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ROK Resources (TSE:ROK)
:ROK

ROK Resources (ROK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ROK

ROK Resources

(ROK)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.21
▼(-6.36% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by financial strength—very low leverage and solid, improving free cash flow—partly offset by weak profitability (net loss and negative EBIT). Technicals add mild support from an improving trend, while valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E). Corporate actions (going-private progress and buybacks) provide an additional positive tailwind.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet with minimal debt
Very low leverage provides durable financial flexibility: better resilience to commodity downturns, capacity to fund capex or opportunistic acquisitions, and reduced refinancing risk. This underpins long-term operational continuity and strategic optionality.
Strong and improving free cash flow
Growing free cash flow is a sustainable strength: it funds maintenance/development capital, supports deleveraging or shareholder returns, and reduces reliance on external financing. Over months this improves strategic independence and execution flexibility.
Solid gross and EBITDA margins from core assets
Healthy gross and EBITDA margins indicate the asset base generates operating cash earnings even if net income is negative. This structural profitability at the operational level provides a cushion to absorb cost shocks and supports recoverable earnings with improved non-cash/financing management.
Negative Factors
Negative net income and negative EBIT
Persistent negative EBIT and net losses erode equity and limit reinvestment capacity. Over the medium term this constrains growth initiatives, increases pressure to monetize assets or cut investment, and can damage investor confidence if not returned to profitability.
Declining revenue trend
Sustained revenue decline reduces scale benefits and puts structural pressure on margins and cash generation. Over months this constrains operating leverage, limits funding for development projects, and increases vulnerability to fixed costs and commodity price swings.
Low returns on capital (negative ROE)
Negative ROE signals the company is not converting shareholder capital into profits, limiting long-term value creation. This structural shortfall can restrict access to capital, lower strategic options like acquisitions, and necessitate operational or asset portfolio changes.

ROK Resources (ROK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ROK Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionROK Resources Inc. engages in the oil and gas exploration and development activities in Western Canada. As of April 19, 2022, it had a proved developed producing oil and gas reserves of 6,900 thousands of barrels of oil equivalent (Mboe); total proved oil and gas reserves of 9,290 Mboe; and total proved plus probable oil and gas reserves of 15,448 Mboe. The company was formerly known as Petrodorado Energy Ltd. and changed its name to ROK Resources Inc. in January 2020. ROK Resources Inc. is headquartered in Regina, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyROK Resources makes money through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids that it extracts and produces from its reserves. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the market prices of these commodities, which can fluctuate based on global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and environmental regulations. ROK Resources may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility and ensure a more stable revenue stream. Additionally, the company may establish partnerships or joint ventures with other energy firms to optimize resource development and share operational costs, which can further contribute to its earnings.

ROK Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (minimal debt) and solid cash generation with positive, growing free cash flow support resilience, but the income statement is weak with declining revenue, negative EBIT, and a net loss.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-6.5%) and profitability weakened, with negative EBIT and a net loss (about -7.5% net margin). Offsetting this, gross margin remains solid (~56%) and EBITDA margin is still positive (~19%), suggesting the core asset base can generate operating cash earnings but is being pressured by costs below EBITDA (e.g., depreciation/other items) and/or weaker pricing/volumes versus the prior year.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned: TTM debt is minimal versus equity (debt-to-equity ~0.00), and equity is sizable relative to the asset base. The main weakness is returns—TTM return on equity is negative, reflecting that the company is not currently converting its capital base into profits despite low leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. TTM operating cash flow is strong and covers net losses (operating cash flow to net income ~2.09x), while free cash flow is positive and grew meaningfully (~19%). The key watch-out is that earnings quality remains mixed (net income negative), so sustaining free cash flow likely depends on stable operating performance and disciplined capital spending.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue74.93M85.19M71.83M87.31M3.44M598.45K
Gross Profit42.32M47.42M2.01M53.80M2.04M199.56K
EBITDA14.02M25.61M19.11M111.68M-1.00M-943.00K
Net Income-5.61M-636.00K-10.99M80.00M-2.32M-1.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets142.54M156.64M165.07M192.08M13.10M6.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.69M0.000.005.26M1.21M1.42M
Total Debt324.00K7.73M14.54M35.66M3.84M0.00
Total Liabilities41.84M55.24M63.64M82.57M9.11M3.66M
Stockholders Equity100.71M101.41M101.43M109.51M3.98M2.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.00M4.09M-969.24K15.94M-2.02M-1.45M
Operating Cash Flow26.28M22.20M29.16M45.13M-1.47K-949.58K
Investing Cash Flow-7.48M-15.11M-7.12M-88.21M-5.71M-750.85K
Financing Cash Flow-12.11M-7.09M-27.29M47.09M5.50M1.87M

