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Parex Resources (TSE:PXT)
TSX:PXT

Parex Resources (PXT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PXT

Parex Resources

(TSX:PXT)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$20.00
▲(11.67% Upside)
Parex Resources is well-positioned with strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The earnings call highlights robust production growth and operational efficiency, which are significant positives. However, technical analysis indicates some bearish momentum, which could pose short-term challenges. Overall, the company is fundamentally strong with a promising outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Production Growth
The increase in production indicates effective operational strategies and resource management, positioning Parex for sustained growth in the oil and gas sector.
Financial Resilience
Strong cash flow generation enhances Parex's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather market fluctuations, supporting long-term financial health.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency through enhanced recovery techniques boosts production output and reduces costs, contributing to sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A reduction in free cash flow growth can limit Parex's ability to fund new projects and return capital to shareholders, potentially impacting future growth.
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating expenses can erode profit margins, challenging Parex's ability to maintain cost competitiveness and profitability in a volatile market.
Softer Price Environment
A lower oil price environment can pressure revenue and profitability, necessitating efficient cost management and strategic planning to sustain financial performance.

Parex Resources (PXT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Parex Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParex Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production of oil and natural gas in Colombia. The company holds interests in onshore exploration and production blocks totaling approximately 6,521,632 gross acres. As of December 31, 2021, it had proved plus probable reserves of 198,825 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyParex Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas liquids. The company engages in exploration and production activities to increase its output, which is then sold to various customers in the energy market. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced hydrocarbons, with prices being influenced by global oil market dynamics. Additionally, Parex benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. The company also engages in partnerships and joint ventures that allow it to share resources and expand its operational capacity, further contributing to its earnings. Factors such as geopolitical stability, regulatory environment in Colombia, and market demand for oil significantly impact the company's financial performance.

Parex Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant production growth, successful exploration, disciplined financial performance, and operational efficiency. Despite challenges from a softer price environment and increased operating costs, the company's robust operational and financial strategies have positioned it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production Performance
Q3 2025 production averaged 43,953 BOE per day, with October production averaging 49,300 BOE per day, representing a 12% increase from September.
Successful Exploration and Development
Delivered 5 near-field successes at LLA-74, leading to in-year production gains, and strong production ramp-up at Block 32 from 4,000 BOE per day in April to over 12,000 BOE per day.
Financial Resilience
Funds flow provided by operations grew to $105 million, with a steady FFO netback of $26.07 per BOE despite a softer price environment.
Operational Efficiency
Successful execution of waterflood phase at Cabrestero, polymer implementation 80% complete, with full completion expected by year-end.
Strong Balance Sheet
Maintained a strong balance sheet with ample liquidity, financial flexibility, and continued regular dividend coverage.
Negative Updates
Softer Price Environment
Operating in a lower price environment with average Brent oil price at $68.17 per barrel.
Increased Operating Costs
OpEx increased by $2.50 per BOE due to higher power costs and a 5% increase in the Colombian peso over Q2.
Company Guidance
During the Parex Resources Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, leadership provided robust guidance and performance metrics. The company reported a Q3 production average of 43,953 BOE per day with projections for Q4 to exceed the annual guidance's top range. Key operations at Cabrestero and LLA-34 showed strong reservoir performance, aided by secondary recovery and EOR programs. The acquisition of Llanos 32 led to a tripling of production rates. Exploration successes at LLA-74 and the ongoing VIM-1 project were highlighted, with expected results by year-end. Despite a softer price environment, financials were solid, with funds flow from operations at $105 million, and an FFO netback of $26.07 per BOE based on an average Brent price of $68.17 per barrel. The company maintained a strong financial position, hedged 25% of Q4 production, and projected capital expenditures to remain stable, with potential for additional capital deployment pending well results. Operating expenses for Q4 were expected to normalize around $12 to $13 per barrel.

