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Parex Resources (TSE:PXT)
TSX:PXT
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Parex Resources (PXT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PXT

Parex Resources

(TSX:PXT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$20.50
▲(9.22% Upside)
Parex Resources demonstrates strong operational efficiency and financial resilience, with robust production growth and attractive valuation metrics. However, challenges in revenue and cash flow growth, along with a softer price environment, temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiency through advanced recovery techniques like waterflooding and polymer injection enhances long-term production sustainability and cost management.
Production Growth
Consistent production growth reflects effective resource management and operational strategies, positioning the company for sustained output increases.
Strong Balance Sheet
A robust balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth suggests challenges in market conditions or operational execution, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs can pressure margins and reduce profitability, necessitating efficiency improvements to maintain competitive advantage.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity challenges, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or return capital to shareholders.

Parex Resources (PXT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Parex Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParex Resources Inc. is a Canadian oil and gas exploration and production company focused on developing its assets in Colombia. The company operates primarily in the Llanos Basin and the Putumayo Basin, where it engages in the exploration, production, and development of crude oil. Parex is committed to sustainable practices and has a diversified portfolio of oil properties that include both operated and non-operated interests, allowing it to maximize returns while managing risks effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyParex Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas liquids. The company engages in exploration and production activities to increase its output, which is then sold to various customers in the energy market. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced hydrocarbons, with prices being influenced by global oil market dynamics. Additionally, Parex benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. The company also engages in partnerships and joint ventures that allow it to share resources and expand its operational capacity, further contributing to its earnings. Factors such as geopolitical stability, regulatory environment in Colombia, and market demand for oil significantly impact the company's financial performance.

Parex Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant production growth, successful exploration, disciplined financial performance, and operational efficiency. Despite challenges from a softer price environment and increased operating costs, the company's robust operational and financial strategies have positioned it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production Performance
Q3 2025 production averaged 43,953 BOE per day, with October production averaging 49,300 BOE per day, representing a 12% increase from September.
Successful Exploration and Development
Delivered 5 near-field successes at LLA-74, leading to in-year production gains, and strong production ramp-up at Block 32 from 4,000 BOE per day in April to over 12,000 BOE per day.
Financial Resilience
Funds flow provided by operations grew to $105 million, with a steady FFO netback of $26.07 per BOE despite a softer price environment.
Operational Efficiency
Successful execution of waterflood phase at Cabrestero, polymer implementation 80% complete, with full completion expected by year-end.
Strong Balance Sheet
Maintained a strong balance sheet with ample liquidity, financial flexibility, and continued regular dividend coverage.
Negative Updates
Softer Price Environment
Operating in a lower price environment with average Brent oil price at $68.17 per barrel.
Increased Operating Costs
OpEx increased by $2.50 per BOE due to higher power costs and a 5% increase in the Colombian peso over Q2.
Company Guidance
During the Parex Resources Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, leadership provided robust guidance and performance metrics. The company reported a Q3 production average of 43,953 BOE per day with projections for Q4 to exceed the annual guidance's top range. Key operations at Cabrestero and LLA-34 showed strong reservoir performance, aided by secondary recovery and EOR programs. The acquisition of Llanos 32 led to a tripling of production rates. Exploration successes at LLA-74 and the ongoing VIM-1 project were highlighted, with expected results by year-end. Despite a softer price environment, financials were solid, with funds flow from operations at $105 million, and an FFO netback of $26.07 per BOE based on an average Brent price of $68.17 per barrel. The company maintained a strong financial position, hedged 25% of Q4 production, and projected capital expenditures to remain stable, with potential for additional capital deployment pending well results. Operating expenses for Q4 were expected to normalize around $12 to $13 per barrel.

