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Orca Exploration Group Inc Class B (TSE:ORC.B)
:ORC.B
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Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ORC.B

Orca Exploration Group

(ORC.B)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▼(-11.76% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/11/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong free cash flow and zero debt) and supportive valuation (very low P/E), partially offset by weak technicals (bearish trend and negative MACD despite oversold readings) and the company’s earnings/equity volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for maintenance capex, operations, and distributions. Strong FCF buffers the company against commodity volatility, supports reinvestment in fields and infrastructure, and preserves strategic optionality without relying on external financing.
Negative Factors
Earnings and equity volatility
A sharp 2024 loss and pronounced swings in earnings demonstrate sensitivity to operating conditions and commodity pricing. This volatility increases forecasting uncertainty, can impair stakeholder confidence, and raises the likelihood of capital raises or payout cuts during adverse cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for maintenance capex, operations, and distributions. Strong FCF buffers the company against commodity volatility, supports reinvestment in fields and infrastructure, and preserves strategic optionality without relying on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orca Exploration Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orca Energy Group Inc. is an energy company focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of oil and natural gas, which it supplies to industrial clients and power generation facilities within Tanzania. Its primary asset is a stake in th...
How the Company Makes Money
Orca Exploration Group primarily makes money by producing and selling natural gas from its Tanzanian gas assets. Revenue is generated from gas sales to customers (typically under gas sales agreements) where pricing and volumes are defined by contr...

Orca Exploration Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~63.4M; free cash flow ~59.8M) and a net-debt-free position support financial strength. Offsetting this, earnings and equity have been volatile (large 2024 loss; equity down materially to ~23.2M TTM), raising cyclicality risk despite the TTM profitability rebound (net margin ~13.5%).
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue90.24M87.23M111.59M110.23M118.09M86.02M
Gross Profit40.49M37.88M61.10M49.18M70.90M57.99M
EBITDA89.19M86.93M18.63M75.21M92.76M62.94M
Net Income12.19M8.82M-21.58M7.01M27.73M16.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets134.85M167.59M185.77M215.43M248.08M230.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.20M86.99M90.08M101.57M96.32M72.98M
Total Debt0.000.0030.34M40.42M49.77M54.78M
Total Liabilities111.61M117.39M124.49M126.75M152.80M158.82M
Stockholders Equity23.24M50.20M61.28M88.68M89.62M68.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.80M73.66M9.13M39.69M41.93M15.13M
Operating Cash Flow63.39M84.56M27.09M48.48M67.66M40.11M
Investing Cash Flow-3.59M-10.90M-17.96M-8.79M-25.73M-24.98M
Financing Cash Flow-50.10M-52.43M-23.07M-31.74M-18.69M-45.95M

Orca Exploration Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.40
Price Trends
50DMA
3.51
Negative
100DMA
3.22
Negative
200DMA
2.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
32.79
Neutral
STOCH
15.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORC.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.14, below the 50-day MA of 3.51, and above the 200-day MA of 2.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ORC.B.

Orca Exploration Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$239.74M8.9133.26%8.04%-9.76%-21.70%
68
Neutral
C$84.72M3.2118.65%2.08%-21.51%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
C$132.09M9.23-37.75%0.66%76.61%
56
Neutral
C$212.44M-8.67-4.63%-11.05%-1520.04%
54
Neutral
C$323.46M-192.98-4.77%95.40%
45
Neutral
C$117.58M-1.16-10.07%198.86%-1237.72%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
2.83
1.56
122.31%
TSE:HME
Hemisphere Energy
2.51
0.74
42.05%
TSE:QEC
Questerre
0.26
-0.01
-3.70%
TSE:BNE
Bonterra Energy
5.76
2.09
57.24%
TSE:EOG
Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas
0.89
0.71
394.44%
TSE:TPL
Tethys Petroleum
1.06
-0.12
-10.17%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2026