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Bonterra Energy Corp (TSE:BNE)
TSX:BNE

Bonterra Energy (BNE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BNE

Bonterra Energy

(TSX:BNE)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.50
▲(1.12% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating TTM profitability and volatile free cash flow, despite a manageable leverage profile and still-positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals are strong with price above major moving averages and positive MACD, but momentum looks stretched (high RSI). Valuation is less supportive given losses (negative P/E), while recent corporate developments (operational expansion/acquisition and leadership change) modestly improve the outlook.

Bonterra Energy (BNE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bonterra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBonterra Energy Corp. engages in the production and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It primarily focuses on the development of its Cardium land within the Pembina and Willesden Green areas located in west central Alberta. The company also holds interests in the Shaunavon area located in southwest Saskatchewan, and the Prespatou area located in northeast British Columbia. Bonterra Energy Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBonterra Energy primarily makes money through the sale of crude oil and natural gas liquids extracted from its operated wells. The company's revenue model is largely based on the market prices of these commodities, which can fluctuate due to various factors such as global demand, geopolitical events, and regulatory changes. Bonterra's key revenue streams include the production and sale of oil, natural gas, and associated products. The company also focuses on optimizing its operational efficiency and cost management to enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy firms can also play a role in bolstering its financial performance, though specific partnerships are not detailed in the available information.

Bonterra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bonterra Energy demonstrates resilience in revenue growth and operational efficiency, with a healthy balance sheet. However, challenges are evident in profitability and cash flow management, requiring attention for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Bonterra Energy has shown a positive revenue growth of 2.51% in the most recent year. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from the previous year, currently standing at 19.03%. The company also faces challenges with profitability, as indicated by a significant drop in net income and a negative EBIT margin. EBITDA margin remains strong at 47.80%, demonstrating good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with an improved equity ratio of 55.45%, indicating a strong capital structure. The company has managed to reduce its debt levels, resulting in a lower debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29. Return on equity has significantly dropped, reflecting weaker profitability performance compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Free cash flow has shown a decline, with a negative growth rate indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 11.27, highlighting effective cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which raises concerns about the company's ability to fund operations and growth without external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue259.74M279.96M273.11M384.20M251.62M121.64M
Gross Profit26.65M53.30M95.80M145.79M78.41M-3.93M
EBITDA104.89M137.53M174.52M217.17M336.66M-286.86M
Net Income-14.69M10.20M44.94M79.02M179.30M-306.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets935.54M975.04M967.87M919.68M945.72M731.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.001.63M2.03M188.00K62.00K
Total Debt157.93M156.83M139.43M157.45M257.57M300.39M
Total Liabilities408.97M434.40M439.61M439.84M553.70M535.23M
Stockholders Equity526.57M540.64M528.26M479.84M392.02M196.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.58M-8.52M14.14M106.35M30.44M-10.70M
Operating Cash Flow96.54M114.95M140.62M183.55M96.10M32.07M
Investing Cash Flow-77.76M-127.39M-118.25M-85.51M-67.75M-38.26M
Financing Cash Flow-18.78M12.44M-22.38M-98.04M-28.36M6.19M

Bonterra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.45
Price Trends
50DMA
4.08
Positive
100DMA
3.81
Positive
200DMA
3.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
63.97
Neutral
STOCH
85.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BNE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.42, above the 50-day MA of 4.08, and above the 200-day MA of 3.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BNE.

Bonterra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$98.05M3.1618.65%2.08%10.08%322.40%
71
Outperform
C$186.41M6.3039.64%8.04%2.27%3.61%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$178.91M7.179.49%12.17%6.99%
63
Neutral
C$135.60M-13.27-28.62%0.66%12.23%-424.88%
59
Neutral
C$173.37M-11.94-2.67%-9.55%-154.04%
45
Neutral
C$241.28M-12.53-49.86%-27.99%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BNE
Bonterra Energy
4.74
0.97
25.73%
TSE:KEI
Kolibri Global Energy
5.06
-4.49
-47.02%
TSE:HME
Hemisphere Energy
1.97
0.27
15.81%
TSE:SEI
Sintana Energy
0.46
-0.35
-43.21%
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
3.50
1.30
58.80%
TSE:TPL
Tethys Petroleum
1.40
0.11
8.61%

Bonterra Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Bonterra Energy Expands Charlie Lake Operations with New Wells and Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

Bonterra Energy Corp. announced significant developments in its Charlie Lake operations, including the completion of two high-performing wells and a strategic acquisition to expand its core area. The acquisition will enhance production capacity and drilling opportunities, supported by a preliminary 2026 budget aimed at achieving 8% year-over-year production growth. The company plans to leverage its increased land holdings and infrastructure to optimize operations and strengthen its market position.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bonterra Energy Sees Production Rise Amidst Financial Challenges
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Bonterra Energy reported a 7% increase in year-to-date production for 2025, maintaining its production and capital expenditure guidance ranges despite a decline in crude oil prices. The company achieved an average production of 15,600 BOE per day in the first nine months of 2025, attributed to successful drilling and well reactivations. However, funds flow decreased by $16.5 million due to lower realized crude oil prices, and the company recorded a net loss primarily due to a one-time debt extinguishment cost.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bonterra Energy Reports Increased Production Amid Financial Challenges in Q3 2025
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Bonterra Energy Corp. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 7% increase in year-to-date production compared to the same period in 2024, driven by successful drilling programs and well reactivations. Despite the production increase, the company faced a decrease in funds flow due to lower crude oil prices, and reported a net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to a one-time debt extinguishment cost. The company maintained its production and capital expenditure guidance ranges, reflecting a stable operational outlook.

Executive/Board Changes
Bonterra Energy Announces Leadership Change with New Board Chair
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Bonterra Energy Corp. announced the retirement of D. Michael G. Stewart as Chair of the Board of Directors, effective January 5, 2026, after four and a half years of service. Stewart was recognized for his contributions to the company’s governance and strategic direction. Andy J. Mah, a seasoned oil and gas executive, will succeed Stewart as the new Chair. Mah’s extensive experience, including his role in transforming Advantage Energy Ltd., is expected to positively influence Bonterra’s growth and success.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025