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InPlay Oil Corp. (TSE:IPO)
TSX:IPO

InPlay Oil Corp. (IPO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IPO

InPlay Oil Corp.

(TSX:IPO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$18.50
▲(4.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held back mainly by weakening financial quality—net losses, higher leverage, and sharply negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend and positive momentum, and valuation is mixed with a very high dividend yield offset by a negative P/E driven by losses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A ~75% revenue surge signals meaningful expansion in production or realized prices, which supports scale economics and stronger top-line capacity to fund drilling and infrastructure. Sustained revenue growth materially improves the firm's ability to self-fund development and reserve conversion over months.
Negative Factors
Net Loss & Margin Compression
Moving to a net loss despite revenue growth shows the company is failing to convert top-line gains into retained profit, weakening earnings resilience. Persistent margin compression erodes equity returns, limits retained earnings for capex/dividends, and raises the likelihood of external funding needs over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
A ~75% revenue surge signals meaningful expansion in production or realized prices, which supports scale economics and stronger top-line capacity to fund drilling and infrastructure. Sustained revenue growth materially improves the firm's ability to self-fund development and reserve conversion over months.
Read all positive factors

InPlay Oil Corp. (IPO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

InPlay Oil Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
InPlay Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. The company produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It primarily holds interests i...
How the Company Makes Money
InPlay Oil Corp. primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—mainly crude oil (light oil) and, to the extent produced, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs)—from its operated and non-operated wells in Alberta. Revenue is gener...

InPlay Oil Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue surged in 2025 (~75% YoY), but profitability deteriorated to a net loss (about -3% margin) with sharply compressed gross and operating margins. Leverage rose materially (debt-to-equity ~0.61 vs ~0.23 in 2024) and ROE turned negative. Operating cash flow remained positive, but free cash flow fell to a large deficit (roughly -$172M), increasing funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
37
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.82M153.71M156.85M238.59M113.85M
Gross Profit31.03M85.54M104.14M156.91M74.82M
EBITDA120.53M70.43M90.31M135.36M125.29M
Net Income-7.84M9.47M32.70M83.90M115.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.10B476.25M472.96M430.91M406.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.00-320.00K-578.00K
Total Debt225.97M66.99M51.29M29.53M79.70M
Total Liabilities734.35M185.53M178.60M157.85M217.12M
Stockholders Equity370.06M290.73M294.35M273.06M189.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-171.60M7.81M1.22M45.29M4.98M
Operating Cash Flow83.65M70.88M86.01M122.89M38.41M
Investing Cash Flow-241.86M-69.66M-87.93M-70.36M-63.93M
Financing Cash Flow158.21M-1.22M1.92M-52.53M25.52M

InPlay Oil Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.64
Price Trends
50DMA
16.07
Positive
100DMA
14.26
Positive
200DMA
12.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Positive
RSI
56.49
Neutral
STOCH
52.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.36, above the 50-day MA of 16.07, and above the 200-day MA of 12.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IPO.

InPlay Oil Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$95.35M0.8218.65%2.08%10.08%322.40%
69
Neutral
C$496.98M5.708.41%21.85%-2.90%-31.97%
66
Neutral
C$348.88M5.537.54%-1.47%267.04%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
C$297.73M22.633.44%6.19%-8.58%-98.92%
54
Neutral
C$236.80M-24.06-43.41%3.16%-6.56%-42.28%
53
Neutral
C$491.78M-38.65-2.22%12.70%53.79%-126.63%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IPO
InPlay Oil Corp.
16.62
8.78
111.99%
TSE:PNE
Pine Cliff Energy
0.66
0.06
10.74%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
2.03
0.86
73.95%
TSE:TAL
PetroTal Corp
0.54
>-0.01
-0.55%
TSE:JOY
Journey Energy
5.17
3.65
240.13%
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
3.35
2.16
180.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026