Parex Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parex Resources demonstrates a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The low leverage and strong equity position enhance financial stability. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and operational margins could pose challenges if not addressed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Parex Resources shows a solid financial performance with a TTM gross profit margin of 45.81% and a net profit margin of 12.07%. The revenue growth rate of 4.40% in the TTM period indicates a positive growth trajectory. However, the decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years suggests some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.012, indicating minimal leverage. The return on equity (ROE) of 6.70% in the TTM period is moderate, reflecting stable profitability. The equity ratio of 84.61% highlights a robust capital structure with significant equity backing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 30.20% in the TTM period, which could be a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.19 indicates strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.57 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B1.29B1.17B1.31B900.20M531.87M
Gross Profit429.95M549.07M889.83M1.11B728.57M357.20M
EBITDA375.26M529.40M659.18M957.67M628.62M290.71M
Net Income130.21M60.68M459.31M611.37M303.11M99.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.15B2.16B2.42B2.31B1.78B1.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.02M98.02M140.35M419.00M378.34M330.56M
Total Debt20.97M64.62M95.74M6.08M4.51M1.82M
Total Liabilities484.41M323.74M459.90M599.38M390.53M200.60M
Stockholders Equity2.66B1.83B1.96B1.71B1.39B1.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow189.83M343.89M26.11M453.36M322.15M173.10M
Operating Cash Flow417.24M569.91M376.47M983.60M534.30M290.02M
Investing Cash Flow-327.83M-392.24M-535.51M-638.10M-229.04M-179.80M
Financing Cash Flow-180.02M-214.90M-130.63M-291.98M-252.35M-168.44M

Parex Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.91
Price Trends
50DMA
17.97
Negative
100DMA
17.45
Positive
200DMA
15.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
49.56
Neutral
STOCH
38.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.99, below the 50-day MA of 17.97, and above the 200-day MA of 15.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PXT.

Parex Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$1.36B17.648.46%8.37%-9.30%-26.09%
76
Outperform
$1.71B10.955.77%8.60%-20.07%-53.33%
67
Neutral
C$1.41B36.387.22%17.31%-75.56%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$1.72B-7.452.34%4.60%-2.32%70.14%
61
Neutral
$1.51B25.825.22%9.92%2.74%
58
Neutral
C$1.92B31.913.69%27.84%28.87%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
17.91
5.70
46.64%
TSE:AAV
Advantage Energy
11.55
2.43
26.64%
TSE:VET
Vermilion Energy
11.31
-0.86
-7.04%
TSE:KEL
Kelt Exploration
7.54
0.86
12.87%
TSE:CJ
Cardinal Energy
8.60
2.84
49.31%
TSE:SDE
Spartan Delta
7.26
4.02
124.07%

Parex Resources Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Declares Q4 Dividend
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Parex Resources Inc. reported strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with a funds flow of $105 million and a net income of $50 million. The company is experiencing production growth, with October 2025 production averaging 49,300 boe/d, and has declared a Q4 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share. Key operational highlights include increased production at the LLA-32 block and successful exploration at LLA-74, as well as the initiation of a high-impact exploration well at VIM-1. These developments position Parex for a strong start to 2026 and indicate a robust performance trajectory, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing its market position.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Declares Q4 Dividend
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Parex Resources announced its third-quarter 2025 results, showcasing strong financial and operational performance. The company reported a funds flow from operations of $105 million and an average production of 43,953 boe/d, marking a 3% increase from the previous quarter. October 2025 production averaged 49,300 boe/d, supporting their full-year production guidance of 43,000 to 47,000 boe/d. The company also declared a Q4 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share. Parex’s strategic operations, including successful exploration and production activities at LLA-32 and LLA-74, are driving growth and positioning the company for a strong start to 2026.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parex Resources Proposes Acquisition of GeoPark Amid Board Rejection
Negative
Oct 30, 2025

Parex Resources Inc. has proposed to acquire GeoPark by offering $9.00 per share in cash, representing a significant premium over GeoPark’s current share price. Despite the attractive offer, GeoPark’s Board has rejected the proposal, prompting Parex to acquire an 11.8% stake in GeoPark to push for shareholder engagement. Parex criticizes GeoPark’s decision to pursue a risky investment in Argentina instead of accepting the cash offer, which Parex believes would provide immediate value to GeoPark shareholders. Parex remains open to negotiations, hoping the GeoPark Board will reconsider its stance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025