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Alvopetro Energy Ltd (TSE:ALV)
:ALV

Alvopetro Energy (ALV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ALV

Alvopetro Energy

(ALV)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$7.00
▲(15.32% Upside)
Alvopetro Energy's overall stock score of 77 reflects its strong financial performance and positive corporate events, which are the most significant factors. The company's robust profitability and strategic growth initiatives are tempered by mixed technical indicators and challenges in cash flow management. The attractive valuation, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, further supports the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
High net profit margins indicate efficient cost management and strong pricing power, supporting long-term profitability and shareholder value.
Stable Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects prudent financial management, providing the company with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities.
Efficient Cash Generation
Efficient cash generation relative to earnings ensures the company can fund operations and growth without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Management Challenges
Declining free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to reinvest in its operations or return capital to shareholders, impacting long-term growth.
Fluctuating Revenue Growth
Inconsistent revenue growth can signal market volatility or operational challenges, potentially affecting long-term strategic planning and investment.
Slight Increase in Debt
Even a small increase in debt levels can impact financial stability if not managed carefully, potentially increasing financial risk over time.

Alvopetro Energy (ALV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Alvopetro Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlvopetro Energy Ltd. is a Canadian-based oil and gas exploration and production company primarily focused on the development of hydrocarbons in Brazil. The company operates in the energy sector, specializing in the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. Alvopetro is committed to sustainable energy practices and aims to create value for its shareholders through efficient resource management and advanced technology in hydrocarbon extraction.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlvopetro Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas from its operational fields in Brazil. Alvopetro's financial performance is influenced by global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and reduce exploration risks, which can also contribute to its revenue. Factors such as market demand, regulatory environment, and technological advancements in extraction methodologies play a significant role in shaping Alvopetro's earnings.

Alvopetro Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 18, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in production, reserve increases, and strategic expansion into new markets, demonstrating a positive outlook for 2025. While there were some financial challenges in Q4 2024, such as decreased operating netback and foreign exchange losses, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to operational achievements and strategic initiatives.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Production Capacity
Alvopetro's January and February production averaged 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 37% from Q4 2024 production.
Dividend Increase
Announced an increase in the dividend for Q1 2025 to US$0.10 per share, reflecting a 12% yield at current share prices.
Significant Reserve Growth
Proved reserves increased by 65% and proved + probable reserves increased by 5% year-over-year.
Strong Operating Netback Margin
Despite a slight decrease, the operating netback remained high at 86%.
Debt-Free Status
Maintained a strong balance sheet with $13.2 million in working capital and no debt since September 2022.
Strategic Expansion into Canada
Entered the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, targeting Mannville heavy oil fairway with promising new technologies.
Successful Contract Revision
Revised gas sales agreement with Bahiagás, increasing firm sales by 33% and removing previous contractual ceiling provisions.
Negative Updates
Decreased Q4 Operating Netback
Operating netback decreased by $4.10 from the previous quarter, primarily due to lower sales volumes and prices.
Foreign Exchange Losses
Experienced a $2 million foreign exchange loss in Q4 2024, a significant swing from a $600,000 gain in Q3.
Reduced Natural Gas Sales Price
Natural gas sales price decreased by about 4% from the previous quarter.
Sales Volume Reduction
Q4 2024 saw a 17% reduction in sales volumes compared to Q3.
Company Guidance
In the Q4 2024 results webcast, Alvopetro provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company has increased its firm natural gas supply to Bahiagás by 33%, leading to an average production of 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day in January and February, up 37% from Q4 2024. The operating netback was reported at $55.09, with a margin of 86%, despite a 4% reduction in realized sales price and a 17% reduction in volumes. Alvopetro announced a dividend increase to US$0.10 per share for Q1 2025, reflecting higher sales volumes. The year-end reserve report showed a 65% increase in 1P reserves, totaling 4.5 million BOE, and a 5% increase in 2P reserves, totaling 9.1 million BOE. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with $13.2 million in working capital and no debt. Alvopetro has strategically entered the Canadian market, drilling two wells in the Mannville heavy oil fairway, aiming to capitalize on multi-zone reservoirs. The company projects a strong 2025 with a focus on maintaining a balanced capital allocation model, emphasizing both organic growth and stakeholder returns.

