Tethys Petroleum (TPL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $109.11M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.41K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.03
• Revenue Growth: -57.65%
• EPS Growth: -232.60%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 232
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 48
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 114,857,250
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,842
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,407
• PEG Ratio: -1.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.41
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 19.34
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.73
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.05
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.85
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -7.39
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Tethys Petroleum's stock score reflects significant financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. Despite these issues, the stock shows positive market momentum based on technical analysis. The valuation is weakened by negative earnings, though recent corporate events, like strategic shifts and dividend reinstatement, offer a glimpse of potential future improvement.

Tethys Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tethys Petroleum (TPL) is an oil and gas exploration and production company operating primarily in Central Asia, with key interests in Kazakhstan. The company focuses on the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. Tethys Petroleum leverages its geological expertise and regional experience to explore and develop hydrocarbon resources, aiming to increase shareholder value through efficient resource management and production enhancement.

How the Company Makes Money

Tethys Petroleum makes money through the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas extracted from its fields. These sales are typically conducted through long-term contracts or spot market transactions, depending on market conditions. Key factors contributing to its earnings include successful exploration activities, efficient resource management, and strategic partnerships or joint ventures that enhance production capabilities. Additionally, fluctuations in global oil and gas prices and the company's ability to manage operational costs significantly impact its revenue generation.

Tethys Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tethys Petroleum faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative net income impacting profitability. The cash flow is weak, indicating liquidity issues, despite the balance sheet showing strength with no debt and a strong equity base.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a challenging period for Tethys Petroleum, with declining revenues in the TTM and negative net income, leading to a negative net profit margin. Gross profit margin remains healthy; however, revenue has significantly decreased from the previous year, impacting overall profitability metrics.

Balance Sheet

Tethys Petroleum's balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with zero total debt in the latest TTM period, enhancing its financial stability. The equity ratio is satisfactory, indicating a strong capital structure despite a decline in stockholders' equity in recent periods.

Cash Flow

The cash flow situation is weak with negative free cash flow in the TTM, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth without external financing.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.20M	36.48M	65.49M	15.91M	13.04M
Gross Profit	6.72M	26.13M	50.84M	9.38M	6.63M
EBITDA	-16.65M	23.47M	50.29M	8.06M	-35.62M
Net Income	-12.39M	9.74M	12.30M	-3.99M	-38.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	56.23M	85.33M	87.27M	73.94M	53.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.96M	7.22M	14.54M	9.28M	1.75M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	2.51M	6.58M	5.55M
Total Liabilities	33.08M	43.14M	52.15M	51.59M	28.90M
Stockholders Equity	23.15M	42.19M	35.12M	22.36M	24.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-803.00K	-1.71M	22.21M	-577.00K	8.42M
Operating Cash Flow	6.91M	10.11M	34.08M	14.91M	17.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-7.65M	-11.55M	-22.50M	-8.73M	-5.49M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.88M	-5.16M	1.40M	-10.74M

Tethys Petroleum Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.95
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.09, below the 50-day MA of 1.16, and below the 200-day MA of 1.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TPL.

Tethys Petroleum Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CNE	60 Neutral	$76.09M	4.40	-1.29%	6.77%	17.52%	-105.04%
TPL	56 Neutral	$109.11M	―	-34.33%	―	-57.65%	-232.60%
Sector *	52 Neutral	C$2.95B	-1.54	-3.48%	6.65%	3.17%	-49.19%
GTE	51 Neutral	$162.16M	21.67	-4.07%	―	-2.39%	-425.29%
MER	45 Neutral	$1.18B	―	-25.82%	3.98%	―	-438.52%

Tethys Petroleum Corporate Events

Tethys Petroleum Reports 2024 Financial Loss Amid Market Challenges

Tethys Petroleum reported a significant decrease in oil and gas sales by 58% to $15.2 million in 2024, resulting in a net loss of $19.1 million compared to a profit of $9.7 million in 2023. This downturn was attributed to lower production volumes, decreased prices, and non-cash charges related to asset impairment and currency translation. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its future, citing minimal debt and valuable operating assets, and is committed to overcoming production and logistical hurdles to enhance shareholder returns.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TPL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TPL is a Neutral.

Tethys Petroleum’s stock score reflects a mix of strengths and weaknesses. The strongest aspect is technical analysis, indicating positive market momentum. However, financial performance struggles with profitability and cash flow issues. Valuation is weak due to negative earnings. Recent corporate events provide some optimism regarding future operations and regulatory compliance.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TPL stock, click here.

Tethys Petroleum Resumes Production Amidst Market Challenges

Tethys Petroleum has resumed production at its Akkulka and Kyzloi gas fields in Kazakhstan, stabilizing output at approximately 205,000 to 210,000 cubic meters per day. Despite recent weather-related disruptions affecting oil production, the company has averaged 320 tons per day over the past three days. A recent reserve report indicates that while the volumes of reserves remain stable, the Net Present Value has decreased due to lower oil prices and export constraints, impacting independent and foreign producers more significantly.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TPL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TPL is a Neutral.

Tethys Petroleum’s stock score reflects a mix of strengths and weaknesses. The strongest aspect is technical analysis, indicating positive market momentum. However, financial performance struggles with profitability and cash flow issues. Valuation is weak due to negative earnings. Recent corporate events provide some optimism regarding future operations and regulatory compliance.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TPL stock, click here.