Rogers Sugar (RSI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$812.24M
• Dividend Yield: 5.68%
• Average Volume (3M): 315.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.51
• Revenue Growth: 7.42%
• EPS Growth: 25.60%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 956
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 49
• Industry: Food Confectioners
• EPS (TTM): 0.13
• Shares Outstanding: 128,114,260
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 410,308
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 315,088
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$7.00
• Price Target Upside: 10.41% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: C$7.00 ▲(10.41% Upside)

Rogers Sugar's strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins are significant positives. The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, and the valuation appears attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, the company's increasing debt levels and declining cash flow, along with potential risks from U.S. tariffs, present challenges that need to be addressed.

Positive Factors

Demand

Volume growth and steady margins are expected in both the Sugar and Maple segments, supported by strong underlying North American demand.

Earnings

Strong Sugar margins outweighed weaker results in Maple, resulting in above expectations for Q3/25 results.

Financial Flexibility

The company's recent $100 million convertible debenture offering provides additional financial flexibility.

Negative Factors

Maple Products Performance

Maple Products adj. EBITDA declined due to lower gross margins and higher admin and selling expenses.

Market Volatility

Market volatility from U.S. tariffs and some softening in industrial demand may temper modest Sugar volume growth.

Tariffs

There is downside risk from potential tariffs affecting the Sugar segment.

Rogers Sugar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rogers Sugar Inc. (RSI) is a leading Canadian sugar and sweetener company that operates in the food production and processing sector. The company is involved in refining, packaging, and marketing sugar products primarily under the Lantic and Rogers brands. Rogers Sugar serves a diverse range of customers, including industrial, consumer, and food service markets, offering products such as granulated sugar, liquid sugar, specialty syrups, and other sugar-based products.

How the Company Makes Money

Rogers Sugar makes money through the production and sale of sugar and related products. The company's revenue model revolves around refining raw sugar into a variety of forms, including granulated sugar, liquid sugar, and specialty syrups, which are then distributed to industrial clients, retail businesses, and food service providers. Key revenue streams include sales to large food manufacturers who use sugar as an essential ingredient in their products, as well as retail sales to consumers through grocery stores. Additionally, Rogers Sugar may engage in strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors to enhance its market presence and distribution capabilities. External factors such as sugar price fluctuations, import tariffs, and agricultural conditions can significantly impact the company's earnings.

Rogers Sugar Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Rogers Sugar shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins, but the increasing debt levels and declining cash flow pose potential risks. The company needs to focus on improving cash generation and managing debt to ensure long-term financial stability.

Income Statement

Rogers Sugar has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 36.2%, significantly higher than previous years. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have improved slightly, indicating better cost management and profitability. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 4.8%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.01 in the TTM period, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity has improved to 14.6%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has declined significantly, with a negative growth rate of -970.97% in the TTM period, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.28, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio further highlights cash flow issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.30B	1.23B	1.10B	1.01B	893.93M	860.80M
Gross Profit	197.94M	175.87M	165.73M	130.81M	139.74M	126.20M
EBITDA	145.02M	122.88M	119.50M	41.02M	108.07M	90.50M
Net Income	69.34M	53.73M	51.79M	-16.57M	47.53M	35.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.13B	1.08B	960.90M	937.96M	879.93M	887.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	26.64M	19.12M	46.00K	151.00K	15.64M	1.97M
Total Debt	381.13M	380.88M	438.37M	397.79M	365.02M	363.04M
Total Liabilities	683.31M	656.33M	654.00M	646.54M	560.97M	616.95M
Stockholders Equity	444.21M	422.41M	306.90M	291.42M	318.96M	270.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	104.92M	13.71M	8.92M	-2.18M	53.90M	38.45M
Operating Cash Flow	190.42M	79.79M	44.32M	21.55M	78.58M	64.60M
Investing Cash Flow	-85.51M	-66.08M	-35.40M	-23.73M	-24.68M	-26.15M
Financing Cash Flow	-84.03M	5.36M	-8.89M	-13.55M	-40.16M	-36.79M

Rogers Sugar Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6.34
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.12, above the 50-day MA of 5.83, and above the 200-day MA of 5.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RSI.

Rogers Sugar Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CSW.B	74 Outperform	C$414.99M	14.27	15.03%	6.55%	7.47%	14.65%
PBH	73 Outperform	C$4.24B	45.18	5.36%	3.60%	8.42%	-17.99%
MFI	72 Outperform	C$4.48B	25.02	11.29%	2.55%	5.44%	1391.43%
RSI	70 Outperform	C$812.24M	11.70	16.09%	5.68%	7.42%	25.60%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$20.54B	14.42	-2.84%	3.14%	2.08%	-6.12%
HLF	61 Neutral	C$469.20M	7.28	12.01%	4.98%	1.05%	13.40%
LSDAF	―	$1.05B	12.78	11.09%	1.98%	―	―

Rogers Sugar Corporate Events

Rogers Sugar Reports Strong Q3 Results Amid Market Volatility

Rogers Sugar reported strong financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with consolidated adjusted EBITDA rising to $36.6 million. This growth was driven by robust demand in both its sugar and maple segments, despite market volatility due to new US tariffs. The company is actively expanding its Eastern sugar refining capacity through the LEAP Project, which is progressing as planned. The company also reported an increase in free cash flow and sales volumes, highlighting its resilience and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RSI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rogers Sugar stock, see the TSE:RSI Stock Forecast page.

Rogers Sugar Schedules Q3 2025 Results Conference Call

Rogers Sugar Inc. announced a conference call scheduled for August 12, 2025, to discuss its third quarter results for the year. The call will be led by CEO Michael Walton and CFO Jean-Sébastien Couillard, offering stakeholders insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RSI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rogers Sugar stock, see the TSE:RSI Stock Forecast page.

Rogers Sugar Achieves Strong Q2 Results Amid Trade Uncertainty

Rogers Sugar reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $34.7 million. This performance was driven by robust demand in both the sugar and maple segments. Despite a decrease in the sugar segment’s contribution due to product mix and maintenance costs, the maple segment showed record performance with increased sales volumes. The company is actively monitoring the trade situation between Canada and the United States, which has had limited impact so far, and is engaging with stakeholders to mitigate potential future impacts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RSI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rogers Sugar stock, see the TSE:RSI Stock Forecast page.

Rogers Sugar Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend

Rogers Sugar Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of $0.09 per share, payable on July 16, 2025, to shareholders on record as of June 27, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor sentiment and the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RSI) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rogers Sugar stock, see the TSE:RSI Stock Forecast page.