Tamarack Valley Energy (TVE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$3.97B
• Dividend Yield: 1.91%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.60M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.38
• Revenue Growth: -1.36%
• EPS Growth: -149.45%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 110
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 487,001,680
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,447,217
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,598,558
• PEG Ratio: 0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.22
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.49
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$8.71
• Price Target Upside: 4.80% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.2
• Revenue Forecast (FY): C$1.60B

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: C$8.50 ▲(2.29% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by resilient cash generation and a manageable balance sheet, which help offset the recent swing to a TTM net loss and negative ROE. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is constrained by the negative P/E despite a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Debt Management

Effective debt reduction enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities and weather market fluctuations.

Production Efficiency

Increased production efficiency and reduced capital spending indicate improved operational management, which can lead to higher margins and profitability.

Strategic Acquisition

The acquisition expands resource holdings and enhances synergies, potentially increasing production capacity and long-term revenue streams.

Negative Factors

Revenue Growth Decline

A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future profitability and market position.

Operational Challenges

Zero EBIT suggests potential inefficiencies or cost management issues, which could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve operations.

Oil Price Volatility

Volatility in oil prices can lead to unpredictable revenue and profit margins, posing a risk to financial stability and planning in the oil and gas sector.

Tamarack Valley Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Western Canadian sedimentary basin. It primarily holds interests in the Clearwater assets covering an area of approximately 357 sections of land located in Alberta; Charlie Lake assets covering approximately 357 sections of land in the northwestern area of Alberta; Viking light oil play in central and southern Alberta and west central Saskatchewan; Barons Sand oil play in the Penny area of southern Alberta; and heavy oil properties. The company was formerly known as Tango Energy Inc. and changed its name to Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. in June 2010. Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Tamarack Valley Energy generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company employs a revenue model that includes the extraction of hydrocarbons from its operated and non-operated properties, leveraging its assets in key resource plays. TVE's key revenue streams consist of direct sales of oil and gas to refiners, marketers, and utility companies, as well as the monetization of production through long-term contracts and spot market sales. Strategic partnerships with other industry players and infrastructure investments also contribute to its earnings, allowing TVE to optimize logistics and reduce operational costs. Additionally, the company may benefit from hedging activities to manage price volatility in the energy markets.

Tamarack Valley Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tamarack Valley Energy shows strong financial performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth. The company has improved its debt management and maintains a solid equity position. However, the lack of EBIT raises concerns about operational efficiency. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory with opportunities to enhance profitability.

Income Statement

Tamarack Valley Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 23.86% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 33.53%, and the net profit margin improved to 9.31% in 2024. However, EBIT was zero, which may indicate operational challenges. EBITDA margin remains robust at 50.42%, highlighting effective cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth and profitability, but the absence of EBIT is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.36, showing improved leverage management. The equity ratio is healthy at 53.18%, suggesting a strong equity base. Return on equity is moderate at 7.65%, indicating potential for higher profitability. The balance sheet is stable with a strong equity position, but there is room for improvement in profitability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow improved significantly by 31.92% from 2023 to 2024, and free cash flow grew by 231.92%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 5.14, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.36, both demonstrating efficient cash utilization. Cash flow stability is a key strength, though maintaining this trajectory is crucial.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.64B	1.74B	1.41B	1.46B	701.05M	222.07M
Gross Profit	588.27M	584.17M	418.26M	615.12M	268.63M	-9.64M
EBITDA	529.14M	893.54M	884.22M	878.64M	758.48M	-265.57M
Net Income	-91.89M	162.22M	94.20M	345.20M	390.51M	-311.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.47B	3.99B	4.21B	4.62B	2.33B	1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.68M	7.39M	2.22M	-75.84M	-10.53M	-10.15M
Total Debt	713.97M	771.89M	839.10M	1.22B	487.97M	221.01M
Total Liabilities	1.64B	1.87B	2.03B	2.46B	1.07B	518.08M
Stockholders Equity	1.83B	2.12B	2.17B	2.16B	1.26B	509.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	322.27M	380.56M	115.17M	-606.52M	-349.52M	21.75M
Operating Cash Flow	805.12M	833.21M	631.63M	805.38M	297.89M	125.29M
Investing Cash Flow	-468.17M	-453.38M	-378.02M	-1.27B	-581.06M	-181.56M
Financing Cash Flow	-336.49M	-374.66M	-253.61M	465.18M	283.17M	56.27M

Tamarack Valley Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 8.31
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.82, above the 50-day MA of 7.55, and above the 200-day MA of 5.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TVE.

Tamarack Valley Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PEY	81 Outperform	C$4.54B	12.01	13.48%	5.77%	11.52%	24.76%
BTE	75 Outperform	C$3.61B	16.83	5.16%	2.07%	-8.89%	―
NVA	74 Outperform	C$3.59B	11.36	13.57%	―	-6.14%	14.09%
ATH	68 Neutral	C$3.36B	7.78	27.19%	―	3.04%	115.77%
TVE	67 Neutral	C$3.97B	-43.08	-4.70%	1.91%	-1.36%	-149.45%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
POU	65 Neutral	C$3.37B	2.47	41.81%	2.84%	-32.36%	282.99%

Tamarack Valley Energy Corporate Events

Tamarack Valley Energy Declares December 2025 Dividend

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. announced a monthly dividend declaration of C$0.013333 per share for December 2025, payable on January 15, 2026. This dividend declaration reflects Tamarack’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders and maintaining financial stability, which is crucial for its operations and strategic positioning in the oil and natural gas industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Adopts Shareholder Rights Plan

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has adopted a Shareholder Rights Plan to provide its board and shareholders with time to evaluate unsolicited takeover bids, explore alternatives, and ensure fair treatment and value for shareholders. The plan, conditionally accepted by the Toronto Stock Exchange, awaits ratification at the 2026 Annual General Meeting and is designed to enhance the company’s strategic positioning and protect shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Unveils 2026 Budget with Strategic Investments

Tamarack Valley Energy has announced its 2026 corporate budget, highlighting a capital investment program of $390 to $410 million aimed at achieving a 3% production growth. The company plans significant investments in its Clearwater and Charlie Lake assets, with a focus on waterflood expansion and maintaining low breakeven costs. These strategic moves are expected to enhance Tamarack’s resilience in fluctuating commodity price environments, offering strong returns to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Declares November 2025 Dividend

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly cash dividend of C$0.013333 per share, payable on December 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of November 30, 2025. This dividend declaration aligns with the company’s policy and is designated as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes, reflecting Tamarack’s commitment to shareholder value and financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Developments

Tamarack Valley Energy reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with significant cash flow and improved margins despite lower commodity prices. The company is expanding its waterflood development program, which is expected to enhance production growth and reduce corporate decline rates. Tamarack has also increased its dividend and is transitioning to a quarterly dividend schedule. The company completed a strategic acquisition and divestiture, optimizing its portfolio and reducing production expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Completes Strategic Asset Sale to Focus on Core Operations

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has completed the sale of its non-core assets in Eastern Alberta for $112 million, marking its transition to a pure-play Clearwater and Charlie Lake operator. This strategic divestment strengthens the company’s financial foundation, allowing it to focus on debt reduction and potentially increase shareholder returns or accelerate development in its core areas.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.

Tamarack Valley Energy Declares October 2025 Dividend

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly cash dividend of C$0.01275 per share, payable on November 14, 2025, to shareholders of record on October 31, 2025. This dividend declaration aligns with the company’s policy and is marked as eligible for Canadian income tax purposes, reflecting Tamarack’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders while maintaining operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TVE) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamarack Valley Energy stock, see the TSE:TVE Stock Forecast page.