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Pine Cliff Energy (TSE:PNE)
TSX:PNE

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PNE

Pine Cliff Energy

(TSX:PNE)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.82
▼(-2.86% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and a weaker balance sheet with rising leverage), partially offset by positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals are broadly neutral with soft near-term momentum, valuation support is limited due to negative earnings despite a ~3.1% dividend yield, and corporate events are mixed with an asset sale positive but operational/financial updates pointing to pressure.

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pine Cliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPine Cliff Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It primarily holds interests in natural gas assets in the Southern and Edson areas; and oil and natural gas assets in the Viking Kinsella and Ghost Pine area of Central Alberta. The coampny also holds interests in natural gas liquids assets in the Sundance, Carstairs, Garrington, and Harmattan areas of Alberta; and natural gas assets in the Cadillac area of Southern Saskatchewan. As of December 31, 2021, its proved reserves consisted 49,112.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent (MBOE) and proved plus probable reserves included 62,813.4 MBOE. It also explores for gold, nickel, and copper deposits, as well as platinum group elements in Utah, Ontario, the Northwest Territories, and Nunavut. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPine Cliff Energy makes money through the production and sale of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the extraction and sale of these resources from its operated and non-operated properties. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced natural gas, which constitutes a significant portion of its income, followed by revenues from oil and natural gas liquids. Pine Cliff Energy's earnings are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. The company may also engage in strategic acquisitions or divestitures to optimize its portfolio and enhance cash flow. While Pine Cliff Energy may have partnerships or joint ventures to facilitate operations, specific details on such collaborations are not provided.

Pine Cliff Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mix of optimism and challenges. While there are significant highlights such as improved storage position, hedging success, and upcoming LNG demand, the company faces challenges with weak gas prices impacting cash flow and elevated debt levels. The intent to resume drilling and potential LNG demand growth are positive signs for the future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Storage Position
Natural gas storage is elevated from 5-year averages but below last year's levels, suggesting a better position as LNG ramps up.
Drilling Program Resumption
Plan to resume drilling in Q4 2025, with extensive drilling inventory and flexibility in capital allocation.
Successful Hedging Strategy
Realized a natural gas price of $2.48/Mcf, a 48% premium to the AECO daily 5A price of $1.68. Hedged 54% of gas production and 43% of crude oil production for 2025.
Potential LNG Demand Growth
Expecting up to 6.5 bcf/day of new LNG demand from Canada by the end of the decade, with potential to become the fourth largest LNG exporter.
High IRR on Wells
Drilling program expected to have over 100% IRRs with a payback period of around 1 year.
Negative Updates
Weak Gas Prices Impacting Cash Flow
Weaker gas prices in Q2 and Q3 2025 have led to lower cash flow than initially budgeted.
Elevated Debt Levels
Current debt level is around 1.5x debt to cash flow, aiming to reduce it to under 1x.
Dividend Reduction
Dividend was reduced in March to free up cash flow for the drilling program.
Company Guidance
During the Pine Cliff Energy second quarter webcast, President and CEO Phil Hodge discussed the company's strategic outlook amidst challenging market conditions. He highlighted that natural gas storage levels have risen above five-year averages, though they remain below last year's levels, a factor not fully recognized by the market. As Pine Cliff plans to resume its drilling program in the fourth quarter, the company is focused on capital allocation, reducing its debt to below 1x debt to cash flow from the current 1.5x, and maintaining a diversified drilling inventory. Hodge noted that Pine Cliff's hedging strategy has been effective, with realized natural gas prices at $2.48/Mcf, a 48% premium to the AECO daily 5A price, and the company has hedged 54% of its gas production for the year at $2.82/Mcf. Additionally, Pine Cliff is preparing for growth in LNG demand, with potential significant increases in Canadian LNG exports by the end of the decade. The company also anticipates a narrowing of the AECO-NYMEX differential and is considering future dividend increases contingent on improved free cash flow.

