Alvopetro Energy Ltd (TSE:ALV)
:ALV
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Alvopetro Energy
(ALV)
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Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
C$11.00
▲(72.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, solid operating cash flow, historically low leverage) and supported by a clear bullish technical trend. Valuation is also favorable with a low P/E and high dividend yield, while the key offset is cyclicality-driven revenue/earnings volatility and the step-up in debt in 2025.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high net margins indicate durable cost advantages and a profitable asset base in Alvopetro’s onshore gas operations. Over time, strong margins provide buffer against price swings, fund reinvestment, and support returns, helping earnings remain resilient across commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Earnings Volatility
Material swings in revenue reflect commodity-price exposure and production variability, which can compress margins and cash flow during downturns. For investors, this structural cyclicality means earnings and free cash flow remain uncertain across 2–6 month horizons, complicating capital allocation planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high net margins indicate durable cost advantages and a profitable asset base in Alvopetro’s onshore gas operations. Over time, strong margins provide buffer against price swings, fund reinvestment, and support returns, helping earnings remain resilient across commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors
Alvopetro Energy (ALV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$336.47M
Dividend Yield8.44%
Average Volume (3M)20.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.4
Beta (1Y)0.45
Revenue Growth2.20%
EPS Growth38.33%
CountryCA
Employees53
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.21
Shares Outstanding36,732,098
10 Day Avg. Volume26,320
30 Day Avg. Volume20,610
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.99
Price to Sales (P/S)3.46
P/FCF Ratio17.43
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.8
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$73.53M
Alvopetro Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Alvopetro Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons. As of December 31, 2021, it held interests in the Caburé and Murucututu natural gas assets; two exploration assets comprising Blocks 182 an...
How the Company Makes Money
Alvopetro makes money primarily by producing and selling natural gas (and associated hydrocarbons, if any) from its onshore Brazilian fields. Revenue is generated from (i) sales volumes delivered to customers and (ii) the realized sales price unde...
Alvopetro Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 18, 2025
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in production, reserve increases, and strategic expansion into new markets, demonstrating a positive outlook for 2025. While there were some financial challenges in Q4 2024, such as decreased operating netback and foreign exchange losses, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to operational achievements and strategic initiatives.Positive Updates
Increased Production Capacity
Alvopetro's January and February production averaged 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 37% from Q4 2024 production.
Negative Updates
Decreased Q4 Operating Netback
Operating netback decreased by $4.10 from the previous quarter, primarily due to lower sales volumes and prices.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive
Negative
Increased Production Capacity
Alvopetro's January and February production averaged 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 37% from Q4 2024 production.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Q4 2024 results webcast, Alvopetro provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company has increased its firm natural gas supply to Bahiagás by 33%, leading to an average production of 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day in January and February, up 37% from Q4 2024. The operating netback was reported at $55.09, with a margin of 86%, despite a 4% reduction in realized sales price and a 17% reduction in volumes. Alvopetro announced a dividend increase to US$0.10 per share for Q1 2025, reflecting higher sales volumes. The year-end reserve report showed a 65% increase in 1P reserves, totaling 4.5 million BOE, and a 5% increase in 2P reserves, totaling 9.1 million BOE. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with $13.2 million in working capital and no debt. Alvopetro has strategically entered the Canadian market, drilling two wells in the Mannville heavy oil fairway, aiming to capitalize on multi-zone reservoirs. The company projects a strong 2025 with a focus on maintaining a balanced capital allocation model, emphasizing both organic growth and stakeholder returns.Alvopetro Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
81
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 54.79M | 45.52M | 58.03M | 63.51M | 34.98M |
| Gross Profit | 35.99M | 32.46M | 53.83M | 48.47M | 20.13M |
| EBITDA | 41.05M | 28.11M | 41.96M | 46.28M | 22.16M |
| Net Income | 23.50M | 16.30M | 28.52M | 31.73M | 5.59M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 139.86M | 101.02M | 109.83M | 98.43M | 73.63M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 32.34M | 21.70M | 18.33M | 19.78M | 11.47M |
| Total Debt | 26.98M | 7.86M | 8.68M | 9.43M | 14.52M |
| Total Liabilities | 44.66M | 21.66M | 21.62M | 22.02M | 22.61M |
| Stockholders Equity | 95.20M | 79.36M | 88.21M | 76.41M | 51.02M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 10.88M | 19.60M | 20.25M | 22.74M | 19.78M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 41.52M | 34.90M | 47.70M | 47.53M | 24.29M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -33.40M | -11.69M | -27.75M | -22.77M | -3.98M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.83M | -17.99M | -21.74M | -16.55M | -13.74M |
Alvopetro Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
6.36
Price Trends
8.15
Positive
7.18
Positive
6.56
Positive
Market Momentum
0.42
Positive
55.58
Neutral
32.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.90, below the 50-day MA of 8.15, and below the 200-day MA of 6.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALV.
Alvopetro Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84 Outperform | C$336.47M | 8.36 | 24.98% | 8.44% | 2.20% | 38.33% | |
71 Outperform | C$322.92M | 6.88 | 9.87% | ― | 74.76% | 7.44% | |
66 Neutral | C$356.97M | 8.24 | 7.54% | ― | -1.47% | 267.04% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
54 Neutral | C$432.57M | -45.30 | -6.58% | ― | ― | -5.88% | |
50 Neutral | C$403.68M | -8.00 | -10.39% | ― | ― | ― | |
44 Neutral | C$391.50M | -8.74 | -81.43% | ― | 5.13% | 61.58% |
* Energy Sector Average
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Alvopetro Energy Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Alvopetro Lifts Firm Gas Sales and Sets Record Q1 Production
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
Alvopetro Energy has amended its long-term gas sales agreement with Bahiagás to boost firm gas sales by 25% to 500 thousand cubic metres per day through 2027, with prices linked to Brent oil and quarterly resets that are expected to lift real...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Alvopetro Posts Transformational 2025, Hikes Capacity and Confirms Q1 Dividend
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
Alvopetro reported a transformational 2025, with average daily sales rising 41% to 2,523 boepd and 2P reserves up 43% to 13.1 MMboe, driven largely by its successful 183-D4 well at Murucututu, while also declaring a Q1 2026 dividend of US$0.12 per...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Alvopetro Posts Higher Year-on-Year February Volumes as It Refines Brazil-Canada Gas Focus
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
Alvopetro Energy reported February 2026 sales volumes of 3,058 boepd, down 1% from January but up 8% from the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting steady growth driven mainly by its Brazilian operations. Brazilian sales averaged 2,879 boepd, with na...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alvopetro Reserves Jump 79% as New Wells and Canadian Assets Boost Outlook
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
Alvopetro reported a sharp increase in reserves at year-end 2025, with total proved reserves up 79% to 8.1 MMboe and proved plus probable reserves up 43% to 13.1 MMboe, driven largely by its successful 183-D4 well at Murucututu and newly added Can...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alvopetro Sets Record Quarterly and Annual Sales Volumes on Brazilian Gas Growth
Positive
Jan 7, 2026
Alvopetro Energy reported record quarterly and annual sales volumes, driven largely by growth in its Brazilian natural gas operations. December 2025 sales averaged 2,826 boepd, with Brazil contributing 2,687 boepd and Canada 139 bopd, while fourth...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.