ROK Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.22
Price Trends
50DMA
0.21
Negative
100DMA
0.21
Negative
200DMA
0.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
55.10
Neutral
STOCH
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ROK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.20, above the 50-day MA of 0.21, and above the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ROK.

ROK Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$100.05M10.3212.74%22.88%2321.43%
67
Neutral
C$45.73M-8.20-5.42%-13.32%-811.11%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
49
Neutral
C$64.43M-4.63-467.35%-63.05%
46
Neutral
C$58.45M-10.11-4.64%-23.68%75.45%
42
Neutral
C$57.55M-0.71-188.43%-1886.78%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ROK
ROK Resources
0.21
0.05
31.25%
TSE:TXP
Touchstone Exploration
0.18
-0.24
-56.63%
TSE:OYL
CGX Energy
0.17
0.03
17.24%
TSE:AXL
Arrow Exploration Corp
0.35
-0.07
-15.66%
TSE:NSE
New Stratus Energy
0.48
-0.01
-2.04%

ROK Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
ROK Resources Extends Go‑Private Deal Timeline After Buyer Default
Negative
Dec 31, 2025

ROK Resources has secured a court-approved final order for its previously announced go-private plan of arrangement with Blue Alaska Oil Trading’s subsidiary and a newly formed SpinCo that will hold its EMP Metals Corp. shares, marking a key step toward exiting public markets. To give the buyer more time to fund the deal, the parties amended their arrangement to extend the outside closing date to March 17, 2026, confirm that the full deposit is now earned by ROK, and raise the cap on transaction costs to CAD$4.25 million, while obligating the purchaser to provide sufficient cash three business days before closing; the move follows a notice of default issued after the buyer failed to promptly fund escrow, and the transaction’s completion would see ROK’s shares delisted from the TSX Venture Exchange and the company cease to be a reporting issuer in its Canadian jurisdictions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ROK) stock is a Hold with a C$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ROK Resources stock, see the TSE:ROK Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ROK Resources Shareholders Approve Go-Private Transaction
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

ROK Resources Inc. announced that its shareholders have overwhelmingly approved a plan of arrangement and go-private transaction involving Blue Alaska Oil Trading LLC and a newly formed company, SpinCo. The transaction, which received 94.8% approval from shareholders, is set to be finalized following court and regulatory approvals, with an expected closing date on or before January 16, 2026. Post-transaction, ROK’s shares will be delisted from the TSXV, and the company plans to cease being a reporting issuer in several Canadian jurisdictions.

Stock BuybackDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
ROK Resources Reports Q3 2025 Financials and Advances Going Private Transaction
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

ROK Resources Inc. has released its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting funds from operations of $4.1 million and a working capital surplus of $2.7 million. The company is progressing with its Going Private Transaction, expected to close by the end of 2025, which involves a special resolution to be considered by shareholders in December. The company has also executed a Normal Course Issuer Bid, repurchasing and canceling over 2 million shares, reflecting a strategic move to enhance shareholder value.

Shareholder Meetings
ROK Resources Prepares for Annual Shareholder Meeting with Key Resolutions
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

ROK Resources has announced the filing and mailing of its management information circular and proxy-related materials for the upcoming annual general and special meeting of shareholders scheduled for December 10, 2025. At this meeting, shareholders will address several key issues, including the approval of a plan of arrangement, the election of directors, and the approval of the existing stock option plan. The company has made these materials available electronically due to potential postal delays and encourages shareholders to vote electronically.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025