Tamarack Valley Energy (TVE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.70B
• Dividend Yield: 2.85%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.78M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.59
• Revenue Growth: -5.67%
• EPS Growth: 107.06%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 110
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 49
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.17
• Shares Outstanding: 500,619,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,130,225
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,775,174
• PEG Ratio: 0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.22
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.49
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.18
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.82
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.37
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.21
• 1Y Price Target: $6.72
• Price Target Upside: 25.82% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: C$6.00 ▲(12.36% Upside)

Tamarack Valley Energy's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, marked by production records and strategic growth, are the primary drivers of the score. While technical indicators show potential overbought conditions, the company's valuation is reasonable, providing a balanced outlook.

Positive Factors

Financial Management

TVE expects to achieve its target debt level two years ahead of schedule, indicating strong financial management and operational efficiency.

Production and Capital Efficiency

The operational momentum from 1Q25 is expected to drive volumes to the higher end of the guidance range, while capital spending is expected to trend toward the lower end, freeing up additional funds for shareholder returns and debt repayment.

Strategic Shifts

Tamarack's strategic shift toward the Charlie Lake and Clearwater plays has significantly extended inventory duration and enhanced forward-looking profitability.

Negative Factors

Growth Challenges

With many of these acquisitions funded with debt, a slowdown in organic growth is likely as the company re-builds.

Tamarack Valley Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Western Canadian sedimentary basin. It primarily holds interests in the Clearwater assets covering an area of approximately 357 sections of land located in Alberta; Charlie Lake assets covering approximately 357 sections of land in the northwestern area of Alberta; Viking light oil play in central and southern Alberta and west central Saskatchewan; Barons Sand oil play in the Penny area of southern Alberta; and heavy oil properties. The company was formerly known as Tango Energy Inc. and changed its name to Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. in June 2010. Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Tamarack Valley Energy makes money by extracting and selling crude oil and natural gas. The company generates revenue through the production and sale of these commodities, which are extracted from its developed and undeveloped reserves. Tamarack Valley Energy's revenue model is based on the sale of oil and gas at prevailing market prices, which can be influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market speculation. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility. Key revenue streams include oil and gas sales from its core operating areas, enhanced by efficient production techniques and cost management strategies. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions can also contribute to revenue growth by expanding production capacity and access to new reserves.

Tamarack Valley Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tamarack Valley Energy shows strong financial performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth. The company has improved its debt management and maintains a solid equity position. However, the lack of EBIT raises concerns about operational efficiency. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory with opportunities to enhance profitability.

Income Statement

Tamarack Valley Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 23.86% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 33.53%, and the net profit margin improved to 9.31% in 2024. However, EBIT was zero, which may indicate operational challenges. EBITDA margin remains robust at 50.42%, highlighting effective cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth and profitability, but the absence of EBIT is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.36, showing improved leverage management. The equity ratio is healthy at 53.18%, suggesting a strong equity base. Return on equity is moderate at 7.65%, indicating potential for higher profitability. The balance sheet is stable with a strong equity position, but there is room for improvement in profitability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow improved significantly by 31.92% from 2023 to 2024, and free cash flow grew by 231.92%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 5.14, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.36, both demonstrating efficient cash utilization. Cash flow stability is a key strength, though maintaining this trajectory is crucial.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.74B	1.74B	1.41B	1.46B	701.05M	222.07M
Gross Profit	591.62M	584.17M	418.26M	615.12M	268.63M	-9.64M
EBITDA	990.02M	893.54M	884.22M	878.64M	758.48M	-265.57M
Net Income	250.57M	162.22M	94.20M	345.20M	390.51M	-311.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.86B	3.99B	4.21B	4.62B	2.33B	1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.75M	7.39M	2.22M	-75.84M	-10.53M	-10.15M
Total Debt	747.69M	771.89M	860.65M	1.22B	487.97M	221.01M
Total Liabilities	1.73B	1.87B	2.03B	2.46B	1.07B	518.08M
Stockholders Equity	2.13B	2.12B	2.17B	2.16B	1.26B	509.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	386.43M	380.56M	115.17M	-606.52M	-349.52M	21.75M
Operating Cash Flow	819.77M	833.21M	631.63M	805.38M	297.89M	125.29M
Investing Cash Flow	-403.64M	-453.38M	-378.02M	-1.27B	-581.06M	-181.56M
Financing Cash Flow	-415.60M	-374.66M	-253.61M	465.18M	283.17M	56.27M

Tamarack Valley Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.34
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.18, above the 50-day MA of 4.92, and above the 200-day MA of 4.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TVE.

