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Pine Cliff Energy (TSE:PNE)
TSX:PNE

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PNE

Pine Cliff Energy

(TSX:PNE)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.72
▲(6.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/26/26
The score is driven primarily by mid-tier financial performance: current losses and a thinner equity cushion are partly offset by positive operating and free cash flow. Technicals lean slightly weak with negative MACD and price below key medium-term moving averages. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings, while the earnings call adds modest support due to disciplined execution, hedging, and measured plans despite near-term production and commodity-price uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides internal funding for maintenance capex, selective drilling, debt reduction and the dividend. Over the next several months this cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports resilient operations despite earnings volatility.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility & losses
Return to negative margins after earlier cycles shows earnings are highly cyclical and less stable. Persistent profitability pressure limits retained earnings for reinvestment, increases dependence on cash generation, and raises the risk that dividends or growth plans are curtailed if commodity prices weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides internal funding for maintenance capex, selective drilling, debt reduction and the dividend. Over the next several months this cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports resilient operations despite earnings volatility.
Read all positive factors

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pine Cliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It primarily holds interests in natural gas assets in the Southern and Edson areas; and o...
How the Company Makes Money
Pine Cliff Energy primarily makes money by producing and selling natural gas and, to a lesser extent, crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs) from its operated and non-operated wells. Revenue is generated when produced volumes are sold at prevail...

Pine Cliff Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic view: operational execution and financial discipline are clear positives (on-budget drilling, expanded Glauc inventory, hedges protecting cash, and a strong dividend track record). Commercial opportunities (data center interest) and recent AECO strength are encouraging, while short-term risks include an unstabilized new well, project timing dependent on third-party financing, AECO volatility, limited LNG export capacity, and geopolitical/regulatory uncertainty. Overall, the positives (execution, hedging, dividends, and commercial pipeline) outweigh the short-term operational and market risks.
Positive Updates
Glauc Program Expansion and Successful Execution
Increased Glauconite inventory to 22 net locations; recently drilled the 4-23 Glauc well that was executed ahead of schedule and with costs essentially on budget. Well has been on production for ~2 weeks and early results are encouraging (still in cleanup and not yet stabilized). Infrastructure (sales pipeline and site work) installed to support this and future wells.
Negative Updates
Glauc Well Production Still Uncertain
The recently drilled Glauc well remains in very early cleanup and has not reached a stabilized production rate; management declined to provide firm production guidance until a longer production history is established.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Glauc Program Expansion and Successful Execution
Increased Glauconite inventory to 22 net locations; recently drilled the 4-23 Glauc well that was executed ahead of schedule and with costs essentially on budget. Well has been on production for ~2 weeks and early results are encouraging (still in cleanup and not yet stabilized). Infrastructure (sales pipeline and site work) installed to support this and future wells.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call was modest and measured: Pine Cliff has increased its Glauconite inventory to 22 net locations and brought the 4-23 Glauc well (drilled in December) onstream in mid‑February—drilled ahead of schedule, on budget for well and Q4 infrastructure, and now in ~2 weeks of early cleanup so rates are not yet stabilized; management expects any new Central Alberta/Glauc drilling to occur in Q3–Q4 but will retain flexibility. Financially, the company is ~80% gas, with 37% of gross natural gas hedged at about $3.19/Mcf for 2026 and ~31% of crude hedged at ~US$63.45; AECO was around $2/Mcf recently (European gas >$12/Mcf) and WTI was ~$78–79/bbl (each US$1/bbl change in WTI ≈ $1.4M annual cash flow to Pine Cliff). Management said LNG Canada Phase 1 is ~2 Bcf/d (Phase 2 could take total to ~4 Bcf/d), North American LNG is ~20 Bcf/d today with announced projects potentially >40 Bcf/d in future, data‑center buyers are close to financing (no construction yet, possibly in the next few quarters), and the company will prioritize reducing debt, funding drilling, and maintaining the dividend (over $100M paid, ~ $0.30/share since summer 2022).

Pine Cliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mid-tier: profitability has weakened back into losses (TTM net margin -11.8% with negative operating profit) after strong 2021–2022 results, reducing earnings stability. Offsetting this, cash generation remains supportive with positive TTM operating cash flow (~$25.1M) and free cash flow (~$10.3M). Balance-sheet risk has increased as equity has fallen materially and debt-to-equity is elevated (~1.37), even though total debt is modest in absolute terms.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue163.81M195.63M176.26M309.99M167.72M
Gross Profit-6.80M126.53M16.11M230.15M109.71M
EBITDA-19.88M35.24M54.12M175.29M82.18M
Net Income-12.07M-21.45M9.12M108.94M81.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets321.43M381.25M477.07M375.05M379.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.07M0.00208.00K54.60M6.87M
Total Debt43.93M48.47M62.14M3.30M45.57M
Total Liabilities285.97M326.93M377.14M241.32M333.58M
Stockholders Equity35.46M54.32M99.93M133.73M45.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.84M21.27M-63.66M121.44M28.02M
Operating Cash Flow25.06M23.80M66.63M150.45M49.48M
Investing Cash Flow6.81M6.77M-133.20M-36.74M-30.77M
Financing Cash Flow-27.80M-30.56M12.15M-66.16M-19.71M

Pine Cliff Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.68
Price Trends
50DMA
0.71
Negative
100DMA
0.76
Negative
200DMA
0.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.14
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PNE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.69, below the 50-day MA of 0.71, and below the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PNE.

Pine Cliff Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$506.18M5.708.41%21.85%-2.90%-31.97%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
C$297.73M22.633.44%6.19%-8.58%-98.92%
58
Neutral
C$398.26M-54.27-3.42%-15.50%-58.23%
54
Neutral
C$243.98M-24.06-43.41%3.16%-6.56%-42.28%
53
Neutral
C$495.96M-38.65-2.22%12.70%53.79%-126.63%
44
Neutral
C$391.50M-8.74-81.43%5.13%61.58%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PNE
Pine Cliff Energy
0.68
0.08
14.09%
TSE:CVVY
Pieridae Energy
1.37
1.05
328.13%
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
1.46
0.65
80.25%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
2.03
0.86
73.95%
TSE:TAL
PetroTal Corp
0.55
-0.01
-2.14%
TSE:IPO
InPlay Oil Corp.
16.62
9.00
118.11%

Pine Cliff Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Pine Cliff Energy posts strong Glauconite well results and maintains April dividend
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. reported initial production results from a newly completed Glauconite well in the Caroline area of Central Alberta, which averaged about 1,167 Boe/d over the past 30 days and 1,220 Boe/d over the last week, with liquids maki...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Pine Cliff Energy Declares February Monthly Dividend
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has declared a regular monthly dividend of $0.00125 per common share, payable on February 27, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 13, 2026, and has indicated that this and future dividends are expected to be treate...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Pine Cliff Energy Maintains Monthly Dividend for January 2026
Positive
Jan 6, 2026
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has declared a regular monthly dividend of $0.00125 per common share, payable on January 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 15, 2026, and indicated that this and future payouts are expected to be treated as non...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 26, 2026