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Pine Cliff Energy (TSE:PNE)
TSX:PNE
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Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PNE

Pine Cliff Energy

(TSX:PNE)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.56
▼(-7.17% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/04/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—declining revenue, net losses, and elevated leverage—partly offset by positive operating and free cash flow. Technical signals are mixed (neutral RSI with a softer longer-term trend), and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Positive cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provide a durable self-funding base for modest reinvestment and debt servicing. Even with weaker FCF growth, recurring cash generation reduces near-term liquidity pressure and supports operational continuity and capital allocation discipline.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and losses
A shrinking top line paired with negative net margins signals weakening demand or realizations and reduces internal funds for growth. Persisting revenue decline erodes scale, hampers reinvestment capacity, and threatens ability to restore profitability without material operational or market improvements.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provide a durable self-funding base for modest reinvestment and debt servicing. Even with weaker FCF growth, recurring cash generation reduces near-term liquidity pressure and supports operational continuity and capital allocation discipline.
Read all positive factors

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pine Cliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It owns working interest production in the Sundre, Ghost Pine, and Viking areas of ...
How the Company Makes Money
Pine Cliff Energy makes money by producing hydrocarbons and selling them into Canadian energy markets. Its primary revenue stream is the sale of natural gas, with additional revenue from crude oil and NGLs; reported petroleum and natural gas sales...

Pine Cliff Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic view: operational execution and financial discipline are clear positives (on-budget drilling, expanded Glauc inventory, hedges protecting cash, and a strong dividend track record). Commercial opportunities (data center interest) and recent AECO strength are encouraging, while short-term risks include an unstabilized new well, project timing dependent on third-party financing, AECO volatility, limited LNG export capacity, and geopolitical/regulatory uncertainty. Overall, the positives (execution, hedging, dividends, and commercial pipeline) outweigh the short-term operational and market risks.
Positive Updates
Glauc Program Expansion and Successful Execution
Increased Glauconite inventory to 22 net locations; recently drilled the 4-23 Glauc well that was executed ahead of schedule and with costs essentially on budget. Well has been on production for ~2 weeks and early results are encouraging (still in cleanup and not yet stabilized). Infrastructure (sales pipeline and site work) installed to support this and future wells.
Negative Updates
Glauc Well Production Still Uncertain
The recently drilled Glauc well remains in very early cleanup and has not reached a stabilized production rate; management declined to provide firm production guidance until a longer production history is established.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Glauc Program Expansion and Successful Execution
Increased Glauconite inventory to 22 net locations; recently drilled the 4-23 Glauc well that was executed ahead of schedule and with costs essentially on budget. Well has been on production for ~2 weeks and early results are encouraging (still in cleanup and not yet stabilized). Infrastructure (sales pipeline and site work) installed to support this and future wells.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call was modest and measured: Pine Cliff has increased its Glauconite inventory to 22 net locations and brought the 4-23 Glauc well (drilled in December) onstream in mid‑February—drilled ahead of schedule, on budget for well and Q4 infrastructure, and now in ~2 weeks of early cleanup so rates are not yet stabilized; management expects any new Central Alberta/Glauc drilling to occur in Q3–Q4 but will retain flexibility. Financially, the company is ~80% gas, with 37% of gross natural gas hedged at about $3.19/Mcf for 2026 and ~31% of crude hedged at ~US$63.45; AECO was around $2/Mcf recently (European gas >$12/Mcf) and WTI was ~$78–79/bbl (each US$1/bbl change in WTI ≈ $1.4M annual cash flow to Pine Cliff). Management said LNG Canada Phase 1 is ~2 Bcf/d (Phase 2 could take total to ~4 Bcf/d), North American LNG is ~20 Bcf/d today with announced projects potentially >40 Bcf/d in future, data‑center buyers are close to financing (no construction yet, possibly in the next few quarters), and the company will prioritize reducing debt, funding drilling, and maintaining the dividend (over $100M paid, ~ $0.30/share since summer 2022).

Pine Cliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are pressured: TTM revenue declined (-5.2%) and profitability is weak with negative EBIT and net income (net margin ~-6.6%). Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.30) and ROE is negative (~-31%). The key offset is positive operating cash flow (~$25.8M) and positive free cash flow (~$4.7M), though FCF is down sharply (~-53.9%) versus the prior period.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue165.73M163.81M195.63M176.26M309.99M167.72M
Gross Profit55.34M-6.80M126.53M16.11M230.15M109.71M
EBITDA15.05M32.23M35.24M54.12M175.29M82.18M
Net Income-10.98M-12.07M-21.45M9.12M108.94M81.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets317.98M321.43M381.25M477.07M375.05M379.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.30M4.07M0.00208.00K54.60M6.87M
Total Debt42.78M43.93M48.47M62.14M3.30M45.57M
Total Liabilities285.00M285.97M326.93M377.14M241.32M333.58M
Stockholders Equity32.98M35.46M54.32M99.93M133.73M45.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.74M9.84M21.27M-63.66M121.44M28.02M
Operating Cash Flow25.83M25.06M23.80M66.63M150.45M49.48M
Investing Cash Flow-3.05M6.81M6.77M-133.20M-36.74M-30.77M
Financing Cash Flow-19.48M-27.80M-30.56M12.15M-66.16M-19.71M

Pine Cliff Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.60
Price Trends
50DMA
0.61
Negative
100DMA
0.65
Negative
200DMA
0.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.80
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.61, below the 50-day MA of 0.61, and below the 200-day MA of 0.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PNE.

Pine Cliff Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$423.35M10.405.39%21.85%-29.99%-70.33%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
C$447.49M-111.94-2.71%29.68%89.77%
58
Neutral
C$249.45M300.00-0.27%6.19%8.02%-80.95%
49
Neutral
C$208.10M-18.30-31.31%3.16%-10.58%43.44%
48
Neutral
C$406.09M-10.21-10.86%12.70%119.35%-533.65%
44
Neutral
C$388.84M-10.73-81.43%22.31%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PNE
Pine Cliff Energy
0.56
-0.06
-9.09%
TSE:CVVY
Pieridae Energy
1.50
1.13
305.41%
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
1.42
0.55
63.22%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
1.62
0.28
20.72%
TSE:TAL
PetroTal Corp
0.45
-0.20
-30.77%
TSE:IPO
InPlay Oil Corp.
16.59
8.23
98.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 04, 2026