNG Energy International generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of natural gas. The company earns money by selling its produced gas to various customers, including local utilities and industrial clients, which often enter into long-term supply agreements. Additionally, NG Energy may benefit from partnerships with other energy companies for joint exploration and production activities, which can provide access to shared resources and reduce operational costs. The company’s revenue model is bolstered by the fluctuating market prices of natural gas, allowing it to capitalize on favorable conditions. Strategic partnerships with regional governments and investment in infrastructure also contribute to its earnings by enhancing its operational efficiency.

NG Energy International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NG Energy International faces significant financial challenges, including negative net profit margins, declining revenue, high leverage, and weak cash flow generation. These factors indicate a need for strategic improvements to stabilize and enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
NG Energy International shows a challenging financial position with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue decline of 66.3%, and the company has consistently reported negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. The return on equity is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, providing some balance sheet strength.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights negative free cash flow and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash generation issues. Although there is some improvement in free cash flow growth, the overall cash flow position remains weak, with negative free cash flow to net income ratios.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.01M38.21M12.04M1.77M0.000.00
Gross Profit19.35M22.33M4.54M430.47K-6.77K-17.25K
EBITDA-4.27M5.19M-423.00K-7.01M-5.28M-3.84M
Net Income-28.93M-53.70M-16.68M-9.97M-7.32M-24.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets235.05M113.47M106.86M83.15M23.15M14.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.79M8.19M1.29M6.96M5.85M1.21M
Total Debt103.04M40.63M82.18M55.43M2.99M4.01M
Total Liabilities209.80M68.65M96.77M67.64M6.41M7.81M
Stockholders Equity25.25M44.82M10.09M15.51M16.73M6.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.91M-287.33K-22.47M-34.23M-10.73M-7.08M
Operating Cash Flow5.85M18.47M-3.55M-3.59M-5.24M-2.57M
Investing Cash Flow19.40M-23.60M-23.79M-28.31M-5.93M-4.04M
Financing Cash Flow-30.78M12.58M21.39M33.56M15.92M6.36M

NG Energy International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
1.02
Positive
100DMA
1.03
Positive
200DMA
0.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
56.41
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GASX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.04, above the 50-day MA of 1.02, and above the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GASX.

NG Energy International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$251.61M9.2421.90%8.44%2.20%38.33%
63
Neutral
C$245.86M502.700.20%6.19%-8.58%-98.92%
58
Neutral
C$214.07M10.905.81%-1.47%267.04%
56
Neutral
C$264.46M-9.86-15.54%-15.50%-58.23%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
C$277.29M-68.06-6.71%-5.88%
40
Underperform
C$291.21M-7.18-79.56%5.13%61.58%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
1.13
0.06
5.61%
TSE:ALV
Alvopetro Energy
6.80
1.85
37.35%
TSE:CVVY
Pieridae Energy
0.90
0.63
233.33%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
1.86
0.52
38.81%
TSE:FO
Falcon Oil & Gas
0.25
0.13
104.17%
TSE:JOY
Journey Energy
3.24
1.07
49.31%

NG Energy International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock Buyback
NG Energy Closes Sinú-9 Deal, Sets 2026 Growth Plan and Share Buyback
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

NG Energy International has closed a series of transactions on the Sinú-9 Block in Colombia, leaving it with a 39% non-operating working interest alongside operator Maurel & Prom, which holds 61%, and securing a total of US$150 million in cash proceeds under revised payment terms. The joint venture plans a six-well drilling program at Sinú-9 in 2026, starting with Hechicero-1X, and NG Energy expects about US$50 million in 2026 capital expenditures including the Aruchara-5 well at Maria Conchita, supported by ongoing pipeline expansion to boost transportation capacity and position the company for higher production and cash flow. Additionally, the company has launched a normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 10% of its public float and is proposing three new directors, including a new vice chairman and its CEO, signaling confidence in its balance sheet and governance as it enters a pivotal growth phase.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GASX) stock is a Sell with a C$0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NG Energy International stock, see the TSE:GASX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NG Energy Wins Colombian Approval for US$150 Million Sinú-9 Block Deal
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

NG Energy International has secured approval from Colombia’s National Hydrocarbon Agency for its previously announced Sinú-9 Block transactions, clearing the final regulatory hurdle to sell a 40% working interest and operatorship to Etablissements Maurel & Prom for US$150 million and jointly acquire an additional 28% interest from minority partners. Upon closing, Maurel & Prom will operate the Sinú-9 Block with a 61% working interest while NG Energy will retain a 39% non-operating stake, positioning the partners to advance a six-well drilling campaign and potentially accelerate development of one of NG Energy’s key Colombian gas assets, with implications for the company’s growth trajectory and its ability to supply Colombia’s high-priced natural gas market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GASX) stock is a Sell with a C$0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NG Energy International stock, see the TSE:GASX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NG Energy to Resume Trading After Brief Halt Tied to Pending Regulatory Approval
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

NG Energy International has informed investors that trading in its common shares on the TSX Venture Exchange will resume shortly after a temporary halt requested on December 19, 2025. The company had asked for the halt in anticipation of a regulatory approval announcement, but that announcement has been postponed, signaling that while a regulatory decision remains pending, management expects trading activity in the stock to normalize in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GASX) stock is a Sell with a C$0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NG Energy International stock, see the TSE:GASX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NG Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results, Eyes Continued Growth
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

NG Energy International Corp. announced its Q3 2025 financial results, highlighting a significant increase in production and sales. The company achieved a 53% rise in natural gas and NGL sales compared to Q3 2024, driven by strong performance from its Sinú-9 field. Production efficiency improvements and favorable pricing conditions have expanded margins, while upcoming infrastructure enhancements and a strategic transaction with Maurel & Prom are expected to bolster financial flexibility and support further growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GASX) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NG Energy International stock, see the TSE:GASX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
NG Energy Boosts Production Capacity with Key Infrastructure Advances
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

NG Energy International Corp. has announced significant operational achievements at its Maria Conchita and Sinú-9 natural gas projects in Colombia. The completion of the Aruchara-4 ST-1 well and major infrastructure advancements have increased production capacity and positioned the company for growth. The Aruchara-4 ST-1 well is now producing up to 15.9 MMcf/d, with potential for further increases, and the company expects to be cash flow positive by Q4 2025. Additionally, infrastructure improvements at Sinú-9 have enhanced processing capacity, marking a milestone in the company’s production capabilities and its contribution to Colombia’s domestic gas market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GASX) stock is a Sell with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NG Energy International stock, see the TSE:GASX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025