Pine Cliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pine Cliff Energy is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as well as increased leverage and reduced equity positions. However, their positive operating and free cash flows provide some stability, indicating the company's capability to generate cash to support operations.
Income Statement
36
Negative
Pine Cliff Energy has shown fluctuating revenue with a recent decline from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin for 2023 was approximately 7.5%, a significant drop from previous years. Net income turned negative in 2024, leading to a negative net profit margin, indicating challenges in profitability. There is also a lack of EBIT and a decrease in EBITDA margin, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
43
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased in recent years, with a ratio of approximately 0.89 in 2024, indicating higher leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased significantly, affecting the equity ratio, which stood at about 14.2% in 2024. The return on equity (ROE) was negative in 2024 due to negative net income, pointing to inefficiencies in using equity for profit generation.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Despite challenges in net income, Pine Cliff Energy generated positive operating cash flow in 2024. The free cash flow was also positive and improved significantly from the previous year, indicating better cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to the positive free cash flow, showcasing operational cash generation capability despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue182.28M195.63M176.26M309.99M167.72M107.32M
Gross Profit119.75M126.53M16.11M230.15M109.71M55.64M
EBITDA27.45M35.24M54.12M175.29M82.18M5.27M
Net Income-21.48M-21.45M9.12M108.94M81.42M-55.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets338.68M381.25M477.07M375.05M379.00M288.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.00208.00K54.60M6.87M7.88M
Total Debt44.70M48.47M62.14M3.30M45.57M63.94M
Total Liabilities306.16M326.93M377.14M241.32M333.58M326.22M
Stockholders Equity32.52M54.32M99.93M133.73M45.42M-37.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.39M21.27M-63.66M121.44M28.02M1.31M
Operating Cash Flow26.48M23.80M66.63M150.45M49.48M8.79M
Investing Cash Flow1.68M6.77M-133.20M-36.74M-30.77M-10.02M
Financing Cash Flow-28.16M-30.56M12.15M-66.16M-19.71M445.00K

Pine Cliff Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.84
Price Trends
50DMA
0.83
Negative
100DMA
0.74
Positive
200DMA
0.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
40.06
Neutral
STOCH
35.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PNE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, above the 50-day MA of 0.83, and above the 200-day MA of 0.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PNE.

Pine Cliff Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$388.01M3.7714.69%21.85%-2.90%-31.97%
63
Neutral
C$245.86M502.700.20%6.19%-8.58%-98.92%
56
Neutral
C$255.74M-9.64-15.54%-15.50%-58.23%
51
Neutral
C$373.48M-40.04-2.61%12.70%53.79%-126.63%
49
Neutral
C$272.68M-12.69-43.41%3.16%-6.56%-42.28%
40
Underperform
C$291.21M-7.12-79.56%5.13%61.58%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PNE
Pine Cliff Energy
0.76
-0.14
-15.65%
TSE:CVVY
Pieridae Energy
0.88
0.59
203.45%
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
1.12
-0.05
-4.27%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
1.86
0.56
42.97%
TSE:TAL
PetroTal Corp
0.43
-0.22
-34.01%
TSE:IPO
InPlay Oil Corp.
13.35
3.92
41.61%

Pine Cliff Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Pine Cliff Energy Maintains Monthly Dividend for January 2026
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has declared a regular monthly dividend of $0.00125 per common share, payable on January 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 15, 2026, and indicated that this and future payouts are expected to be treated as non-eligible dividends for Canadian tax purposes. The decision underscores the company’s continued commitment to returning capital to investors through a stable dividend program, signaling confidence in its cash flow generation and reinforcing its positioning as an income-focused energy producer in the Canadian oil and gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.82 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pine Cliff Energy stock, see the TSE:PNE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pine Cliff Energy Declares December Dividend
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has announced a regular monthly dividend of $0.00125 per common share, payable on December 31, 2025, to shareholders of record on December 15, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns, although the dividends are designated as non-eligible for Canadian income tax purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNE) stock is a Buy with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pine Cliff Energy stock, see the TSE:PNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pine Cliff Energy Completes $15 Million Asset Sale
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has successfully completed the sale of certain assets in the Central area, generating $15 million in gross cash proceeds. This asset disposition is part of Pine Cliff’s strategic efforts to optimize its portfolio and enhance its financial position, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNE) stock is a Buy with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pine Cliff Energy stock, see the TSE:PNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Pine Cliff Energy Reports Q3 2025 Results and Adjusts Capital Strategy
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. announced its third quarter 2025 results, showing a decrease in adjusted funds flow and production compared to the previous year, attributed to natural production decline and market conditions. The company has reduced its capital budget for 2025 and increased its hedging activities to stabilize revenue, while also declaring a regular monthly dividend, reflecting a strategic focus on maintaining financial stability and shareholder returns amid challenging market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNE) stock is a Buy with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pine Cliff Energy stock, see the TSE:PNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Pine Cliff Energy Reports Q3 2025 Results and Adjusts Capital Budget
Negative
Nov 5, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a decrease in adjusted funds flow and production compared to the previous year. The company declared a monthly dividend and announced a reduction in its 2025 capital budget due to asset disposition proceeds and a shift of some development activities to 2026. Despite facing challenges such as natural production decline and weak gas prices, Pine Cliff continues to hedge a significant portion of its production to stabilize revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNE) stock is a Buy with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pine Cliff Energy stock, see the TSE:PNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pine Cliff Energy Announces $15 Million Asset Sale
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has announced the sale of certain assets in its Central area for $15 million, with the transaction expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its asset portfolio, potentially impacting its production levels and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNE) stock is a Buy with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pine Cliff Energy stock, see the TSE:PNE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025