Parex Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parex Resources shows strong profitability margins and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, the decline in revenue and free cash flow growth rates are concerning, indicating a need for improved cash flow management and revenue growth strategies.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Parex Resources has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 5.8%, which is a concern. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 45.8% and a net profit margin of 12.1%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 18.0% and 37.6% respectively, indicating operational efficiency despite the revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Parex Resources is robust with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.012, suggesting minimal leverage risk. The return on equity (ROE) is moderate at 6.7%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at a solid level, indicating a strong capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals some challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of 19.65% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.19, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 56.7%, which is satisfactory but shows room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B1.29B1.17B1.31B900.20M531.87M
Gross Profit480.05M549.07M889.83M1.11B728.57M357.20M
EBITDA394.11M529.40M659.18M957.67M628.62M290.71M
Net Income126.48M60.68M459.31M611.37M303.11M99.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.22B2.16B2.42B2.31B1.78B1.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.83M98.02M140.35M419.00M378.34M330.56M
Total Debt22.53M64.62M95.74M6.08M4.51M1.82M
Total Liabilities326.94M323.74M459.90M599.38M390.53M200.60M
Stockholders Equity1.90B1.83B1.96B1.71B1.39B1.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow271.96M343.89M26.11M453.36M322.15M173.10M
Operating Cash Flow479.98M569.91M376.47M983.60M534.30M290.02M
Investing Cash Flow-315.80M-392.24M-535.51M-638.10M-229.04M-179.80M
Financing Cash Flow-190.72M-214.90M-130.63M-291.98M-252.35M-168.44M

Parex Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.77
Price Trends
50DMA
18.46
Positive
100DMA
17.01
Positive
200DMA
14.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
54.84
Neutral
STOCH
49.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.48, above the 50-day MA of 18.46, and above the 200-day MA of 14.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PXT.

Parex Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$1.27B14.268.46%8.20%-9.30%-26.09%
73
Outperform
$2.10B12.1223.55%5.81%6.44%-6.74%
71
Outperform
$1.81B11.595.77%8.60%-20.07%-53.33%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$1.59B-8.612.34%4.08%-2.32%70.14%
62
Neutral
$1.36B18.265.22%9.92%2.74%
45
Neutral
C$1.16B8.899.15%0.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
18.77
5.49
41.39%
TSE:VET
Vermilion Energy
12.51
-1.09
-8.03%
TSE:HWX
Headwater Exploration
8.81
2.39
37.16%
TSE:MER
Meren Energy
1.71
-0.06
-3.44%
TSE:KEL
Kelt Exploration
7.74
1.03
15.35%
TSE:CJ
Cardinal Energy
9.14
3.16
52.84%

Parex Resources Corporate Events

Parex Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Parex Resources Inc., a leading independent oil and gas company in Colombia, focuses on sustainable conventional production with its headquarters in Calgary, Canada, and operations in Bogotá, Colombia. The company recently announced its third-quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting strong operational execution and production growth that sets the stage for a promising start to 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Declares Q4 Dividend
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Parex Resources Inc. reported strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with a funds flow of $105 million and a net income of $50 million. The company is experiencing production growth, with October 2025 production averaging 49,300 boe/d, and has declared a Q4 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share. Key operational highlights include increased production at the LLA-32 block and successful exploration at LLA-74, as well as the initiation of a high-impact exploration well at VIM-1. These developments position Parex for a strong start to 2026 and indicate a robust performance trajectory, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PXT) stock is a Hold with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Parex Resources stock, see the TSE:PXT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Declares Q4 Dividend
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Parex Resources announced its third-quarter 2025 results, showcasing strong financial and operational performance. The company reported a funds flow from operations of $105 million and an average production of 43,953 boe/d, marking a 3% increase from the previous quarter. October 2025 production averaged 49,300 boe/d, supporting their full-year production guidance of 43,000 to 47,000 boe/d. The company also declared a Q4 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share. Parex’s strategic operations, including successful exploration and production activities at LLA-32 and LLA-74, are driving growth and positioning the company for a strong start to 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PXT) stock is a Hold with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Parex Resources stock, see the TSE:PXT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Parex Resources Proposes Acquisition of GeoPark Amid Board Rejection
Negative
Oct 30, 2025

Parex Resources Inc. has proposed to acquire GeoPark by offering $9.00 per share in cash, representing a significant premium over GeoPark’s current share price. Despite the attractive offer, GeoPark’s Board has rejected the proposal, prompting Parex to acquire an 11.8% stake in GeoPark to push for shareholder engagement. Parex criticizes GeoPark’s decision to pursue a risky investment in Argentina instead of accepting the cash offer, which Parex believes would provide immediate value to GeoPark shareholders. Parex remains open to negotiations, hoping the GeoPark Board will reconsider its stance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PXT) stock is a Hold with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Parex Resources stock, see the TSE:PXT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025