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Parex Resources (PXT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PXT

Parex Resources

(OTC:PXT)

Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
C$19.00
▲(16.42% Upside)
Parex Resources' strong overall performance is driven by robust technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, supported by a solid financial position and attractive valuation metrics. The high dividend yield further enhances its appeal, while ongoing challenges in revenue growth are a concern to monitor.
Positive Factors
Earnings
With Q4 earnings, the company reaffirmed 2025 guidance, allowing investors to move forward with confidence.
Shareholder Returns
Parex is well-positioned to balance strong per share growth metrics with meaningful shareholder return of capital initiatives in 2025 and beyond.
Valuation
Current valuation appears quite attractive and should bring in new investors as the company reiterates consistent results.
Negative Factors
Production Results
Underwhelming production results this past summer had upended multiple successful years for Parex.
Regulatory Environment
Colombia hasn't been kind to Canadian-listed E&P names, with government regulation, drilling exploration risk, and social unrest warranting caution.

Parex Resources (PXT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Parex Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParex Resources Inc. (PXT) is an independent oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil in Colombia. With a focus on onshore assets, the company primarily operates in the Llanos and Magdalena basins. Parex Resources is committed to sustainable development and maximizing shareholder value through efficient resource management and strategic growth initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyParex Resources generates revenue through the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, primarily in Colombia. The company's revenue model is centered around the sale of produced oil and gas to various customers and markets. Key revenue streams include the extraction and sale of crude oil from its operated blocks, with a focus on maximizing production efficiency and cost management. Partnerships and joint ventures with other industry players may also contribute to its earnings by enabling resource sharing and operational synergies. Additionally, Parex Resources benefits from leveraging advanced technology and expertise to optimize its exploration and production activities, ensuring a stable and profitable revenue flow.

Parex Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong operational and financial performance, with steady production growth and significant achievements in exploration and operational efficiency. Although there was a slight increase in the tax rate, the overall impact was minor compared to the extensive progress and financial stability demonstrated.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Production Growth and Achievements
Production averaged 42,542 BOE per day, with significant milestones in infill drilling program and polymer injection programs. Near-field exploration success in Southern Llanos with 3 wells producing a combined 2,500 BOE per day.
Strong Financial Performance
Funds flow provided by operations was $105 million with a netback of $26.90 per BOE, supported by favorable oil pricing differentials.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Lower production costs due to power pricing and internal optimization efforts. Power prices have normalized compared to previous spikes, contributing to improved OpEx.
Robust Liquidity and Capital Plans
Fully funded capital program with ongoing dividend and share buybacks. The balance sheet remains strong with ample liquidity and financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Slight Increase in Tax Rate
The full-year effective current tax rate is expected to be between 5% to 10%, slightly up from previous forecasts due to a better cash flow profile than projected.
Company Guidance
During Parex Resources' Q2 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance indicating a positive trajectory for the year. They expect to meet their annual production guidance of 44,000 to 47,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with an anticipated strong exit positioning them favorably for 2026. The Q2 production averaged 42,542 BOE per day, consistent with expectations. The company highlighted strong financial performance, with funds flow from operations at $105 million and a netback of $26.90 per BOE, supported by favorable oil pricing differentials and lowered production costs. Operationally, Parex is advancing several projects, including a new 5-well drilling campaign at Llanos 32 and infrastructure upgrades at Capachos. In the Putumayo Basin, they have begun operations following community engagement, aiming to optimize the 2026 program. Additionally, they have hedged roughly 50% of their planned Q3 production with Brent put spreads to safeguard cash flow amid global volatility. The company maintains a robust financial position, ensuring they can fund their capital program, sustain dividends, and continue share buybacks.

Parex Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parex Resources exhibits a stable financial position with strong operational efficiency, as evidenced by favorable EBIT and EBITDA margins. The company's balance sheet is robust with minimal leverage and high equity coverage. Cash flow management is efficient, although there's a slight decline in free cash flow growth. The primary concern is the declining revenue, which needs addressing to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Parex Resources has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. While the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at 54.9%, the net profit margin is relatively lower at 7.3%. The revenue growth rate from the previous year to the TTM period is -13.6%, indicating a decline in sales. However, the EBIT margin remains strong at 36.2%, reflecting efficient operational management. The EBITDA margin is also robust at 43.4%.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating minimal leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for the TTM period is moderate at 4.3%, reflecting modest returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at an impressive 85.5%, suggesting a solid capital structure and high asset coverage by equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Parex Resources demonstrates strong cash flow management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 6.9, underscoring substantial cash inflows relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate from the previous year is -1.6%, indicating a slight decline. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is significant at 4.2, showcasing effective cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B1.29B1.17B1.31B900.20M531.87M
Gross Profit480.05M549.07M889.83M1.11B728.57M357.20M
EBITDA394.11M529.40M649.37M957.67M625.22M290.71M
Net Income126.48M60.68M459.31M611.37M303.11M99.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.22B2.16B2.42B2.31B1.78B1.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.83M98.02M140.35M419.00M378.34M330.56M
Total Debt22.53M64.62M95.74M6.08M4.51M1.82M
Total Liabilities326.94M323.74M459.90M599.38M390.53M200.60M
Stockholders Equity1.90B1.83B1.96B1.71B1.39B1.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow271.96M343.89M26.11M453.36M322.15M173.10M
Operating Cash Flow479.98M569.91M376.47M983.60M534.30M290.02M
Investing Cash Flow-315.80M-392.24M-535.51M-638.10M-229.04M-179.80M
Financing Cash Flow-190.72M-214.90M-130.63M-291.98M-252.35M-168.44M

Parex Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.32
Price Trends
50DMA
14.56
Positive
100DMA
13.24
Positive
200DMA
13.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
67.08
Neutral
STOCH
83.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.97, above the 50-day MA of 14.56, and above the 200-day MA of 13.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PXT.

Parex Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
C$1.59B9.116.62%9.66%-20.60%-56.33%
57
Neutral
HK$77.97B2.37-2.73%5.70%-1.81%-50.18%
$1.23B-1.19%4.52%
$1.21B9.0325.93%5.83%
$875.15M-25.82%7.63%
$1.01B26.064.98%
80
Outperform
C$1.13B12.769.64%10.56%-9.20%-25.28%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
16.32
1.44
9.71%
VET
Vermilion Energy
7.93
-1.57
-16.53%
CDDRF
Headwater Exploration
5.05
0.57
12.72%
AOIFF
Africa Oil
1.30
-0.15
-10.34%
KELTF
Kelt Exploration
5.44
1.30
31.40%
TSE:CJ
Cardinal Energy
7.03
1.00
16.58%

Parex Resources Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Declares Q3 Dividend
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Parex Resources reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, driven by favorable crude differentials and operational efficiency, with a funds flow of $105 million. The company declared a Q3 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share and highlighted successful exploration in the Southern Llanos, expecting increased production by year-end.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PXT) stock is a Hold with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Parex Resources stock, see the TSE:PXT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parex Resources Secures Shareholder Approval at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 8, 2025

Parex Resources Inc. announced the successful approval of all matters presented at its annual general meeting of shareholders, including the election of nine directors and a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation. This approval reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic focus on sustainable oil and gas production in Colombia.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Declares Q2 Dividend
Positive
May 8, 2025

Parex Resources reported its Q1 2025 financial results, highlighting a funds flow of $122 million and a net income of $81 million. The company announced a Q2 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share and provided an operational update, including increased drilling activity and a strategic acquisition to boost production. Parex is on track to meet its 2025 production guidance and is closely monitoring commodity prices to optimize shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025