Alvopetro Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alvopetro Energy exhibits strong financial performance with robust profitability and a stable balance sheet. The company has a high return on equity and low leverage, indicating financial stability. However, challenges in cash flow management, particularly in free cash flow growth, slightly offset these strengths.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Alvopetro Energy shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in net profit margins, reaching 37.29% in TTM. The revenue growth rate of 6.99% in TTM indicates a positive trajectory, although it has fluctuated in previous years. Gross profit margins remain robust, though slightly decreased from 2023. Overall, the company demonstrates solid financial health with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage management. Return on equity is healthy at 25.76%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 19% in TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.31 indicates efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, though it has declined, suggesting room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.12M45.52M58.03M63.51M34.98M11.31M
Gross Profit33.61M32.46M53.83M48.47M20.13M7.16M
EBITDA37.24M28.11M41.96M46.28M22.16M5.64M
Net Income22.30M16.30M28.52M31.73M5.59M5.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.97M101.02M109.83M98.43M73.63M80.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.00M21.70M18.33M19.78M11.47M5.16M
Total Debt7.46M7.86M8.68M9.43M14.52M23.73M
Total Liabilities23.76M21.66M21.62M22.02M22.61M27.28M
Stockholders Equity93.21M79.36M88.21M76.41M51.02M53.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.55M19.60M20.25M22.74M19.78M-356.00K
Operating Cash Flow37.12M34.90M47.70M47.53M24.29M3.06M
Investing Cash Flow-24.47M-11.69M-27.75M-22.77M-3.98M-3.23M
Financing Cash Flow-17.08M-17.99M-21.74M-16.55M-13.74M4.23M

Alvopetro Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.07
Price Trends
50DMA
6.32
Negative
100DMA
6.21
Negative
200DMA
5.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
43.52
Neutral
STOCH
36.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.08, below the 50-day MA of 6.32, and above the 200-day MA of 5.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ALV.

Alvopetro Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$220.39M8.0921.90%9.06%2.20%38.33%
72
Outperform
C$236.99M3.5317.46%74.76%7.44%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$254.34M15.735.81%-1.47%267.04%
49
Neutral
C$148.76M-6.10-10.23%
47
Neutral
C$252.19M-6.17-79.56%5.13%61.58%
36
Underperform
£227.37M-56.94-6.71%-5.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ALV
Alvopetro Energy
6.11
1.53
33.41%
TSE:RECO
Reconnaissance Energy Africa
0.95
-0.11
-10.38%
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
0.92
-0.11
-10.68%
TSE:FO
Falcon Oil & Gas
0.21
0.13
173.33%
TSE:JOY
Journey Energy
3.50
1.54
78.57%
TSE:RBY
Rubellite Energy Inc
2.41
0.48
24.87%

Alvopetro Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alvopetro Secures $20 Million Credit Facility to Boost Growth
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Alvopetro Energy Ltd. announced a $20 million credit facility with Itaú BBA International, aimed at enhancing its financial flexibility to accelerate capital programs in Brazil and Canada. This move is expected to support Alvopetro’s growth strategy by funding high-return projects without impacting its current stakeholder return and capital allocation model.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alvopetro Energy Achieves Record Sales in October 2025
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Alvopetro Energy Ltd. reported record sales volumes for October 2025, with a 34% increase in Brazilian sales to 2,766 boepd and an overall company average of 2,923 boepd. This growth is attributed to successful operations in Brazil, particularly the Murucututu project, and strategic partnerships in Canada. The company’s financial results for Q3 2025 reflect robust operational performance, despite a decrease in natural gas prices due to lower Henry Hub prices. Alvopetro’s strategic focus on disciplined capital allocation and high-return growth opportunities positions it strongly in the energy market.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alvopetro Energy Reports September Sales and Strategic Expansion
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

Alvopetro Energy Ltd. reported September 2025 sales volumes of 2,231 boepd, with significant contributions from its Murucututu field in Brazil. The company has adjusted its natural gas pricing and entered into a new agreement to expand its Mannville Stack opportunities in Western Saskatchewan. Additionally, Alvopetro is disposing of its non-core Bom Lugar and Mãe da Lua oil fields in Brazil, which is expected to streamline its operations and focus on more strategic assets.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alvopetro Declares Q3 2025 Dividend, Reinforcing Growth and Shareholder Returns
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

Alvopetro Energy Ltd. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.10 per share, payable on October 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. This move reflects the company’s strategy of balancing capital reinvestment and shareholder returns, potentially strengthening its market position and appealing to investors seeking income from dividends.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025