Tamarack Valley Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TVE	76 Outperform	$2.70B	11.22	11.47%	2.85%	-5.67%	107.06%
Sector *	57 Neutral	HK$77.97B	2.37	-2.73%	5.70%	-1.81%	-50.18%
AKT.B	―	C$83.91M	3.95	12.72%	―	―	―
ORC.A	―	C$166.19M	232.82	-30.63%	―	―	―
SGQ	―	C$133.52M	1.80		―	―	―
RDRIF	―	$44.14M	―	-350.57%	―	―	―
HAM	―	C$83.35M	2.64	25.94%	―	―	―

Tamarack Valley Energy Corporate Events

Tamarack Valley Energy Reports Record Q2 Production and Strategic Acquisition

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. reported record quarterly production in Q2 2025, with a 19% year-over-year increase in production per share. The company has improved its capital efficiencies, resulting in strong free funds flow and increased shareholder returns through share buybacks and dividends. Tamarack has also updated its 2025 guidance, increasing production expectations and reducing capital spending. The company completed a strategic acquisition in the Clearwater area, enhancing its production capabilities and land holdings, and successfully issued senior notes to strengthen its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Secures $325 Million in New Notes, Enhances Financial Stability

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has successfully closed a private placement offering of $325 million in senior unsecured notes due in 2030, with a 6.875% interest rate. The proceeds are being used to repay part of the company’s credit facility and redeem a portion of its existing $300 million notes due in 2027. This financial maneuver is expected to enhance Tamarack’s financial stability and operational flexibility, potentially improving its market positioning and value proposition for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Declares Monthly Dividend

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly cash dividend of C$0.01275 per share, payable on August 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of July 31, 2025. This dividend declaration aligns with the company’s strategy of returning capital to shareholders and reflects its commitment to financial stability and sustainable growth, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Announces $325 Million Note Offering to Strengthen Financial Position

Tamarack Valley Energy announced the pricing of $325 million in senior unsecured notes due in 2030, as part of a refinancing strategy to extend debt maturities and enhance financial flexibility. This move is expected to strengthen the company’s capital structure, allowing it to focus on growth and development while maintaining a robust balance sheet, benefiting stakeholders by providing a more resilient financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Declares Dividend and Extends Credit Facility

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly cash dividend of $0.01275 per share, payable on July 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. Additionally, the company has extended its $875 million credit facility by one year to April 30, 2028, maintaining access to over $400 million of undrawn credit, which supports its financial stability and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Declares Monthly Dividend

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly cash dividend of C$0.01275 per share, payable on June 16, 2025, to shareholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This dividend declaration aligns with the company’s commitment to financial stability and returning capital to shareholders, potentially enhancing its market position and providing value to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Announces Successful AGM Voting Results

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. announced that all resolutions at its annual general meeting were approved, with 52.68% of its common shares represented. Eight directors were elected, and KPMG LLP was appointed as auditors, reflecting strong shareholder support and stability in the company’s governance.

Tamarack Valley Energy Reports Record Oil Production and Financial Growth in Q1 2025

Tamarack Valley Energy announced record quarterly oil production for Q1 2025, driven by successful waterflood investments in its Clearwater assets, resulting in a 15% production increase. The company reported a 33% year-over-year increase in adjusted funds flow per share and a 100% increase in free funds flow per share, supported by higher margins and cost improvements. Tamarack also reduced its net debt and continued share buybacks, enhancing shareholder returns.