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InPlay Oil Corp. (TSE:IPO)
TSX:IPO
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InPlay Oil Corp. (IPO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IPO

InPlay Oil Corp.

(TSX:IPO)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
C$18.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/10/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance—net losses, sharply higher leverage, and deeply negative free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth and positive operating cash flow. Technicals are mixed with near-term softness but a still-positive longer-term trend, while valuation is supported by a high dividend yield but offset by a relatively high P/E amid earnings volatility.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth (+13.6% TTM) indicates the company is expanding production or capturing more realized volumes. Over 2–6 months this supports pricing power and scale benefits, helping fund operations and improving the business’s ability to execute multi-well development plans.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Material debt increase to $238.9M and D/E ~0.72 raises fixed obligations and interest exposure. Over months this reduces financial flexibility, amplifies sensitivity to commodity downturns, and increases refinancing and covenant risk as the company scales development spending.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth (+13.6% TTM) indicates the company is expanding production or capturing more realized volumes. Over 2–6 months this supports pricing power and scale benefits, helping fund operations and improving the business’s ability to execute multi-well development plans.
Read all positive factors

InPlay Oil Corp. (IPO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

InPlay Oil Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
InPlay Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. The company produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It primarily holds interests i...
How the Company Makes Money
InPlay Oil Corp. primarily makes money by producing and selling crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) from its Western Canadian E&P assets. Revenue is generated when produced volumes are sold into commodity markets, typically at p...

InPlay Oil Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong (+13.6% TTM), but profitability has deteriorated to a net loss (-$39.6M, -12.4% margin). Leverage increased sharply (debt up to $238.9M; debt-to-equity ~0.72), and free cash flow is deeply negative (-$167.9M) despite positive operating cash flow ($98.2M), raising funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue319.13M251.82M153.71M156.85M238.59M113.85M
Gross Profit110.83M31.03M85.54M104.14M156.91M74.82M
EBITDA128.66M120.53M70.43M90.31M135.36M125.29M
Net Income-39.59M-7.84M9.47M32.70M83.90M115.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13B1.10B476.25M472.96M430.91M406.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.07M0.000.000.00-320.00K-578.00K
Total Debt238.93M225.97M66.99M51.29M29.53M79.70M
Total Liabilities795.00M734.35M185.53M178.60M157.85M217.12M
Stockholders Equity330.61M370.06M290.73M294.35M273.06M189.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-167.87M-171.60M7.81M1.22M45.29M4.98M
Operating Cash Flow98.24M83.65M70.88M86.01M122.89M38.41M
Investing Cash Flow-254.78M-241.86M-69.66M-87.93M-70.36M-63.93M
Financing Cash Flow164.64M158.21M-1.22M1.92M-52.53M25.52M

InPlay Oil Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.64
Price Trends
50DMA
16.90
Positive
100DMA
15.48
Positive
200DMA
13.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
62.11
Neutral
STOCH
79.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.86, above the 50-day MA of 16.90, and above the 200-day MA of 13.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IPO.

InPlay Oil Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$542.99M6.135.39%21.85%-29.99%-70.33%
74
Outperform
C$98.41M0.8218.65%2.08%10.10%322.71%
70
Outperform
C$440.65M-15.723.55%-2.78%29.00%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
C$268.32M-4.87-0.27%6.19%8.02%-80.95%
48
Neutral
C$494.29M-3.65-10.86%12.70%119.35%-533.65%
46
Neutral
C$218.86M-37.03-31.31%3.16%-10.58%43.44%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IPO
InPlay Oil Corp.
18.16
10.75
145.07%
TSE:PNE
Pine Cliff Energy
0.60
0.04
7.72%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
1.81
0.61
50.83%
TSE:TAL
PetroTal Corp
0.57
0.02
3.26%
TSE:JOY
Journey Energy
6.37
4.78
300.63%
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
3.61
2.38
193.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 10, 2026